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At 2 AM, the FOMC meeting will make a shocking appearance, with results that concern the direction of the financial markets. Historical data shows that 70% of the day's volatility occurs in the two hours following the meeting, and the market is bound to welcome a period of high volatility. 02:00 The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and dot plot will be released. The mainstream market expectation is that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rates. If this expectation is met, Bitcoin and US stocks may experience a deep correction due to a lack of policy stimulus, paving the way for a rate cut in September; if an unexpected rate cut occurs, a large amount of funds will flood into the cryptocurrency market, and Bitcoin prices are expected to strongly break through $120,000. 02:30 Powell's press conference is the key focus. His speech will address three sensitive issues: the path of interest rate cuts, political pressure, and tariff classification, which will directly affect market expectations. Dovish signals will enhance risk appetite, while hawkish remarks may trigger panic; statements on political pressure and tariffs will also influence market confidence and risk aversion sentiment. ❗️ Special attention ⚠️ The period during Powell's speech is expected to trigger significant market fluctuations, friends must fasten their risk control seatbelts and respond cautiously! Prepare strategies to welcome this 'super storm' in the financial market! ❗️ The overall market is currently in a high position with a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The overall strength remains unchanged, after all, the pullback has not fully retraced the recent upward space. Today is also a slow upward trend, although not very strong, but it is enduring. However, considering that there have been multiple occasions without providing much rebound space, there is a need to be cautious about the potential for a certain level of pullback. The four-hour chart has repeatedly shown a door-opening situation, with the short-term exploration of highs and collection of lows to be seen only as fluctuations, rather than strength. There will still be competition this week. The 4-hour chart has repeatedly tested highs and re-tested support at the peak, with stabilization above. If maintained, continue to look bullish; if lost, it will turn to a retreat. In the short term, it may present itself as a prolonged oscillation. Bulls and bears are interchanging. #GENIUS稳定币法案 #美联储利率决策即将公布 $BTC TC
Tracking real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seizing the best trading opportunities
Today is Wednesday, June 18, 2025. Good morning to all crypto friends ☀️ Iron fans check in 👍 Like and make a fortune 🍗🍗 U.S. stocks closed lower on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones initially down 0.7%, the S&P 500 down 0.84%, and the Nasdaq down 0.9%. Tesla (TSLA.O) fell 3.88%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index dropped 1.77%, with JD.com (JD.O) down nearly 1%. The cryptocurrency market experienced significant fluctuations again, with most of the top gainers facing imminent delisting. The conflict situation in the Middle East continues to deteriorate, with Trump threatening Iranian leaders to surrender unconditionally. The market speculates that the U.S. may soon join the crackdown on Iran. Economic reports show that U.S. consumer spending is weak. Starting today, the Federal Reserve is holding a monetary policy meeting, with decisions and statements to be announced tomorrow, and Fed Chairman Powell will also speak. The market generally expects that the decisions made at this meeting will have a profound impact on the direction of global financial markets. Whether to maintain interest rates, raise them, or cut them will directly change the flow of funds and risk preferences in the market. In the context of rising tensions in the Middle East and weak economic data, the Federal Reserve's decisions become crucial, as any subtle change in wording could trigger the next round of market volatility. In the face of a complex and changing market environment, investors need to remain highly vigilant and closely monitor U.S. stock trends, cryptocurrency market dynamics, developments in the Middle East, and the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
Today, the market continues its downward trend, and the weak performance during the trading hours has made investors cautiously observe. In the early trading session, the market briefly showed signs of stabilization, giving some investors who anticipated a rebound a glimmer of hope. However, this hope was short-lived as the bearish forces intensified in the afternoon, leading to a ladder-like decline in the index, and the evident lack of rebound momentum made the downtrend increasingly apparent. In such a market environment, the previously formulated short-term trading strategy has demonstrated its effectiveness. When the anticipated rebound did not materialize, decisive profit-taking actions were executed, successfully achieving a steady small profit. This operation not only reflects the rationality of strategy formulation but also highlights the importance of being flexible and timely in stopping losses and taking profits in a complex and ever-changing market.
Track real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seize the best trading opportunities
Today is Tuesday, June 17, 2025 U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones initially up 0.77%, the S&P 500 up 0.9%, and the Nasdaq up 1.5%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose by 1.9%, and cryptocurrency-related stocks saw a general increase, with Circle (CRCL.K) up 13% and Co-base (COIN.O) up nearly 8%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 2%, Alibaba (BABA.N) gained 2.76%, and Bilibili (BILI.O) surged over 5%. According to CME's 'Fed Watch': the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 99.8%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 0.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in July is 87.5%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 12.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 0%. The cryptocurrency market rose across the board last night, with Bitcoin reaching a high of around 108,950 and Ethereum hitting a high of around 2,680, but in the morning session, it experienced a significant 15-minute bearish candle due to news impact, and is currently in a price recovery phase! The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is approaching, and we should pay attention to changes in news conditions!
On Monday, the cryptocurrency market surged throughout the day, precisely aligning with the bullish outlook in the morning. Bitcoin began to rebound from the low point of 104925, with bullish momentum gradually picking up, peaking at 107221. Ethereum, after a pullback at the 2513 level, stopped falling and rose, following Bitcoin's rhythm and strongly reaching the 2636 level. The success of the strategy to buy on the morning dip demonstrates the strength of the bullish forces in the market. From a daily perspective, after a series of declines at the end of last week, Bitcoin did not further breach the 100,000 mark. After the consolidation and accumulation over Saturday and Sunday, the price maintained above 104000 and launched an upward attack, successfully reclaiming the critical dividing line between long and short positions at 106500, firmly standing above the midline of the daily level. This not only signifies that the market bulls have regained control, but also indicates that the previous adjustments have fully released the bearish pressure, laying the foundation for future increases. On the 4-hour level, both Bitcoin and Ethereum show a trend of consecutive upward candles. The short-term moving averages have turned upward again, returning to a bullish divergent arrangement. The formation of this technical pattern visually reflects the strong bullish momentum in the market, which is expected to continue in the short term. Currently, the short-term structure continues to rise, and various formations indicate that there is further upward momentum in price. As long as the midline in the short term is not breached, the bullish trend is unlikely to change, and the market will still maintain a bullish tone.