长安理解李
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Analysis on June 2nd Early Morning
The Bitcoin has rebounded slightly after a small cycle and is currently attempting to attack again. Tonight, pay close attention to the breakthrough situation at the 104650 level; this position is key for continuing the rebound. If it breaks through, there will be upward momentum, targeting 104800-107730. If it fails to break through, watch for support at the double lows of 103700 and 103000. If the support holds, there is still a small-scale rebound opportunity, but if it breaks down, it may further decline.
On the hourly level, attention should be given to the support at 104350. If it closes without breaking this level, the rebound structure will continue; if this level is broken, the rebound is likely to end, targeting 103720-102050.
Tonight, focus on the 2510 level. The hourly line must stabilize at this level to start the rebound, targeting 2550-2620. If it closes without stabilizing at 2510, it indicates weak rebound momentum, 👀 targeting 2465-2410. #BTC走势分析
The Bitcoin has rebounded slightly after a small cycle and is currently attempting to attack again. Tonight, pay close attention to the breakthrough situation at the 104650 level; this position is key for continuing the rebound. If it breaks through, there will be upward momentum, targeting 104800-107730. If it fails to break through, watch for support at the double lows of 103700 and 103000. If the support holds, there is still a small-scale rebound opportunity, but if it breaks down, it may further decline.
On the hourly level, attention should be given to the support at 104350. If it closes without breaking this level, the rebound structure will continue; if this level is broken, the rebound is likely to end, targeting 103720-102050.
Tonight, focus on the 2510 level. The hourly line must stabilize at this level to start the rebound, targeting 2550-2620. If it closes without stabilizing at 2510, it indicates weak rebound momentum, 👀 targeting 2465-2410. #BTC走势分析
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Cryptocurrency Withdrawal Practical Rules: Three Bans and Six Strategies for Stable Profits
Three Core Taboo Practices:
1. Ban on Chasing Highs: Following the trend and buying at highs is a loss accelerator for retail investors!
► Operating Principle: Position when the market is quiet, exit when the crowd is roaring.
2. Ban on Full Positions: Going all in is like setting a time bomb in your account!
► Capital Rule: Diversification is the safety rope to navigate bull and bear markets.
3. Ban on Holding Losing Positions: Stubbornly holding onto a losing position is a dull knife that cuts off your retreat!
► Survival Rule: Preserve your capital to have the resources to recover.
Six Practical Strategies:
1. Ambush during Sharp Declines
► Operation Mantra: Dare to buy on sharp declines, quickly sell on slow declines (avoid getting cut by a dull knife).
2. Breakout Strategy in Consolidation
► Timing Key: Observe during consolidation, decisively enter at the breakout.
3. K-Line Code Decoding
► Essence of Watching the Market: The relationship between volume and price hides secrets; understanding the patterns is understanding the flow of funds.
4. Rebound Arbitrage
► Key Mindset: The rebound after a sharp drop is a window period for picking up chips.
5. Pyramid Building Method
► Execution Principle: Buy in batches to control costs, quickly take profits and secure gains.
6. Trend Change Warning System
► Market Truth: Trading volume is the signal light for trend reversals.
Ultimate Mindset: In the cryptocurrency world, be a long-distance runner, not a firework chaser! The market moves like the tide; understand the trend before setting sail, and big opportunities are only reserved for prepared positions. #BTC☀️
Three Core Taboo Practices:
1. Ban on Chasing Highs: Following the trend and buying at highs is a loss accelerator for retail investors!
► Operating Principle: Position when the market is quiet, exit when the crowd is roaring.
2. Ban on Full Positions: Going all in is like setting a time bomb in your account!
► Capital Rule: Diversification is the safety rope to navigate bull and bear markets.
3. Ban on Holding Losing Positions: Stubbornly holding onto a losing position is a dull knife that cuts off your retreat!
► Survival Rule: Preserve your capital to have the resources to recover.
Six Practical Strategies:
1. Ambush during Sharp Declines
► Operation Mantra: Dare to buy on sharp declines, quickly sell on slow declines (avoid getting cut by a dull knife).
2. Breakout Strategy in Consolidation
► Timing Key: Observe during consolidation, decisively enter at the breakout.
3. K-Line Code Decoding
► Essence of Watching the Market: The relationship between volume and price hides secrets; understanding the patterns is understanding the flow of funds.
4. Rebound Arbitrage
► Key Mindset: The rebound after a sharp drop is a window period for picking up chips.
5. Pyramid Building Method
► Execution Principle: Buy in batches to control costs, quickly take profits and secure gains.
6. Trend Change Warning System
► Market Truth: Trading volume is the signal light for trend reversals.
Ultimate Mindset: In the cryptocurrency world, be a long-distance runner, not a firework chaser! The market moves like the tide; understand the trend before setting sail, and big opportunities are only reserved for prepared positions. #BTC☀️
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6.1 Evening Analysis
Recent K-line shows a downward trend, with points continuously decreasing ↓ and new lows being refreshed. On the daily chart, prices have retreated from the high point, and the hourly trading volume has significantly increased, heightening panic sentiment. Although the daily transaction volume has rebounded, the overall momentum is ↓, and the strength of the dominant force is reduced compared to the previous days.
Suggestions:
Big Pie: At 103700-104700, look towards 102000-101100
Second Pie: At 2520-2560, look towards 2420-2470
#BTC走势分析
Recent K-line shows a downward trend, with points continuously decreasing ↓ and new lows being refreshed. On the daily chart, prices have retreated from the high point, and the hourly trading volume has significantly increased, heightening panic sentiment. Although the daily transaction volume has rebounded, the overall momentum is ↓, and the strength of the dominant force is reduced compared to the previous days.
Suggestions:
Big Pie: At 103700-104700, look towards 102000-101100
Second Pie: At 2520-2560, look towards 2420-2470
#BTC走势分析
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Cryptocurrency Short-Term Trading Strategies: A Decade of Trading Insights from a Tri-Season Trader
Core Four-Step Trading System: Discipline-Driven Compounding Principle
1. Cryptocurrency Sniping Strategy—MACD Golden Cross Hunting Technique
Core Logic: Capture the golden cross pattern above the zero axis on the daily chart, which serves as a confirmation signal for a bullish trend, with a historical win rate of 68%. Avoid the lure of the golden cross trap below the zero axis, as seen in April 2024 when Ethereum experienced a MACD golden cross above the water, resulting in a 40% increase over three weeks, yielding returns twice that of the market.
2. Moving Average Life-and-Death Line Trading Rules
Key Threshold: The 20-day moving average serves as the dividing line between bullish and bearish, with price stabilization triggering an offensive mode; if it falls below, an unconditional liquidation is required. Market Validation: Breakouts are often accompanied by the withdrawal of main funds, and going against the trend is a primary cause of liquidation.
3. Dynamic Position Management Art
- Full Position Attack Conditions: Price and trading volume simultaneously break through the moving average (e.g., BTC breaking through the key level of $60,000 with volume)
- Tiered Profit-Taking Strategy: Lock in 1/3 of the position at 40% profit, reduce another 1/3 at 80% profit, and track the trend with the remaining position; if the moving average is breached, immediately execute the “nuclear button” liquidation
4. Stop-Loss Iron Rule—Discipline More Important Than Breathing
The underlying logic of cutting losses on breakouts: Historical data shows that 87% of liquidations stem from “hopeful waiting”; disciplined stop-loss is 100 times more important than single trade gains or losses.
Five-Dimensional Trading Maxim: Decoding Market Sentiment
1. Spatial Game Rules
“High-level consolidation hides danger, low-level bottoming awaits takeoff”—the consolidation period is positively correlated with subsequent gains, beware of top oscillation luring buyers.
2. Breakout Confirmation Principle
“Do not chase prices during consolidation, enter only when direction is clear”—80% of losses come from illogical frequent trading; waiting for breakout signals ensures win rate.
3. Volume-Price Contrarian Strategy
“Build positions on shrinking bearish candles, take profits on expanding bullish candles”—the rule of contrarian trading, specifically targeting market panic and chasing funds.
4. Downward Response Strategy
“Do not catch falling knives during sharp declines, wait for rebounds during slow declines”—there will always be a technical rebound after a sharp drop; do not easily catch falling knives in a slow decline trend.
5. Position Management Philosophy
“The more it rises, the more to reduce positions; the more it falls, the more to build positions”—use the pyramid building method to ensure holding costs are lower than the market leaders.
#BTC走势分析
Core Four-Step Trading System: Discipline-Driven Compounding Principle
1. Cryptocurrency Sniping Strategy—MACD Golden Cross Hunting Technique
Core Logic: Capture the golden cross pattern above the zero axis on the daily chart, which serves as a confirmation signal for a bullish trend, with a historical win rate of 68%. Avoid the lure of the golden cross trap below the zero axis, as seen in April 2024 when Ethereum experienced a MACD golden cross above the water, resulting in a 40% increase over three weeks, yielding returns twice that of the market.
2. Moving Average Life-and-Death Line Trading Rules
Key Threshold: The 20-day moving average serves as the dividing line between bullish and bearish, with price stabilization triggering an offensive mode; if it falls below, an unconditional liquidation is required. Market Validation: Breakouts are often accompanied by the withdrawal of main funds, and going against the trend is a primary cause of liquidation.
3. Dynamic Position Management Art
- Full Position Attack Conditions: Price and trading volume simultaneously break through the moving average (e.g., BTC breaking through the key level of $60,000 with volume)
- Tiered Profit-Taking Strategy: Lock in 1/3 of the position at 40% profit, reduce another 1/3 at 80% profit, and track the trend with the remaining position; if the moving average is breached, immediately execute the “nuclear button” liquidation
4. Stop-Loss Iron Rule—Discipline More Important Than Breathing
The underlying logic of cutting losses on breakouts: Historical data shows that 87% of liquidations stem from “hopeful waiting”; disciplined stop-loss is 100 times more important than single trade gains or losses.
Five-Dimensional Trading Maxim: Decoding Market Sentiment
1. Spatial Game Rules
“High-level consolidation hides danger, low-level bottoming awaits takeoff”—the consolidation period is positively correlated with subsequent gains, beware of top oscillation luring buyers.
2. Breakout Confirmation Principle
“Do not chase prices during consolidation, enter only when direction is clear”—80% of losses come from illogical frequent trading; waiting for breakout signals ensures win rate.
3. Volume-Price Contrarian Strategy
“Build positions on shrinking bearish candles, take profits on expanding bullish candles”—the rule of contrarian trading, specifically targeting market panic and chasing funds.
4. Downward Response Strategy
“Do not catch falling knives during sharp declines, wait for rebounds during slow declines”—there will always be a technical rebound after a sharp drop; do not easily catch falling knives in a slow decline trend.
5. Position Management Philosophy
“The more it rises, the more to reduce positions; the more it falls, the more to build positions”—use the pyramid building method to ensure holding costs are lower than the market leaders.
#BTC走势分析
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6.1 Midday Analysis
According to the 4-hour chart, the market is in a relatively weak downward trend nearing the end, and the larger cycle is still in a mid-term pullback, with the downward trend not reversed. The strength of the bulls is weak, but the bears have not completely turned strong. After the bears exerted force on the hourly chart, it closed with a bearish candle and a long shadow, indicating a significant decrease in bearish momentum. The entry strength of the bulls is insufficient.
Suggestion: Maintain high bullish positions, can trade bullishly around 106000-105000, targeting downward to 102000-101000.
Secondary Contract: Bullish around 2540-2560, 👀: 2460-2480
According to the 4-hour chart, the market is in a relatively weak downward trend nearing the end, and the larger cycle is still in a mid-term pullback, with the downward trend not reversed. The strength of the bulls is weak, but the bears have not completely turned strong. After the bears exerted force on the hourly chart, it closed with a bearish candle and a long shadow, indicating a significant decrease in bearish momentum. The entry strength of the bulls is insufficient.
Suggestion: Maintain high bullish positions, can trade bullishly around 106000-105000, targeting downward to 102000-101000.
Secondary Contract: Bullish around 2540-2560, 👀: 2460-2480
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The BTC monthly close indeed has many highlights, let's analyze the key information:
- Trend intact: The monthly closing price reached a new high, with highs and lows still moving upwards. The larger scale upward structure remains intact, so there's no need to rush to declare a bear market in the short term.
- Volume concerns: Trading volume is decreasing, somewhat resembling the high levels from 2021 to 2022. We need to keep an eye on the left side low of 74k, which could be the "lifeline" of the bull market; if it breaks, we need to be cautious.
- Market differentiation: BTC is currently strengthening on its own, but this may become an issue in the future— the crypto market is evolving, with more new assets becoming less influenced by it. BTC's dominant position may be redefined.
Overall, the trend is still present, but we need to pay attention to the volume, and the market structure is also evolving, so we should closely monitor key levels and new changes. #BTC走势分析
- Trend intact: The monthly closing price reached a new high, with highs and lows still moving upwards. The larger scale upward structure remains intact, so there's no need to rush to declare a bear market in the short term.
- Volume concerns: Trading volume is decreasing, somewhat resembling the high levels from 2021 to 2022. We need to keep an eye on the left side low of 74k, which could be the "lifeline" of the bull market; if it breaks, we need to be cautious.
- Market differentiation: BTC is currently strengthening on its own, but this may become an issue in the future— the crypto market is evolving, with more new assets becoming less influenced by it. BTC's dominant position may be redefined.
Overall, the trend is still present, but we need to pay attention to the volume, and the market structure is also evolving, so we should closely monitor key levels and new changes. #BTC走势分析
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Important Notice! Starting from June 1, the EU tariff policy will officially come into effect!
What needs more attention is that on June 4, Trump plans to significantly raise the steel import tariff to 50%. Affected by these policies, the market is likely to experience severe fluctuations from the end of May to early June.
Risk and opportunity have always coexisted, and this change is a key moment for positioning. I sincerely invite all partners to join me in seizing the initiative amidst the waves of the market! #BTC
What needs more attention is that on June 4, Trump plans to significantly raise the steel import tariff to 50%. Affected by these policies, the market is likely to experience severe fluctuations from the end of May to early June.
Risk and opportunity have always coexisted, and this change is a key moment for positioning. I sincerely invite all partners to join me in seizing the initiative amidst the waves of the market! #BTC
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6.1 Morning Analysis
Currently touching the upper Bollinger band and facing significant resistance, short-term upward momentum is lacking, and the inflow of capital is weak. The larger cycle is in a mid-term retracement phase, and the downward trend remains unchanged. The morning strategy is mainly focused on high-kong strategies to capture opportunities for pressured pullbacks. Weekend fluctuations are usually small, and one can use the oscillation rhythm for operations.
- Bitcoin: You can go long in the range of 105200 - 105800, targeting 102600-101800.
- Ether: Go long in the range of 2550 - 2570, targeting 2450-2410.
#BTC走势分析
Currently touching the upper Bollinger band and facing significant resistance, short-term upward momentum is lacking, and the inflow of capital is weak. The larger cycle is in a mid-term retracement phase, and the downward trend remains unchanged. The morning strategy is mainly focused on high-kong strategies to capture opportunities for pressured pullbacks. Weekend fluctuations are usually small, and one can use the oscillation rhythm for operations.
- Bitcoin: You can go long in the range of 105200 - 105800, targeting 102600-101800.
- Ether: Go long in the range of 2550 - 2570, targeting 2450-2410.
#BTC走势分析
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Making money in the cryptocurrency market has become increasingly difficult since Trump's presidency.
In the world of cryptocurrencies, Trump's presidency is undoubtedly a far-reaching event. Since he took office, the difficulty of making money in the cryptocurrency market has significantly increased, and the entire market landscape has undergone profound changes.
From a market perspective, the current cryptocurrency market exhibits an extremely fragmented state. As the leader of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin's price trend is very strong, maintaining a rising trend despite fluctuations. However, in stark contrast, the situation for altcoins is quite bleak. As time goes on, the prices of altcoins continue to decline, and after every fluctuation in Bitcoin, a batch of altcoins faces the fate of going to zero. Looking back, when Bitcoin was still at a high of $100,000, most altcoins had already dropped to lows from a few years ago, such a gap is truly lamentable.
From a market perspective, the current cryptocurrency market exhibits an extremely fragmented state. As the leader of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin's price trend is very strong, maintaining a rising trend despite fluctuations. However, in stark contrast, the situation for altcoins is quite bleak. As time goes on, the prices of altcoins continue to decline, and after every fluctuation in Bitcoin, a batch of altcoins faces the fate of going to zero. Looking back, when Bitcoin was still at a high of $100,000, most altcoins had already dropped to lows from a few years ago, such a gap is truly lamentable.
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Evening Analysis on May 31:
The 4-hour chart for Bitcoin shows that the price is in a dominant state of downward momentum, with the K-line continuously decreasing and indicators showing that the downward momentum is sustained. The price is running near the lower Bollinger Band, and in the short term, it may lean towards a support level around 103050, but caution is advised for potential technical rebounds in this area.
Suggestions:
Bitcoin: Trade around the range of 104100-103600, 👀 targeting 102300-101300 with a defense at 104300.
Altcoin: Trade around the range of 2550-2530, 👀 targeting 2450-2400. Defense at 2570#ETH .
The 4-hour chart for Bitcoin shows that the price is in a dominant state of downward momentum, with the K-line continuously decreasing and indicators showing that the downward momentum is sustained. The price is running near the lower Bollinger Band, and in the short term, it may lean towards a support level around 103050, but caution is advised for potential technical rebounds in this area.
Suggestions:
Bitcoin: Trade around the range of 104100-103600, 👀 targeting 102300-101300 with a defense at 104300.
Altcoin: Trade around the range of 2550-2530, 👀 targeting 2450-2400. Defense at 2570#ETH .
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Chronicles of the Crypto World: A True Account from Novice to 'Chives'
Recently, the crypto world has erupted again—Bitcoin has been on a roller coaster ride, just yesterday it was soaring, making people want to shout 'the bull market is here', and today it has dropped, causing heart attacks; Ethereum followed suit, jumping up and down, along with a bunch of altcoins bouncing around, the whole circle felt like it was thrown into a tumble dryer. Some people made quick cash from a surge to buy a house, while others bought at the bottom only to find themselves halfway up the mountain, losing so much principal that they didn't dare to open their accounts.
At this time, someone always couldn't help but ask: 'How much money have you made in the crypto world?' This question is like throwing a handful of pepper into a hot pot, burning the mouth and piercing the heart. Everyone who has struggled in the candlestick charts hides a painful account in their heart.
At this time, someone always couldn't help but ask: 'How much money have you made in the crypto world?' This question is like throwing a handful of pepper into a hot pot, burning the mouth and piercing the heart. Everyone who has struggled in the candlestick charts hides a painful account in their heart.
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Orientation markers are like storyboard frames; if they are constrained within, one does not understand the rules of this play. By following the established context to perform, allowing every glance and every breath to align with the rhythm of the plot, the story can flow on the preset track, creating a narrative rhythm without flaws. #ETH
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May 31, Midday Analysis
From the daily chart, the overall trend is currently downward, with bearish momentum becoming dominant. Although there has been a slight rebound in the short term, it is still a normal consolidation phase. It is recommended to take advantage of the rebound for trading!
Suggestions
Bitcoin: Trade around 104300-104800, look for 102000-101000
Ethereum: Trade around 2540-2580, look for 2500-2460
#BTC走势分析 , #ETH
From the daily chart, the overall trend is currently downward, with bearish momentum becoming dominant. Although there has been a slight rebound in the short term, it is still a normal consolidation phase. It is recommended to take advantage of the rebound for trading!
Suggestions
Bitcoin: Trade around 104300-104800, look for 102000-101000
Ethereum: Trade around 2540-2580, look for 2500-2460
#BTC走势分析 , #ETH
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5.31 Early Morning Analysis
The second contract broke below the 4-hour level of 2580 last night, having touched the daily support zone of 2550-2530. This zone can serve as a short stop-loss point or a position for short speculation. If one wishes to continue trading shorts, attention needs to be paid to whether the 2620 level can be broken. If it reverses back to around 2600, a short position can be established again.
#BTC走势分析
The second contract broke below the 4-hour level of 2580 last night, having touched the daily support zone of 2550-2530. This zone can serve as a short stop-loss point or a position for short speculation. If one wishes to continue trading shorts, attention needs to be paid to whether the 2620 level can be broken. If it reverses back to around 2600, a short position can be established again.
#BTC走势分析
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🔥Urgent! Is there a hidden mystery behind the Ethereum Foundation's 1000 ETH transfer?
Just now, on-chain data shows that the Ethereum Foundation's EthDev address transferred 1000 ETH (approximately $2.6 million) to the associated wallet 0xc061...0B6d! Notably, the receiving address had previously received EF1 funding and has suddenly 'awakened' after a long silence; this transfer instantly ignited community discussion🤯!
✅ Technical layout signal?
Recently, the Ethereum ecosystem has been active: progress on Danksharding technology testing and Layer 2 ecosystem locked assets exceeding $8 billion. This capital movement may be related to new protocol development and developer incentives—the foundation has often promoted EIP upgrades through on-chain transfers, such as pre-allocating funds for Proto-Danksharding deployment last year💻. There are also analyses suggesting that funds may flow towards the development of modular public chains in preparation for the upcoming Cancun upgrade.
✅ Technical layout signal?
Recently, the Ethereum ecosystem has been active: progress on Danksharding technology testing and Layer 2 ecosystem locked assets exceeding $8 billion. This capital movement may be related to new protocol development and developer incentives—the foundation has often promoted EIP upgrades through on-chain transfers, such as pre-allocating funds for Proto-Danksharding deployment last year💻. There are also analyses suggesting that funds may flow towards the development of modular public chains in preparation for the upcoming Cancun upgrade.
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