Analysis from ds on whether the Bitcoin bull market is still ongoing
From deepseek. As of February 18, 2025, whether the Bitcoin bull market continues needs to be analyzed in conjunction with current market dynamics and external conditions. Here are the key information points:
### 1. **Technical Support and Market Sentiment** - **200-Week Moving Average Trend**: Bitcoin's 200-week simple moving average (SMA) currently stands at $44,200, well below the current price range ($96,000 to $110,000). Historical patterns show that bull markets typically end after breaking the previous cycle's high before the 200-week moving average (for example, the 2021 bull market ended when the average reached the 2017 high of $19,000), while the current average remains in an upward trend and has yet to touch the previous peak of $69,000, indicating continued bullish potential.
#MicroStrategy增持BTC You know there are great benefits in January, everyone knows that. But why is it still falling now? Because everyone wants to buy it cheaper, holding cash and waiting for a downward spike, everyone wants to buy at the lowest point! So let's see whose timing is good 😆
#USUAL持续飙升 At 4 pm on December 20, 2024, the price of usual hit a high of $1.63 per coin, and is currently consolidating around $1.5. Current fundamentals: ①TVL continues to increase in volume and has reached $1.3 billion. Mint continues to refresh the screen. The rapid increase of TVL means that the project has been recognized by more people or institutions, and holding usual or usd0++ can get more benefits. ②The amount of pledged on the chain has reached 68 million, accounting for 14% of the circulation, and is still increasing rapidly. ③There was an oolong incident at noon, and hackers lied about military intelligence, and major media rushed to report it. Everything has two sides. Although it was an oolong, it also increased the popularity of the project and attracted more people's attention. I personally think that the short-term popularity continues, and there is still room above. Be cautious about shorting and stop profits in batches.
#USUAL起飞 In the past 24 hours, TVL has made great progress, increasing by more than 200 million US dollars, and the price of the currency has also been greatly improved. Let me talk about why the price of the currency has been rising steadily. The following is my personal opinion. ① The quality of the project itself is the foundation, no VC, deflation model, profit-sharing community, involving stablecoins and RWA, the hottest concepts at the moment, etc. ② The official website opened the usual pledge mining. Because Binance failed to open the withdrawal in time, it was difficult to find a coin outside, and even a premium of 10% was used to buy coins on the chain. Of course, the return of the first mine is also huge, up to 60% of the daily turnover. It is expected that after Binance opens the withdrawal at 7 o'clock tonight, Apy will have a large decline, and the unique pledge method of usual, if you want to participate, you must understand it clearly before taking action. ③ The project party's commercial operation is quite active, which is the key to whether the project can grow into a towering tree. ④ The month-long pre-market trading and huge increase have attracted enough attention in the secondary market, earned enough popularity, and unprecedented heat. In the cryptocurrency world, where there is heat, there are opportunities. If nothing unexpected happens, there will be a withdrawal campaign for the usual on the Binance platform tonight, and a large amount of usual will be pledged. The current price has reached 1.25. I personally think this is just the starting point, but the short-term fluctuations are large, so don't fomo. Hold the currency and give it some time. I believe there will be unexpected gains.
#USUAL起飞 's usual performance today is quite remarkable. The reason for the sky-high spike should be attributed to the cash-out from airdrops. Today's TVL has risen significantly, and the next target is 1 billion USD. It seems that the price has returned to the closing price, but you should know that the current circulation is more than 100 million coins higher than before the close. If it isn't strong enough, this might just crash down to the table. Today's capital has also flowed in significantly, which has supported the airdrop sell-off. The market outlook remains optimistic; for good projects, just be a bit more patient and give them some time!
December 16, 2024. Today the market is doing well, 0.7 has established a base. Tomorrow the official opening begins, short-term price fluctuations are severe, but the long-term outlook is bullish! TVL has increased compared to yesterday, reaching 1 billion by the end of the month is not a big issue, keep it up 😊
#USUAL🔥🔥🔥 Record: December 15, 2024, 4 PM, tvl has slowly increased over the past 24 hours, likely due to the weekend; last weekend also saw slow growth.
Time: December 14, 2024, 4 PM. The TVL has slightly increased over the past 24 hours, but the growth rate has slowed down. 1 billion dollars is still a significant milestone! The usual price has found effective support at 0.55 and has rebounded significantly. Before the official trading opens, I think it might test 0.55 again, but the possibility of breaking below it is low, as there is sufficient turnover at this point. If it breaks below 0.55 and enters the 0.45-0.5 range, it will be time to go all in. As for breaking below 0.4 and entering a price starting with 3 again, that is unlikely unless the project runs away. Given the current size of this project, returning to 0.3 would be like giving away money. Be bold, get out early ᶘ ᵒᴥᵒᶅ
#usual 12 December 13th, 7:30 PM Today continues the bloodbath in the market, with a noticeable decline in trading volume; everyone should treat this cautiously. The official opening date has been set, and the next step is to keep the base position unchanged, selling high and buying low, and making some swings. Here are my personal views: Usual has recently been greatly affected by emotional fluctuations, but a consecutive fourfold increase followed by a correction is also normal. It's just that the correction came a bit late; the more boxes traveled along the way and the more fully the turnover occurs, the higher it can go. Looking at the price of Usual recently, the price of 1 U is still quite light, and how high it can go in the future depends on the development of TVL and whether the development team is strong enough. Understanding Usual's operational team's professionalism is still okay, but whether their specific business operational ability can match that of Ethena remains to be verified. In the past 24 hours, the growth rate of TVL has slightly slowed down, but overall, it has made another step closer to the first billion dollars, keep it up! Opportunities always arise during declines; let's see how everyone seizes them, wishing you prosperity ૮₍◜ෆ◝.₎ა
On December 12th at 4 PM, the TVL steadily increased, and it is expected to break 1 billion USD by the end of the month. Yesterday, the sentiment was overly FOMO, and in the evening, Binance took another step back, like red-hot iron placed in ice water. However, as the saying goes, a loss may turn into a gain; cooling off the situation will make the trend healthier and solidify the foundation. If you don't want to become a bloody chip and blindly chase rising prices or panic sell, you only need to spend a little time to deeply understand your investment target instead of mindlessly FOMOing. Of course, any degree of taking profits and cutting losses is the correct action. Let the bullet fly for a while, and we will know whether the king will survive or perish!
#USUAL🔥🔥🔥 It is now December 11th at 4 PM. In the past 24 hours, the usual TVL has continued to maintain a growth rate around 50 million USD, which is commendable. However, we must always be vigilant about the risks hidden behind the glamour. ① On December 12th, Usual is about to unlock 300 million tokens, which is basically equivalent to doubling the circulating market value. However, the airdropped Usual cannot flow into exchanges for now; we need to wait until official trading starts before we can withdraw tokens! ② After the airdrop tomorrow, the Usual official website should open up Usual staking. Anyone who stakes Usual will receive 10% of the newly generated tokens. For example: If a total of 10 Usual are staked in the USUL pool, and you have 2 of them, when someone stakes USD 0 and the system generates the corresponding Usual, if 5 new Usual are produced, you will receive 1 token. I believe this will consume a considerable amount of the airdrop! ③ The generation of Usual has a deflationary nature, similar to BTC. For example: If the current TVL is 1 billion USD, and you deposit 100 million USD, the system gives you 10 million tokens. When the TVL reaches 10 billion USD, if you deposit another 100 million USD, you may only get 1 million Usual. That's all for now; I will share more insights as I learn. Let's all earn together!
In the 48 hours since #USUAL🔥🔥🔥 arrived, usual has performed well in the cryptocurrency market on Binance. I can't say it's number one, but at least it must be number two. All of this depends on a good community atmosphere and the strong capabilities of the project itself! The rapid growth of TVL and the solid underlying assets both highlight the enormous potential of usual! However, it is important to note that when usual officially launches, the opening price ≠ the closing price of pre-market trading. Binance announced that the opening price will consider market enthusiasm. Although everyone is optimistic about usual, some things still need to be kept in mind! Those lacking confidence can read the white paper more thoroughly, understand the operational mechanisms, and compare it with other types of coins in the market. The more you know, the more likely you are to hold onto the coin. I am an old veteran in the crypto circle, having experienced three bull and bear markets, and right now I'm primarily cautious! From noticing usual to gaining in-depth understanding, the coin price went from 0.35 to accumulating all the way up to 0.62. Usual has become my third-largest holding, after BTC and ETH. I believe in it; whether in an uptrend or downtrend, its future performance will not lose to ENA because it relies on its solid underlying foundation. But no matter how optimistic one is, the crypto space is full of risks; one must remain vigilant and act according to their personal risk tolerance, knowing when to advance and retreat, and never go all in! The above only represents personal opinions and should not be considered as investment advice! Finally, I wish everyone wealth freedom in the crypto space ˃̶͈ ꇴ ˂̶͈
#USUAL🔥🔥🔥 In the past 24 hours, tvl has grown significantly. For this type of coin, it is enough to look at the tvl indicator. ૮₍ɵ̷﹏ɵ̷̥̥᷅₎ა The only drawback is that it can't fall to cover the position, alas Time 5:00 pm on December 10, 2024