Night demon14U

News :

China accuses the US of "abusing export control measures" after the United States warned businesses not to use Huawei's Ascend AI chips.

Beijing declares:

- The US is violating the agreement reached in the Geneva talks.
- Calls on the US to correct its mistakes.
- China warns that there will be retaliatory measures if the US continues unilateral actions.

In addition:

The US is close to passing the GENIUS Act, which imposes strict regulations on stablecoins like USDT and USDC, requiring safe asset reserves and compliance with anti-money laundering regulations.

Crypto God of Wealth

YOU SHOULD READ THIS EXPERIENCE CORNER

The time frames where "Pump-Dump" phenomena are likely to occur

1. Overlap of the US - Asia session (around 22:00 – 01:00 VN time)
• Reason: At this time, the US market is active while the Asian market is just starting to open (Japan, South Korea).
• Nature: Usually has high trading volume, likely to experience unusual strong fluctuations.

2. Overlap of the European - US session (around 19:00 – 23:00 VN time)
• Reason: This is the time when both the European and US markets are active.
• Nature: Extremely high trading volume, likely to experience fast "pump" then rapid "dump" if unexpected news arises.

3. Before and after the US announces economic data (20:00 – 21:30 VN time, depending on the day)
• Examples: CPI, FOMC, employment, Fed interest rates,…
• Nature: Prices fluctuate very strongly just before and after the announcement of the data, susceptible to price manipulation.

4. Early morning (2:00 – 5:00 AM VN time)
• Reason: The market has low liquidity, easily manipulated by "sharks".
• Nature: Quick, unexpected "pump" or "dump" events. Many stop-loss orders are triggered.

5. Weekend (especially from Friday evening to Monday morning)
• Reason: Traditional financial institutions are closed, low liquidity, retail traders dominate.
• Nature: Very likely to experience unusual fluctuations due to lack of control from big players.

Crypto Fortune

Future price predictions for Bitcoin from experts:

1. Michael Saylor – CEO of M*croStrategy
• Predicts Bitcoin will reach 1 million USD in the next 10 years and could rise to 13 million USD by 2045, with an average growth rate of 29% per year.

• He warns that the "digital gold rush" will end on January 7, 2035, advising investors to accumulate BTC before this date.

2. Anthony Scaramucci – Founder of S*yBridge Capital

• Predicts Bitcoin could reach 200,000 USD by the end of 2025, emphasizing the role of ETFs and the increase in the number of global BTC wallets from 380 million to 500 million.

3. Cathie Wood – CEO of A*k Invest

• Forecasts Bitcoin will reach 1.5 million USD in 2030 in an optimistic scenario, with a base case of 710,000 USD and a negative scenario of 300,000 USD.

4. Tom Lee – Co-founder of F*ndstrat

• Predicts Bitcoin will reach 150,000 USD in the next 12 months and could go up to 500,000 USD in 5 years, based on high demand and loose monetary policy.

5. JPMorgan

• Shifting from gold to Bitcoin, predicts BTC prices will outperform gold for the remainder of 2025.

General assessment

Experts have a positive outlook on Bitcoin in the medium and long term, with price predictions ranging from 150,000 USD to 1.5 million USD in the next 5–10 years. Supporting factors include:
• Approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
• Loose monetary policy and low-interest rates.
• Increased investment from institutions and countries.
• Positive market sentiment and supply scarcity.

Crypto Fortune

Why does the price of Bitcoin rise sharply after each halving???

1. BTC supply decreases significantly
• Each halving reduces the reward for miners by half (for example: from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC in 2024).
• This means:
• The supply of newly issued BTC each day decreases by 50%.
• From ~900 BTC/day → down to ~450 BTC/day.

→ If demand remains the same or increases while supply decreases → prices tend to rise.

2. Market expectations and psychology
• Investors know in advance that halving will occur (about every 4 years), and expect that it will trigger a price surge like previous cycles.
• This creates a psychological effect of "buy before the price rises", leading to:
• Strong accumulation before and after halving.
• FOMO (fear of missing out) when prices start to rise quickly → continues to push prices up.

3. Selling pressure from miners decreases
• Miners are the group that frequently sells BTC on the market to cover operating costs.
• When block rewards decrease:
• They hold more, only selling when prices are high.
• The amount of BTC "dumped" on the market decreases → reducing supply pressure.

4. Historical post-halving cycle

Previous halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) all led to significant price increases in the 12–18 months following.

5. Stock-to-Flow model
• This is a pricing model based on scarcity.
• Halving causes Bitcoin's (S/F) ratio to increase → theoretically increasing its value.
• Famous KOL PlanB uses this model to predict BTC could reach:
• ~$100k–$150k after the 2024 halving.
• And could rise to $1 million by the end of the decade.

✅ Conclusion:
+ Decreased supply → Increased scarcity
+ Expectation psychology and FOMO
+ Miners sell less → reduced pressure
+ Historical cycles and pricing models support price increases
=> BTC rises sharply.

Crypto God

GM Red Packet 🧧 Brothers

May 19 Market Analysis 🚀🚀🚀

Yesterday, BTC maintained consolidation with significant fluctuations during the early morning; the trend remains healthy. Pay more attention to fundamental information, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut process, and the stability situation during the day, which may continue to rise. Consider following up in batches. In the long term, the weekly golden cross has formed, and a new round of market movement is expected to start.

ETH followed BTC for a synchronized consolidation, with a significant pullback during the early morning. A divergence has been seen on the 4-hour chart. Pay attention to the stability situation during the day and consider following up in batches, with potential for a rise.

BTC maintains a healthy level on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, while the daily level has returned to a healthy state. The expectation for the day is sideways consolidation.

Intraday support 102300-101800 📈
Resistance above 104700-105300 📉

ETH maintains a healthy level on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, while the daily level has returned to a healthy state. The expectation for the day is sideways consolidation.

Intraday support 2335-2305 📈
Resistance above 2488-2518 📉