哈梭鸭
推特同名：哈梭鸭
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Something feels off, it seems a bit ominous. Changing the way of thinking is essential. In fact, from an overall perspective, this wave of Bitcoin is inevitable. Ethereum broke 2700, it must take some action, and it shot up with a strong bullish candle, only to remain stationary right after breaking the previous high. This kind of movement is unusual. If Bitcoin had moved up with several bullish candles in an hour, it would be more acceptable, but it indeed shot up with one big bullish candle and then got stuck in a consolidation phase, which has lasted for over ten hours now. This is too abnormal. When Bitcoin breaks a new high, the market should go wild, but it is currently too calm.
Now let's talk about Ethereum. This wave of rise is mainly driven by Ethereum, and now, after Ethereum pulled up to around 2826 around 3 PM, it fell silent and did not continue to rise. Based on Ethereum's behavior over the past few days, it should have been continuously breaking upwards. However, it has indeed closed below 2800 for five consecutive hours, and two four-hour candles also closed below 2800. The worst case is that one one-hour close needs to remain above the opening price of 2793 from the 3 PM hour or the four-hour close at 8 PM needs to stay above the previous four-hour closing price. But now, it has been five hours without any breakthrough, and the four-hour line hasn't broken either, which certainly indicates weakness. If the US stock market has even a slight negative sentiment, it will inevitably lead to disaster. Therefore, it's essential to take a gamble, turning a bicycle into a motorcycle!
Now let's talk about Ethereum. This wave of rise is mainly driven by Ethereum, and now, after Ethereum pulled up to around 2826 around 3 PM, it fell silent and did not continue to rise. Based on Ethereum's behavior over the past few days, it should have been continuously breaking upwards. However, it has indeed closed below 2800 for five consecutive hours, and two four-hour candles also closed below 2800. The worst case is that one one-hour close needs to remain above the opening price of 2793 from the 3 PM hour or the four-hour close at 8 PM needs to stay above the previous four-hour closing price. But now, it has been five hours without any breakthrough, and the four-hour line hasn't broken either, which certainly indicates weakness. If the US stock market has even a slight negative sentiment, it will inevitably lead to disaster. Therefore, it's essential to take a gamble, turning a bicycle into a motorcycle!
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Yesterday's market could be said to have reached a peak, Bitcoin fluctuated around 109,000 during the day, while Ethereum was in a strong upward trend. Until the early morning, Ethereum broke through 2,700 first, and then Bitcoin started to rise above 110,000 and surged to 112,000, breaking its historical high. It really stirred things up in the middle of the night, which was quite a significant move. Meanwhile, our three-day investment in Kong also suffered a heavy loss!
Now everyone is concerned about whether the market will continue to surge. Overall, this wave is led by Ethereum's strong performance, but the current position is quite high, and if one is not careful, they could get caught. Of course, Ethereum is definitely in the dominant position now, and the strategy should follow the trend, but if there is still a need to push upwards, it shouldn't retrace too much. Too much retracement will inevitably cause panic. Bitcoin's 110,000 was a previous strong resistance, and now it has turned into support, so one can take this position to take a gamble and see what happens, but be sure to set a stop-loss!
Now everyone is concerned about whether the market will continue to surge. Overall, this wave is led by Ethereum's strong performance, but the current position is quite high, and if one is not careful, they could get caught. Of course, Ethereum is definitely in the dominant position now, and the strategy should follow the trend, but if there is still a need to push upwards, it shouldn't retrace too much. Too much retracement will inevitably cause panic. Bitcoin's 110,000 was a previous strong resistance, and now it has turned into support, so one can take this position to take a gamble and see what happens, but be sure to set a stop-loss!
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Today is Wednesday, which means it has been three days of anxiety, and there should be significant changes now. Currently, Ethereum is causing trouble, truly strong Ethereum and weak Bitcoin. This afternoon, Ethereum broke the previous high point at around 2646. Now, the most concerning thing is this Ethereum. As long as Bitcoin does not rise above 110,000 again, it will ultimately be a risk. If Bitcoin crashes, Ethereum will inevitably fall as well. Therefore, the situation remains unchanged, and I still don't believe it!
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Yesterday, Ethereum made a surge in the early morning, breaking through our previous loss point, which is quite speechless. Bitcoin, fortunately, did not show a significant rebound; we can still collect 300 points. As for Bitcoin, as long as it doesn't rise above 110,000 again, we should hold. For Ethereum, let's look for a suitable opportunity to re-enter!
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According to Watcher Guru, U.S. national debt has reached a record high of $36.58 trillion for the first time since February.
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Not much to say, today's thought is definitely to continue to look bearish, although there hasn't been a significant drop yet, the support from the moving averages below has been broken, it's just a matter of when the pressure will be released. Right now, Ethereum is still somewhat resilient, but ultimately it is in vain. The waterfall must still come, and yesterday's market, after a small surge in the morning met resistance, has been in a state of oscillation downward, which also proves that there is significant pressure above!
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Although yesterday's market did not experience a significant decline, it has at least come down. Currently, Bitcoin is down 808 points, and Ethereum is down 10 points. Those who have kept up can continue to hold with peace of mind. The moving average support has been broken, so we will see when the momentum kicks in!
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Yesterday, Xiao Ha mentioned that since Bitcoin cannot stabilize at 110,000, there will definitely be a significant retracement afterwards. Although there was a small surge this morning, Bitcoin couldn't break 110,000, and Ethereum also didn't surpass the previous high. It was just a temporary small rebound. The weekend has been a continuous fluctuation, so there should be a pullback. The rebound strength is within a normal range, and today, the trend will definitely continue to look downwards!
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Last Thursday evening, Bitcoin failed to stabilize at 110,000, while Ethereum faced pressure around the 2636 line, leading to a pullback in the market. Currently, Bitcoin has been consolidating around 108,000 over the weekend, and Ethereum is also oscillating within a 50-point range. Given that Bitcoin has not stabilized at 110,000, it is certain that further pullbacks are needed, so the subsequent outlook is bearish!
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According to DefiLlama data, the current total market value of stablecoins across the network is 255.433 billion US dollars, with a growth of 0.73% over the past 7 days, among which the market share of UST is 62.43%, a slight decrease compared to last week. The circulation of USC has increased by 0.73% in the past week, currently reported at 61.843 billion US dollars!
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