In the past few days, I have also experienced retracement. Sometimes it is more difficult for retail investors to make money than in a bear market. It is said that it is because of all kinds of anxiety. Whether it is a shortfall, a contract, a sharp retracement, etc., these are the most inevitable things in human nature. One link: when others are fleeing the top, you are not fleeing. When others are rushing to make huge profits, the media reports which wallet has become rich again. When others are cheating, you are still in a daze. You will only be anxious and impulsive, and then make random decisions. , want to make money quickly and then continue to lose, and get off before the mentality explodes in the bull market. It should be done but not done: the biggest failure is patience, don't predict the market, improve valuation capabilities, if iotx, pyth, AR, wld, ondo, Ron, Lpt, which of the major long-term targets 2 months ago did not make money ? It’s only been 2 months and it’s already doubled... As a result, I switched positions and chased hot spots like crazy, and I lost myself. I need to be more patient and don’t do too many unnecessary operations. Look at the Binance exchange, which has thousands of operations throughout the month, but the positions are not. If you don't make any progress, it means that you are not a professional trader. You are just a professional in the currency circle. Confirming the target to buy a suitable position and waiting patiently is what you should do. The second misfortune is acuity and cognition. The hot bome catches up to about half, and I dare not take a position. If I miss it, I still lack cognition. I see the news but don’t pay attention. The cognition is not in place. You must know the wealth creation effect of the currency circle. It is very likely to appear in the issuance of new assets or new gameplay, and it must be easy to spread. When these conditions are met, you should pay attention to it immediately. Unfortunately, if you are not keen and aware, you will chase after it foolishly and only get soup. This should be done The most important thing is to have full market acumen, carefully review the reasons for the outbreak, and understand the narrative to gain the greatest value. If we could go back in time, we should do it 1. Hot spots can be pursued, but position allocation should be done well. Instead of changing positions frequently, the long-term target is to hold it well. Adjust the position with profit when the price rises. Keep U in hand before rushing. 2. It’s not that the band is bad, it’s that you understand your own capabilities and don’t do things beyond your capabilities, including contracts, bargain hunting, and top escapes. 3. Pay special attention to the issuance of new assets or the emergence of new gameplay, especially if the pool is large, the narrative is large, easy to get started, easy to spread, and particularly easy to explode. Don’t ignore any news and constantly improve your ability to identify information. $BTC $ETH $BNB #热门话题 #BOME #BTC #ETH #sol
By the way, what should we do if we miss any cryptocurrencies other than BTC? This is a very common source of FOMO feelings, and everyone in the group should have experienced it. My personal approach is, if I miss it, I miss it, it doesn't matter -- just comfort myself a bit. The crypto world is not short of opportunities, whether it's better assets or better entry points. In the past, I actually didn't have the concept of timing in my system, meaning I valued good things more. But currently, I will incorporate some timing; the essence is still whether this is a good thing, just considering more whether it's a good price. When there isn't a good price, I adopt a defensive mindset and try to hold onto good things. $BTC
"How to get 9000U Alpha in 10 minutes with zero wear and tear with 100U"
Notes: When buying, adjust the slippage to 0.1, and try to make the USDC to KMNO exchange 1:1. After the buy order is completed, immediately default to sell at the slippage, and quickly buy again when the sell order is not fully executed, taking into account both cost and efficiency.
In this way, time is exchanged for space, and space is exchanged for victory
Retail investors generally make money by driving up prices, while experts can also profit by short selling.
However, exchanges and market manipulators only need to keep creating, creating new products for you to buy. A continuous influx of new items and tricks. Maintaining the total amount without decline, while the quality is disregarded.
If there is a contradiction between the increasingly growing material and cultural needs of players and the backward social productivity, it has now evolved into a contradiction between developed productivity and the increasingly scarce material needs of players. Market manipulators continuously empty the wallets, while players stubbornly hold onto price discovery, with liquidity constantly being stripped away by new products.
One cannot forget the suffocating feeling of the price dropping to 74k a month ago just because Bitcoin has rebounded to 93k; nor can one think that Bitcoin has completely decoupled from the stock market and gold, and will continue to decline just because it dropped to 74k. Some even feel that if the expectation of MSTR being forced to liquidate is priced in, Bitcoin could drop to 25k.
A professional trader's thoughts can change eight times a day, depending on the time frame they are betting on. The market is a giant pendulum, swinging back and forth, with no permanent bull market and no permanent bottom. Will a new low for Bitcoin come? It's not impossible.
But I also realize that compared to being led by price every day, I enjoy being immersed in a field and continuously delving into it. The tranquility and sense of accomplishment brought by this deep work is something trading cannot provide.
The Deepest Pit for Retail Investors—Is Constantly Pretending to Learn
1/ A screw worker has saved "Signals for 100x Meme Price Increase."
A delivery guy scrolls through "Guide to Following New Coin Launches" every day.
Old Wang, who repairs electric bikes, has "Solana Wealth Route Map" in his phone.
2/ But the USDT in their wallets can never catch up with their dreams of being a domineering CEO on Douyin.
They are not making money, They are just transporting fantasies.
3/ Why do you get poorer the more you learn?
Because learning has become the cheapest form of self-anesthesia.
Staring at project hype, fantasizing about 100 times in three days;
Chasing social airdrops, dreaming of being a whale in their sleep.
The reality is, they can't even recover the Mint Gas fee.
4/ Don't forget, knowledge in the crypto circle is already worn out.
"How to Discover Potential Coins," "Meme Coin Surge Patterns."
Cheap knowledge, but what's expensive is your time and energy.
5/ Street knowledge in the crypto world = Creating Illusions of Poverty.
Those who truly break through don’t rely on tutorials, They rely on firsthand information, insight, and determination.
99% are learning, 1% are earning, You think you're getting stronger, but you're actually just wearing down your soles.
6/ Why does learning more lead to worse investments?
Big shot A shouts: "Grab the floor before the listing, go all in with your eyes closed!"
Teacher B says: "Three rounds in batches, strictly take profits!"
You believe both sides, and in the end, you buy high and sell low, losing to the point of questioning life.
7/ Whatever the algorithm feeds you, you believe.
Today you see the "Low Market Cap Explosion Formula," Tomorrow you see the "Bull Market Meme Layout Plan," The day after tomorrow you find the "Retail Investors’ Exclusive Wealth Code."
The more you learn, the emptier your wallet.
8/ The retail investors who genuinely make money have done three things:
Grab early information, ambush on the first wave Test with small funds, explode one to get enough Run away once they've made money, never get greedy
They are not "course experts,” but “market practical geniuses.”
9/ Want to make a comeback?
Only learn what can be used immediately Only do what can earn money right away Only trust your own real trades
Talking about bull markets, talking about 100x, is not as good as making enough for a Gas fee.
10/ Anxiety will not make you rich.
But those who sell anxiety have already driven off in their luxury cars.
Stop being a master collector.
Dive into the mud, get all dirty, to exchange for a golden egg.
Alpaca Delisting Soars 13 Times—A Textbook-Level Analysis of a Cryptocurrency Hunting Trap
1. Alpaca finance (Alpaca 🦙): an old token that isn’t popular. In 2021, leveraging yield farming on Binance Smart Chain (BSC), the peak TVL (Total Value Locked) reached 2 billion dollars, a definite DeFi star. Unfortunately, good times didn’t last long; once the BSC craze faded, it felt like sliding down a slide, with the price consistently declining within a wedge channel. This year, I also bought a bit during the revival of BSC, hoping it would rebound, but the result? Not even a shadow of a rebound could be seen. The total market cap is only a pitiful 9 million U, and part of the circulating supply is still locked. I felt the market cap was too low compared to Meteorca. Moreover, at that time, CZ's determination to revive the BSC chain made me want to take a gamble.
Can the circle still make money by "carving a boat to seek a sword"? A friend's painful history ❤️
Recently, while chatting with friends who trade cryptocurrencies, I discovered an interesting phenomenon: everyone is trying to replicate the scripts from past bull markets 📖
"Bitcoin rises first → Ethereum follows → Altcoins surge" "Before the bull market, blindly accumulating, at least 3-5 times, more often over 10 times+"
After this halving, friends around me also followed suit and heavily invested, the result...🤯 Bitcoin keeps fluctuating, altcoins collectively plummeting, ETH has dropped 50% from its peak.
In the group, the cheers of "retiring early" turned into jokes about "meeting on the rooftop". In fact, this bull market changed the rules of the game once institutions entered the scene; even MEME coins have started to play new tricks with on-chain dividends. The painful lesson for old investors: history will not simply repeat itself; the only constant is change itself. $BTC
After browsing the market for an afternoon, my overall impression is: the market is quite lively, but beneath the hustle and bustle, it’s not that easy to make money. A month ago, there were no more than thirty dogs to watch, and it’s still the same now, although new dogs emerge every day, the ratio of dead dogs is extremely high. Liquidity is slightly better than before, but attention has been mostly drawn away by the secondary market. The market capacity at the end of April hasn’t changed much compared to the beginning of April. Good opportunities are still very few and far between.
Overall atmosphere: The consensus in the market is — There are far fewer who gain by holding onto the strong than those who are punished by holding onto the weak. The vast majority are in a precarious state: afraid to buy when it falls, afraid to chase when it rises, those who hold onto the weak see their investments go to zero, while those who don’t hold take off. The entire process is exhausting rather than exciting; to put it bluntly, it’s just tiring.
Sustainability: Sustainability refers not only to the continuous rise of individual coins but more importantly to the overall themes, styles, and rhythms of the market. Especially the rhythm. Only by grasping the market rhythm can one talk about so-called certainty. The rhythm has changed too quickly recently; new coins change their rhythm in just two or three days, and if you can’t keep up, you’ll get punished.
Current operation: Focus on new leaders or the strongest batch of coins, Avoid coins with particularly extreme emotions, Prioritize projects with clear manipulation or control signs, And take advantage of swings.
Binance Alpha not only positions itself on-chain, but more importantly, it competes for the listing rights of non-first-tier projects. Several projects have verified the path of launching IDO-BN contracts with Cake for spot trading. If other exchanges do not offer a lower listing offer, this path may be the short-term optimal choice for the projects;
However, the seemingly lower listing costs actually compress/sacrifice the airdrop ratio. You could say this is backstabbing the community or exploiting the airdrop, but from the project's perspective, exchanges know your data is manipulated, and these exploiters are merely here to dump the coins and take away the precious USDT. It would be better to give the opportunity of IDO arbitrage and exploitation to platform tokens or those who can help with trading volume;
When exploiters search various early projects in a dazzling market for uncertain airdrops, they then directly wait for BN to filter out certain fine airdrops for everyone. Once again, we find ourselves back in a situation where the entire industry works for the exchanges.
The exchange has provided a strategy to quickly lose everything, by fully investing for a day at the highest margin
Let's review the 'Wild Boar Trap'; now the little pigs (retail investors) who have been hungry for a long time are spreading the word, all talking about a place where food is plentiful and delicious (alpaca 96% daily chemical). As a result, a large number of little pigs are rushing in (increased positions): Some clever little pigs (swing bulls), noticing that their companions are increasing, are constantly watching their surroundings, naively thinking they can avoid the hunter's trap (waterfall), but they are mistaken as they should not have entered the cage (went long) at this time $ALPACA
To be honest, some of the tokens on Alpha previously were indeed quite average, and I'm aware of that. Today, I will share from a personal perspective how Binance Alpha has gradually progressed!
Let’s discuss from the following points:
1. Wealth creation effect.
It was hard to use at first. Not only do we know it's hard to use, but also @heyibinance knows it's hard to use, and she also publicly promotes it while self-deprecating about its difficulty.
What to do if it's hard to use? Learn the basic operations of web2. I will directly give you money; you wouldn't turn away a smiling face. If I give you money directly, you would surely be happy, right? If there's a problem, I cover the loss, then you can use it, right? This is the initial point of Alpha's breakout.
What are you still doing with those low-end coins? Just go to Binance Alpha and make 1143 USDT in a month. You say you don't have accounts? Your dad, your mom, your grandpa, your grandma, your maternal grandpa, and your maternal grandma? Just get them all involved, and there you have 5 accounts. You can net over 5000 USDT in a month. Isn't that better than working? Isn't that better than losing money on low-end coins?
The execution power of a professional team is still stronger than that of an amateur. The studio is on KuCoin, and if you can't earn this money, it's just a lack of execution. You just need to click a few times every day. With 5 accounts, it will take you at most 10 minutes, right? Don't you want the money that's just sitting there for free?
Just choose coins with good liquidity and thick pools, prioritize those on Base or Sol, lower the slippage, and you’ll only lose a fraction of a USDT. Trading 512 USDT daily will net you 0.9 USDT. Isn't this the easiest thing?
San Shang is a celebrity coin, why has it started again? It feels like it's still the same group of people from Brazil, Cuba, and Argentina behind it. The cryptocurrency market is just a little bit better, And here we go again. An unforgettable pain. They even banned the Japanese from buying. It's obvious they are here to drain the Chinese people's wealth. Still, SOL, even dogs don't rush in.
Can't go up or down on the big pancake, likely to touch around 100k Going up again would be a divergence I seek stability, cleared out at 94000, but it doesn't mean I will short, so I might miss a segment. I won't take the last segment of 6000 dollars in profit After all, I did catch the segment from 77000 to 94000 $BTC
First, it can be confirmed that the delisting news was known to the trader in advance, and they established long positions beforehand. In terms of strategy, they quickly crash the market using the 15 minutes after the news is released, eliminating long positions, then rapidly push the price up to a high level and consolidate, making retail investors afraid to follow with long positions. The trader will then watch the price orders; once there are short orders, they will quickly push the price up again, trapping the short sellers while slowly rising, cutting losses, and forcing them to add margin, gradually consuming the short's margin. Once the trader sees no short presence on the order book (meaning all available funds of the short sellers have been exhausted), they will rapidly push the price up in a short time, exploding the shorts to gain excess liquidity, while simultaneously closing their long positions and exiting. After that, the market starts to reverse, the trader establishes short positions, and heavily dumps spot, then the script continues with harvesting the longs, at which point most longs die trying to support the bottom.
During the process of pushing the price up/down, Binance will cooperate by releasing positive/negative news, the shortening of the funding fee collection time is a positive signal, with the extreme being once every hour at -3%. Typically, the exchange's strategy is to change from 8 hours to 4 hours, then from 4 hours to 2 hours, and 2 hours to 1 hour, including changing the upper limit of funding fees from -2% to -3%. Binance will release positive news four times in total, along with changes to the position limits as further positive signals. Once the trader has finished harvesting, they will quickly revert to 8 hours and lower the position limits. In fact, the @Alpacafinance project team is also quite cunning, deliberately releasing news about a large unlock in advance to trick retail investors into shorting $alpaca, thereby providing liquidity to the trader, serving as fuel in the price-pushing process, with the shorts burning themselves, allowing the trader to thrive. Before the market shows a reversal, theoretically, the losses for shorts can be nearly infinite, so shorts are like toys in front of the trader, and the most taboo operation is to add positions to raise the price of short orders, which only provides fuel for the trader, allowing the price to rise even higher.
In fact, while the trader's coin appears to have huge gains, retail investors find it very difficult to make money because every step of your operation is within the trader's calculation range. It is impossible to beat the trader; to make money, one must learn to follow the trader, which is also the reason why large funds only play BTC.
Do $alpaca's own monitoring of long and short ratios. Once it turns up, you can't go long again. If the last wave is the main force going short, then it will be exciting. Reference $vidt, vidt dropped 90% on the last day.
Alpaca $alpaca's way of pulling the market is based on $auction. In the previous wave of $auction, it was mentioned that the dog fund's operation method can also refer to $trb's pulling method. Using the highest fee rate to pull the market. This pulling method was discussed before when reviewing $auction, especially after Binance modified the rules, changing from 8h to 1h, making it easier to collect funding fees. This is also why $auction took a month to pull the market, while Alpaca $alpaca did it in three days with the delisting concept + highest fee rate. $alpaca = $voxel + $auction combined.
The first is low market value, starting with just a few million dollars, a voxel replica. A few big players can easily hold the market and control it. The second is Binance's new fee rate regulation, collecting funding fees every 1 hour.
The main force of Alpaca, which is the main player, opened long positions at the bottom while retail investors have been shorting. Or people following Binance are dragging a bunch of retail investors short. The main force's long positions at the bottom remain unchanged, receiving $a's funding fees to buy spot to maintain the market. The dog fund opens long positions every hour to consume funding fees, while short positions can drain your principal. A dull knife cuts flesh; the deeper the shorts get trapped.
Continuously giving hope to the short side, then suddenly pulling up a spike, grinding the shorts down to where they have no principal left. The shorts will be like frogs in warm water, with their principal decreasing every hour and their liquidation price getting closer. It is clear that the main force is continuously squeezing the shorts; the more you short, the more I pull. So do not short on the left side against the main force.
Spot pulls out a 5% premium, leading to a negative fee rate; essentially, it is still doing the same thing as before, with the bottom long positions remaining unchanged, eating as many fees as possible.
Next, we need to observe the changes in open interest and long-short ratios to judge whether the main force starts to hedge and short. Once the main force begins to hedge, the price will plummet rapidly. Refer to the last time $aution was at the bottom, 10x, sold and never looked back. Once the fee rate loosens, you need to gradually take profits. Now Alpaca has already exceeded 10 times; consider taking profits in batches.
In fact, many people who play contracts do not understand the basic mechanisms of contracts. Let's talk about why it's said that short sellers are the fuel, and give an example of how a platform like Alpaca is manipulated.
A platform like Alpaca, which only has a market value of a few million at the bottom, allows the operators to control the circulating spot chips at a very low cost.
Before pulling up the price, I just need to build a huge long position in contracts and then start buying the spot market. As long as the retail investors' short positions significantly exceed my long position, they will continuously pay me the funding rate for short sellers. I use this portion of the funding rate to buy spot, which will push the contract price up. Every time a short position is liquidated, it will convert into new buying pressure for the contracts. My previously opened long position will continue to earn more and more, and the funding rate I receive will also increase, which means the funds available to pull up the spot market will also grow.
Give me a tightly controlled spot market and unlimited short sellers, and I can create something like Nvidia for you.
It's not even the weekend yet, and the alpacas have already started to preheat the weekend counterfeit market. Alpaca $ALPACA this way of messaging back and forth is just to reach the maximum negative fee rate. With such a strong push, we might have to wait until tomorrow afternoon for new updates, or switch to a different batch.
When picking up alpacas yesterday with a market value of 6 million, several large holders could handle the volume. In the future, the fee rate will directly change from 8 hours to 1 hour under new regulations. Over the weekend, we will definitely see new maximum negative fee rates. Now, all real businesses will explore how to utilize the new rules. After all, alpaca has already set an example. Under the new regulations, it's very easy for the main players to launch surprise attacks in the middle of the night and then keep charging fees until morning. They can continuously collect fees for several hours.
The rebound target in my heart has been reached, and I have already liquidated my spot holdings. Personally, I think it will top out at 96,000; I won't hold onto the remaining. The daily chart is adjusting and consolidating. The weekly MACD has returned to the zero axis, which is quite good; it has rebounded by $20,000.
I won't take the last bite; 96,400 is the 0.618 position. The market is really different now with the buying power from U.S. stocks.
The valuations of these altcoins have been driven down very low. These new coins have very low valuations. Switching from long to short takes time; it requires a process. Next time, let's give the main players a bit more time and patience. I hope we can do better next time. $BTC #加密货币总市值重回3万亿