Golos Baffeta

Be careful, I am starting to expect a local correction on $BTC in the next 7-10 days.
If all this movement we see is not a trap for the bulls, then the next range for growth after the expected correction is 107,000. We'll see there.
The altcoin has bounced back quite well technically, but as you can see, selectively.
This again explains the fact that dragging along coins with a lot of stuck investors makes no sense.
If there is interest in a coin, it must first buy back the position from weak hands, and this can take months or even years $HIGH , while the market is still too thin for such things, and therefore they take coins where there is no one, create a pump, take the profit, and go to pump new ones. $PIVX
I expect the altcoin to continue growing after local pullbacks; bearish divergences in dominance literally scream that the growth is not over and there will be a stronger impulse.
Be patient and perceive what is happening as excellent experience that will be useful for those who survive in such a market and learn to earn from it.
Wishing everyone well ✅

$ALPACA

Look at this example and ask yourself the question. Is this a promising project?
In my opinion, it is obviously not.
Did someone buy it in hopes of making profits?
The same answer.
So why do we see such upward movement during the delisting?
First: a big player was holding the coin, who needs to fully exit the asset. At the first news, they buy up the cascade of sales (people are realizing losses) and then the game begins, where almost all the coins are in their hands.
Second: a hired market maker gets involved in this manipulation, allowing this player to exit while also creating liquidations for brokers to profit.
Everyone benefits, everyone is making money.
First, they cut the longs, then they go after the shorts, and in this simple way, they create the necessary conditions.
How to trade such movements?
Only using scalping.
Quick trades with short intervals and by no means should you linger in them.
Remember that on the other side of the screen, there is a whole team of professionals working against you, who are much cleverer than any of your arguments and algorithms.

Everyone suddenly fell in love with $XRP when it flew away and no one wanted to buy it for 0.34. Then everyone shouted that it was a scam.
A classic story in the crypto market.
Well, never mind, that’s not what this is about.
You have another asset lying under your feet, which will also be used by banks for tokenizing their products.
And it is called $XTZ
This is yet another open blockchain platform focused on the verification of smart contracts, which has also attracted the attention of European banks in the context of issuing digital securities.
Examples of integration:
• Société Générale and other banks
Don’t be surprised if you see a rapid price movement and the noise of a crowd that will then start running around the chats at the highs and talking about the project's prospects, etc.
At the bottom, those who understand the market and its risks are buying, at the top, those who live in hope are buying. That’s the whole difference.
I always look at the internals of the project and its application in the real world.
Crypto is a digital void, a scam, and an ordinary bubble through which big players extract money from you.
Therefore, it is worth studying any nuances.
On my channel, I will be telling in detail about how and where other projects that integrate into the financial system work.

$BTC
So far, judging by the situation, we are entering the next interesting phase for the market, where in autumn, when everyone is waiting for the alt season, roughly from October 2025 to March 2026, we will be facing 'the biggest crisis in the world' that will hit the markets.
The war in India, US tariffs, or other issues? What difference does it make... They'll come up with something.
Just during this period, they will initiate the maximum rate decrease, only to then start the printing press.
And the real alt season that everyone is waiting for will not be seen until 2026.
It may last longer but... with fewer projects, which they will select. And they will do this when no one is expecting it, drowning hopes and killing the faith of the remaining 'investors' here.
Before autumn 2025, we might see a big EXIT PUMP, which many will take as the start of the alt season!
This means these guys will make multiples without releasing the stuck ones, they will inject everyone into the market and then wait with cash for everyone much lower.
People will look at this bounce with thoughts of an alt season in autumn, listening to bloggers, and then will start jumping in.
After that, a sharp drop in price and in 2026 the market will become free from outsiders and will fly upwards on new money without passengers.

So far, everything is going according to plan and without significant changes.
Those stuck in altcoins are upset because the rebounds are happening in coins that they bought at the highs.
What drives them? Of course, hope.
And up there, they were driven by greed.
They perceived Starknet at $2 and Doge at $0.4 as an opportunity and went around telling everyone about it.
They may be saved by the very altseason they are waiting for, but the thing is, the market has fundamentally changed, and now there are those same 5-10x returns they were hoping for before their entries.
It has always been difficult to make money here, but people have been led to believe that they will come here and immediately make millions without any knowledge.
Unfortunately, that’s not how it works.
Here, everything is decided by manipulators who buy up volume and then push this junk up, and you have to be alongside them, not with a crowd of onlookers who have been told that the king of crypto is now $PEPE .
The more people stuck above, the less likely it is that they will be released later.
We are not the ones pushing the market; it’s time to understand that. And if there is no interest in a coin, then no amount of retail money will save it.
From the example of $BTC , you can see that when an asset is essentially in one person's hands, corrections and pumps happen when it is convenient for them, not for us.
Wishing everyone good luck 🤝

$BTC

Bitcoin is closing the rebound target with us, and interestingly, it is even trying to consolidate above.
But so far, there is no confirmation of the consolidation, and I am troubled by the extremely strong overbought condition.
Therefore, we can now easily expect some sort of price 'reset' to cool down the fervor of futures players.
If this consolidation turns out to be true, we may see a possible rise up to 120,000, but for now, I am leaning more towards some sort of correction.
As for altcoins, we haven't even broken the daily level of dominance yet, but some altcoins have shown strong rebounds $BSW
Here I wrote about the coins that were interesting to me $LPT , on which we saw a good and, importantly, quite healthy growth.
I would still look for a continuation of the upward movement, but possibly with a pullback to relieve the market and cut off the excess leverage of unnecessary passengers.
It would be ideal to see a decrease in dominance and an increase in 'heavy' assets a little later.
For now, they are essentially throwing coins that have no one in them, the order books are thin, and the price can be pumped with amounts starting from $200,000, which they are taking advantage of.
Don’t rush into trades and don’t jump into places where the price has already soared.
The market will always give you the opportunity to buy.
Wishing everyone a good day 🤝

$MAGIC
A very important point on dominance.
If we form a move down from around the current levels, we expect the altcoin to continue rising. Moreover, we will likely see quite strong impulses.
However, if the breakout level upwards on dominance was not false, then the altcoin will again look for a bottom.
$XRP

Don't worry if you were scared or if you already ran out of money to participate in the market bounce.
You will still have a chance to buy, believe me…
After a prolonged decline and slide in prices, we are seeing only a correction to this decline.
Everyone's favorite $SOL will surprise you again when it goes to find the bottom.
And the corrections on $BTC are also not over yet. Know how to wait.
Although you can already make some initial purchases, but not those coins that have already given you multiples.
The most important thing at the local bottom, which will come, is to buy or add to projects that will survive and will not fall victim to another delisting.
Don't get involved with empty tokens and don't listen to the crowd's noise. You can see that the tokens are rising where there was no crowd and no one was promoting them. You are being distracted by news and constantly confused.
$ETH at 12.000? Well well…
They won't just hand out money for free.
They keep telling you about duties, but no one mentions that we will suffer from this, not them.
Their goal is to buy everything cheaply and take the necessary assets, which they will later inflate at highs into the hands of gullible retail investors.
And this is not even about crypto, but in general.
Believe me, nothing will change.
At the peaks, everyone is shouting about the cosmos, and at the bottom, everyone is grumbling about being deceived.
Wishing everyone patience and good luck 🍀

We see how it flies $VOXEL because there was no crowd and the price can be driven up, essentially already 300-400% from the bottom.
The coin has performed very well, and soon we will see a rollback that seems to be just as strong.
I expect the same movements for $DODO and LPT, and I have FIDA along with Qi, as well as TKO, AMP, ILV, Omni on my watchlist. I am waiting for movements on them.
The altcoins where people are stuck are stagnant and hardly move; I have already explained why this happens.
It is easier for them to drive the price on empty order books and get easy gains than to lift "heavy" coins with a lot of people, pushing against sellers who dream of exiting their positions.
Look for what doesn’t catch the eye and isn’t discussed on every corner.
Dominance has not yet broken daily levels, but even with such a slight downward impulse, we already see how many coins are making excellent impulses.
There is no euphoria; everyone is just sitting and watching what will happen and how to break even.
Then this mood will change to "I won’t exit, apparently this is the alt season."
I think this will catch everyone off guard and prices will drop again, causing fear.
Be careful, the market is very thin.

Someone among you surely spends the whole day monitoring the market.
You open charts, watch which coins are rising and which are falling.
You read a huge number of chats, search for some sources, and create a pile of useless information around yourself.
The market rule states that 75% of the time it is in a phase of accumulation, and the rest of the time it moves in one direction or another.
Therefore, there is no point in sitting all day and constantly staring at the screen of your phone or computer, unless you are trading scalping.
You need to be able to take a break from the market.
Remember that there is life beyond discussions of $SOL or $ETH ; you just need to find it and feel it 😀
In such a market, it is easiest for swing traders to lose money rather than make it; you will feel that you can re-enter at a lower price or that it won't go lower.
The darkest time is just before dawn.
The main thing is to remember this and follow the rules. Wishing everyone goodness and health ☘️

IMPORTANT POST ABOUT GROWTH

(FED)

- tariffs are one of the biggest shocks to the US economy in decades
- the risk of recession outweighs the risk of inflation
- with the further increase in the risk of recession, it is preferable to start lowering the rate faster

$BTC
Let me explain simply.
The risk of recession for them exceeds the risk of inflation. This means that turning on the printing press and printing dollars is not such a scary and possibly even necessary measure in this case. $TON
It sounds like diving into a recession now is much scarier.
Although we are already in it 😉 But let's put that aside for now.
Therefore, the Fed is considering measures for easing, and future inflation will be aligned with an expensive market 🤷🏻‍♂️
On the S&P 500, we essentially have a ready formation for a decline after the bounce that we are already observing today.
That is, it is most likely that we will set a bottom in May or June, then we will turn around and go up. For now, that’s the timing.
I think there will be a better time for medium-term purchases.
Now they might let everyone buy and then finally dump again.
So be careful and don't be surprised by anything. Patience is important in the market.

I still have doubts that the final bottom has not yet been reached.
Knowing how these guys operate, one can assume that they might give us some kind of rebound and then drop it even lower.
Here the question is more about the S&P 500 index. The buyback was too quick.
There wasn't really any panic, even though our situation in the world is much worse than it was, say, during Covid-19.
Tariffs and other noise are a more serious shock to the world because it's about a total economic catastrophe, and they understand this.
China won't just give in that easily.
That's my opinion. Plus, oil and the situation in the Middle East play an important role.
I've made this decision: I'm waiting for Bitcoin to hit 66-60 and then I'll buy altcoins.
Just 3-5 coins that have good volumes, their own blockchain, and most importantly, practically no risk of delisting.
I'm expecting 2-3-5x, taking back my initial investment as usual, locking in profits, and then watching the situation further.
For now, I'm scalping and smiling at how once again these guys are scamming people out of 41982594046.
This can only happen in crypto.
By the way, coins will probably fall like that due to regulation.
And these guys will then buy the assets they need for a pittance, but no one from the crowd will understand which ones will survive.

$SOL
Failures and losses cause aggression in them; they always want to shift the responsibility off themselves and find someone to blame for their actions, writing a spiteful comment or trying to offend people in the comments in some way.
They thought they would become rich just by coming here and pressing a button.
Without knowledge, without experience, without the desire to understand what, how, and why things happen here.
Many of them lost money on futures, others bought into potential scams and waited for a miracle, while others looked for some signals and bought because someone advised them. And all of this did not bring them results in the long run.
There is one question: who is to blame for this if not themselves? I am not trying to push anyone into the dirt, and especially not to laugh at it.
This is their experience. But there are also those who invested in themselves first, and then in the market.
So, from the latter, only 5% will become successful traders. It is logical that those who decided to "try to figure it out themselves" will make a mess? $USUAL
I always advocate for development, not degradation, which is why it is immediately clear who is who here.
My followers are seeking and thinking people; the others are not interesting 🤝

$ETH
Let's be honest and ask ourselves why people were so eager or are still waiting for the alt season?
And the answer is actually very simple.
They thought it would be the easiest money of their lives.
That is, each of them worked somewhere, engaged in something, possibly even in tough professions that involve physical labor, and suddenly they find out that there is some industry where they can bring all their money and multiply it by 5-10-100 times?
Doesn't it seem to you that this initially sounds like a children's fairy tale? $SOL
Firstly, the people who once earned here in multiples were in the first cycles when crypto was just gaining popularity. Secondly, as in any pyramid, the first participants earn and create noise, and then come those who ultimately lose their money.
It's also worth adding the cycles, the increase in the number of projects, the dilution of the overall capitalization, and the wild hype…
All of this ultimately led to what you see in the market now.
No one even incorporates in their strategy that there will be no alt season.
People have become so foolish, trusting, and accustomed to living in illusions that sitting in an 80-90% drawdown, they continue to believe, for they have nothing left but faith.

Good day to everyone 🤝
I am taking a break from the news noise and the market, calmly waiting for targets on the assets that interest me.
We essentially have two main formations for $BTC , which are to go up from the current levels or through the zone of 68-72.
The third option does not make sense to discuss yet, as it implies a crash across all markets, which does not fit the overall picture at the moment. There is no point in dropping where it is obvious to everyone. No one will take unnecessary shorts with them, therefore even with such a plan, it is necessary to raise the market and shake out the retail investors from margin positions and thus accumulate large global short positions above.
So for now, we are watching what is happening and patiently waiting.
At the top, there are a lot of stuck positions; their drawdowns in portfolios are 3-5 times from the current levels, and I repeat, there is no point in releasing them, but it is easy and clear to make money on the movement in that direction.
Some dreamed of buying $TON at a discount when it was priced at 7, and now they are already scared. Others bought meme coins $PEPE and shouted that I don’t understand anything about the moon 🤦🏻‍♂️, and today they don’t even want to look in the direction of this scam.
This is how psychology works here; the mood of the crowd has changed, and this is the main market marker.
Wishing everyone goodness and good luck 🍀

$CTXC
Binance continues a massive cleanup.
This is what a rehearsal of regulation looks like, which hasn’t even started yet.
Now you can imagine how it will be.
This is exactly what I talk about when I warn that most coins in the portfolios of new "investors" will turn to zero.
All these exciting stories about potential, cool teams, and other nonsense are just an excuse to exchange your money for digital junk $PROS
The market has long changed, but the hold players do not want to believe it; they are driven by hope, and that is the weakest aspect of feelings for trading.
No one wants to think, but at the same time, they want to earn easy money. It’s not here.

$ETH
Today, the situation in the markets is one that I hope has sobered many up a little.
Witnesses of the alt-season have finally stopped writing angry comments, and more and more people are beginning to understand that there will be no easy money here.
The most interesting thing is that almost every somewhat experienced trader has been waiting for a global reversal of all markets for a long time.
And we have been waiting for this for about 5 years.
Parabolic growth cannot last forever, and this will certainly happen.
Whether we are already seeing this first phase of reversal or it will happen through a new maximum is not so important.
That is why I always tell everyone that in crypto, holding is the evil that almost everyone has been conditioned to, in order to ultimately lead them to the slaughter.
What we see today is still not what will happen someday. Today, a conditional $ATOM is worth $4, but not everyone is ready to think that it could be worth 10 cents.
Or Ethereum at $200-500-700
And this is quite understandable.
People are fed 'fundamental' news, and they are unable to objectively perceive information.
This is just information for the future, so that everyone understands the realities of the market.
It can fall longer than each of us assumes.
Let’s watch the opening today 🤝

I wrote a long post on my blog about the fact that under certain circumstances I will exit the market until better times. At the very least, if $BTC starts to catch up with the stock indices (strange that this is not happening yet), we may well see the destruction of altcoins. Yes, with bounces, yes, with some local pumps, but for me, this will no longer be of interest. I will trade exclusively through scalping. Today or tomorrow, I will possibly secure 70% profit on free coins $XRP and others and will sit with cash. Small positions that I took on the bounce I will hold with stops starting tomorrow, and then, if I see a bounce, I will move to breakeven. For me, rules and strategies are above all, and that is why I understand that if this scenario with further decline starts to unfold, we will see conditional Ripple at $1 and below, and $TON can be bought for $2 or even $1.5, just like conditional Dot at the same prices. Accordingly, other altcoins (weak ones) will simply lose signs of life. These are just my actions and my money, I do not intend to argue with anyone, I have managed to earn well. Of course, I would like bullish trends, etc., but the risks of not earning enough in my case are high. For now, the plan is as follows 🤝

During these few days, I'm waiting for a rebound, the algorithms are starting to highlight that we are somewhere nearby.
As per the classic, you will "suddenly" see positive news and a change in rhetoric.
This is how they mess with your mind to explain any movement in the market.
But the chart is always primary.
The seller is gradually easing the pressure on altcoins. $USUAL
For now, I'm just observing.
Don't forget that after the rebound, we will most likely have to go below today's levels at $BTC , and we will look there.
Because we have two options.
The first - a rebound and then down, the second - to go to the highs and then fall again from there.
But we will need to look at the facts.
By the way, there was a massive sell-off in the stock market yesterday.
Remember I wrote not long ago that people started actively buying stocks at the first sale and that it wouldn't end well for them? That's exactly what happened.
Although there were indeed decent buying volumes, but... it is not the buyer who turns the price around. Another example.
The crowd is always cut down. Don't stand nearby and don't buy what is actively promoted.
Every day you were promised an alt season, and the result you see.