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On July 8th, the market continued its previous slow-paced oscillation, with relatively mild fluctuations in price.
As analyzed in detail in yesterday's video, for Bitcoin, the 105,000 point is a key reference line at this stage — if it can consistently maintain an oscillating state above this level, then the entire trend still aligns with our previous judgment of the "four-hour nested 30-minute central half-cycle" framework, which reflects the "wheel within a wheel" logic of the Kunpeng trading strategy. Under this structure, the trend rhythm of the larger cycle is nested with the fluctuations and adjustments of the smaller cycle, creating a mutually responsive operational state.
From the current market performance, the overall pattern has not undergone any substantial change and remains within a high-level oscillation range. This state is actually a typical "time for space" movement — the market has not completed the conversion of bullish and bearish forces and the exchange of chips through significant rises and falls, but has instead chosen to digest short-term divergences over time, waiting for market sentiment and capital flow to gradually achieve a new balance.
So, wait!
As analyzed in detail in yesterday's video, for Bitcoin, the 105,000 point is a key reference line at this stage — if it can consistently maintain an oscillating state above this level, then the entire trend still aligns with our previous judgment of the "four-hour nested 30-minute central half-cycle" framework, which reflects the "wheel within a wheel" logic of the Kunpeng trading strategy. Under this structure, the trend rhythm of the larger cycle is nested with the fluctuations and adjustments of the smaller cycle, creating a mutually responsive operational state.
From the current market performance, the overall pattern has not undergone any substantial change and remains within a high-level oscillation range. This state is actually a typical "time for space" movement — the market has not completed the conversion of bullish and bearish forces and the exchange of chips through significant rises and falls, but has instead chosen to digest short-term divergences over time, waiting for market sentiment and capital flow to gradually achieve a new balance.
So, wait!
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June 30th Kunpeng Market Analysis: Teacher Kunpeng's Predictions Shine Again! ETH and Altcoins Surge; Those Who Missed the Live Stream Lost Big!
Today, there is no need for excessive words. Teacher Kunpeng has already pointed out the direction of the market in last night's live stream, clearly indicating a bullish outlook and predicting an upward breakout trend. As expected, today Ethereum along with many altcoins made a strong effort, initiating a fierce rally. Those sharp-minded friends had already quietly built their positions when they received the live stream notification yesterday afternoon, seizing the opportunity.
Teacher Kunpeng's judgment on the larger trend has always been unwavering, showcasing a deep insight into the market. He had already clearly elaborated on the logic behind the bottoming of altcoins months ago. You may have some doubts about your own judgments, but please trust Teacher Kunpeng's precise grasp of trends; this insight has been repeatedly validated in the market.
In last night's live stream, Teacher Kunpeng deeply analyzed several crucial market points, filled with valuable insights and pearls of wisdom! Friends who missed the live stream are strongly advised to watch the replay immediately and grasp the essence! The market does not wait for anyone; key points can slip away in an instant, so do not hesitate again in the face of opportunity. The path of trading is built on learning; only by continuously improving can one become a true trader!
June 30th Kunpeng Market Analysis: Teacher Kunpeng's Predictions Shine Again! ETH and Altcoins Surge; Those Who Missed the Live Stream Lost Big!
Today, there is no need for excessive words. Teacher Kunpeng has already pointed out the direction of the market in last night's live stream, clearly indicating a bullish outlook and predicting an upward breakout trend. As expected, today Ethereum along with many altcoins made a strong effort, initiating a fierce rally. Those sharp-minded friends had already quietly built their positions when they received the live stream notification yesterday afternoon, seizing the opportunity.
Teacher Kunpeng's judgment on the larger trend has always been unwavering, showcasing a deep insight into the market. He had already clearly elaborated on the logic behind the bottoming of altcoins months ago. You may have some doubts about your own judgments, but please trust Teacher Kunpeng's precise grasp of trends; this insight has been repeatedly validated in the market.
In last night's live stream, Teacher Kunpeng deeply analyzed several crucial market points, filled with valuable insights and pearls of wisdom! Friends who missed the live stream are strongly advised to watch the replay immediately and grasp the essence! The market does not wait for anyone; key points can slip away in an instant, so do not hesitate again in the face of opportunity. The path of trading is built on learning; only by continuously improving can one become a true trader!
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June 23rd Kunpeng Market Analysis: Don't Panic When It Drops Below 100,000! The Daily Adjustment Holds the Key to the Next Wave!
Yesterday, the market was filled with the clamor of "the bear market has arrived," with various excited analyses emerging, and some even shouted that the price of Ethereum would drop to the "1" range. In the face of this scene, some secretly rejoiced, while others were anxious and uneasy, yet my heart remained calm. Looking back, I once struggled to let go of the significant fluctuations in profits, but now I can view the ups and downs of account numbers with equanimity—I deeply know that on this path, whether in trading or growth, nothing can be achieved overnight. Understanding this principle is like stepping onto a higher platform, allowing one to face the market's storms with a more composed mindset.
In fact, at the beginning of the month, the teacher mentioned in the analysis that the market would show a "jumping up and down" trend due to news stimuli. If one only focuses on small-level cycles to look at the market, the significance of the trend will be blurred. As Longpeng said yesterday: "You will never earn money beyond your understanding"—this seemingly clichéd statement reveals the most naked reality of the market.
### Market Thought Analysis:
Yesterday, I shared the teacher's viewpoint in the group: even if Bitcoin breaks below the 100,000 four-hour fluctuation zone, from a daily level perspective, this is merely an adjustment of the upward wave from 74,000 to 110,000. Once the adjustment ends, opportunities still outweigh risks. Last night, the market dropped sharply, just reaching the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level marked by the teacher before rebounding, and the rebound strength is currently acceptable. In the short term, attention should be paid to whether it can recover around 104,000—if the bulls can pull this level back and stabilize, the situation is expected to turn around quickly; if it fails to break through, the adjustment may continue, with support below at 97,000.
Every moment of suffering and tempering you experience now is the foundation for building cognitive height. The market will never disappoint those who truly understand accumulation and reflection.
Yesterday, the market was filled with the clamor of "the bear market has arrived," with various excited analyses emerging, and some even shouted that the price of Ethereum would drop to the "1" range. In the face of this scene, some secretly rejoiced, while others were anxious and uneasy, yet my heart remained calm. Looking back, I once struggled to let go of the significant fluctuations in profits, but now I can view the ups and downs of account numbers with equanimity—I deeply know that on this path, whether in trading or growth, nothing can be achieved overnight. Understanding this principle is like stepping onto a higher platform, allowing one to face the market's storms with a more composed mindset.
In fact, at the beginning of the month, the teacher mentioned in the analysis that the market would show a "jumping up and down" trend due to news stimuli. If one only focuses on small-level cycles to look at the market, the significance of the trend will be blurred. As Longpeng said yesterday: "You will never earn money beyond your understanding"—this seemingly clichéd statement reveals the most naked reality of the market.
### Market Thought Analysis:
Yesterday, I shared the teacher's viewpoint in the group: even if Bitcoin breaks below the 100,000 four-hour fluctuation zone, from a daily level perspective, this is merely an adjustment of the upward wave from 74,000 to 110,000. Once the adjustment ends, opportunities still outweigh risks. Last night, the market dropped sharply, just reaching the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level marked by the teacher before rebounding, and the rebound strength is currently acceptable. In the short term, attention should be paid to whether it can recover around 104,000—if the bulls can pull this level back and stabilize, the situation is expected to turn around quickly; if it fails to break through, the adjustment may continue, with support below at 97,000.
Every moment of suffering and tempering you experience now is the foundation for building cognitive height. The market will never disappoint those who truly understand accumulation and reflection.
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Good afternoon everyone, today is Sunday, let's do a text analysis of the market.
The situation in the Middle East has been escalating recently, and US stocks are now strongly correlated with Bitcoin. The Bitcoin structure looks fine, still in a strong adjustment phase. As mentioned before, the price touched 100,000 again in the early morning and rebounded, but the momentum is not strong. For the bulls to turn strong, they need to surpass 104,000. If 100,000 breaks down later, the next support level is the 38.2% retracement below. The current pullback is targeting the red pen's up and down movements. Once the red pen's adjustment ends, it will signal the start of the next upward movement. Ethereum has broken 2,400; if you have spot holdings, it's advisable to hold on. For contracts, manage your positions according to your own judgment.
To add a note, the opportunities here still outweigh the risks.
Good afternoon everyone, today is Sunday, let's do a text analysis of the market.
The situation in the Middle East has been escalating recently, and US stocks are now strongly correlated with Bitcoin. The Bitcoin structure looks fine, still in a strong adjustment phase. As mentioned before, the price touched 100,000 again in the early morning and rebounded, but the momentum is not strong. For the bulls to turn strong, they need to surpass 104,000. If 100,000 breaks down later, the next support level is the 38.2% retracement below. The current pullback is targeting the red pen's up and down movements. Once the red pen's adjustment ends, it will signal the start of the next upward movement. Ethereum has broken 2,400; if you have spot holdings, it's advisable to hold on. For contracts, manage your positions according to your own judgment.
To add a note, the opportunities here still outweigh the risks.
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❤ June 17th Kunpeng Market Analysis: Already seeing through the main players' tricks, don’t chase highs or cut losses during the volatile period!
In yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that if the market pulls back above 106000 and successfully retests, it can confirm that a downward movement on the four-hour chart has completed. Currently, we are still maintaining a large volatile range on the four-hour chart. Yesterday, Bitcoin strongly surged to the resistance level of 108000, but this morning, we saw a small-scale rapid decline, with price fluctuations being lively. At this moment, we should ignore the short-term sliding door movements and look at the daily chart where the structural pattern remains strong, so there’s no need to worry about the spot market.
This type of movement is actually not surprising—friends who have been following the morning reviews should remember that as early as the 6th, the teacher made predictions about the market using the Book of Changes (look closely at the chart). Since then, I have also repeatedly analyzed the market structure from different time frame perspectives (including yesterday). Here’s the key point: if you chase highs and cut losses in such a large volatile market, you are just giving money to the market makers.
What you can do is to control your position well and patiently wait! This is also an excellent opportunity to train your trading mindset and position management.
PS: Tomorrow night, the interest rate meeting in the early morning of the 19th will lead to greater fluctuations in the market. Do you think it will go up or down? Share your thoughts in the comments!
In yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that if the market pulls back above 106000 and successfully retests, it can confirm that a downward movement on the four-hour chart has completed. Currently, we are still maintaining a large volatile range on the four-hour chart. Yesterday, Bitcoin strongly surged to the resistance level of 108000, but this morning, we saw a small-scale rapid decline, with price fluctuations being lively. At this moment, we should ignore the short-term sliding door movements and look at the daily chart where the structural pattern remains strong, so there’s no need to worry about the spot market.
This type of movement is actually not surprising—friends who have been following the morning reviews should remember that as early as the 6th, the teacher made predictions about the market using the Book of Changes (look closely at the chart). Since then, I have also repeatedly analyzed the market structure from different time frame perspectives (including yesterday). Here’s the key point: if you chase highs and cut losses in such a large volatile market, you are just giving money to the market makers.
What you can do is to control your position well and patiently wait! This is also an excellent opportunity to train your trading mindset and position management.
PS: Tomorrow night, the interest rate meeting in the early morning of the 19th will lead to greater fluctuations in the market. Do you think it will go up or down? Share your thoughts in the comments!
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June 15: Good morning everyone on this Sunday! The current market is still in a repair cycle. Yesterday, the market pulled back from the resistance level of 106000, and in the short term, we should focus on whether this level can form an effective stabilization and begin to oscillate upwards. The YSL and yl flighting events continue to develop, and as a result, the market is likely to continue its oscillating pattern. The market will likely remain unclear until the interest rate is determined in the early hours of the 19th, so stay patient.
If the market shows further declines, there is no need to panic excessively; we should focus on the support strength of the daily MA60 moving average.
❤️ Today coincides with Father's Day. While others see you battling in the K-line, they do not know that every order you place is for the happiness of “building positions” for your family. May every trade today meet with good fortune, and may you know: in the hearts of your family, you will always be the most worthy of heavy investment “quality blue-chip”. Happy Father's Day!
If the market shows further declines, there is no need to panic excessively; we should focus on the support strength of the daily MA60 moving average.
❤️ Today coincides with Father's Day. While others see you battling in the K-line, they do not know that every order you place is for the happiness of “building positions” for your family. May every trade today meet with good fortune, and may you know: in the hearts of your family, you will always be the most worthy of heavy investment “quality blue-chip”. Happy Father's Day!
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June 11th Kunpeng BTC: BTC's previous high oscillation hides mysteries, can ETH become the pioneer after the breakthrough?
Recently, market trading sentiment has been high, and the anxious mood actually stems from the psychological gap caused by missing out, rather than the financial losses from short liquidations—it's human nature. People often find it harder to accept the regret of 'missed opportunities' compared to the risks of 'losses'.
Since the reversal by the major influencer Tianlong on the 6th, the price of BTC has climbed to near its previous high. From a technical perspective, BTC is likely to enter a mode of oscillation and consolidation around the previous high, with the 30-minute oscillation range possibly locked between 110,000 and 108,000. This phase of high-level consolidation is a necessary preparation for breaking through the previous high: it needs to digest the selling pressure from earlier trapped positions and solidify the upward basis through the exchange of chips.
It is worth noting that ETH has already broken through the previous high, and if BTC can maintain its oscillation pattern at the current high, the market's capital rotation effect may intensify—ETH and popular altcoins are expected to take advantage of this and initiate a temporary rally, forming a rhythm of interaction between mainstream coins and altcoins.
Stick to a holding strategy and reduce frequent trading. Focus on the capital flow of ETH and the sector's hot spots, capturing structural opportunities in the rotation market, and avoiding missing out on trending markets due to short-term fluctuations.
PS: I would like to hear everyone's thoughts: do you think BTC will directly break through the previous high after the oscillation this time?
Recently, market trading sentiment has been high, and the anxious mood actually stems from the psychological gap caused by missing out, rather than the financial losses from short liquidations—it's human nature. People often find it harder to accept the regret of 'missed opportunities' compared to the risks of 'losses'.
Since the reversal by the major influencer Tianlong on the 6th, the price of BTC has climbed to near its previous high. From a technical perspective, BTC is likely to enter a mode of oscillation and consolidation around the previous high, with the 30-minute oscillation range possibly locked between 110,000 and 108,000. This phase of high-level consolidation is a necessary preparation for breaking through the previous high: it needs to digest the selling pressure from earlier trapped positions and solidify the upward basis through the exchange of chips.
It is worth noting that ETH has already broken through the previous high, and if BTC can maintain its oscillation pattern at the current high, the market's capital rotation effect may intensify—ETH and popular altcoins are expected to take advantage of this and initiate a temporary rally, forming a rhythm of interaction between mainstream coins and altcoins.
Stick to a holding strategy and reduce frequent trading. Focus on the capital flow of ETH and the sector's hot spots, capturing structural opportunities in the rotation market, and avoiding missing out on trending markets due to short-term fluctuations.
PS: I would like to hear everyone's thoughts: do you think BTC will directly break through the previous high after the oscillation this time?
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