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#美联储FOMC会议 Below is an analysis of the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting from different perspectives:
Interest Rate Policy Perspective: The Federal Reserve has maintained the federal funds rate in the range of 4.25% - 4.50% multiple times, indicating that the current policy is in a wait-and-see mode. The dot plot shows two expected rate cuts in 2025, with the policy path remaining unchanged for now, but it will be adjusted flexibly based on economic data. If the economy worsens, there is room for rate cuts; if inflation remains uncontrolled, high rates will be maintained.
Economic Situation Perspective: Economic growth expectations have been downgraded, with the GDP growth rate forecast for 2025 lowered from 1.8% to 1.7%, and the unemployment rate expected to rise to 4.4%. However, inflation remains stubborn, with the core PCE inflation rate revised up to 2.8%. The risks to economic growth are biased downwards, while inflation risks are biased upwards.
Market Impact Perspective: The decisions made at the FOMC meeting have a significant impact on financial markets. If a rate cut signal is released, the U.S. dollar may face short-term pressure, U.S. Treasury yields may decline, gold prices may rise due to safe-haven sentiment, and U.S. stocks and other risk assets will also be affected, with their trends depending on market expectations regarding economic prospects and policy adjustments.
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Singapore's "guest-eliminating" policy, is Hong Kong the true Web3 hub of Asia?
On May 30, Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Regulation" was officially legislated, establishing a regulatory framework for stablecoins. At the same time, Hong Kong continues to strengthen its support for capital and entrepreneurship: since the release of the virtual asset declaration in 2022, over a thousand Web3 companies have settled in Hong Kong, and Cyberport has gathered nearly 300 enterprises, raising over 400 million Hong Kong dollars; policy-wise, tax incentives are provided (details to be confirmed), with a maximum monthly talent subsidy of 32,000 Hong Kong dollars, and a proactive approach to attract restricted companies from Singapore to relocate.
In contrast to Singapore's tightening regulatory environment, Hong Kong is seen as a more friendly entrepreneurial testing ground. However, in reality, Hong Kong still faces challenges such as uneven policy implementation, inadequate infrastructure, and ambiguous tax details. For entrepreneurs, relocating to Hong Kong may be a "suboptimal choice"; some voices lean towards more policy-friendly regions like Dubai, and the new South Korean president's cryptocurrency policies are still to be observed. For now, Hong Kong is viewed as a "relay station" following Singapore's tightening regulations rather than a closed-loop ecological hub.
From the perspective of the Asian Web3 ecosystem, the Hong Kong-Singapore competition essentially reflects a divergence in ecological positioning: Singapore may become a compliant asset management center, while Hong Kong focuses on technological experimentation and capital hub. For entrepreneurs, the key lies in dynamically adapting to policy and regulatory changes, rather than betting on a single region.
Singapore's "guest-eliminating" policy, is Hong Kong the true Web3 hub of Asia?
On May 30, Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Regulation" was officially legislated, establishing a regulatory framework for stablecoins. At the same time, Hong Kong continues to strengthen its support for capital and entrepreneurship: since the release of the virtual asset declaration in 2022, over a thousand Web3 companies have settled in Hong Kong, and Cyberport has gathered nearly 300 enterprises, raising over 400 million Hong Kong dollars; policy-wise, tax incentives are provided (details to be confirmed), with a maximum monthly talent subsidy of 32,000 Hong Kong dollars, and a proactive approach to attract restricted companies from Singapore to relocate.
In contrast to Singapore's tightening regulatory environment, Hong Kong is seen as a more friendly entrepreneurial testing ground. However, in reality, Hong Kong still faces challenges such as uneven policy implementation, inadequate infrastructure, and ambiguous tax details. For entrepreneurs, relocating to Hong Kong may be a "suboptimal choice"; some voices lean towards more policy-friendly regions like Dubai, and the new South Korean president's cryptocurrency policies are still to be observed. For now, Hong Kong is viewed as a "relay station" following Singapore's tightening regulations rather than a closed-loop ecological hub.
From the perspective of the Asian Web3 ecosystem, the Hong Kong-Singapore competition essentially reflects a divergence in ecological positioning: Singapore may become a compliant asset management center, while Hong Kong focuses on technological experimentation and capital hub. For entrepreneurs, the key lies in dynamically adapting to policy and regulatory changes, rather than betting on a single region.
Singapore's "guest-eliminating" policy, is Hong Kong the true Web3 hub of Asia?
On May 30, Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Regulation" was officially legislated, establishing a regulatory framework for stablecoins. At the same time, Hong Kong continues to strengthen its support for capital and entrepreneurship: since the release of the virtual asset declaration in 2022, over a thousand Web3 companies have settled in Hong Kong, and Cyberport has gathered nearly 300 enterprises, raising over 400 million Hong Kong dollars; policy-wise, tax incentives are provided (details to be confirmed), with a maximum monthly talent subsidy of 32,000 Hong Kong dollars, and a proactive approach to attract restricted companies from Singapore to relocate.
In contrast to Singapore's tightening regulatory environment, Hong Kong is seen as a more friendly entrepreneurial testing ground. However, in reality, Hong Kong still faces challenges such as uneven policy implementation, inadequate infrastructure, and ambiguous tax details. For entrepreneurs, relocating to Hong Kong may be a "suboptimal choice"; some voices lean towards more policy-friendly regions like Dubai, and the new South Korean president's cryptocurrency policies are still to be observed. For now, Hong Kong is viewed as a "relay station" following Singapore's tightening regulations rather than a closed-loop ecological hub.
From the perspective of the Asian Web3 ecosystem, the Hong Kong-Singapore competition essentially reflects a divergence in ecological positioning: Singapore may become a compliant asset management center, while Hong Kong focuses on technological experimentation and capital hub. For entrepreneurs, the key lies in dynamically adapting to policy and regulatory changes, rather than betting on a single region.
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Yesterday, the price of Bitcoin rebounded sharply from $105,000 to $108,000, igniting the enthusiasm of retail investors. Previously, when the price of Bitcoin fell below $100,000 last week, panic spread, and many traders rushed to sell their holdings. However, with the strong price rebound, public opinion and market sentiment quickly turned bullish.
However, in the volatile field of cryptocurrency, such drastic changes in sentiment often herald market reversals. When market sentiment becomes overly optimistic, exceeding the support of actual fundamentals, investors need to be wary of sudden shifts in direction and be prepared to respond to adverse market conditions.
While retail investors are still contemplating whether they will miss the opportunity, whales have quietly positioned themselves, betting on greater upward potential for Bitcoin. From the price trend, Bitcoin shows strong rebound momentum above $108,000; however, the slight pullback today has sounded a warning bell for the market, suggesting that the upward momentum may slow in the short term.
Currently, while the bulls control the market trend, it is crucial to avoid a repeat of the significant price drop seen in late May. The key lies in maintaining the Bitcoin price above $110,000 and ensuring strong trading volume to confirm the sustainability of the upward trend. This rebound in Bitcoin, driven by both whale activity and retail FOMO sentiment, has released potential signals of adjustment risk from a market technical perspective. Investors need to closely monitor market sentiment, whale movements, and changes in technical indicators, making cautious decisions and rational investments in this wave of cryptocurrency filled with opportunities and risks.
Next Week's Macro Outlook: U.S. May CPI Data Released on Wednesday as Follows: Monday 22:00, U.S. April Wholesale Sales MoM; Monday 23:00, U.S. May NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations; Wednesday 20:30, U.S. May CPI Data; Wednesday 22:30, U.S. EIA Crude Oil Inventories, Cushing Crude Oil Inventories, and Strategic Petroleum Reserve Inventories for the Week Ending June 6; Thursday 20:30, U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the Week Ending June 7, U.S. May PPI; Friday 22:00, Preliminary Value of U.S. June 1-Year Inflation Rate Expectations, Preliminary Value of U.S. June University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.
The U.S. May CPI report released next Wednesday will test market optimism about interest rate cuts, as it may show that the recent downward trend in inflation has stalled. According to the Cleveland Fed's Nowcast model, overall CPI for May is expected to increase by 2.4% year-on-year, higher than the 2.3% last month; core CPI is expected to increase by 2.8% year-on-year, unchanged from last month. Analysts expect the annualized three-month inflation rate for core goods to peak in early fall (4%-5%), slightly lower and later than the forecast before the suspension of "equivalent tariffs" on May 8.