Because TSLA is about to release its financial report, in the previous 24th year Q4 financial report, Tesla's earnings per share increased by 30% thanks to BTC. Now that the financial report is coming out, it will definitely look bad, estimated earnings per share of 0.2-0.3. In this situation, it is necessary to pump BTC to minimize the losses caused by Tesla's holdings of BTC. Last time, TSLA held 10,000 BTC.
So this pump will definitely end after TSLA releases its financial report, and then it will quickly drop!
BTC is not gold, BTC is far inferior to gold, the on-chain operating maintenance cost of BTC is much higher than that of gold! Don't treat BTC as a safe-haven asset like gold, as this implies that the highly leveraged profit opportunity next week is to short BTC and TSLA!
Only by falling to 3000 can it compare to Hoover; now it must reach 10000 to match the 2008 subprime crisis, otherwise it's just small skirmishes
作手梁老师Meta
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The US stock market is completely ruined. I thought the weekly chart could rebound and form a double top, but it's still too weak and really can't be saved. Just wait to see the global economic crisis. Trump = Hoover, there's nothing much to say.
Why many people supplemented at 3100 is because a group of KOLs were barking in the square, and those who didn't understand just jumped in. Now at 1400-1600, there are dogs barking again. Excluding the noise, without setting a bottom, just follow Trump's policy and it will be fine.
姓赵不宣
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Buying ETH at 1400 is not that I don't want to
But you are stuck at 3100+ and you added at 2000
Your cost is around 2500, you really have no money to buy
Even if interest rates are cut, going all in might still be a disaster. The current situation is that interest rate cuts are not key; the underlying contradiction of raising tariffs is that there is no demand worldwide, which is the most terrifying part. Without demand, no matter how much you cut interest rates and produce, you won't be able to sell anything! In this situation, it's like the story of 1929, when interest rates were cut drastically, but it was useless; the decline continued!
Zz帽子哥
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The market has almost completely priced in a rate cut to 6.19 with 76,259,428,245. There are still two full months left, so how will the market move? Typically, hot money starts to position itself a month before a rate cut, leading to a fluctuating upward market.
Currently, the market is overly focused on Powell's speech to understand how many rate cuts there will be in 2025. If there are only 2 cuts, then after the cut in June, it is estimated that it would take another three to four months before the next cut, meaning that after the June cut, we might have to escape the peak.
If there are more than 3 rate cuts, it likely means that the risk of economic recession has surpassed the importance of controlling inflation; at this point, the US stock market might fall into the awkward situation of a rate-cut bear market, which would also drag down Bitcoin. Therefore, the market movement resulting from the June rate cut is basically just a slightly larger rebound from a bear market decline; if the momentum is strong, it could reach 92k-96k, but if the momentum is weak, it would probably just hover around 90k.
Selling at 90K-100k has been ongoing for three months, and there are simply too many trapped positions, creating too much pressure. The largest player (not MicroStrategy) has already sold off their holdings in this range, so shorting in this range has a very high cost-performance ratio.
Looking down, MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holding cost is 67k, which will definitely serve as an important support level and can be used as a basis for right-side bottom fishing.
In the current environment, gold is truly a win-win; I am still very optimistic about gold. Economic recession, inflation, rate cuts, trade wars for safe havens, US debt being sold off, and dollar depreciation are all bullish arguments for gold. Only when investors take profits can a pullback occur; otherwise, it’s a no-brainer to buy the dip in gold.
In summary, my operational advice is to accumulate enough BTC and SOL below 80k in the next month, and remember to buy the dip. Numerous practices have proven that buying during a crash won't leave you trapped for more than 24 hours. Only by bottom fishing and shorting at highs can one encounter significant market movements. In the end, those who hold on will generally win, while those who chase shorts and long positions usually lose money.
A short-term trend change is imminent, and I am optimistic about a downward move. The three shorting points are 86100, 87200, and 88000, and a strong liquidation to 200k is not a problem.
Cleared out, all long positions in US stocks have also been cleared out, entering a mode of shorting on rallies. Optimistic investors will not leave; after a sharp decline in all asset prices in the next one to two years, there will be a slow and weak rebound until energy is exhausted and finally bottoms out.
The impact of high tariffs has just begun, and the focus to consider is no longer making money but rather personal safety issues. Think about which area within your capabilities is most likely to survive a nuclear war that may break out in the next 20 years.
Donald Trump has officially announced that Joe Biden's pardon is void, claiming that the pardon was signed with an automatic pen and is therefore invalid.
So Hunter Biden, the entire Biden family, Fauci, Milley, and the members of the January 6th committee may now face prosecution and arrest.
Countdown to a major upheaval in American politics, prepare for the storm!
The ETF for ETH has been approved for quite some time, but institutional bullishness hasn't picked up, and a very important reason for this is that ETH can be staked for mining, with an annual yield of 2%. As long as one is not too foolish, buying spot and staking it is clearly a better choice. If the ETF that allows staking gets approved later, it will likely stimulate the coin price in the short term, at least around 4000 to 5000. $ETH
Now that the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates, the market doesn't necessarily follow, the bond market is going to collapse, and the stock market is even less secure. With such high valuations, what’s the use of cutting rates, unless everyone is given $10,000 for free?
加密贝姐
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Is the recent decline in the U.S. stock market really the outcome that Trump wants?
For Trump, the most important thing is to pressure the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, and currently, there is only one thing that can fulfill this wish: the U.S. stock market must decline. Since he took office, what has been his most important goal? The Federal Reserve needs to lower interest rates!
He needs a low-interest-rate environment to drive more people to invest and finance, and he also needs to issue U.S. debt. If the Federal Reserve maintains relatively high interest rates, it means the U.S. dollar index will continue to strengthen, which is very unfavorable for the return of manufacturing.
So why doesn’t the Federal Reserve lower interest rates? The Federal Reserve believes that the U.S. economy is doing too well to lower rates; the economy might overheat, and indicators like the CPI are not fully under control yet.
Therefore, Trump wants to lower interest rates, but the Federal Reserve is unwilling to do so. So what can Trump do? He can only find ways to artificially induce an economic recession. What’s somewhat awkward in the structure of the U.S. economy? Consumption accounts for 80% of the entire economic structure, and 64% of American households' assets are in the stock market! Do you understand?
What kind of decline would directly affect consumption? Yes, the U.S. stock market! Just like when Chinese real estate retracts, domestic consumption suffers because people lose confidence in the future. The same goes for the U.S.; as long as the stock market drops further, you will find that U.S. consumption will be greatly affected, the CPI will drop, and the Federal Reserve will have the space to lower interest rates.
Therefore, for Trump, there is really only one outcome he hopes to achieve: the decline of the U.S. stock market. So when you see him in interviews, he doesn’t say that our perspective in China is about long-term plans? His statement clearly indicates that to make America stronger, some short-term costs are indeed necessary.
As for the upcoming decline of the U.S. stock market, whether it can truly push the Federal Reserve to implement interest rate cuts and monetary easing, we will wait and see.
How can there be no vested interests? You keep singing praises here, making others FOMO and buy BNB at a high price. If you lose, it’s your own fault. You've been spreading FOMO sentiment in the square, encouraging others to buy at high prices. Binance's software is getting less user-friendly; if the square can't block it, you can just pull it down right under the price data and see it, which is deliberately provoking emotional trading. Who doesn’t hate you? Anyone who doesn’t is really out of their mind.
And then you screenshot and show others your ridiculous behavior, coming here to self-expose after losing too much and having a mental breakdown?
汪
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Bullish
#美股大跌 $BNB There really is no way to deal with such morally corrupt and low-quality scum who distort the facts and are blind. First What story did I write in my real account that brainwashed anyone? Countless people have asked me, and I always say I do not recommend holding contracts against mainstream spot. Second If you hold BNB spot and lose heavily? During this time, I mined and came back with some earnings. Yes, it has dropped quite a bit, but the entire market has collapsed. May I ask, how many coins have lost less, been more stable, and can withstand bull and bear markets better than holding BNB? Do you mean that the only correct approach is to be in cash or short when the market is falling? Is your brain functioning properly? Do I need to explain this logic to you? Third What does it mean to add funds to avoid liquidation? There are daily records of my positions. I use BNB for margin. I usually do not put my coins into financial products to earn from mining; I keep them in contracts?? Is there something wrong with your head or with mine?? Fourth What does it mean for a large account to use money earned from off-exchange trading to make up for losses? I clearly stated the costs in my pinned post. Yes, it has retraced quite a bit, but there are still millions in profits. Are you saying it has turned into money earned off-exchange that is being pumped in to resist losses?
A low-quality, morally corrupt, blind scum with no logic who distorts facts. Show us your records for a year and see how impressive you really are, while you continue to pontificate.
Having a dog cling to you and bite is indeed disgusting, whether it's a dog that ignores the facts and bites randomly, it's really bad luck.
The market will not wait for interest rate cuts to take effect before rising; it will start to rise as soon as it is certain that rate cuts will begin, as seen in the story of the Silicon Valley Bank bankruptcy in 2023. Even if the U.S. economy goes into recession, U.S. stocks have already hit the bottom, and at most they will only drop another 20% to 14,000.