$ETH WEAKENING VOLUME: HIGHER PROBABILITY OF UPCOMING BEARISH REVERSAL!
Well at first you might laugh at me when reading this, but in terms of probability volume does not seem to be backing up this upward move entirely.
Why?
Just check the dwindling volume as compared to $ETH early April lows in the chart below: in trading and investing everything is about probability, yet this fall in volume might be anticipating a reversal to the downside and a potential bearish fakeout, so keep an eye on this in real time and do not let this overwhelming upward move fueled by institutional inflows blur your long-term perspective here!
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We’ve likely been in a re-accumulation range between ~$2,200 and ~$3,000 since Q1 2024. This range featured: • Selling Climax (SC): ~$2,100 during a major dip. • Automatic Rally (AR): Price rebounded toward ~$2,800–$2,900. • Secondary Test (ST): Back down to ~$2,200–$2,400 with diminishing volume. • Spring/Shakeout (optional): Slight fakeouts under support earlier this year. • Sign of Strength (SOS): The breakout through $3,000 confirms this.
We’re now likely in Phase D — the markup phase — where ETH begins trending upward with higher highs and higher lows.
🔍 Current Phase: Phase D – Markup • SOS (Sign of Strength): The breakout through $3,000 with high volume = textbook SOS. • LPS (Last Point of Support): May show up as a retest of $2,950–$3,000 in coming days. • Next Target Zone: If the structure plays out, ETH could test the upper range of $3,250–$3,500 soon.
🔄 Scenarios to Watch
🔁 Scenario 1: Bullish Retest • ETH dips back toward $3,000 (former resistance) • Volume decreases on the dip • Buyers step back in → continuation ✅ Classic Wyckoff LPS → SOS → Markup to $3,400+
🔻 Scenario 2: False Breakout • ETH fails to hold $3K on the retest • Heavy selling pressure kicks in • Drops back into the range → back to $2,700 or lower 🚨 Bear trap turns into bull trap — unlikely, but always watch for volume collapses
📈 Key Levels to Watch
$3,000 Must hold support (was major resistance) $3,250 Next resistance cluster $3,500–$3,600 Major breakout zone $2,950–$2,970 Ideal retest entry zone $2,700 If $3K fails — mid-range support
TL;DR
• We’re in Phase D of the Wyckoff cycle. • $3,000 = the new battleground for bulls vs. bears. • Short-term pullback? Very possible. • Bigger picture? Bullish structure remains intact unless $3K fails
#Ethereum just blasted through the $3,000 mark like it never existed — a key psychological and technical resistance that’s been acting as a major lid on price action for months. Now that $ETH has decisively broken above it (with strong volume and momentum), the natural question is: pullback or liftoff?
🔍 Zooming in: What Just Happened? • $3,000 Resistance — This level had previously acted as both a ceiling and a bear trap. ETH struggled here back in March and again in late May. • Breakout Confirmation — #ETH didn’t just poke above $3K; it closed above it with conviction, showing a classic sign of strength (SOS) in Wyckoff terms. • Volume spike — Volume accompanied the breakout, suggesting it wasn’t a fakeout. Smart money seems to be stepping in.
📉 Short-Term Pullback Risk? Yes, But… • After a breakout, it’s normal and healthy to see a retest of previous resistance — now turned support. That means #ETH could dip back toward the $2,950–$3,000 zone before the next leg up. • Indicators like RSI are leaning into overbought territory on the 4H/1D charts — another clue a breather may be due. • Watch for “throwbacks”: If #ETH retests $3K and holds it with high volume, that could be your green light for the next run.
🚀 If Bulls Stay in Control… • The next major targets sit at: • $3,250 (local swing high from earlier this year) • $3,500–$3,600 (strong cluster from April 2022) • $3,800+ if we enter full breakout mode ahead of ETF approvals or macro tailwinds.
⚠️ Final Thought:
$ETH smashing through $3K isn’t just technical — it’s psychological. It re-energizes bulls, crushes short sellers, and signals renewed confidence in the altcoin king.
A pullback? Totally possible. A trend reversal? Unlikely unless $3K fails to hold on the retest.
As always, watch the volume, the structure, and the reactions at key levels.
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ETHEREUM RE-ACCUMULATION TRADING SETUP! DON'T MISS THIS!
Analysts are calling #Ethereum recent price action a textbook Wyckoff re-accumulation—basically a mid-cycle pause where smart money is gathering up more $ETH before the next major move. We’ve seen a sequence of phases: big dip below $1,400 (selling climax), sideways chop, spring, secondary tests, and now Phase D—the “Sign of Strength.” That’s when the bulls start flexing volume and price starts to push up out of that range .
2. Sketch the Range You’re Watching
Support (bottom of range): ~$2,375–$2,450 (where the spring and tests happened) Resistance (top of range): Keep an eye on $2,700–$3,100—that’s where phase E (markup start) kicks off
So right now, #Ethereum is wedged between those levels.
3. Entry Plan
Picture this: $ETH is hanging out near the bottom of that range. That’s your spring—a faux breakdown to flush weak hands. Once it snaps back above and holds, then that’s your green light here!
Entry: Buy after ETH holds above $2,450 and flips it to support, ideally after a clean test. Stop Loss: Just under the spring level (~$2,350–$2,370). Keep it tight—don’t get sucked into another tombstone setup.
4. Targets & Risk Management
Short‑term target: Push the top of the range at $2,700. Mid‑term sail: If that breaks with solid volume, the next stop is $3,100, then maybe $4,000–$6,000 based on projections Scale out at each resistance step; lock in profits and tighten your stop as ETH moves higher.
TRADING SETUPS PLUS RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY HERE!
📈 Trading Setups
1. Watch for Sign of Strength (SOS) Breakout • A daily close above $100k with rising volume will confirm the SOS phase and likely signal a transition into markup . • Target Zone: First resistance sits between $105k–$110k, then extends to $120k+ and potentially as high as $125k in the short-term ramp-up phase .
2. Retest Entry Setup • After breakout, a pullback toward the $95k–$100k range top (former resistance) may offer a low-risk Last Point of Support (LPS) retest entry, with stop-loss just below $95k.
3. Invalidation Alert • A daily close below $95k, especially under $92k–$94k, would threaten the re‑accumulation structure and suggest distribution or potential markdown
🎯 Price Projections and Alternative Scenarios
SOS confirmed Move towards $105k–110k, then $120k–125k  Extended Upside plus Potential rally to $146k+ following Wyckoff flag breakout Failed SOS Drop to $94k–92k, possibly testing LPS support again
⸻
⚡ On‑Chain & Volume Signals • Exchange reserves have been steadily declining, indicating strong accumulation by holders . • MVRV of ~1.97 suggests moderate overvaluation but remains typical during re‑accumulation . • Volume structure confirms typical Wyckoff behavior: stronger volume on advances, softer on pullbacks, consistent with absorption .
⸻
🛠 Real‑Time Trade Setup
Entry Options • Breakout entry: Buy on daily close above $100k with increased volume. • Retest entry: Buy on bounce near $95k–$100k range if supported.
Stop‑Loss • For breakout entries: just below $95k. • For retest entries: below $94k.
Targets • First target: $105k–110k • Second target: $120k–125k • Bull extension: $146k+ if momentum flows strong
Risk Management • Avoid chasing during false breakout. Confirm volume on breakout and wait for pullback before scaling up.
Spring & Successful Test • ETH dipped below the support zone (~$2,200–$2,400) to shake out weak holders—a classic Spring—then rebounded sharply. • The prices held above ~$2,400 during the Test, confirming absorption of supply .
Last Point of Support (LPS )→ Sign of Strength (SOS) • After the bounce, ETH formed a Last Point of Support (LPS) between ~$2,400–$2,520. • Price is now attempting a Sign of Strength (SOS) breakout above the upper resistance (~$2,600–$2,650), supported by rising volume .
⸻
🎯 Key Levels & Next Moves
Phase / Signal Level (USD) Significance Spring ~$2,200 Bear trap low to flush sellers Test & LPS $2,400–$2,520 Demand confirmed after Spring SOS Breakout >$2,600–$2,650 Bull trigger—momentum confirmation Short-term Target ~$3,200 Measured breakout target    Mid‑term Potential $5k–$6k+ Extended markup projection
🔍 What to Watch 1. Breakout Confirmation – Close and hold above ~$2,600–$2,650 with strong volume—triggers Phase E (markup). 2. Pullback as Retest – A healthy retest to the range top (~$2,600) could provide a second buying opportunity. 3. Volume + On‑Chain Context – Look for declining exchange balances and rising network activity as reinforcement . 4. Risk Management – Place protective stops below the LPS zone (~$2,400). If price falls below that decisively, the structure may be invalid.
✅ Summary
ETH’s recent chart clearly aligns with a Wyckoff Re‑Accumulation: • ✅ Completed Spring → Test → LPS • 🔄 Attempting SOS breakout • 🚀 If SOS is confirmed with volume, expect a move toward $3,200, with possible extension into $5k–$10k territory in a larger cycle.
Well here's a detailed analytical view of #ETH price action illustrating a classic Wyckoff Range–Accumulation pattern with a sharp dip (“spring”) and bounce back
1. Wyckoff Re‑Accumulation Schematic
Recent technical analysis highlights a textbook Wyckoff re‑accumulation pattern on ETH’s daily/4H charts:   • $ETH has completed the “Test” phase (a bounce back upwards right after retesting spring), holding above ~$2,400–$2,450  • Such Test and lack of substantial sell-off is a healthy sign of institutional buying interest
2. Sign of Strength & Volume Confirmation
ETH’s bounce on healthy volume indicates a Sign of Strength—price is moving up smoothly after the test, suggesting supply is being absorbed. One analysis forecasts a breakout past ~$3,200, with even broader potential toward $6k+ on continued momentum
3. Potential Upside Targets • Short term: ~$3,200 – aligns with Wyckoff Schematic price objectives • Mid term: Analysts project levels between $6,000 to $8,000 based on full re‑accumulation breakout
4. Volume & On‑Chain Context • On‑chain data shows rising active addresses and strong ETF inflows, in synergy with Wyckoff structure  • Institutional momentum is building up, supported by speculative re‑accumulation setups.
5. What to Watch/Trade • Entry zone: $2,400–$2,450 area, near the Last Point of Support (LPS), • Confirmation trigger: Sustained move above $2,600–$2,650 with volume—validating the SOS. • Target zones: $3,200 first, then $4k–$6k if momentum persists.
📌 Key Takeaways
$ETH is then most likely in a re‑accumulation phase of a Wyckoff cycle. It’s passed through key spring/test phases and is showing early signs of strength. A breakout above $2,600 with volume could open the door to $3,200–$6,000 targets. Now’s a strategic zone for positioning—if such breakout confirms.
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$ETH : Eyeing an Upward Move or Just Another Fakeout?
Ethereum ($ETH ) – Trade Setup & Outlook
Current Price: $1,613.89 Intraday Range: $1,577 – $1,651
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Key Levels
- Support: $1,580 – Strong buying interest here. - Resistance: $1,650 – Needs to break for a bullish move.
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Short-Term Trade Idea:
- Long Entry:Above $1,650 with volume confirmation. - Target 1: $1,700 - Target 2: $1,750 - Stop Loss:Below $1,580
- Alternatively:Buy the dip near $1,580 with a tight stop below $1,570.
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Long-Term Outlook:
- Bullish Post-Halving: Ethereum remains a strong contender in the DeFi and smart contract space. - Upcoming Upgrades:The Pectra upgrade aims to enhance network scalability and performance, potentially boosting ETH's value.
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Technical Indicators:
- RSI:Neutral, indicating no overbought or oversold conditions. - MACD:Bullish crossover on the 4-hour chart, supporting upward momentum. - Volume:Increasing, confirming buying interest.
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Bottom Line
ETH is testing key resistance at $1,650. A breakout could lead to a move towards $1,700. Long-term prospects remain positive due to network upgrades and strong fundamentals.
Bitcoin’s hanging around **$88K**, and the market’s acting like it’s waiting for someone to make the first move. That “calm before the storm” vibe is real.
What’s the setup?
- Key resistance: ~$88.5K – We’ve tapped it a couple of times but no clean break yet. If we break it with volume, $90K is the next magnet. - Support zone: ~$84.5K – Solid demand here. If price dips into this zone again and holds, that’s a decent bounce play. - Range: ~$84.5K–88.5K – Until we break out, it’s chop city. Great for range scalping, risky for breakout trades (unless confirmed).
Short-term play idea:
- Long above $88.5K with strong volume - TP1: $90K - TP2: $92K - SL: Below $86.5K
- Or: Buy the dip at $84.5K with tight risk below $83.5K - Play the bounce back to mid-range or resistance
Long-term? Still bullish post-halving. Every dip is a potential accumulation zone—but zoom out, and don’t ape in blindly.
Indicators say:
- RSI: Mid-range—room to go either way. - MACD: Leaning bullish on 4H, but no full send yet. - Volume: Still low—watch for the surge to confirm the move.
---
Bottom Line
$BTC is range-bound between $84.5K–88.5K. Play the range or wait for a real breakout. No breakout = stay patient. Breakout = ride the wave.
Well my entry price for ARB is 0.346, do you think it's a good entry price towards this upcoming bull run? I mean, I wish I had bought at 0.2946, but who would have thought?