All trading concepts are relative when applied, not absolute. It's like you say that chopsticks can pick up rice, and I say that chopsticks can pick up vegetables—there's no right or wrong. What causes what effect; an effect is composed of numerous causes, and then this effect also becomes a cause to create another effect. The trading concepts that work for me may not work for you, and of course, the trading concepts or systems you have may not necessarily perform better than mine. Trading techniques and concepts are only part of the causes; you can also understand them as conditions. They are not the only causes; there are many other causes that you may not have gathered, such as mindset, capital, experience, or the current market's time and space. Therefore, if your causes are incomplete, you may not get the results you want when seeking an effect. Conditions + Conditions = Results; I hope everyone can remember this logic. As long as a pig has wings, it can fly; wings are the conditions for a pig to fly, but not the only condition. There are many ways to make a pig fly. Just like 1 + 1 = 2, 3 - 1 = 2, 1 + 4 - 3 = 2, there are many ways to arrive at 2, so we shouldn't be obsessed with fixed formulas. Instead, we should learn to vary our methods. When the market or environment presents us with some fixed causes (conditions), what we need to do is find matching causes to create the effect we desire.
Recently, I've been busy with offline team communications and helping online friends with their studies, and haven't had time to share any content. Today, I found a little time to write down some personal opinions. 1. When it comes to trading, I value adaptability more than predictive ability because I prefer short-term or even ultra-short-term trading, so I focus more on adaptability. 2. Before placing an order, you need to clarify a few simple questions: First, when to enter the market? Second, which direction to enter? Third, how much capital to invest? I believe that if you understand these three questions regarding event contracts, it will be quite simple. 3. Regarding the understanding of following the trend versus counter-trend, I believe that when you are making a trend-following trade, you are also inevitably making a counter-trend trade; you just need to be clear about which level of trend you are following and which level of trend you are going against, whether you are following a larger trend and going against a smaller one or vice versa. Understanding this will determine your entry point and direction.