阿康来分析

Mindset is the most important
In trading, there will be losses. Losses are not a big deal; as long as you summarize and learn from the losses, you will emerge from them and achieve a higher understanding. This is often referred to as the idea that sometimes a loss can also be a gain. However, most of us overlook this concept and often cannot extricate ourselves from the pain of loss. We should learn to uplift our spirits in times of loss, not only summarizing our experiences and lessons, which will lead us to a higher dimension of trading.
Trading can only lead to insights after experiencing failure repeatedly. Do not expect to achieve success in a very short time. First, prepare yourself for long-term survival in the market, and then think about how to make a profit. Only by surviving can there be hope for stable profits.
Be humble in victory, and do not complain in defeat.
Only those who do practical work deserve respect.

The customer's word of mouth is the best advertisement! #BTC

4.29 Midday Analysis
Currently fluctuating around 948, the market is expected to continue this range in the short term. Please adjust flexibly according to market trends based on the morning analysis.
From a technical perspective, the overall trend remains one of fluctuation, with small volatility.
KDJ shows weak short-term momentum, with a rebound expected in the near term. The three lines indicate that the bullish strength is attempting to recover, but the intensity is limited. Closely monitor other indicators and make real-time adjustments; at this point, we focus on rebounds.
Rebound around 960-955 for positions.
Target around the 943-936 line.
Rebound around 1835-1815 for positions.
Target around the 1775-1745 line. #BTC

Evening Kongdan thought verification successful, the big cake has moved out of 1500 points of the Kong, Aunt 50 points #BTC

Evening thoughts on April 28

Currently, the price is at a relatively high level. After previously reaching a high, there have been multiple instances of pullbacks, which clearly indicates strong selling pressure above. Bulls are facing significant resistance in their attempts to push the price higher. Observing the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart, the opening shows signs of contraction. After touching the upper band, the price has failed to sustain upward expansion and is instead oscillating within the middle to upper band range. The contraction of the Bollinger Bands suggests that price fluctuations are likely to converge, and considering the current price position, the possibility of a downward adjustment in the future is very high. Switching to the 4-hour candlestick chart, Bitcoin's price shows a clear oscillation pattern, with continuously lower highs and also testing lower lows. This pattern fully demonstrates that the bulls are gradually losing dominance, while bears are starting to exert pressure on the price, maintaining a bearish outlook for the evening.

Bitcoin: Short around 95,800, targeting 93,000
Ethereum: Short around 1,840, targeting 175,070,855,697,258

The trend is completely not following technical analysis, with not even a slight pullback. A super exaggerated series of consecutive bullish candles has formed a V-shape. What's even more outrageous is that important news hasn't been released yet! Normal people would think either institutions are cashing in on the good news in advance and manipulating the market, or a significant drop is brewing, right? Currently, from a technical perspective, Bitcoin is severely overbought, and a pullback is highly likely while the evening's high consolidation strategy remains unchanged. #BTC

币圈交易的心态修炼

资深币圈交易者需以理性驾驭市场波动。面对行情涨跌，忌追涨杀跌，应保持冷静客观，避免情绪干扰决策；持仓时不患得患失，按既定策略执行，既不盲目贪婪亦不惧错失机会；正视交易中的亏损，将其视为经验积累，及时复盘调整，以平和心态持续优化交易体系，方能在高风险的币圈行稳致远。#BTC

Bitcoin Ether Midday Market Analysis 4.28
Recently, Bitcoin's price has been oscillating at a high level, forming multiple doji and small bearish candles. The current MACD is in the negative zone, with both the fast and slow lines continuously descending, indicating a short-term pullback pressure. The RSI value is close to the neutral level but slightly below 50, showing a weakening momentum. The EMA7 and EMA30 have crossed downward, indicating a weakening short-term trend. Ether is following Bitcoin with a synchronous pullback. For the day, it is recommended to enter long positions at high levels: Bitcoin around 94500 to 95000, with a target near 92500; Ether around 1800 to 1830, with a target near 1750. Market conditions are constantly changing, and the article is time-sensitive. Friends entering the market should primarily follow real-time guidance.
#BTC

The current big pie seems to be in a retracement state, but in fact, it is most likely a trap strategy carefully laid out by the main force. Based on a comprehensive analysis of market dynamics and technical indicators, the subsequent trend will still focus on going long at low levels as the main operational strategy.
Big pie: Buy in the 935-940 range, target 950, 960, protect 930#BTC

币圈生存铁律：戒骄戒躁，稳字为王！

在币圈的战场上，情绪就是最大的“空头”。无数人在暴富与爆仓的极端拉扯中迷失方向，却忽略了真正的生存法则——心态稳如磐石，方能笑到最后。

一、警惕“胜利陷阱”，拒绝盲目自信

别因一单盈利就自诩“链神”，市场瞬息万变，一次成功可能只是运气使然。过度自信会蒙蔽理性判断，让你在毫无防备时遭遇滑铁卢。

二、爆单≠终点，切忌冲动离场

单次爆仓或爆赚都不是终点，有人因一次爆仓慌忙清仓、铩羽而归，错失后续行情；也有人因爆赚忘乎所以，最终将利润悉数回吐。这种极端反应，都是被情绪支配的结果。

三、职业玩家的“冷钱包心态”

真正的高手，面对行情涨跌始终心如止水。市场上涨时，不被贪婪裹挟盲目追高；遭遇爆仓时，也能迅速冷静复盘，而非被恐惧驱使做出错误决策。因为他们深知：情绪失控的瞬间，就是市场收割的开始。

记住：在币圈，“稳”才是王道。戒掉急躁与膨胀，用理性对抗波动，才能在这场高风险博弈中，守住本金、赢取未来！#BTC

Evening Thoughts on April 25

From the current perspective, since the market broke through the 90,000 barrier, it has been oscillating at a high level in a tug-of-war style, fluctuating back and forth in the 91,000-95,000 range. Ethereum's space is slightly smaller, but it is also moving in a winding and repetitive manner within the 1,700-1,850 range. Overall, we are presented with a broad oscillating tug-of-war pattern, with a large fluctuation basis. Today is Friday, and we focus our attention on this evening, paying attention to the gains and losses at the upper and lower points of the range. At that time, this range will be broken. For a breakthrough, we only need to look for continuation in that direction; if we cannot achieve an effective breakthrough, the current operation only needs to short at the high and long at the low within the range. If we manage our entry points well, both long and short positions have good space, preventing the occurrence of shorting at low points and longing at high points. This way, we can remain in an undefeated position.

Operation Suggestions
You can short Bitcoin at 94,500 with a target of 92,000.
You can short Ethereum at 1,820 with a target of 1,730#BTC .

4.25 Afternoon Thoughts
From the current market perspective, the daily line shows a small bearish candle retreating and correcting after a high-level local adjustment. Looking at yesterday's consolidation, there has been no further decline. Pay attention to the strength conversion of the daily K-line closing. On the 4-hour chart, the low point of 92000 serves as the lower support. We are currently in the process of confirming the second retreat low, which will involve fluctuations during the confirmation process. The volatility is significant, and the second confirmation of the high point should be determined in conjunction with the patterns. Additionally, the middle track of the Bollinger Bands is about to cross, and on the hourly chart, we are currently in a three-wave structure. In the short term, we can still maintain a retreat to take long positions.

Operational Suggestions:
For Bitcoin, range of 92000-92500, target around 94000.
For Ethereum, range of 1720-1740, target around 1800. #BTC

Lunch Thoughts on April 24
After a recent series of consecutive daily rises, the daily structure is currently at a point of contention between bulls and bears, indicating that both sides have opportunities in the short term. It depends on how you grasp this range. The current pullback is also within a normal correction range; a single wave of pullback is not enough to change the trend structure, but it will present certain short-selling opportunities. However, the short-term structure still leans towards a strong continuation trend. Although it has dropped, the lows have already halted in the short term, and in the situation where the decline has stopped, there is still a possibility of further declines in the short-term rebound. After a four-hour downtrend, there has also been a slight rebound, and the current rise has recaptured some lost ground. The four-hour bull-waterline is still near the mid-band, and the price drop has not broken through the mid-band, which gives us a reason to continue being bullish. The bearish energy cannot be said to be absent, but comparatively, it is insufficient to change the overall market trend. Currently, various moving average indicators have also reversed direction towards the bulls.

During lunch, Bitcoin is directly bullish around 92000-92500, initially targeting 94500.
Ethereum is directly bullish around 1750, initially targeting 1830#BTC .

In the end, the understanding king compromised. If he had lowered tariffs earlier, the big pie would have reached 100,000. Why insist on doing these tricks? Isn't it better to be a good president? #BTC

Human nature is unwilling to accept losses, which is why there is resistance to the pill, and thus the explosion of the worm!
Yesterday, our small pill, I can only say it is worth ten thousand taels! Don't say you regret not entering, that is a typical case of hindsight, and what the cryptocurrency world lacks the most is hindsight!
The morning thought has been sent out! Those who have time to make pills can directly follow the thought to enter the market, and remember to return the chart upon entry! #BTC

4.23
Wednesday Morning Thought Analysis
This big wave of market movement has been perfectly missed, I can only say it is not meant to be for me. However, the good thing is that the short position on Bitcoin yesterday had strict stop-losses, which were executed quickly. I can only say I'm quite lucky, not losing much.
Currently, the trend of Bitcoin appears to be running along the upper Bollinger Band, with no room for any pullback. The upper resistance level has been repeatedly broken, peaking around the 93800 points line. This has directly scared the bears.
However, at this point, it is clear that there will be another wave of upward movement, but it is also not advisable to chase the highs anymore, as the returns from chasing highs are not significant. Therefore, the morning thought for today is still mainly focused on short positions. We can only continue to look bearish, but we will also be patient and wait to enter the market again.
Morning Operation Suggestions
Short Bitcoin between 93200 and 94000, targeting 90000. After breaking through, continue to look down to #BTC .

Midday analysis verification successful! Successfully secured 50 points Auntie! #BTC

Market trends on April 22. The price of Bitcoin has broken through 88850. The low long position in Silk Road is very clear, and a pullback is just a touch. The target is above 90,000. The weekly rebound has started, and the expected strength will reach 920 or above.
Subsequent touch around 870, look for 885/890
For the second Bitcoin, touch around 1570, look for 1610/1630.

4.21 Monday Evening Analysis
Today's Bitcoin trend shows a state of fluctuating upwards followed by trend fluctuations, currently oscillating around the middle track. It has been fluctuating near the 874 line. The recent momentum bars have shifted from green to red, indicating a weakening of the upward trend. In the short term, it may continue to experience downward adjustments. Personally, I believe that after the news is digested, it will definitely decline.
For a rebound near 885-878, the target is around the 850 line.
For a rebound near 1670-1645, the target is around the 1600 line.

Morning thought verification successful! #BTC