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Free Signal 🚦 $BTC
Scenario:
Recommendation: SELL STOP ⤵️
Entry point: 111200.00
Take Profit: 106250.00, 100000.00
Stop Loss: 114400.00
Key levels: 100000.00, 106250.00, 112500.00, 116600.00, 121875.00, 125000.00
Alternative Scenario:
Recommendation: BUY STOP ⤴️
Entry point: 116650.00
Take Profit: 121875.00, 125000.00
Stop Loss: 113300.00
Key levels: 100000.00, 106250.00, 112500.00, 116600.00, 121875.00, 125000.00

Current trend:
The $BTC /USD pair continues to attempt to develop a downward correction to the medium-term upward trend for the second week in a row: last Friday, quotes reversed from 112500.00 (Murrey level [4/8]) and jumped to the area of 117400.00, but then resumed their decline and have now lost all of their recovered positions.
This dynamic was linked to statements by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole Symposium, where he noted the stability of the labor market and the shift in the balance of risks from inflation to recessionary ones, which could allow the regulator to consider changing monetary policy. The comments were seen by investors as a cautious hint that borrowing costs might ease in September, which has weakened the dollar and boosted alternative assets. However, the market optimism did not last long: in general, experts had long assumed that Powell would signal an interest rate adjustment, and this was taken into account by investors.
In addition, the resumption of price decline was facilitated by the actions of one of the major players, who began to transfer their BTC reserves to ETFs. Last week alone, he dumped about 2.0 billion dollars worth of BTC, and on Sunday, his sales, according to aggregator CoinGecko, caused the price to fall by almost 2.2% in nine minutes.
Adding to the pressure on the entire cryptocurrency sector is a new initiative from the US Treasury Department, which is seeking to introduce identity verification into DeFi smart contracts, citing the need to combat crime. However, experts fear that such actions will deprive participants in the decentralized finance market of privacy, make it difficult for citizens to enter it, and put transactions under government control, which violates the fundamental principles of DeFi.
Overall, the short-term fundamental background is conducive to a further decline in the BTC/USD pair.
Support and resistance
The instrument fell below 112500.00 again (Murrey level [4/8]) and may continue to decline towards the targets of 106250.00 (Murrey level [2/8]) and 100000.00 (Murrey level [0/8]). The key for the "bears" seems to be the center line of Bollinger Bands in the area of 116600.00, consolidation above which will ensure the resumption of growth to the levels of 121875.00 (Murrey level [7/8], the upper line of Bollinger Bands) and 125000.00 (Murrey level [8/8]).
Technical indicators allow for continuation of the downward dynamics: Bollinger Bands and Stochastic are reversing downwards, and MACD is increasing in the negative zone.
Resistance levels: 116600.00, 121875.00, 125000.00.
Support levels: 112500.00, 106250.00, 100000.00.
Trading tips
Short positions may be opened from the level of 111200.00 with targets at 106250.00, 100000.00 and stop-loss at 114400.00. Implementation period: 5-7 days.
Long positions may be opened from 116600.00 with targets at 121875.00, 125000.00 and stop-loss at 113300.00.
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