Grzegorz1973

The American currency is heading towards the worst first half of the year in over 50 years. The dollar index, measuring its strength against a basket of six major currencies, has already fallen by over 10 percent. The dollar has typically been a safe haven for investors. Today, it is a source of concern.

On Monday, the American currency weakened by another 0.2 percent as the U.S. Senate prepared to vote on amendments to Trump's tax plan, described by the president as 'big and beautiful.' The legislation is likely to increase U.S. debt by $3.2 trillion over the next decade, raising concerns about the stability of American borrowing and causing capital to flee from the treasury bond market.

Investors are worried about the fiscal future in the United States, considering the enormous debt and the need to incur record debt while simultaneously planning tax cuts. Currently, none of the rating agencies has the highest status for the American debt market, and potential plans for joint bond issuance in the eurozone may harm the U.S. in terms of competitiveness. Additionally, the role of the dollar has been undermined by the trade war, and even with trade agreements with key partners, the desire to move away from ties with the U.S. is likely to continue.

Unfortunately, the weakness of the U.S. dollar is not helping cryptocurrency prices - in this sector, investors continue to pursue a conservative policy bordering on panic
$ETH

$BTC

level 105.850 is key, it seems they are unable to break it, that's why I see a drop towards around 97k/96k.

$ETH
despite the attempt to break the channel upwards - lack of strength.
if BTC breaks down be ready for prices $2200/$2350

3

Memes are for quick investments to buy, sell, and forget for a while. The whale will always profit, when it has coins at a loss, it will balance on leverage by putting in a sell. Pnut is music 2024.

🐸 Looks positive. Has time until mid-June - until the pause. Bulls need to recover losses.

Correction is indicated

#PokażJakHandlujesz $BTC I needed cash for shopping. I earned 50 USDC on futures before breakfast and I'm going to the store. I will be back soon because I need to earn for lunch and dinner. #TradeStories #BinanceAlphaAlert

$BTC
Bulls and bears look at the same chart and see what they want, but BTC is the master of manipulation.
Bulls believe that the coin will trick the bears by simulating drops to the level of 85000 USDC but will suddenly bounce back from the level of 93000 and with one impulse reach 96000 USDC, the second impulse to 104000 USDC, and the third is just a matter of the speed of light and whether BTC will reach such speed.
Bears hope that the psychologically and capital-exhausting pro-growth simulation at 95000 - 95500 USDC will reach a level of deep frustration for the bulls and their capitulation, and a retest of EMA200 will occur, and then we will see.
#Write2Earn

Everything points to a crisis of the ''shock + stimulus'' type:
1. Strong slowdown in the global economy continues
– AI data shows a decline in global growth of ~300 basis points since December 2024.
2. Geopolitical chaos: trade wars, tensions between China and the USA, elections
– Markets fear sudden political decisions (e.g., tariffs) - sudden shocks.
3. Massive withdrawal of investors from risk
– Investor positioning at one of the lowest levels since 1978.
– Behavior typical of a sharp shock, not of a controlled economic cooling.
4. Fiscal stimulus has already started (China, Germany, India)
– China is increasing spending and easing policy.
– Germany is suspending the “debt brake.”
5. Global liquidity is beginning to rise
– Dollar weakness supports capital availability.
6. Increasing tensions in the repo market → pressure on the Fed to react
– We are approaching a situation where the Fed may start to respond.
7. Strong growth in the gold market
– Historically, it reacts to expected monetary expansions and inflationary policies.
– Investors are expecting easing.
8. Interest rates are starting to be priced lower by the market
– Investor expectations indicate significant rate cuts in the coming months.
9. Lack of classic signals of monetary tightening
– The Fed is not raising rates, not starting QT – on the contrary, it is considering stopping the cycle.
Additional signals that have elements of crisis
(deliberate tightening)
The Fed has still not launched new QE programs nor expanded its balance sheet, despite weak data → possible deliberate delay in assistance.
(bubble and delayed reaction)
Commercial real estate and corporate bonds markets are heavily indebted. Central banks have long ignored risks and inflation, which may mean they will react too late.
Additionally, we see how the market reacted to fake news related to the 90-day tariff pause (as soon as uncertainty regarding tariffs disappears, investors are ready for a stronger market entry) #Write2Earn
$BTC

Do you think we are still in a bull market and will there be a Bitcoin rebound, or is it already a bear market and we are heading to hell?
1. On-chain data does not indicate and did not indicate overheating of the market in this cycle.
2. Cyclicality indicates increases.
3. Timing suggests that the bull market should end in Q4 2025.
4. BTC in this cycle has only grown 55% more than in the 2021 bull market despite the purchase of one million BTC by ETFs.
Today, BTC costs only 20% more than the peak of the 2021 bull market.
Considering inflation over the past 4 years and the purchase of one million BTC by ETFs, this increase is exceptionally small.
One might even ask how much BTC would have grown in this cycle if it weren't for the ETFs...
5. M2 money supply is increasing, which also indicates increased liquidity.
6. Long-term addresses are growing.
7. The amount of BTC on exchanges is decreasing.

All of this does not indicate declines.
What is your opinion?
$BTC

As a result of the latest round of President Trump's trade war, the cryptocurrency market lost about 140 billion USD in just a few hours. Major declines were triggered by an immediate sell-off by short-term Bitcoin (BTC) holders, who sold a total of 18,930 BTC. Short-term investors disposed of nearly 19,000 BTC, resulting in sales worth approximately 1.56 billion USD. The number of short positions increased to 55.32%, signaling the possibility of further declines. BTC holders for 1 to 3 months sold 3,113 BTC, while BTC holders for 3 to 6 months sold 2,737 BTC. The largest wave of selling came from investors holding Bitcoin for 6 months to 1 year (3,983 BTC) and from 1 year to 1.5 years (9,097 BTC). At the time of the largest sell-off, Bitcoin was priced at 82,794 USD, indicating that the total value of sold assets was around 1.56 billion USD. Under current conditions, the market shows signs of weakness, and further declines in Bitcoin prices are not excluded. In my opinion, although the cryptocurrency market is independent and tariffs do not apply to financial services, which part of is the crypto market - investors are not convinced that altcoins are a good store of value.

$ETH

The price of bitcoin may soon fall below 80,000 USD. This is all due to the fact that on Wednesday Donald Trump is set to announce the final tariff program he wants to impose on almost the whole world. It is possible that only then will 'the worst be behind us'.
Where are we now, though? A ten-day streak of deposits into U.S. BTC ETFs, the longest so far this year, ended on Friday after the Fidelity FBTC fund recorded outflows of 93.16 million USD. Other funds, on the other hand, recorded negligible activity.
One day of withdrawals does not negate the fact that over 1 billion USD was deposited into ETFs over the past 10 days. Analyst Min Jung from Presto Research pointed out that 'this suggests that although institutions are not aggressively risk-on, there is still demand in the market for exposure to bitcoins'.
However, this does not change the fact that BTC is experiencing its worst first quarter since 2018. The cryptocurrency's price has fallen by 11.67% over the past three months. The only worse period was in 2018, but then we had the beginning of a bear market and a loss of 49.7%.
What is happening with ETH?
How does ether compare to BTC? ETH ETFs recorded their first positive day in 17 days. The Grayscale ETHE fund registered net inflows of 4.68 million USD on Friday, while no other funds recorded any net inflows or outflows.
In the Ethereum field, we may soon see bigger movements. A decline cannot be ruled out, particularly on Wednesday, but a breakthrough period will be the end of April or the beginning of May, as we will be post-update of Pectra, which is set to strengthen Ethereum in many ways.
Changes include, among other things, increasing the staking limit for validators, improving the scalability of rollups, and enhancing the usability of wallets with ETH. This could lead to finally seeing the long-awaited increases I am patiently waiting for.
#EarnYieldArena

Tokenization is the future

Led by Larry Fink, the company BlackRock is a giant in the financial sector, whose influence can bend regulatory bodies like the SEC to its will.
Without them, the American regulator would not have allowed the creation of spot ETFs on bitcoin or ether.
Its CEO – Larry Fink – after years of skepticism towards digital assets and the blockchain technology behind them, has finally understood their potential. In recent years, he has repeatedly mentioned that $BTC

is the future of finance, and previously he was mistaken.

Fink pointed to the sector of tokenization of real-world assets as something that will revolutionize the markets, in addition to bitcoin.
The impact of RWA on transferring assets such as stocks, bonds, and real estate to blockchain will make this a gamechanger for trading them.
Every stock, every bond, every fund, every asset can be tokenized. If this happens, it will revolutionize investing. Markets will not need to close. Transactions that currently take days will be settled in seconds. And billions of dollars currently tied up by settlement delays could be immediately reinvested in the economy, generating greater growth
– he added.
BlackRock launched a special fund for tokenization last year – BUIDL – which has proven to be a great hit in the markets. Additionally, the value of the assets it manages has already exceeded 2 billion dollars.
#BSCTradingTips

$NEO
The coin is at support -- essentially, it is at the last support level of the buy zone from October 2023. Optimistically, if this zone holds, we can expect a breakout to the level of 7.26 USDC and possibly 9.00.
But the price may stop around 5.6.
#Write2Earn

$ETHFI
Coin about traumatic transitions - it may have reached a price bottom - although many frustrated coin holders probably believe that this bottom will collapse.
The coin gives the impression that it defends its price - this impression is racing against skepticism - it looks so bad - too many free ETHFI coins as rewards for holding $ETH and synthetic ETH.
In an optimistic scenario, we expect a price level of 0.9 USDC, and an increase in the range of 2.1 and 2.6.
In a pessimistic scenario, a drop to 0.1 and this is no joke.
#Write2Earn

$1000SATS
Weapon money prices. Will it succeed? It has created support - but faces many resistances ahead. A breakout above 0.0001 would give hope for increases - but without major expansion - that's what I think.
200 percent to 0.0003 - yes.
#Write2Earn

$AVAX
Support 2.05 USDC nearest resistance 22.6 - 24.2 USDC
I think that in this wave the coin will reach a level of about 40 USDC, which will determine the scale of the trend and its direction. The coin quite consistently holds to Fibonacci.
#Write2Earn #money

$WOO
The coin is in the accumulation phase while also defending the price below 0.09 against bears. There is resistance at 0.09 USDC.
I assume that the bulls will defend this level. It may take a little while.
If it reaches 0.15 and defends that price, we can expect movement towards 0.19, 0.22, 0.26, 0.31. At 0.31, the market will decide whether the downward trend will prevail.
#Write2Earn

$LDO
Regular downward trend. I believe that the price will reach a medium-term 2.07 and whales will decide on increases or an even lower low.
#Write2Earn

Report $ETH
to $BTC
ETH has developed a habit of distrust towards this coin, certain symptoms suggest that the value of ETH expressed in BTC may increase and try to test the range of 0.029 - 0.03 BTC per ETH.
Support and resistance on the chart,
#Write2Earn