rehmanmujeeb
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2.8 Years
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#FOMCMeeting Here’s the latest on the June 17–18, 2025 FOMC meeting:
---
🏦 What to Expect
Decision timing & format
The FOMC convened on Tuesday–Wednesday, June 17–18, with the policy statement scheduled for 14:00 ET (18:00 UTC) on June 18—followed by Chair Powell’s press conference at ~14:30 ET .
Policy outlook
Policymakers are strongly expected to keep the federal funds rate in the current 4.25%–4.50% range. Virtually no one is pricing in a rate cut at this meeting (<0.1% probability) . A Reuters poll found nearly all economists expect no change in June, with some predicting first cuts in Q3/September .
Key drivers
Inflation: Tariffs haven’t noticeably driven up consumer inflation yet; recent CPI/PPI prints have been on the softer side .
Labor market: Remains solid—unemployment stable around 4.2%, and payrolls firm .
Geopolitical & tariff risk: Rising tensions in the Middle East and unpredictable trade dynamics are keeping policymakers cautious .
**Summary of Economic Projections (SEP)**
The Committee will release updated dot plots and forecasts, likely including one or two rate cuts anticipated for later in 2025, though exact timing remains uncertain .
---
🔍 Market Takeaways
Rates: Expect the status quo—hold at 4.25–4.50%.
Guidance: Markets will closely watch Powell’s commentary for tone on timeline of future cuts—possibly in September or even later.
Risks: Any strong hints that tariffs or global instability could re-accelerate inflation might push rate cuts further into the future.
---
🗓️ Looking Ahead
Next key dates:
Minutes from June meeting: scheduled July 9 .
July 29–30 meeting: next full session, follow-up press conference.
---
In summary: June’s FOMC meeting is almost certain to hold rates steady, but all eyes are on the updated dot plot and Powell’s remarks, which will shape expectations for potential cuts later this year.
---
🏦 What to Expect
Decision timing & format
The FOMC convened on Tuesday–Wednesday, June 17–18, with the policy statement scheduled for 14:00 ET (18:00 UTC) on June 18—followed by Chair Powell’s press conference at ~14:30 ET .
Policy outlook
Policymakers are strongly expected to keep the federal funds rate in the current 4.25%–4.50% range. Virtually no one is pricing in a rate cut at this meeting (<0.1% probability) . A Reuters poll found nearly all economists expect no change in June, with some predicting first cuts in Q3/September .
Key drivers
Inflation: Tariffs haven’t noticeably driven up consumer inflation yet; recent CPI/PPI prints have been on the softer side .
Labor market: Remains solid—unemployment stable around 4.2%, and payrolls firm .
Geopolitical & tariff risk: Rising tensions in the Middle East and unpredictable trade dynamics are keeping policymakers cautious .
**Summary of Economic Projections (SEP)**
The Committee will release updated dot plots and forecasts, likely including one or two rate cuts anticipated for later in 2025, though exact timing remains uncertain .
---
🔍 Market Takeaways
Rates: Expect the status quo—hold at 4.25–4.50%.
Guidance: Markets will closely watch Powell’s commentary for tone on timeline of future cuts—possibly in September or even later.
Risks: Any strong hints that tariffs or global instability could re-accelerate inflation might push rate cuts further into the future.
---
🗓️ Looking Ahead
Next key dates:
Minutes from June meeting: scheduled July 9 .
July 29–30 meeting: next full session, follow-up press conference.
---
In summary: June’s FOMC meeting is almost certain to hold rates steady, but all eyes are on the updated dot plot and Powell’s remarks, which will shape expectations for potential cuts later this year.
#VietnamCryptoPolicy Vietnam is taking major steps toward formally regulating cryptocurrencies. Here's the current landscape 🇻🇳:
---
📊 What's new in 2025
Pilot crypto exchange launching in March 2025
Deputy Finance Minister Nguyen Duc Chi confirmed that a regulated, pilot crypto exchange will launch in March 2025, under a legal framework drafted by the Ministry of Finance and State Bank, approved by PM Pham Minh Chinh .
The exchange will operate under a sandbox environment, where authorized businesses and investors can trade under state oversight to ensure transparency and asset protection .
Legal framework development in motion
Under PM Directive No. 05/CT‑TTg (March 2025) and earlier Decision No. 194/QĐ‑TTg (Feb 2024), the Ministry of Finance is tasked with drafting legislation for regulating—or possibly banning—crypto assets by May 2025, addressing AML/CFT concerns .
Blockchain strategy & sandbox plans
Vietnam's "National Blockchain Strategy 2024–2030" (Decision No. 1236/QĐ‑TTg, October 2024) encourages innovation via sandbox programs .
Legislation such as the Draft Digital Technology Industry Law and Pilot Crypto Asset Market Resolution is advancing, aiming for National Assembly approval around May 2025 .
Stablecoins remain restricted
As of now, stablecoins are not legally recognized for payment—they're considered crypto and barred as legal tender . The planned sandbox (with participation from banks) may allow supervised stablecoin operations in future pilots .
---
📊 What's new in 2025
Pilot crypto exchange launching in March 2025
Deputy Finance Minister Nguyen Duc Chi confirmed that a regulated, pilot crypto exchange will launch in March 2025, under a legal framework drafted by the Ministry of Finance and State Bank, approved by PM Pham Minh Chinh .
The exchange will operate under a sandbox environment, where authorized businesses and investors can trade under state oversight to ensure transparency and asset protection .
Legal framework development in motion
Under PM Directive No. 05/CT‑TTg (March 2025) and earlier Decision No. 194/QĐ‑TTg (Feb 2024), the Ministry of Finance is tasked with drafting legislation for regulating—or possibly banning—crypto assets by May 2025, addressing AML/CFT concerns .
Blockchain strategy & sandbox plans
Vietnam's "National Blockchain Strategy 2024–2030" (Decision No. 1236/QĐ‑TTg, October 2024) encourages innovation via sandbox programs .
Legislation such as the Draft Digital Technology Industry Law and Pilot Crypto Asset Market Resolution is advancing, aiming for National Assembly approval around May 2025 .
Stablecoins remain restricted
As of now, stablecoins are not legally recognized for payment—they're considered crypto and barred as legal tender . The planned sandbox (with participation from banks) may allow supervised stablecoin operations in future pilots .
#MetaplanetBTCPurchase Metaplanet Inc. began acquiring Bitcoin as a reserve asset in 2024, shifting its treasury management strategy toward BTC as a hedge against yen depreciation and global monetary uncertainty.
The hashtag is used when the company announces new Bitcoin purchases, similar to how MicroStrategy updates are shared with hashtags like #BitcoinTreasury or #BitcoinPurchase.
📈 Why it Matters:
It's significant for the broader Bitcoin ecosystem because it shows growing institutional interest, particularly from non-Western publicly traded companies.
These purchases are often followed by a bump in market sentiment or price depending on the size of the buy and timing.
Would you like the latest BTC purchase details by Metaplanet? I can look up their most recent filing or announcement.
The hashtag is used when the company announces new Bitcoin purchases, similar to how MicroStrategy updates are shared with hashtags like #BitcoinTreasury or #BitcoinPurchase.
📈 Why it Matters:
It's significant for the broader Bitcoin ecosystem because it shows growing institutional interest, particularly from non-Western publicly traded companies.
These purchases are often followed by a bump in market sentiment or price depending on the size of the buy and timing.
Would you like the latest BTC purchase details by Metaplanet? I can look up their most recent filing or announcement.
#SpotVsFutures Spot Trading
Best for: Beginners, long-term investors
Ownership: You buy and own the actual asset (e.g., crypto, stocks).
Settlement: Immediate (on the "spot").
Risk: Lower — no leverage, less volatility.
Profit potential: Based on asset appreciation.
No expiry date — hold as long as you want.
✅ Pros
Simpler and easier to understand
Less risky (no margin or leverage)
Good for holding assets long-term
❌ Cons
Lower profit potential in short timeframes
Less flexible for shorting or hedging
---
🔸 Futures Trading
Best for: Experienced traders, short-term strategies
Ownership: You’re trading contracts, not the actual asset.
Settlement: On a future date
Risk: Higher — often uses leverage (borrowing money to trade)
Profit potential: Can profit from both rising and falling markets
Often used for hedging or speculation
✅ Pros
High leverage = high potential returns
Ability to short sell
Useful for hedging
❌ Cons
Complex — requires deep understanding
High risk — leverage can magnify losses
Contracts have expiration dates
---
🔍 So, Which Is Better?
If you are... Go with...
New to trading Spot trading
Long-term investor Spot trading
Looking for lower risk Spot trading
Experienced and active trader Futures trading
Comfortable with leverage and risk Futures trading
Interested in hedging or speculation Futures trading
Best for: Beginners, long-term investors
Ownership: You buy and own the actual asset (e.g., crypto, stocks).
Settlement: Immediate (on the "spot").
Risk: Lower — no leverage, less volatility.
Profit potential: Based on asset appreciation.
No expiry date — hold as long as you want.
✅ Pros
Simpler and easier to understand
Less risky (no margin or leverage)
Good for holding assets long-term
❌ Cons
Lower profit potential in short timeframes
Less flexible for shorting or hedging
---
🔸 Futures Trading
Best for: Experienced traders, short-term strategies
Ownership: You’re trading contracts, not the actual asset.
Settlement: On a future date
Risk: Higher — often uses leverage (borrowing money to trade)
Profit potential: Can profit from both rising and falling markets
Often used for hedging or speculation
✅ Pros
High leverage = high potential returns
Ability to short sell
Useful for hedging
❌ Cons
Complex — requires deep understanding
High risk — leverage can magnify losses
Contracts have expiration dates
---
🔍 So, Which Is Better?
If you are... Go with...
New to trading Spot trading
Long-term investor Spot trading
Looking for lower risk Spot trading
Experienced and active trader Futures trading
Comfortable with leverage and risk Futures trading
Interested in hedging or speculation Futures trading
#TrumpBTCTreasury all about?
🏦 Trump Media’s $2.5 B Bitcoin Treasury
Trump Media & Technology Group (ticker DJT), which owns Truth Social/Truth+, raised $2.5 billion in a private placement—$1.5 B via stock and $1 B via zero-coupon convertible notes—to build a Bitcoin reserve .
The SEC officially approved the registration for this transaction on June 13, 2025 .
Cash on hand (~$759 M) plus new funds positions the firm to become one of the largest public‑company Bitcoin holders .
🏦 Trump Media’s $2.5 B Bitcoin Treasury
Trump Media & Technology Group (ticker DJT), which owns Truth Social/Truth+, raised $2.5 billion in a private placement—$1.5 B via stock and $1 B via zero-coupon convertible notes—to build a Bitcoin reserve .
The SEC officially approved the registration for this transaction on June 13, 2025 .
Cash on hand (~$759 M) plus new funds positions the firm to become one of the largest public‑company Bitcoin holders .
#CardanoDebate price has declined by 7.25% to reach $0.474 on May 22, two days after cryptocurrency analyst Justin Bons accused the blockchain project of being extremely centralized.
ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView
Bons argued that Input Output Global (IOG), the parent company of Cardano, controls 5 out of 7 of the blockchain's "genesis keys," cryptographic keys that were used to sign and establish the initial block of the Cardano blockchain back in 2015.
"The genesis keys allow code changes to be pushed out seamlessly without a hard fork," the analyst said, adding:
"This means IOG could halt the chain, change emission schedules, censor & far more That is an unprecedented degree of centralized control for an L1 chain."
ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView
Bons argued that Input Output Global (IOG), the parent company of Cardano, controls 5 out of 7 of the blockchain's "genesis keys," cryptographic keys that were used to sign and establish the initial block of the Cardano blockchain back in 2015.
"The genesis keys allow code changes to be pushed out seamlessly without a hard fork," the analyst said, adding:
"This means IOG could halt the chain, change emission schedules, censor & far more That is an unprecedented degree of centralized control for an L1 chain."
price has declined by 7.25% to reach $0.474 on May 22, two days after cryptocurrency analyst Justin Bons accused the blockchain project of being extremely centralized.
ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView
Bons argued that Input Output Global (IOG), the parent company of Cardano, controls 5 out of 7 of the blockchain's "genesis keys," cryptographic keys that were used to sign and establish the initial block of the Cardano blockchain back in 2015.
"The genesis keys allow code changes to be pushed out seamlessly without a hard fork," the analyst said, adding:
"This means IOG could halt the chain, change emission schedules, censor & far more That is an unprecedented degree of centralized control for an L1 chain."
ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView
Bons argued that Input Output Global (IOG), the parent company of Cardano, controls 5 out of 7 of the blockchain's "genesis keys," cryptographic keys that were used to sign and establish the initial block of the Cardano blockchain back in 2015.
"The genesis keys allow code changes to be pushed out seamlessly without a hard fork," the analyst said, adding:
"This means IOG could halt the chain, change emission schedules, censor & far more That is an unprecedented degree of centralized control for an L1 chain."
Israel and iran conflict impact on #Bitcoin
#IsraelIranConflict 🎯 Impacts of Geopolitical Conflict on #Bitcoin❗ Trading
1. Increased Volatility
#Bitcoin often becomes more volatile during conflicts as investors react to global uncertainty.
Large price swings are common due to emotional trading and speculation.
2. Safe-Haven or Risk Asset Behavior
Some see Bitcoin as a "digital gold", turning to it when fiat markets are unstable.
Others see it as risky, causing them to sell off BTC during global stress to seek safer assets like USD, gold, or bonds.
3. Liquidity Crunch
Global instability can tighten liquidity — fewer buyers/sellers, wider spreads.
This makes entries and exits more difficult or costly.
4. Regulatory or Infrastructure Risks
Sanctions, internet shutdowns, or pressure on crypto exchanges in affected regions could impact transaction flows or access.
---
🛡️ How to Avoid or Mitigate Risk
✅ 1. Use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders
Protect yourself from sharp drops by setting automatic exit points.
Example: If BTC falls 5% below your entry, exit to preserve capital.
✅ 2. Diversify Holdings
Don’t go all-in on Bitcoin or any one coin.
Consider stablecoins (e.g., USDT, USDC), gold, or traditional assets depending on risk appetite.
✅ 3. Avoid Leverage in High-Risk Times
Leverage amplifies both gains and losses.
In volatile conditions, it can quickly lead to liquidation.
✅ 4. Stay Informed (but not reactive)
Follow real-time news (use alerts on geopolitical developments and BTC market).
Watch for statements from the Fed, Middle Eastern governments, and major exchanges.
✅ 5. Switch to Stable Assets Temporarily
If risk is too high, convert some BTC to stablecoins until markets settle.
Keep funds on reputable wallets, not just exchanges.
✅ 6. Consider Hedging
Use options or inverse ETFs (if available in your country) to hedge against downside risk in BTC.
✅ 7. Timeframe Shift: Go Long-Term
Instead of panic-selling, zoom out. Bitcoin has recovered from crises before (e.g., Ukraine war, COVID, China bans).
Only invest what you can afford to hold for years, if needed.
1. Increased Volatility
#Bitcoin often becomes more volatile during conflicts as investors react to global uncertainty.
Large price swings are common due to emotional trading and speculation.
2. Safe-Haven or Risk Asset Behavior
Some see Bitcoin as a "digital gold", turning to it when fiat markets are unstable.
Others see it as risky, causing them to sell off BTC during global stress to seek safer assets like USD, gold, or bonds.
3. Liquidity Crunch
Global instability can tighten liquidity — fewer buyers/sellers, wider spreads.
This makes entries and exits more difficult or costly.
4. Regulatory or Infrastructure Risks
Sanctions, internet shutdowns, or pressure on crypto exchanges in affected regions could impact transaction flows or access.
---
🛡️ How to Avoid or Mitigate Risk
✅ 1. Use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders
Protect yourself from sharp drops by setting automatic exit points.
Example: If BTC falls 5% below your entry, exit to preserve capital.
✅ 2. Diversify Holdings
Don’t go all-in on Bitcoin or any one coin.
Consider stablecoins (e.g., USDT, USDC), gold, or traditional assets depending on risk appetite.
✅ 3. Avoid Leverage in High-Risk Times
Leverage amplifies both gains and losses.
In volatile conditions, it can quickly lead to liquidation.
✅ 4. Stay Informed (but not reactive)
Follow real-time news (use alerts on geopolitical developments and BTC market).
Watch for statements from the Fed, Middle Eastern governments, and major exchanges.
✅ 5. Switch to Stable Assets Temporarily
If risk is too high, convert some BTC to stablecoins until markets settle.
Keep funds on reputable wallets, not just exchanges.
✅ 6. Consider Hedging
Use options or inverse ETFs (if available in your country) to hedge against downside risk in BTC.
✅ 7. Timeframe Shift: Go Long-Term
Instead of panic-selling, zoom out. Bitcoin has recovered from crises before (e.g., Ukraine war, COVID, China bans).
Only invest what you can afford to hold for years, if needed.
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