阿丰资本论
公众号:阿丰资本论。金融院校毕业，为您的炒币之路保驾护航，专业投研，打新，出策略，k线图分析师
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Market Analysis
Once again, it proves that my analysis strategy is correct. The Federal Reserve continues to hold steady, with expectations of two rate cuts this year; the Americans will not participate in the next battle. The so-called major move from Iran is just talk; the current U.S. is not the same as during the Iraq and Afghanistan times. Issues like U.S. debt and inflation are present, along with one war after another, and the U.S. is short on funds; otherwise, Trump wouldn't keep calling for rate cuts.
Regarding market issues, I believe we will reach the peak of a bull market before the rate cuts, and after the cuts, there will be a significant drop. Everyone expects rate cuts to drive the market, so the market will definitely go in the opposite direction. Follow me, and I will help you avoid pitfalls.
Once again, it proves that my analysis strategy is correct. The Federal Reserve continues to hold steady, with expectations of two rate cuts this year; the Americans will not participate in the next battle. The so-called major move from Iran is just talk; the current U.S. is not the same as during the Iraq and Afghanistan times. Issues like U.S. debt and inflation are present, along with one war after another, and the U.S. is short on funds; otherwise, Trump wouldn't keep calling for rate cuts.
Regarding market issues, I believe we will reach the peak of a bull market before the rate cuts, and after the cuts, there will be a significant drop. Everyone expects rate cuts to drive the market, so the market will definitely go in the opposite direction. Follow me, and I will help you avoid pitfalls.
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Since Trump took office, the world has been in turmoil, a troublemaker. His first term created tariffs and an epidemic, but it cannot be denied that the bull market of 2020 and 2021 was also brought about by him. Don't be fooled by his daily calls for interest rate cuts; behind the scenes, it's all about profiting his family's business. The financial markets are suffering immensely, with fluctuations leaving retail investors with almost no profits. When asked, they all report losses. I believe the Federal Reserve remains passive, allowing only what people want to see, rather than the real situation. The only thing I can be certain of is that this stablecoin is pegged to the dollar; everything else is met with silence. He not only treats the cryptocurrency market as a cash machine, but the U.S. stock market is also his cash machine.
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This position can accommodate spot trading for the head warehouse, and my followers all know that I have been promoting several cryptocurrencies!
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Market Analysis
The current trend of the war is quite obvious. I feel that the probability of the Americans entering the war is low. Trump is a businessman and can completely resolve the Iran-Israel conflict through negotiations. However, if they do enter the war, the U.S. will continue to be dragged into a new quagmire of war. Due to inflation and U.S. debt, I feel the chances of the next situation developing are low. In short, the Americans are short on cash.
In fact, the impact of war on the pie is only a short-term risk, similar to the initial stage of the Russia-Ukraine war. It is merely a short-term negative factor, and there is no need to worry too much.
The current trend of the war is quite obvious. I feel that the probability of the Americans entering the war is low. Trump is a businessman and can completely resolve the Iran-Israel conflict through negotiations. However, if they do enter the war, the U.S. will continue to be dragged into a new quagmire of war. Due to inflation and U.S. debt, I feel the chances of the next situation developing are low. In short, the Americans are short on cash.
In fact, the impact of war on the pie is only a short-term risk, similar to the initial stage of the Russia-Ukraine war. It is merely a short-term negative factor, and there is no need to worry too much.
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Market Analysis
It hasn't been easy, but in the last two months, the overall market has picked up a bit. However, as soon as there’s a conflict, it hits personal wallets again. Ethereum has retraced back to 2495 again. I can’t help but laugh. How difficult can this market be? Those trading contracts are in a worse situation; both long and short positions are getting liquidated. We are currently in a monkey market. I believe the fundamentals driven by the conflicts are not something I worry too much about because they are not related to the Federal Reserve's financial policies and will not affect the larger trend. Buying on dips is generally not a big issue; fans don’t need to worry too much. Just think about it: conflicts only drive out speculative capital. This part of the money will flee at the slightest hint of trouble, but once the situation stabilizes, it will return as it left. The labor code has already recommended a few wealth codes, and there are also some entry points. Once it hits those points, just buy; it’s not a big deal. Follow me, and I’ll help you get out of the pit.
It hasn't been easy, but in the last two months, the overall market has picked up a bit. However, as soon as there’s a conflict, it hits personal wallets again. Ethereum has retraced back to 2495 again. I can’t help but laugh. How difficult can this market be? Those trading contracts are in a worse situation; both long and short positions are getting liquidated. We are currently in a monkey market. I believe the fundamentals driven by the conflicts are not something I worry too much about because they are not related to the Federal Reserve's financial policies and will not affect the larger trend. Buying on dips is generally not a big issue; fans don’t need to worry too much. Just think about it: conflicts only drive out speculative capital. This part of the money will flee at the slightest hint of trouble, but once the situation stabilizes, it will return as it left. The labor code has already recommended a few wealth codes, and there are also some entry points. Once it hits those points, just buy; it’s not a big deal. Follow me, and I’ll help you get out of the pit.
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Today's Legal Statement
It can be seen that Ethereum continues to fluctuate in the range of 2400 to 2900. Yesterday it rose to 2630, and today it directly dropped to 2525. The up and down fluctuations are causing contract explosions. At this time, I suggest trading spot for a swing. Sell half above 2600, sell the rest between 2700 and 2900, and then wait to buy back around 2500 for a back-and-forth wave. Follow me, and I'll help you out of the pit.
It can be seen that Ethereum continues to fluctuate in the range of 2400 to 2900. Yesterday it rose to 2630, and today it directly dropped to 2525. The up and down fluctuations are causing contract explosions. At this time, I suggest trading spot for a swing. Sell half above 2600, sell the rest between 2700 and 2900, and then wait to buy back around 2500 for a back-and-forth wave. Follow me, and I'll help you out of the pit.
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The wealth code has been sent to the job number, follow me to avoid pitfalls
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Without further ado, I will occasionally recommend a few wealth codes in the square, aiming for at least 3 times in the future! There's another wealth code that I will post on my official account! I hope my fans cherish it!
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The decline caused by fighting is actually not something to worry too much about; a decline is normal, while an increase is the trend. Follow me, and I will guide you to avoid pitfalls.
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My lessons learned from playing with memes for many years: Buy when no one is paying attention, and who will take over? The hype will always die down. If you can't be the first to eat the crab, then don't be the last to eat the poop. Although it's not pleasant to hear, these are all lessons. In the past, I used to like watching what others bought, then impulsively jumped in, only to find my investment either going to zero or having to cut losses and exit. After playing with memes for so long, I've only made profits from shitcoins and Baby Doge, both of which have roughly increased 50 times. Later, when the Solana ecosystem exploded, I also jumped in without hesitation, but the chances of getting buried were too high. Afterwards, I focused on studying the mainstream and researching Ethereum, managing to earn two to three times in a year; I am quite satisfied with that. Capital is like a snowball; the kind of overnight wealth that some dream of could either be insiders or those lucky ones who are truly chosen by fate, or it could simply be those from project teams or large institutions. Ordinary people are just like this society; life is already hard enough. To put it bluntly, offline we are harvested by society, and online we are harvested by the despicable speculators. Only by being cautious can we achieve our dreams!
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There really isn't much to look forward to this weekend, only a few big institutions keep buying and buying. Let's see how the U.S. stock market opens on Monday. Ethereum continues to fluctuate; this market is really frustrating. However, I believe a significant upward trend is coming soon. Follow me, and I will help you avoid pitfalls!
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The contract sent at 10 PM last night had a short-term drop of 2500. I don't know if anyone followed it. The contract also successfully dropped as I mentioned. I usually find more inventory strategies here in the square. The contract is posted on the public account with the same name. Follow me.
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Market Analysis
Actually, there is no need to worry too much about declines and the like. I still maintain my view that the downturn caused by negative news from conflicts is only temporary. It may stabilize within a week or two. As for Bitcoin and Ethereum, I believe both will have a second bottom; however, a drop of around 10 points will stabilize things. Bitcoin is around 9.5, and Ethereum is around 2200. For now, we can only observe this much.
Actually, there is no need to worry too much about declines and the like. I still maintain my view that the downturn caused by negative news from conflicts is only temporary. It may stabilize within a week or two. As for Bitcoin and Ethereum, I believe both will have a second bottom; however, a drop of around 10 points will stabilize things. Bitcoin is around 9.5, and Ethereum is around 2200. For now, we can only observe this much.
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Let's talk about a short-term contract, around 2600. If it can't break through, it will continue to fall back to 2500. Set a good stop-loss. I also arrived at this conclusion by looking at the candlestick chart.
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Important information, I will send it to the public account later, with the same name.
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Market Analysis
In the future, whoever has a large supply of Bitcoin will have the power to speak in the world. Why do I say this? In 1970, the dollar was pegged to gold, in the 1980s the dollar was pegged to oil, and now is the best time for retail investors. I can say that the dollar will have to be pegged to stablecoins. Eastern University is also issuing stablecoins. Two superpowers are vying for world currency hegemony, so a future price of 1 million dollars for Bitcoin is not too far-fetched, right?
In the future, whoever has a large supply of Bitcoin will have the power to speak in the world. Why do I say this? In 1970, the dollar was pegged to gold, in the 1980s the dollar was pegged to oil, and now is the best time for retail investors. I can say that the dollar will have to be pegged to stablecoins. Eastern University is also issuing stablecoins. Two superpowers are vying for world currency hegemony, so a future price of 1 million dollars for Bitcoin is not too far-fetched, right?
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To be honest, I don't have much meaning in writing market analysis, because I feel that many people just say they need a wealth password, rather than nonsense market analysis!
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