#ETH The chart presents a repeating sequence of 27 days and 20 hours. Between these sequences, there is a transition area of 1 day and 12 hours. The first 27 days and 20 hours area is the last declining area, followed by two ascending areas, each exceeding the previous one. Both ascending areas form bullish divergence in their latter halves. We are currently in the transition area, and according to this pattern, we should enter another ascending area within the next 12 hours. This could indicate the beginning of the altcoin season.
💡From now until at least the end of June, Bitcoin's dominance could decline at any time, which may take 18-20 days, provided that the #TOTAL3 proposed a few days ago and the M2 money supply model are correct. Please see the red arrow - a comparison with M2 conditions similar to Q4 2024.
The narrative of this chart is linked to the first point of the altcoin season X theme, focusing on the second half of 2024, particularly the altcoin season in the fourth quarter. Observations? With a 68-day offset in global M2 money supply, the dominance of other currencies began with a surge and then fell below the starting point in November due to uncertainty from the US elections. It then rebounded significantly with a 34-day surge, ending with a spike in global market liquidity. This period of over 90 days aligns perfectly with the global M2 money supply. Now, stimulated by Trump's tariff news with China, the cryptocurrency market has turned around from its downward trend from April 7 to 9. The dominance of other currencies seems to have stabilized, but it closed below the starting point yesterday, precisely tracking the downward line of September 2024. With the same 68-day offset, M2 started to surge 10 days early, which is correct. Skeptics should check point 2 of the posts regarding TOTAL3 and M2 money supply for more details. The dominance of other currencies is currently at its lowest level since 2021. But as the chart shows, with M2 injections set to intensify in the coming days, we may see a repetition of the trends from November to December 2024 over the next 34 days, and possibly even stronger. #山寨币热点 #M2
We compare the "Dominance of Other Coins" (top) with "Other Coins" (bottom, pink) on the weekly chart. We observe that the "Dominance of Other Coins" first experienced a continuous decline for 512 days, corresponding to a bear market, followed by a 203-day rise in altcoins. Subsequently, the "Dominance of Other Coins" entered another 512-day downtrend, showing a relatively stagnant state on the pink chart of "Other Coins". A yellow horizontal line marks the level of the "Dominance of Other Coins" that was the same as two years ago (exactly two years ago) in June 2023, when the market shifted to support "Other Coins". There is a clear bullish divergence on the chart both then and now. While other models predict a strong rise in the short term, this model predicts the onset of an "Altcoin Season," with a continued rise that may last until mid-December 2025 and could extend into January 2026.
In the past five weeks, the 4-hour chart of Dogecoin #DOGE has shown this pattern twice again. Each time, it was accompanied by increasingly strong rises.
In the autumn of 2024, TOTAL3 took 50 days to enter parabolic motion by the end of the year, counting from the moment the global M2 money supply began to increase (see purple arrow). Currently, the rise in global M2 money supply has lasted for 46 days. If the autumn scenario accurately reproduces, TOTAL3 may enter parabolic motion within the next 4 days. However, there could also be a delay of up to 10 days, corresponding to the anticipated starting range before the M2 began to rise in the autumn. The only reasonable explanation for this delay is that it takes exactly 3 months from the start of the increase to reach the peak, although no other reasons are currently known. According to this pattern, the parabolic rise should last about 30 days and reach the upper boundary of the trend channel around the end of June or beginning of July 2025. #山寨币热点
#BNB (the yellow part in the chart) is closely related to the global M2 money supply (the blue part). If BNB follows the trend of M2 like it did in the past two growth cycles, then the model predicting a peak between June 3 and June 5 may fail. In other words, the price of BNB could continue to rise, at least until mid-July.