比特币唐僧

The bull market that occurs once every four years, with the recent indicators raising its head, the wildfire is not burning out, and the trend of spring breeze is quietly coming. It is said that when the cycle comes, pigs will fly. In fact, there are really very few pigs that can fly. Most people will become cannon fodder, because the bull market is driven by cannon fodder. If the cannon fodder is not harvested, there will be no bull market. The rise and fall behind the data are operational transactions. When to buy and when to sell, everyone has different choices. You choose to buy; he may sell. In a unilateral market, some people may suffer from the beginning to the end, but most people But it’s all a debt. There are many people who chase the rise and kill the fall, but only a few can hold the chips. The Pareto principle is everywhere in trading. Only 20% of people can make money, and most people, no matter whether the bull market is coming or not In the end, it is all in vain. Because most people continue to lose chips in chasing the rise and the fall, and in the fantasy of getting rich overnight, they continue to increase the leverage and finally liquidate their positions. I wish you all to seize the big trading cycle and not be greedy for temporary gains and losses. I hope that when the peak meets, you can change with fullness instead of leaving a pile of regrets and waiting for another four years. Buy spot and hold on to your chips. I wish you all can endure the test of data fluctuations and make steady progress in the shocking waves.

Walk to a waterless place and sit down to watch the clouds rise. The market is always changing. It does not depend on human will.

Don't be afraid of missing opportunities; on this thorny path, traps are much more common than opportunities. The more you move, the more mistakes you make. If you want to make money, you must endure the pressure of data fluctuations after buying in, refer to the trends and cycles of the currency, set a reasonable target for yourself, and don't change your position before reaching the target.If you seek the thrill of trading, you can choose leverage and contract trading, but these are like Pandora's box; once opened, you cannot control what follows. Perhaps your first 99 trades are profitable, but if you make a wrong choice in direction or position just once, or if a black swan event occurs, you will ultimately become pitiful cannon fodder.

The bottom of BTC in the weekly cycle lacks double support. If a black swan event occurs, the collapse of BTC will drive the collective diving of copycats, and the next round of bull market will not really start until the bottom consolidates for a period of time. BTC is expected to bottom out in March next year.

The Rule of 28 in Gann's theory refers to Gann's own futures trading experience. It is actually the trading rules Gann wrote for commodity futures traders: Rule 1: Divide your principal into 10 equal parts according to the amount. It is not advisable to risk more than 1/10 of your principal in a transaction. Rule 2: Set a stop loss order. If it is always 1 to 3 cents away from the trading price, you can set a stop-loss order specifically for protection, with the distance below 5 cents; for cotton, it can be said that the stop-loss order should be 20 to 40 points away. Cannot exceed 60 points. Rule 3: Over-trading is not advisable. Over-trading will lead to violations of the trading rules related to principal. Rule 4: Don’t do anything that will turn your profits into losses. Once the profit obtained reaches or exceeds 3 cents, the stop loss price needs to be continuously raised so that the principal will not be lost. For cotton, if the profit gradually reaches or completely exceeds 60 points, we need to gradually set stop loss orders at a position that will not cause us to suffer losses. Rule 5: Don’t fight the trend. If investors cannot accurately determine the trend based on their own charts and trading rules, then they should not buy or sell stocks. Rule 6: When in doubt, exit the market immediately. Never enter the market when in doubt. Rule 7: Only trade in active markets, improve your insight, and stay away from sluggish dead futures contracts. Rule 8: Spread the risk evenly. If possible, investors should trade 2 to 3 types of commodity futures, and try to avoid putting all their principal in one type of commodity futures. Rule 9: Never use limit orders to trade, nor do you set buying and selling prices. Generally use market orders. Rule 10: Don’t close positions for no reason, and always insist on setting stop-loss orders to protect your profits. Rule 11: Accumulate a surplus. After successfully completing this series of transactions, save a portion of the funds in the surplus account for use in emergencies or times of panic. Rule 12: Never buy a stock just to make a small profit. Rule 13: Never choose to spread your losses. This is one of the biggest mistakes a trader can make. Rule 14: Never leave the market because of impulse, and never choose to enter the market because you can’t wait. Rule 15: Avoid small profits and large losses to a certain extent. Rule 16: If you place a stop-loss order when placing a trade, never cancel it. Rule 17: Avoid being in and out of the market for long periods of time. Rule 18: The willingness to go long and sell short should be consistent, and try to keep your goals consistent with the trend, and make money accordingly. Rule 19: Do not buy a certain commodity futures just because the price is relatively low; do not sell short just because the price of a certain commodity futures is high. Rule 20: We must be careful not to increase our bets at the wrong time. Be sure to wait until commodity futures become very active and can successfully cross the resistance level before adding to a buying position; wait until commodity futures fall below the distribution range before choosing to add to a short position. Rule 21: When going long, choose commodity futures contracts that show a very strong upward trend for overweight operations; when selling short, choose commodity futures contracts that show a relatively clear downward trend. Rule 22: Never hedge. If a certain commodity futures contract that you are long on starts to fall, do not use short selling of another commodity futures contract to gradually hedge. Sell ​​at the market price and leave the market, then accept the loss and wait for the next opportunity. Rule 23: Never change your position in the market for no reason. There should be very good reasons for making trades, or investors should have a clear trading plan, and wait until there is a definite sign of a trend change before leaving the market. Rule 24: Avoid increasing the size of your trades after long-term success or profits. Rule 25: Don’t guess when the market will peak, let the market prove where the top is; don’t guess when the market will bottom, let the market prove where the bottom is. Rule 26: Never follow the advice of another person unless you know he or she is more knowledgeable than you. Rule 27: After your first loss, trade less, never increase. Rule 28: Effectively avoid entering the market wrongly and leaving the market wrongly; to a certain extent, avoid entering the market correctly but leaving the market wrongly. This is doubly wrong. If we intend to make a transaction, we must try our best to ensure that we do not violate these 28 rules;If we close a position due to a loss, we should compare it with these rules to see which one we violated.

The market cycle of Bitcoin can usually be divided into four stages: rising, top, falling and bottom. The market cycle of Bitcoin is not fixed, and its cycle length and fluctuation range may be affected by many factors, including market sentiment, macroeconomic environment, policies and regulations, etc. In the rising stage, the price of Bitcoin shows a rapid upward trend, and investors can earn profits. However, when the price of Bitcoin reaches the top, the market enters a relatively stable stage, and investors need to carefully consider the factors of profit taking. Subsequently, the market enters the falling stage, and the price of Bitcoin begins to fall. Investors need to be vigilant and adopt appropriate risk management strategies. Finally, the market enters the bottom stage, the price of Bitcoin is relatively stable, and begins to gradually recover. Investors can consider gradually increasing their investment in Bitcoin.

#ETH #ARB #OP #DYDX #MATIC After the Ethereum network passes EIP-1599, the more active the Ethereum network is, the more tokens will be burned, making the Ethereum token enter an era of deflation. Personal prediction is that Ethereum will lead the next bull market cycle together with Bitcoin, forming a strong alliance. A rising tide lifts the boat, and tokens that are strongly connected to the Ethereum network will inevitably rise with the rise of Ethereum tokens. The well-known tokens are as follows: 1. Arbitrum One. Arbitrum One is a Layer 2 expansion solution, and its token is ARB. 2. OP Mainnet. OP Mainnet is the token of Optimism, and its token is OP. 3.dYdX. dYdX is a decentralized trading platform whose token is DYDX. 4. Polygon(MATIC). Polygon is a Layer 2 network for Ethereum designed to improve the scalability and efficiency of the Ethereum network. Specifically, it provides the following major benefits through the use of additional network structures and technologies: low transaction fees, high-precision and low-latency transaction responses, security, and decentralization. The success of Polygon lies in its changing role from a side chain to a Layer 2 aggregator, and at the same time enabling various DeFi and NFT projects to cross-chain between Layer 2. 5.Loopring (LRC). Loopring is a layer-2 expansion protocol designed to provide infrastructure for decentralized transactions and achieve high performance, low cost and decentralized transactions. 6. zkSync Era. zkSync Era is a Layer 2 solution for Ethereum, and its token is EHR. 7.Starknet is an Ethereum Layer 2 expansion solution, and its token is L2X.

The main functions of tokens in the Ethereum ecosystem and related token names (in no particular order):1. Transaction and payment:Ethereum (ETH): ETH is the native token of the Ethereum blockchain and is widely used as a medium for transactions and payments.ERC-20 tokens: tokens issued based on Ethereum smart contract technology, with standardized interfaces and specifications, which can realize functions such as token issuance, transfer and transaction on Ethereum. Many tokens on the market are currently issued based on the ERC-20 standard.Curve Finance (CRV): A token provided by a DEX and automated market maker (AMM) platform for fast and easy token swaps.

The situation of Bitcoin’s next bull run may vary depending on various factors, including but not limited to the following possibilities: Halving effect: Bitcoin’s halving event usually has a certain impact on the market. After the halving, miners may reduce mining activity due to the reduction in mining rewards, which may lead to a reduction in the supply of Bitcoin, thus affecting its price. The next Bitcoin halving is expected to occur in 2024, which may bring some volatility to the Bitcoin market. Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike cycle may end around May 2024, which may trigger volatility in global financial markets, including the Bitcoin market. Institutional Investment: Institutional investors are likely to play an increasingly important role in the Bitcoin market. As institutions gradually become more accepting of cryptocurrencies, they are likely to increase their demand for Bitcoin, thus having a positive impact on Bitcoin's price. Macroeconomic environment: Changes in the macroeconomic environment may also affect the Bitcoin market. For example, if global economic growth slows or a recession occurs, it could cause the value of Bitcoin to decline. Conversely, if the global economy performs well, the price of Bitcoin may rise. In general, the next bull market of Bitcoin may be affected by a variety of factors, including the halving effect, Federal Reserve policy, institutional investment, macroeconomic environment, etc. The specific impact of these factors still needs to be analyzed and predicted on a case-by-case basis.

The Bitcoin halving schedule is as follows: The first Bitcoin halving occurred in November 2012, when the block height was 210,000. Bitcoin’s block reward is reduced from 50 to 25. The second Bitcoin halving occurred in July 2016, when the block height was 420,000. Bitcoin’s block reward is reduced from 25 to 12.5. The third Bitcoin halving occurred in May 2020, when the block height was 630,000. Bitcoin’s block reward has been reduced from 12.5 to 6.25. The fourth Bitcoin halving is expected to occur at block height 840,000, which is expected to be on May 4, 2024. By then, Bitcoin’s block reward will be reduced to 3.125.