Golos Baffeta

The altseason continues, just that for now the growth and gains are in the other direction.
In such a market, it is necessary to use stops and protect your money.
More than a year ago, I set a target of 68% for dominance, and we haven't reached it yet, while altcoins are already literally pinned to the floor.
The target was 60-65 thousand this year, but observing everything that is happening, it no longer seems fantastic.
If a big player has taken a short position, then it means we will apparently come there with bounces, and if the position has not been taken, then I still think we will head there through a new historical maximum and some market revival for a while.
But when it comes to a nuclear conflict, investors will think the least about cash and will choose cash, which means exiting the market and this can create very strong panic.
But based on experience, I still think we will go up, shaking out the excess short sellers. If this growth occurs, it will be necessary to watch positions very carefully and support them with stops.

$BTC
I want to say a big thank you to my subscribers who have been with me for a long time. They already understand something in the market and are surely starting to see some interesting moments in the market themselves.
I also shake hands with new people who have just subscribed recently 🤝
Here I talk about the realities of the market and speak openly about those things that for some reason everyone is silent about.
Sometimes this truth hurts someone, while for others it opens up opportunities for finding a new path and building their own strategies.
The market teaches us all and does so every day. We need to accept these lessons and remember them. $XRP
Much will be lost or changed, but the experience will remain with you forever.
I run my blog here and in another place (messenger) that cannot be mentioned here, but if you ask where to find me, I think subscribers in the comments will let you know.
By the way, there I will just write a big text about alt season in a few days, again without any fantasies and wonders that various influencers love to fill chats with, thereby driving the crowd into various coins $SOL
Have a great weekend, friends 🤝

What we see in the news is yet another coordinated action, I think everyone understands this.
The important thing is that the global model for a reversal of all markets is getting closer, which means there is less time for altcoin growth.
S&P should still hit a high based on metrics, it is pushing for 118-120, but it is unclear at what figures we will see this now.
A falling knife should not be traded, the rule of three days must be observed.
Therefore, we will look at the opening of next week because currently, in this model, we might only see some kind of bounce in Bitcoin and then go even lower or simply see further decline from the current levels.
How I would act in their place: I would first bring Bitcoin back to the highs, then make a new high, give everyone hope for the start of the alt season along with good movement in altcoins (about 50-100 percent or more) and then dump everything in the range of 86-60 thousand for Bitcoin.
That would be a real disappointment and panic.
But these are just my thoughts, let's see how they play this hand.
To make this 'horror' easier to understand in numbers, it would be like if 14915050013 reached $4000 and then went down to $1500-1100.
Wishing everyone a great weekend, don’t try to jump into this meat grinder just yet 🤝

The very same $USUAL that everyone once loved, which stood at $1 and about which I was shouted at here that "this is a super project" and it needs to be urgently bought at the current price.
I then said that any instrument needs time to gain at least some history on the chart.
In the end, look where the price is now.
Patience is an important aspect in the market.
Yesterday I made my first purchase.
The price was 0.0950
A conditional stop of 7-10% can be kept in mind in case of any sharp changes in the market.
The goals as always: to recover the invested money and profit, and then wait for 0.25 and 0.44, etc.
Wishing everyone a good day.
Check out the publications in my blog, sometimes information appears there earlier.

$ME

So far, everything is on track and without significant changes.
The market is starting to fill up with not very good news about conflicts, tariffs, and Trump's ideas about new laws, but precisely this could serve as a reverse catalyst.
Learn to think and turn off emotions, try to think like a major player.
Right now, no one understands where to place the remaining money supply, and the market is the very place where people want to escape from rising inflation. $BTC
Certainly, it won't be simple and calm here; we have a bunch of problems with laws concerning stablecoins, future regulations, etc. But crashing the market when everyone expects it makes no sense, while dragging it up against all odds might be a more suitable idea for them.
The market is almost always irrational, especially now. $NXPC
Everyone, without exception, is scared; everyone is ready to jump out at breakeven if given the chance, which means that perhaps the big players will want to play the euphoria card and thereby profit from their local longs, plus scoop up new holders for future slaughter.
The global forecast remains in effect.
We watch and observe 🤝
Wishing everyone a great mood.

So, here we are starting the first movement in that very correction I warned about.
But let's look at the further development of events.
It would be ideal to find a support level at $BTC (104-102-100-95-90) and then go back to the highs.
And only after that, creating another strong divergence, gather everyone who will buy altcoins again and head down.
This will discourage those people who thought they had bought the bottom of the altcoin, while all their positions will go down by 50-70%, just like it happened with similar guys earlier. $DOGE
Why go up one more time?
To remove the excess short sellers that are currently present and, along with that, give people hope that they might miss the alt season.
There is a concept called catching up with the market.
This is exactly what everyone will try to do and will make a mistake. $XRP
So right now, just prepare.
Focus on deciding which altcoin you will buy at the bottom.
This is very important because the trigger could be the "beginning of regulation" and all weak projects could eventually go to zero.
You can find the list of coins in my blog, which I maintain elsewhere.
I will prepare a few more projects that interest me.
I hope I explained everything clearly.
I wish everyone patience and good luck 🍀

$BTC
Such a market is a normal phenomenon.
More than 70% of the time, markets are in a sideways movement, and only the remaining time consists of impulses. Price increases or decreases.
In such moments, it is necessary to take a break from trades and support positions with stop losses.
The resolution is already close; the end of the month is often an important signal for further changes in one direction or another. So far, everything is going according to plan. $TON
That means it's time to read a book or watch some series.
What are your favorite books or series?

We haven't seen consolidations above 111,000 yet (read the previous post), and if the situation turns negative, we will act according to the downward scenario that I also wrote about here.
So, if we go down, we look at the levels of 102 and 97; if after that we don't get a buyer's reaction and don't go back to hit the highs, then this whole story can easily go down to 80,000, and below that, there is still 63,500.
While this may seem unreal for now, the crypto market, as you've already noticed, loves to surprise.
For altcoins, it's important to consolidate below 62% dominance; if that doesn't happen, we will indeed see a strong correction in the coins that I mentioned here.
I'm glad that many are starting to think and analyze, and some are even learning to enter trades correctly.
Now these people no longer have the question, "So where are we going? Up or down?"
They now understand that one must always consider as many scenarios as possible in the market.
This will begin to give you room to maneuver and develop your strategy.
Respect to all the thinkers, I'm happy for you and glad to be of help to someone 🤝

$BTC so far looks very good and if we close a couple of days above 111,000, then after that we can see very good movements in altcoins!
Short sellers, as I predicted, are starting to be liquidated, and their liquidations can serve as strong fuel for the market.
If you are going to make purchases, look for strong projects that have not yet given impulses after accumulation.
A retest of 92-100 will be an entry point.
I have a list of altcoins to study in my channel, there are the necessary coins.
Please be more careful, on the other side of the screen are guys who play a mega professional game.
They have changed the crowd's mood and trained everyone that buying is scary.
Let's see what they come up with next. Bitcoin is at highs, altcoins are at lows.
I have been saying for a long time that the cycle has changed and the global picture too! $XRP
Corrections will of course happen, and therefore you should clearly work from risk and not let your positions go into the negative.
At the same time, greed in the indicators is growing, but bearish divergences on Bitcoin can break if Bitcoin closes above the levels I mentioned above.
I always enjoy such unusual moments, the market teaches us something new every day, and it is important to absorb these lessons.
Peace to all 🤝

Now, according to the classic approach, everyone will start shorting, and these unfortunate souls will probably be kicked out feet first, as is usually the case.
We are seeing a beautiful approach to the level and the maximum price of $BTC .
Essentially, everyone stuck in Bitcoin is being given a chance to exit, and this may already indicate that a new ATH will be set.
Yes, later on, of course, the price will be pulled back from somewhere and a correction will be given, but this is not a short.
At the top, there is emptiness; you have no clear stop in this scenario except to hide it behind the maximum, but that usually ends with liquidity being taken.
And any closing of a short position is a market buy, which pushes the price up.
So, just watch the market and remember such moments.
Altcoins look tired, and the sideways movement has exhausted everyone, but it is important to understand that momentum is formed from accumulation, and until that very exit, there’s no point in getting anxious; the market will show everything itself; it needs time.
By the way, at $XVG , there is exactly the same formation as there once was at $XRP .
Well, that's just... an observation; think for yourselves 🤝

Many people who have been subscribed to me here for a long time and read my blog on Pavel Durov's network know that I wrote warnings in advance about those dumps that occurred at highs $BTC . At that time, everyone shouted that I was crazy and didn’t understand anything and that now the alt season would begin with $TRUMP for crypto. I tried not to argue and strictly adhered to my plan: I secured profits and left only free coins, freeing up all the cash. I write this so that everyone understands - I am not a super trader or a predictor, I just have a strategy and do not read the news; everything is already on the chart. Right now, I am waiting for a decline. It may stretch over time, and we will fall with rebounds, but my targets for altcoins are a decrease of 20-60% down. Everyone will be given a chance to buy cheaper. It is easier for me to stand aside and wait than to try to jump into such a market. We received a good rebound, and all the targets I mentioned have been fulfilled. There is no liquidity in the market, all the hamsters were closed at the top, taking their money and giving away 'promising' coins. $SHIB . No one will be allowed to exit them easily. We need to plunge everyone into depression and force them to leave the market. Therefore, I am waiting for better prices for altcoins and will be looking for purchases. Wishing everyone well 🤝

$BTC
The market is created for people to lose money, not the other way around. Don't expect miracles.
Why do I constantly talk about the trading plan and the importance of taking profits?
Because it is important to feel the earnings, not just admire the numbers on the screen.
Withdraw the profits and buy yourself a gift with that money; this is a very important step. Do this, and you will start to see yourself and your trading differently.
From any mistakes, you should draw conclusions and try not to repeat them.
Closing losing trades is part of the profession; your stop protects you from future larger losses.
There are plenty of people here who accumulate this digital junk and dream of changing their lives due to some fairy-tale expectations, but the market is about something else; there has never been easy money here.
And this is another important point, as some just got lucky at some point and immediately start thinking that they have mastered this place. After that, they fall into another cycle or under correction and experience disappointment.
This again proves that knowledge and experience are always primary.
Well, I will conclude with a phrase from one trader:
"Don't worry about what will happen in the market.
Better think about what you will do in response to its actions."

So far, everything is on track, we are waiting for a reaction and a clear structure for correction, the market as a whole is already overheated, greed is once again gaining momentum, and this is alarming.
This always leads sooner or later to a price drop and rapid corrections.
At the same time, our target for #Total3 has been reached, and taking the next height just like that is unlikely to happen.
We either correct and continue to try to reach 1.1 trillion and above, confirming the continuation of a bull market, or we get a pullback and after that go even lower, to around 840, which could mean that all this last movement was a technical bounce.
The coins have given a good profit, and it is necessary to take profits if you do not have free $USDC . Managing risks is more important now than ever.
I will keep an eye on $DYM and #MANTA and watch the market.
Many feel that they will not have time to buy and start making purchases at the current prices, but are they considering the risks of a strong decline? I do not know.
I act strictly according to my plan and do not react to news.
Meanwhile, altcoins are beaten down, and the market, I remind you, is irrational.
That is why we can well see a decrease in dominance along with a correction of $BTC and a pump of altcoins.
For now, we are just observing ✍🏻

$LAYER
Beginner mistakes are almost always the same. At the peaks, they think that the coin will fly to the moon without them, and therefore they buy. Meanwhile, they read news that is often created to sell off the asset to such optimists.
Another type of mistake is buying a falling knife; my first teacher taught me, "don't touch a stock for at least a week after a strong drop. Good assets don't just fall like that."
And so it turns out that the very astronauts are stuck at the top, while new ones enter during the drop, reasoning, "it's cheaper now, I need to buy."
But a large player needs to accumulate a position if they want that coin, and this will take time and won't raise the price just like that.
On the contrary, it's easier for them to push it down and force people to sell, to buy the share they need, unless of course it's a scam. $OM
After losing money a few times, you will come to this realization yourself, but perhaps this post will save someone. Wishing everyone well 🤝

Bitcoin $BTC at 65,000 this year.
Do you believe in this?
Right now we all have a slight euphoria, those who bought at the local bottom are satisfied, while those who bought high dream of exiting their coins at breakeven and getting their money back $PNUT
In altcoins, a good profit has already been made and one can take a little break from the market.
In reality, nothing new has happened, declines are not constant, just as growth is not.
What I am waiting for I wrote in the previous post and for now, I am just spending time enjoying myself watching great deals.
Thank you very much to those who write that my forecasts and observations help them, it's probably only you who give me the motivation to keep doing this.
I want you to grow and study the market, you need to enjoy this profession, but learning to trade is also not an easy task and not everyone is capable of it.
Discipline and your own strategy are needed here. That's why I always recommend scalping to beginners.
It's simpler, faster, and you can make good money from small deposits.
Why did I ask the question about Bitcoin?
Because for me, as a trader, there is no difference in these price fluctuations, I have clear goals for buying and selling, and this is one of the main conditions for trading 🎯 But I will wait for 65 😀

Those who are afraid they haven't made it in time and those who think that growth will happen without correction.
Look at the chart #Total
For altcoins, this is the most important chart.
The key level for us is at 3.25, and we approached it during this movement, trying to break through.
So far, everything happening may confirm the hypothesis that since December, the market has experienced a correction. A strong one, psychologically challenging for many, but still fitting within the framework of being healthy and correct.
The upward breakout looks technically correct today, as it does for $BTC .
We were waiting for this confirmation; now we need to wait for the next one.
Now pay attention❗️
I will wait for a correction to the zone of 2.75-2.8 or slightly lower (a technically correct pullback from the level) and then I want to see movement to 3.5, where altcoins should go even stronger $NEIRO .
For this ascending trend, we must not go below 2.5 🚫
Futures will cut, nobody will just give you money here.
This especially applies to those who try to trade without stop-losses.
I only use spot trading.
Wishing everyone well and happy holidays 🎖️

$BTC

The previous post about the growth of altcoins is seen by very few people, and this has happened more than once.
For some reason, the most important things are pushed to the background by algorithms.
Read it, I hope it helps many in some way. If you like it, please give it a thumbs up.
I also run my blog on Pavel Durov's network, where you will find a lot of information, plus I publish my thoughts on various important moments in the market and share information about things that many are not aware of.
Thank you for your trust.

We are somewhere very close to the altcoin growth, they might give us some movement down, but according to my metrics, everything is already screaming about a local bottom.
Plus, we did not get a prolonged correction; we bought back that drop very quickly, and this could mean that they are either holding the price for a further upward breakout or this is an accumulation of their short positions to lower $BTC .
But even under pressure on the price of Bitcoin, I will be waiting for signals to buy altcoins; this moment is very, very important for the market, and only some super bad news could break it all.
I repeat, I am only watching altcoins and their reaction; I do not care where Bitcoin goes; right now, we need to see volumes and further development.
Yes, this could happen through a price drop and the final capitulation, but soon we will see a resolution in any case.
Do not rush; the market is very complicated, the situation in the world is critical, all these factors seem to scream "Sell and get out," but such scenarios are often played out before a rise.
Many remember how I said to sell before those strongest dumps, but few listened $TON .
Right now, I advocate for buying, but this is my personal opinion and market vision.
Wishing everyone goodness and peace ✌🏻$XRP

Be careful, I am starting to expect a local correction on $BTC in the next 7-10 days.
If all this movement we see is not a trap for the bulls, then the next range for growth after the expected correction is 107,000. We'll see there.
The altcoin has bounced back quite well technically, but as you can see, selectively.
This again explains the fact that dragging along coins with a lot of stuck investors makes no sense.
If there is interest in a coin, it must first buy back the position from weak hands, and this can take months or even years $HIGH , while the market is still too thin for such things, and therefore they take coins where there is no one, create a pump, take the profit, and go to pump new ones. $PIVX
I expect the altcoin to continue growing after local pullbacks; bearish divergences in dominance literally scream that the growth is not over and there will be a stronger impulse.
Be patient and perceive what is happening as excellent experience that will be useful for those who survive in such a market and learn to earn from it.
Wishing everyone well ✅

$ALPACA

Look at this example and ask yourself the question. Is this a promising project?
In my opinion, it is obviously not.
Did someone buy it in hopes of making profits?
The same answer.
So why do we see such upward movement during the delisting?
First: a big player was holding the coin, who needs to fully exit the asset. At the first news, they buy up the cascade of sales (people are realizing losses) and then the game begins, where almost all the coins are in their hands.
Second: a hired market maker gets involved in this manipulation, allowing this player to exit while also creating liquidations for brokers to profit.
Everyone benefits, everyone is making money.
First, they cut the longs, then they go after the shorts, and in this simple way, they create the necessary conditions.
How to trade such movements?
Only using scalping.
Quick trades with short intervals and by no means should you linger in them.
Remember that on the other side of the screen, there is a whole team of professionals working against you, who are much cleverer than any of your arguments and algorithms.