Prediction of Bitcoin Ecosystem 1. Most copycat inscriptions will die, and only ORDI, SATS, and RATS will remain as useless inscriptions (even only one or two of the three will remain) 2. Non-Bitcoin chain inscriptions will gradually disappear 3. ARC20 has been listed in Binance EUR wallet, and the next round of Bitcoin ecology will explode 4. There will be large project parties issuing assets on the Bitcoin chain, and good money will drive out bad money 5. There will be fierce competition in the next round of L2, but only two will emerge #ORDI
Recent experiences found in on-chain dog trading Pattern 🟰 Loss Good narrative 🟰 Earn and run Very good narrative 🟰 Hold for two days and then run
For BSC chain, consider projects with hundreds of thousands in market value, do not engage with three million market value, run quickly at five million market value.
For BASE chain, consider projects with millions in market value, do not engage with ten million market value, run quickly at thirty million market value.
The United States is waging trade wars everywhere and against the whole world In a trade war with its closest allies, the EU and Canada Also in a trade war with Mexico and India The trade war with China has never stopped Previously, the United States was the center of the free world, and the U.S. stock market was also the center of capital Now the United States is centered around Americans, and the U.S. stock market is centered around Americans' wallets Global capital is accelerating its outflow from the U.S. stock market This has also caused a collapse in cryptocurrency These two are the most typical Trump transactions
The current market situation is that the US stock market is dragging down the overall market Tesla dropped by 10% Nvidia dropped by 5% If the US stock market is unstable, Bitcoin will also be unstable
Whether the counterfeit season comes or not depends on whether the money comes or not, there’s no need for so much analysis or conspiracy theories. Whether the money comes depends on whether the liquidity in the U.S. is released, that is, whether interest rates are lowered or money is printed, or whether policies drive funds into cryptocurrency. Everything else is nonsense; as long as the funds reach, ETH will definitely take off.
Previously, I discussed with my brothers that asset attribute tokens will perform well in this round The classification I provided is BTC, LTC, BCH, DOGE, etc., which belong to asset attribute tokens ETH, SOL, SUI, ENA, etc., mostly belong to technology attribute tokens The cutting-edge technology in this world is no longer blockchain technology, but AI In this round, I haven't heard the phrase 'blockchain will change the world' for a while, thus transforming into financial attributes and wealth management attributes.
Trump will take office in three days The tokens held by the Trump Fund are also very simple 1.ETH 2.LINK 3.AAVE 4.ONDO 5.ENA Isn't it easy to choose one out of five?
Recently, many Bitcoin ecosystems have emerged, and I want to bet on the next hotspot. The current hotspot is AI memes. Following the trends on Twitter is likely to yield gains, and then reposting to brag about how great you are is quite boring and unlikely to lead to significant wealth. AI memes have already increased a lot; I saw some people had a thousand times return yesterday. Buying in now means you're picking up their game. What we need to do is bet on the next hotspot. The Bitcoin ecosystem has already gone through more than half a year of consolidation, and Bitcoin ecosystem projects will gradually launch in the next one to two months. No one can say with 100% certainty that they will take off; we can only say that the odds are higher for betting now. Do your best and leave the rest to fate.
Now ordi is very similar to when it was 3 dollars ordi is struggling, the brc20 chain is particularly active (it used to be sats, now it's a bunch of symbols), it had support from Binance (everyone is criticizing Binance for delisting the inscription market, but in my view, it's just internal optimization, Binance will not give up on the Bitcoin ecosystem), looking forward to the next builder supporting the Bitcoin ecosystem Blockchain is for Bitcoin, and it will finally be for Bitcoin
Predictions are that the top of this bull market will be around $200,000. There will be some adjustments after Trump takes office next year, then it will break through $150,000 in the middle of the year and $200,000 by the end of the year.
Pepe's market value is 10 billion, Shib's market value is 18 billion. Ask yourself rationally whether Pepe will exceed Shib. If the meme coin can't even double its value, why buy it?
Bitcoin breaks 100,000, altcoins urgently need a super narrative to ignite; will it be AI? It depends on whether OpenAI will release a world-shocking epic product during these twelve days of live streaming. On the first day, the full version o1 has already been released, and there are eleven days left to hold wld $WLD
Every decade or so, a new technology leader emerges in the United States Bill Gates—Steve Jobs—Elon Musk—? If AI is the next technological peak, then Sam Altman is likely the next technology leader This is one of the reasons I hold WLD long-term WLD is not an ordinary blockchain small workshop product, but one of the American startups that is changing the world.
Currently, Bitcoin's market share is around 60%. Based on past experiences of bull and bear markets, a phenomenon-level product is likely to emerge when the market share is around 60%-70%, which will dilute Bitcoin's market share, similar to previous DeFi and NFT projects on Ethereum. Will this bull market be about the Bitcoin ecosystem? Let's review the previous transitions between bull and bear markets and Bitcoin's market share.
2017 Bull Market
Bull Market (2016-2017): Bitcoin's market share sharply decreased from 80%-90% to 30%-40%. Reason: The rise of mainstream projects such as Ethereum (ETH) and the ICO (Initial Coin Offering) wave led to a surge in many altcoins.
Bear Market (2018): The altcoin bubble burst, funds flowed back to Bitcoin, and Bitcoin's market share gradually rose to 60%-70%.
2020-2021 Bull Market
Bull Market (2020-2021): Bitcoin's market share started around 70%, but with the explosion of ecosystems like DeFi and NFT, it decreased to 40%-50%. Altcoins such as BNB, SOL, ADA, and DOT rose, capturing a significant market share.
Bear Market (2022): As the market corrected, Bitcoin's market share rose back to 40%-50%. The market became more conservative, with funds flowing back to mainstream assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Current (2023-2024)
Bitcoin's market share fluctuates between 40%-60%.
In previous cycles, funds always flowed downwards BTC rose first Then to other public chains (ETH, SOL, etc.) Then to on-chain assets Then altcoins went wild This round is a bit different, VC coins are no longer favored, and it directly went to meme coins going wild
The macroeconomic environment of each market is different. This time, the market grew too fast after the ETF was approved, and there was not much incremental capital support in the market. The correction is healthy (the funds have all entered Bitcoin, and it is normal for Ethereum and altcoins to be weak). In the second half of the year or next year, the United States will start to release money, and incremental funds will enter the cryptocurrency circle, which will start a bigger bull market.