Grzegorz1973

$BTC
Bulls and bears look at the same chart and see what they want, but BTC is the master of manipulation.
Bulls believe that the coin will trick the bears by simulating drops to the level of 85000 USDC but will suddenly bounce back from the level of 93000 and with one impulse reach 96000 USDC, the second impulse to 104000 USDC, and the third is just a matter of the speed of light and whether BTC will reach such speed.
Bears hope that the psychologically and capital-exhausting pro-growth simulation at 95000 - 95500 USDC will reach a level of deep frustration for the bulls and their capitulation, and a retest of EMA200 will occur, and then we will see.
#Write2Earn

Everything points to a crisis of the ''shock + stimulus'' type:
1. Strong slowdown in the global economy continues
– AI data shows a decline in global growth of ~300 basis points since December 2024.
2. Geopolitical chaos: trade wars, tensions between China and the USA, elections
– Markets fear sudden political decisions (e.g., tariffs) - sudden shocks.
3. Massive withdrawal of investors from risk
– Investor positioning at one of the lowest levels since 1978.
– Behavior typical of a sharp shock, not of a controlled economic cooling.
4. Fiscal stimulus has already started (China, Germany, India)
– China is increasing spending and easing policy.
– Germany is suspending the “debt brake.”
5. Global liquidity is beginning to rise
– Dollar weakness supports capital availability.
6. Increasing tensions in the repo market → pressure on the Fed to react
– We are approaching a situation where the Fed may start to respond.
7. Strong growth in the gold market
– Historically, it reacts to expected monetary expansions and inflationary policies.
– Investors are expecting easing.
8. Interest rates are starting to be priced lower by the market
– Investor expectations indicate significant rate cuts in the coming months.
9. Lack of classic signals of monetary tightening
– The Fed is not raising rates, not starting QT – on the contrary, it is considering stopping the cycle.
Additional signals that have elements of crisis
(deliberate tightening)
The Fed has still not launched new QE programs nor expanded its balance sheet, despite weak data → possible deliberate delay in assistance.
(bubble and delayed reaction)
Commercial real estate and corporate bonds markets are heavily indebted. Central banks have long ignored risks and inflation, which may mean they will react too late.
Additionally, we see how the market reacted to fake news related to the 90-day tariff pause (as soon as uncertainty regarding tariffs disappears, investors are ready for a stronger market entry) #Write2Earn
$BTC

Do you think we are still in a bull market and will there be a Bitcoin rebound, or is it already a bear market and we are heading to hell?
1. On-chain data does not indicate and did not indicate overheating of the market in this cycle.
2. Cyclicality indicates increases.
3. Timing suggests that the bull market should end in Q4 2025.
4. BTC in this cycle has only grown 55% more than in the 2021 bull market despite the purchase of one million BTC by ETFs.
Today, BTC costs only 20% more than the peak of the 2021 bull market.
Considering inflation over the past 4 years and the purchase of one million BTC by ETFs, this increase is exceptionally small.
One might even ask how much BTC would have grown in this cycle if it weren't for the ETFs...
5. M2 money supply is increasing, which also indicates increased liquidity.
6. Long-term addresses are growing.
7. The amount of BTC on exchanges is decreasing.

All of this does not indicate declines.
What is your opinion?
$BTC

As a result of the latest round of President Trump's trade war, the cryptocurrency market lost about 140 billion USD in just a few hours. Major declines were triggered by an immediate sell-off by short-term Bitcoin (BTC) holders, who sold a total of 18,930 BTC. Short-term investors disposed of nearly 19,000 BTC, resulting in sales worth approximately 1.56 billion USD. The number of short positions increased to 55.32%, signaling the possibility of further declines. BTC holders for 1 to 3 months sold 3,113 BTC, while BTC holders for 3 to 6 months sold 2,737 BTC. The largest wave of selling came from investors holding Bitcoin for 6 months to 1 year (3,983 BTC) and from 1 year to 1.5 years (9,097 BTC). At the time of the largest sell-off, Bitcoin was priced at 82,794 USD, indicating that the total value of sold assets was around 1.56 billion USD. Under current conditions, the market shows signs of weakness, and further declines in Bitcoin prices are not excluded. In my opinion, although the cryptocurrency market is independent and tariffs do not apply to financial services, which part of is the crypto market - investors are not convinced that altcoins are a good store of value.

$ETH

The price of bitcoin may soon fall below 80,000 USD. This is all due to the fact that on Wednesday Donald Trump is set to announce the final tariff program he wants to impose on almost the whole world. It is possible that only then will 'the worst be behind us'.
Where are we now, though? A ten-day streak of deposits into U.S. BTC ETFs, the longest so far this year, ended on Friday after the Fidelity FBTC fund recorded outflows of 93.16 million USD. Other funds, on the other hand, recorded negligible activity.
One day of withdrawals does not negate the fact that over 1 billion USD was deposited into ETFs over the past 10 days. Analyst Min Jung from Presto Research pointed out that 'this suggests that although institutions are not aggressively risk-on, there is still demand in the market for exposure to bitcoins'.
However, this does not change the fact that BTC is experiencing its worst first quarter since 2018. The cryptocurrency's price has fallen by 11.67% over the past three months. The only worse period was in 2018, but then we had the beginning of a bear market and a loss of 49.7%.
What is happening with ETH?
How does ether compare to BTC? ETH ETFs recorded their first positive day in 17 days. The Grayscale ETHE fund registered net inflows of 4.68 million USD on Friday, while no other funds recorded any net inflows or outflows.
In the Ethereum field, we may soon see bigger movements. A decline cannot be ruled out, particularly on Wednesday, but a breakthrough period will be the end of April or the beginning of May, as we will be post-update of Pectra, which is set to strengthen Ethereum in many ways.
Changes include, among other things, increasing the staking limit for validators, improving the scalability of rollups, and enhancing the usability of wallets with ETH. This could lead to finally seeing the long-awaited increases I am patiently waiting for.
#EarnYieldArena

Tokenization is the future

Led by Larry Fink, the company BlackRock is a giant in the financial sector, whose influence can bend regulatory bodies like the SEC to its will.
Without them, the American regulator would not have allowed the creation of spot ETFs on bitcoin or ether.
Its CEO – Larry Fink – after years of skepticism towards digital assets and the blockchain technology behind them, has finally understood their potential. In recent years, he has repeatedly mentioned that $BTC

is the future of finance, and previously he was mistaken.

Fink pointed to the sector of tokenization of real-world assets as something that will revolutionize the markets, in addition to bitcoin.
The impact of RWA on transferring assets such as stocks, bonds, and real estate to blockchain will make this a gamechanger for trading them.
Every stock, every bond, every fund, every asset can be tokenized. If this happens, it will revolutionize investing. Markets will not need to close. Transactions that currently take days will be settled in seconds. And billions of dollars currently tied up by settlement delays could be immediately reinvested in the economy, generating greater growth
– he added.
BlackRock launched a special fund for tokenization last year – BUIDL – which has proven to be a great hit in the markets. Additionally, the value of the assets it manages has already exceeded 2 billion dollars.
#BSCTradingTips

$NEO
The coin is at support -- essentially, it is at the last support level of the buy zone from October 2023. Optimistically, if this zone holds, we can expect a breakout to the level of 7.26 USDC and possibly 9.00.
But the price may stop around 5.6.
#Write2Earn

$ETHFI
Coin about traumatic transitions - it may have reached a price bottom - although many frustrated coin holders probably believe that this bottom will collapse.
The coin gives the impression that it defends its price - this impression is racing against skepticism - it looks so bad - too many free ETHFI coins as rewards for holding $ETH and synthetic ETH.
In an optimistic scenario, we expect a price level of 0.9 USDC, and an increase in the range of 2.1 and 2.6.
In a pessimistic scenario, a drop to 0.1 and this is no joke.
#Write2Earn

$1000SATS
Weapon money prices. Will it succeed? It has created support - but faces many resistances ahead. A breakout above 0.0001 would give hope for increases - but without major expansion - that's what I think.
200 percent to 0.0003 - yes.
#Write2Earn

$AVAX
Support 2.05 USDC nearest resistance 22.6 - 24.2 USDC
I think that in this wave the coin will reach a level of about 40 USDC, which will determine the scale of the trend and its direction. The coin quite consistently holds to Fibonacci.
#Write2Earn #money

$WOO
The coin is in the accumulation phase while also defending the price below 0.09 against bears. There is resistance at 0.09 USDC.
I assume that the bulls will defend this level. It may take a little while.
If it reaches 0.15 and defends that price, we can expect movement towards 0.19, 0.22, 0.26, 0.31. At 0.31, the market will decide whether the downward trend will prevail.
#Write2Earn

$LDO
Regular downward trend. I believe that the price will reach a medium-term 2.07 and whales will decide on increases or an even lower low.
#Write2Earn

Report $ETH
to $BTC
ETH has developed a habit of distrust towards this coin, certain symptoms suggest that the value of ETH expressed in BTC may increase and try to test the range of 0.029 - 0.03 BTC per ETH.
Support and resistance on the chart,
#Write2Earn

$ETH
In the classic understanding of Elliott waves, we have five waves in a downtrend. In a non-standard understanding, a downtrend can last - correction - down wave and so on indefinitely.
We are looking for signs of reversal. It is important for ETH to start gaining higher supports and maintain them. 2314, 2660, and most importantly 2939 - this is the ETH price that I expect soon.
Why?
There is too much pessimism in the market - and resignation - everyone is dissatisfied, and that is good.
#Write2Earn

$PENDLE
The set fibo parameters give hope that the coin will reach 7 dollars USD if it breaks the resistance of 2.5 - 3, etc. The psychologically important price is 3.1,
My purchase at the price of 2.85 - we will see if the profit will make me happy.
#Write2Earn

$PIXEL
One must be a hopeless incurable optimist here. The price that can be reached with great hope and faith is 0.10 - 0.12 usdt. My purchase at 0.098, a loss of 70 percent. I would gladly get rid of it at the purchase price, too much inflation,
#Write2Earn

$ZEN
On the weekly chart, there is a permanent downward trend. With this setup, the price of 23 USDT is the maximum this coin can reach. Resistance at levels 10, 12, and 16 USDT.
#Write2Earn
I was pleasantly surprised, my spot loss is 52%.

$1000CAT
If the right time comes and the market shows greater optimism, the price of the 1000CAT coin may reach the range of 0.009, 0.017, and 0.02 USDT.
I have this coin at a loss of 55%. If I were to make a decision to sell, it would be in the price range of 0.017 - 0.02.
My optimism is moderate.
#Write2Earn

What happened in the macro environment?
A crazy week for Bitcoin in anticipation of Trump's announcement regarding cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin experienced extreme volatility last week, rising from $78,000 to $94,000, then dropping to $83,000 and bouncing back again. Despite these fluctuations, altcoins gained, driven by speculation about upcoming changes in U.S. policy.
The first-ever U.S. cryptocurrency summit will take place at the White House on March 7, and Trump may potentially announce a strategic reserve in BTC. This news has already triggered significant price movements in BTC, ADA, XRP, SOL, and ETH, as well as the meme token TRUMP, which reflects political sentiments.
While BTC is experiencing significant volatility, political speculation and the growing momentum of altcoins are setting the stage for a serious market shift as the summit approaches.
Meanwhile, the U.S. stock market has seen a strong rebound, coinciding with a decline in the dollar index. Investors are increasingly anticipating that Trump might roll back certain economic actions to stabilize financial markets after recent turbulence in the stock exchange.
As macro events shape cryptocurrency sentiment and altcoins gain popularity, investors should closely monitor market movements in March.
$BTC

$ETH

$XRP

#Write2Earn

The cryptocurrency market is increasingly becoming a weapon of the United States. Since Trump's election, common moral standards have fallen. Now, if something benefits Trump and serves the national interest of the United States, it is no longer considered illegal.

Ultimately, coins serving the national interest of the United States will likely work against any country except the United States. It seems to be a strategy to dominate the cryptocurrency market and absorb foreign capital

Judging by Trump’s recent posts, it looks like BTC and ETH are now being referred to as “neither friends nor foes”

I’ll remind you that when Trump announced on Sunday that the US reserve would include tokens $XRP

, $ADA


and $SOL

, it was as if he forgot about BTC and ETH, and then quickly posted on social media explaining that of course he “loves these tokens too.” But XRP ADA and SOL are American coins, and BTC is too much mined in China, and ETH - it is not known which country is behind it. #Write2Earn