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WEIBO百万粉丝博主,创业纳斯达克IPO已躺平 专注德州扑克和web3领域研究 擅长高杠杆期权卖方
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Bullish
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Popular Science: The current #BTC DVOL volatility index is 47.08 (low volatility), the current IV (implied volatility) is below 96.4% of the time in the past year, the greed index is 60 (greed), if you sell the call option with a strike price of 98,000 at the end of May, the coin-based yield is 4.2%, and the annualized return is about 25.58% 🤑 . The expiration BTC < 102,000 (break-even point) will be profitable.
Popular Science: The current #BTC DVOL volatility index is 47.08 (low volatility), the current IV (implied volatility) is below 96.4% of the time in the past year, the greed index is 60 (greed), if you sell the call option with a strike price of 98,000 at the end of May, the coin-based yield is 4.2%, and the annualized return is about 25.58%
🤑
. The expiration BTC < 102,000 (break-even point) will be profitable.
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1. Trump announced modifications to tariffs on imported cars from foreign countries, with General Motors (GM) seeing an after-hours increase of 0.49%, as the market focuses on potential cost changes in the automotive industry. 2. The euro quickly appreciated to the level of 1.20 USD, attracting the attention of officials on both sides of the Atlantic. Institutions like Goldman Sachs predict that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by more than 75 basis points before the end of the year to curb the euro's strength. 3. Trump announced the establishment of a Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) review committee and fired personnel involved in the national climate assessment, raising market concerns about policy uncertainty. 4. The latest poll shows that 59% of Americans believe Trump's policies have worsened economic conditions, and 60% of the public believes his policies have increased the cost of living, undermining market confidence. 5. U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin stated that Trump's tariff policy depends on the reactions of trade partners, and no new 'X Date' has been formed regarding the debt ceiling issue, increasing market uncertainty about fiscal policy.
1. Trump announced modifications to tariffs on imported cars from foreign countries, with General Motors (GM) seeing an after-hours increase of 0.49%, as the market focuses on potential cost changes in the automotive industry.
2. The euro quickly appreciated to the level of 1.20 USD, attracting the attention of officials on both sides of the Atlantic. Institutions like Goldman Sachs predict that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by more than 75 basis points before the end of the year to curb the euro's strength.
3. Trump announced the establishment of a Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) review committee and fired personnel involved in the national climate assessment, raising market concerns about policy uncertainty.
4. The latest poll shows that 59% of Americans believe Trump's policies have worsened economic conditions, and 60% of the public believes his policies have increased the cost of living, undermining market confidence.
5. U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin stated that Trump's tariff policy depends on the reactions of trade partners, and no new 'X Date' has been formed regarding the debt ceiling issue, increasing market uncertainty about fiscal policy.
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300 Million USD HackerYesterday, there was a significant surge in Monero (XMR). This coin is certainly familiar to veteran players, as it is inherently very hacker-oriented, and a major centralized exchange (CEX) directly collaborated to ban it... This shows how much this community is resented by exchanges... It is known that most CEXs have been drained by professional hackers several times... Plus, Monero is also a union of hackers who specialize in researching cryptocurrencies... It is bound to have countless conflicts resulting in a bloodbath... This coin surged from 220 to 320 in just one day yesterday, with an amount of 3520 BTC (330.7 million USD) stolen from the address bc1qcrypchnrdx87jnal5e5m849fw460t4gk7vz55g. These funds quickly exchanged for XMR through the protocol, causing the exchange rate to explode; as of now, it has slowly dropped back to 250.

300 Million USD Hacker

Yesterday, there was a significant surge in Monero (XMR). This coin is certainly familiar to veteran players, as it is inherently very hacker-oriented, and a major centralized exchange (CEX) directly collaborated to ban it... This shows how much this community is resented by exchanges... It is known that most CEXs have been drained by professional hackers several times... Plus, Monero is also a union of hackers who specialize in researching cryptocurrencies... It is bound to have countless conflicts resulting in a bloodbath...

This coin surged from 220 to 320 in just one day yesterday, with an amount of 3520 BTC (330.7 million USD) stolen from the address bc1qcrypchnrdx87jnal5e5m849fw460t4gk7vz55g. These funds quickly exchanged for XMR through the protocol, causing the exchange rate to explode; as of now, it has slowly dropped back to 250.
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Comparing knockoff options, CRV and ENA look promising; these two have really large fluctuations... Perfect for trading options. #CRV/USDT #ENAUSDT🚨
Comparing knockoff options, CRV and ENA look promising; these two have really large fluctuations... Perfect for trading options. #CRV/USDT #ENAUSDT🚨
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You are at the card table, and the chances of getting good cards are limited. The core things you need to do are, A. Keep yourself alive until you get good cards (don't trade recklessly in normal times) B. Earn enough (learn about options and other trading tools with good odds that are not easily liquidated)
You are at the card table, and the chances of getting good cards are limited. The core things you need to do are,
A. Keep yourself alive until you get good cards (don't trade recklessly in normal times)
B. Earn enough (learn about options and other trading tools with good odds that are not easily liquidated)
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In the distant East, there is a dragon, and its name is China (Bank)
In the distant East, there is a dragon, and its name is China (Bank)
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Google's quarterly revenue exceeds 90 billion dollars, equivalent to four Tencent The price-to-earnings ratio is only 17 times, while Tencent's is 20 times
Google's quarterly revenue exceeds 90 billion dollars, equivalent to four Tencent

The price-to-earnings ratio is only 17 times, while Tencent's is 20 times
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In one sentence: Temporary fluctuations, waiting for interest rate cuts, peak by the end of the year. This wave will not directly reverse the trend at present, mainly because the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have not yet materialized. The sign of reversal is breaking 100,000, and the driving force for reversal is interest rate cuts. In the past few days, I tend to believe: there will be no new lows, will not break 100, need time, just fluctuations, oscillating between 90-95.
In one sentence: Temporary fluctuations, waiting for interest rate cuts, peak by the end of the year.

This wave will not directly reverse the trend at present, mainly because the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have not yet materialized.
The sign of reversal is breaking 100,000, and the driving force for reversal is interest rate cuts.

In the past few days, I tend to believe: there will be no new lows, will not break 100, need time, just fluctuations, oscillating between 90-95.
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Over the past 30 years, the performance of the S&P 500 index has far exceeded that of gold
Over the past 30 years, the performance of the S&P 500 index has far exceeded that of gold
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Retail investors often focus on the returns of risky assets themselves, while ignoring the significant volatility inherent in them. For example, who is more comfortable: someone who owns a house worth 10 million or someone who has 10 million in cash? Five years ago, many would have thought the former was fine, but now everyone has been thoroughly educated by the market, realizing that real estate not only has huge volatility and potential drawdowns but may also lack liquidity, making it hard to cash out. Not to mention that it fails to generate returns compared to cash (the mortgage interest rate can be viewed as a relatively low-risk return for small capital, approximately 3.8%, how much rent can outperform that? The risk-free return for large capital can only be referenced by large time deposits and other fixed terms).
Retail investors often focus on the returns of risky assets themselves, while ignoring the significant volatility inherent in them. For example, who is more comfortable: someone who owns a house worth 10 million or someone who has 10 million in cash? Five years ago, many would have thought the former was fine, but now everyone has been thoroughly educated by the market, realizing that real estate not only has huge volatility and potential drawdowns but may also lack liquidity, making it hard to cash out. Not to mention that it fails to generate returns compared to cash (the mortgage interest rate can be viewed as a relatively low-risk return for small capital, approximately 3.8%, how much rent can outperform that? The risk-free return for large capital can only be referenced by large time deposits and other fixed terms).
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The Ethereum decentralized lending protocol Term Finance suffered a loss of 1.6 million USD due to a configuration error with its oracle. Attackers exploited erroneous price data to carry out unauthorized liquidations, exposing vulnerabilities in DeFi protocols regarding oracle security. Term Finance responded quickly, internally recovering about 400,000 USD and negotiating to recover 600,000 USD, but approximately 650,000 USD in losses remain unrecoverable. The company emphasized that this was not due to a hack or contract vulnerability, but rather a technical configuration error, and is currently optimizing its oracle integration process. Positive news for LINK
The Ethereum decentralized lending protocol Term Finance suffered a loss of 1.6 million USD due to a configuration error with its oracle. Attackers exploited erroneous price data to carry out unauthorized liquidations, exposing vulnerabilities in DeFi protocols regarding oracle security. Term Finance responded quickly, internally recovering about 400,000 USD and negotiating to recover 600,000 USD, but approximately 650,000 USD in losses remain unrecoverable. The company emphasized that this was not due to a hack or contract vulnerability, but rather a technical configuration error, and is currently optimizing its oracle integration process.

Positive news for LINK
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A potential victim, amounting to 3520 BTC (330.7 million USD) theft address bc1qcrypchnrdx87jnal5e5m849fw460t4gk7vz55g. These funds began to be laundered through more than 6 instant exchanges and converted to XMR, causing the XMR price to surge by 50%. This seems to be the VIXY CALL of the Monero cryptocurrency circle...
A potential victim, amounting to 3520 BTC (330.7 million USD) theft address bc1qcrypchnrdx87jnal5e5m849fw460t4gk7vz55g. These funds began to be laundered through more than 6 instant exchanges and converted to XMR, causing the XMR price to surge by 50%.

This seems to be the VIXY CALL of the Monero cryptocurrency circle...
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Bearish
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ETH exchange rate that can't drop any further
ETH exchange rate that can't drop any further
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BNB has recently been fluctuating very little, and those who regret not getting in can consider directly forming an LP, which can earn an annualized return of 40. Although it can be easily breached, buy low to receive goods, and sell high to earn a small profit.
BNB has recently been fluctuating very little, and those who regret not getting in can consider directly forming an LP, which can earn an annualized return of 40. Although it can be easily breached, buy low to receive goods, and sell high to earn a small profit.
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$BMT Double bottom rebound explosion waited for more than a week The market corrected before it surged up Peak point around 80%+ (woke up late this morning, dropped after exercise) Currently, violent correction still has about 54% floating profit remaining Planned trades: 1. Sell point: if it can't rise on the left-side rebound, sell OR if it breaks down, sell 2. Buy point: if it drops to the bottom support OR breaks through on the right side Did not catch the strongest wave But this is also good
$BMT
Double bottom rebound explosion waited for more than a week
The market corrected before it surged up

Peak point around 80%+ (woke up late this morning, dropped after exercise)
Currently, violent correction still has about 54% floating profit remaining
Planned trades:
1. Sell point: if it can't rise on the left-side rebound, sell OR if it breaks down, sell
2. Buy point: if it drops to the bottom support OR breaks through on the right side

Did not catch the strongest wave
But this is also good
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The Business Secrets of the Understanding King
The Business Secrets of the Understanding King
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Retail investors often focus on the returns of risky assets themselves, while ignoring their inherent volatility. For example, is a person who owns a house worth 10 million yuan more comfortable than a person with 10 million yuan in cash? Five years ago, many people would have thought the former was acceptable, but now everyone has been thoroughly educated by the market, realizing that real estate not only has significant volatility and potential drawdowns but may also lack liquidity and cannot be easily liquidated, not to mention that it cannot generate returns relative to cash (the mortgage interest rate can be considered as a relatively low-risk return for small funds, about 3.8%, what rental income can outperform that? The risk-free return for large funds can only refer to large time deposits and other fixed-term products).
Retail investors often focus on the returns of risky assets themselves, while ignoring their inherent volatility. For example, is a person who owns a house worth 10 million yuan more comfortable than a person with 10 million yuan in cash? Five years ago, many people would have thought the former was acceptable, but now everyone has been thoroughly educated by the market, realizing that real estate not only has significant volatility and potential drawdowns but may also lack liquidity and cannot be easily liquidated, not to mention that it cannot generate returns relative to cash (the mortgage interest rate can be considered as a relatively low-risk return for small funds, about 3.8%, what rental income can outperform that? The risk-free return for large funds can only refer to large time deposits and other fixed-term products).
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This week, #ETH ETF has shown some recovery! The total net inflow for the week is $205 million, with a total increase of 88,400 ETH. The current ETH price hovers around $1800, DOVL volatility index is 69, ETH/BTC exchange rate is 0.019.
This week, #ETH ETF has shown some recovery! The total net inflow for the week is $205 million, with a total increase of 88,400 ETH. The current ETH price hovers around $1800, DOVL volatility index is 69, ETH/BTC exchange rate is 0.019.
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Options Data Interpretation: The overall market has a mild bullish outlook ETH is still dominated by fear in the short term····· Whoever buys is a HERO
Options Data Interpretation:
The overall market has a mild bullish outlook
ETH is still dominated by fear in the short term·····
Whoever buys is a HERO
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In the short term, the stock market is mostly in a random state. If you want to predict short-term movements constantly and then trade accordingly, it is a very dangerous gamble; long-term betting will inevitably lead to losses. However, the short term is not 100% random. In a few extreme cases, it is possible to predict with a high probability. Therefore, in investing, it is better to do less or nothing in the short term. Occasionally, if an opportunity arises, you can take a chance, but the main focus should still be on heavily betting on long-term certainty. One should not lose sight of the main goal.
In the short term, the stock market is mostly in a random state. If you want to predict short-term movements constantly and then trade accordingly, it is a very dangerous gamble; long-term betting will inevitably lead to losses.

However, the short term is not 100% random. In a few extreme cases, it is possible to predict with a high probability.

Therefore, in investing, it is better to do less or nothing in the short term. Occasionally, if an opportunity arises, you can take a chance, but the main focus should still be on heavily betting on long-term certainty. One should not lose sight of the main goal.
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