DUMIAULE FR

Why does the price of Bitcoin rise sharply after each halving???

1. BTC supply decreases significantly
• Each halving reduces the reward for miners by half (for example: from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC in 2024).
• This means:
• The supply of newly issued BTC each day decreases by 50%.
• From ~900 BTC/day → down to ~450 BTC/day.

→ If demand remains the same or increases while supply decreases → prices tend to rise.

2. Market expectations and psychology
• Investors know in advance that halving will occur (about every 4 years), and expect that it will trigger a price surge like previous cycles.
• This creates a psychological effect of "buy before the price rises", leading to:
• Strong accumulation before and after halving.
• FOMO (fear of missing out) when prices start to rise quickly → continues to push prices up.

3. Selling pressure from miners decreases
• Miners are the group that frequently sells BTC on the market to cover operating costs.
• When block rewards decrease:
• They hold more, only selling when prices are high.
• The amount of BTC "dumped" on the market decreases → reducing supply pressure.

4. Historical post-halving cycle

Previous halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) all led to significant price increases in the 12–18 months following.

5. Stock-to-Flow model
• This is a pricing model based on scarcity.
• Halving causes Bitcoin's (S/F) ratio to increase → theoretically increasing its value.
• Famous KOL PlanB uses this model to predict BTC could reach:
• ~$100k–$150k after the 2024 halving.
• And could rise to $1 million by the end of the decade.

✅ Conclusion:
+ Decreased supply → Increased scarcity
+ Expectation psychology and FOMO
+ Miners sell less → reduced pressure
+ Historical cycles and pricing models support price increases
=> BTC rises sharply.

Crypto God

Why does the price of Bitcoin rise sharply after each halving???

1. BTC supply decreases significantly
• Each halving reduces the reward for miners by half (for example: from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC in 2024).
• This means:
• The supply of newly issued BTC each day decreases by 50%.
• From ~900 BTC/day → down to ~450 BTC/day.

→ If demand remains the same or increases while supply decreases → prices tend to rise.

2. Market expectations and psychology
• Investors know in advance that halving will occur (about every 4 years), and expect that it will trigger a price surge like previous cycles.
• This creates a psychological effect of "buy before the price rises", leading to:
• Strong accumulation before and after halving.
• FOMO (fear of missing out) when prices start to rise quickly → continues to push prices up.

3. Selling pressure from miners decreases
• Miners are the group that frequently sells BTC on the market to cover operating costs.
• When block rewards decrease:
• They hold more, only selling when prices are high.
• The amount of BTC "dumped" on the market decreases → reducing supply pressure.

4. Historical post-halving cycle

Previous halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) all led to significant price increases in the 12–18 months following.

5. Stock-to-Flow model
• This is a pricing model based on scarcity.
• Halving causes Bitcoin's (S/F) ratio to increase → theoretically increasing its value.
• Famous KOL PlanB uses this model to predict BTC could reach:
• ~$100k–$150k after the 2024 halving.
• And could rise to $1 million by the end of the decade.

✅ Conclusion:
+ Decreased supply → Increased scarcity
+ Expectation psychology and FOMO
+ Miners sell less → reduced pressure
+ Historical cycles and pricing models support price increases
=> BTC rises sharply.

Crypto God

News :

China accuses the US of "abusing export control measures" after the United States warned businesses not to use Huawei's Ascend AI chips.

Beijing declares:

- The US is violating the agreement reached in the Geneva talks.
- Calls on the US to correct its mistakes.
- China warns that there will be retaliatory measures if the US continues unilateral actions.

In addition:

The US is close to passing the GENIUS Act, which imposes strict regulations on stablecoins like USDT and USDC, requiring safe asset reserves and compliance with anti-money laundering regulations.

Crypto God of Wealth

YOU SHOULD READ THIS EXPERIENCE CORNER

The time frames where "Pump-Dump" phenomena are likely to occur

1. Overlap of the US - Asia session (around 22:00 – 01:00 VN time)
• Reason: At this time, the US market is active while the Asian market is just starting to open (Japan, South Korea).
• Nature: Usually has high trading volume, likely to experience unusual strong fluctuations.

2. Overlap of the European - US session (around 19:00 – 23:00 VN time)
• Reason: This is the time when both the European and US markets are active.
• Nature: Extremely high trading volume, likely to experience fast "pump" then rapid "dump" if unexpected news arises.

3. Before and after the US announces economic data (20:00 – 21:30 VN time, depending on the day)
• Examples: CPI, FOMC, employment, Fed interest rates,…
• Nature: Prices fluctuate very strongly just before and after the announcement of the data, susceptible to price manipulation.

4. Early morning (2:00 – 5:00 AM VN time)
• Reason: The market has low liquidity, easily manipulated by "sharks".
• Nature: Quick, unexpected "pump" or "dump" events. Many stop-loss orders are triggered.

5. Weekend (especially from Friday evening to Monday morning)
• Reason: Traditional financial institutions are closed, low liquidity, retail traders dominate.
• Nature: Very likely to experience unusual fluctuations due to lack of control from big players.

Crypto Fortune

Future price predictions for Bitcoin from experts:

1. Michael Saylor – CEO of M*croStrategy
• Predicts Bitcoin will reach 1 million USD in the next 10 years and could rise to 13 million USD by 2045, with an average growth rate of 29% per year.

• He warns that the "digital gold rush" will end on January 7, 2035, advising investors to accumulate BTC before this date.

2. Anthony Scaramucci – Founder of S*yBridge Capital

• Predicts Bitcoin could reach 200,000 USD by the end of 2025, emphasizing the role of ETFs and the increase in the number of global BTC wallets from 380 million to 500 million.

3. Cathie Wood – CEO of A*k Invest

• Forecasts Bitcoin will reach 1.5 million USD in 2030 in an optimistic scenario, with a base case of 710,000 USD and a negative scenario of 300,000 USD.

4. Tom Lee – Co-founder of F*ndstrat

• Predicts Bitcoin will reach 150,000 USD in the next 12 months and could go up to 500,000 USD in 5 years, based on high demand and loose monetary policy.

5. JPMorgan

• Shifting from gold to Bitcoin, predicts BTC prices will outperform gold for the remainder of 2025.

General assessment

Experts have a positive outlook on Bitcoin in the medium and long term, with price predictions ranging from 150,000 USD to 1.5 million USD in the next 5–10 years. Supporting factors include:
• Approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
• Loose monetary policy and low-interest rates.
• Increased investment from institutions and countries.
• Positive market sentiment and supply scarcity.

Crypto Fortune

READING WILL HELP YOU AVOID LOSING MONEY

When participating in futures trading - especially with highly volatile assets like Bitcoin - managing emotions is the key factor in determining success or failure. Here are the reasons why:

1. Futures have high leverage → Emotions can easily get out of control

• With leverage of 10x, 20x, or even 100x, just a small price movement can lead to significant profits or wipe out your account in minutes.
• Emotions like greed when seeing large profits, or panic when the account is in the red can lead to:
• Chasing prices when they are pumping.
• Cutting losses too early when prices have just slightly adjusted.
• Holding onto losses too long, hoping “it will turn around.”

2. Hasty decisions can easily lead to losses

• Unstable emotions can make you:
• Not adhere to the trading plan you have set.
• Change targets/losses midway because “you feel the price will go the opposite way.”
• Engage in revenge trading after a losing trade.

3. Psychology affects analysis

• When you fear losses or are overly optimistic, you will:
• Ignore clear technical signals.
• Look for reasons to enter trades based on feelings rather than objective analysis.

4. Those who control their emotions will stick to the plan

• Disciplined trading, no FOMO.
• Knowing when to cut losses, taking profits reasonably.
• Not letting a few winning/loss trades affect the overall long-term strategy.

✅ Ways to practice emotional management:

1. Always set stop-loss and take-profit.
2. Keep a trading journal to recognize bad habits.
3. Do not trade when feeling unstable.
4. Only use capital you can afford to lose.

Crypto Wealth God

HOW TO ==> NOT BE AFRAID WHEN TRADING FUTU.

Futures can make you “rich quickly” or “blow your account” in an instant. Feelings of fear and confusion when entering a trade are something almost everyone has experienced, even veteran traders. But the difference between successful and unsuccessful people lies in their ability to control their mindset.

So how do you avoid falling into a panic state?

1. Understand the game

Fear often comes from ambiguity. If you don’t truly understand how the market works, what margin is, how to use stop-loss… then negative emotions will take over you every time you enter a trade.

2. Always have a plan – and discipline to follow it

Never enter a trade based on “intuition.” Set clear scenarios: entry point – take profit point – stop-loss point. Once you have a plan, you are no longer “gambling,” but “executing a strategy.” And your mindset will be much more stable.

3. Accepting that losing money is part of the game

No trader has a 100% win rate. Learn to “lose the right way” in a controlled manner. At this point, you will be more confident and make wiser decisions.

4. Capital management – to survive long-term

Never go “all in.” Capital management helps you survive after making wrong trades and gives you the chance to recover. Successful traders are not those who win big, but those who do not lose too much.

5. Separate emotions from trading

Trading is not a place to prove yourself. It is a job of coldness, discipline, and patience. The less emotion you have, the more sustainable you are.

Conclusion
Confidence comes from KNOWLEDGE, DISCIPLINE creates CHARACTER.

Futures are not for the reckless, but for the aware.

Crypto God

🇺🇸 NEW TIN: Trump criticizes Fed's Powell as a "legend for always being too late," calls for an immediate interest rate cut.

Crypto God

WHY DO MOST TRADERS LOSE ???

1. FOMO and FUD
• Chasing prices up due to fear of missing out (FOMO).
• Panic selling when prices drop due to fear (FUD).
• No clear plan, driven by emotions.

👉 Solution: Trade according to a plan, not emotions. Have clear entry and exit points.

2. Lack of knowledge and experience
• Not understanding charts, resistance/support, trends.
• Using leverage without understanding the risks.
• Blindly trusting KOLs or signal groups that lack integrity.

👉 Solution: Self-study technical analysis, fully understand the products you trade. Do not indiscriminately “copy trade.”

3. Poor capital management
• Putting the entire account into one trade (all-in).
• Not setting stop losses or holding losses too deep.
• Not knowing how to allocate assets.

👉 Solution:
• Max risk 5-10% of the account for each trade (no more than 2 trades).
• Always set stop losses.
• Diversify if necessary, avoid going “all in.”

4. Overtrading
• Entering trades continuously, even when there are no good signals.
• Trading out of boredom or to “recover losses.”

👉 Solution: Only trade when there is a clear opportunity. Be patient and wait for the right signals. Rest at the right time.

5. Not learning from experience
• Not keeping track of trades.
• Not analyzing the reasons for wins/losses.
• Repeating old mistakes multiple times.

👉 Solution:
• Keep a trading journal (entry, reasons, results).
• Periodically review to learn from experiences.
• Gradually improve over time.

==> How to trade crypto effectively
• 📘 Learn basic and advanced knowledge.
• 🧠 Trade according to a plan, not emotions.
• 💰 Strict capital management.
• 📉 Accept small losses to avoid large losses.
• 📝 Record and learn from every trade.

Crypto God of Wealth

WHY DOES BITCOIN HAVE MORE POTENTIAL THAN GOLD IN THE FUTURE???

1. Transparent scarcity
• BTC: Fixed supply – only 21 million BTC, cannot be created more.
• Gold: Can still be mined, uncertain about the remaining amount of gold in nature.

👉 BTC has absolute scarcity, like "digital gold" but more transparent.

2. Easy to store, divide, and transfer
• BTC: Can be divided down to 0.00000001 BTC, sent globally in just a few minutes, no need for banks.
• Gold: Hard to divide, costly to transport and store.

👉 Suitable for the digital and global payment world.

3. Decentralized & independent
• BTC: No one controls it, cannot be seized if held correctly.
• Gold: Can be controlled, taxed, or banned from trading by the government.

👉 BTC offers greater financial freedom, especially in countries with inflation or instability.

4. Strong growth & widely accepted
• BTC has increased by millions % since 2010, with significant investments from large organizations like BlackRock, MicroStrategy...
• Gold grows slowly, mainly preserves value rather than yielding strong profits.

👉 BTC has long-term price increase potential and attracts capital from a new generation of investors.

5. Suitable for new generations and trends
• Younger generations love digital assets, easy to access and use.
• BTC fits well with e-commerce, decentralized finance (DeFi), and Web3.

👉 The future generation chooses BTC more than gold.

✅ In summary

BTC has many advantages over gold:
• Transparent, limited supply.
• Easy to trade, store, and divide.
• Rapid growth, suitable for the digital age.

BTC has not completely replaced gold, but is becoming the "digital gold" of the new century.