GBKripton

Understand Why Global Conflicts Disrupt the Crypto Market.

When there is geopolitical tension, investors tend to flee from riskier assets — such as cryptocurrencies — and seek more traditional safe havens, like gold, the dollar, or U.S. Treasury bonds.

We cannot forget that this week, after Israel's attack on Iran, the crypto market lost over $1 billion in value in just a few hours. Bitcoin alone dropped from $108,000 to $103,000, and altcoins like Solana and Cardano fell by more than 5%.

A prolonged conflict can drive up oil prices, increase global inflation, and force central banks to reassess monetary policies. This affects risk appetite and, consequently, the crypto market.

The spread of negative news generates panic and impulsive selling decisions, which amplifies the decline in prices.

Even so, interestingly, despite the initial drop, Bitcoin historically tends to recover and even appreciate during times of crisis, being viewed by some as an alternative store of value to gold.

In any case, the moment calls for caution, as high volatility tends to increase. Let's stay alert to the news and know how to protect our hard-earned capital.
$BTC

$BTC Weekend: Where We Are and Where We Are Going This Weekend?

If we rely on the 4-hour chart analysis of BTC at this moment, we will continue downhill. See why!

The current price of 104,973.62 is below the EMAs of 7, 25, and 99 periods, which suggests ongoing selling pressure.

The RSI (relative strength index) at 35.92 is below 40, indicating that the asset is approaching the oversold zone — reinforcing the short-term negative bias, although there may be occasional technical reactions.

Remember when I said I don’t like to trade on weekends? Well, the volume is decreasing. Note that the average volumes (1,230 vs. 3,104 over the last 5 and 10 candles) show that buyers are less active — another sign of weakened demand.

The recent peak at 111,980 and support at 100,372, culminating in the loss of momentum after the peak, suggests that the asset may be retreating to test previous supports.

Despite this, it is always good to consider that in highly volatile markets like this, reversals can happen quickly — especially if there is any relevant macroeconomic or institutional event.

This is my personal analysis, and if you are thinking of trading, remember to do your own analysis and that this market is very volatile.

Have a great weekend everyone!
$ADA

#CardanoDebate In debate about the Cardano blockchain.

The debate about the Cardano (ADA) blockchain revolves around its careful and scientific development, contrasting with criticisms about its slowness and limited immediate practical utility. The discussion addresses everything from technical issues to its position in the market and regulations.

Main positive highlights of Cardano according to its supporters:
- Improves security, predictability, and allows for processing multiple transactions simultaneously.
- Use of Haskell and formal verification, ensuring safer and more reliable code.
- Decentralized network with many community validators, promoting autonomy and resistance to censorship.
- Great academic foundation, ensuring a project supported by peer-reviewed research.
- Environmental sustainability, using the proof of stake (PoS) system, which consumes less energy.

And you, what do you think of Cardano (ADA)?

$BTC From yesterday to today, was it a sharp decline or a sign of more drops?

Whether due to the bombardment of Israel in Iran or not, the fact is that the market as a whole reacted, volatility with strong selling pressure increased and BTC plummeted in the last 24 hours, falling from 108,398.4 to 102,614.0 USDT.

At the moment, the arrangement of these moving averages suggests that the price is below the short, medium, and long-term averages — typical of a downward trend.

The RSI(6) is at 53.3, still indicating a neutral zone, but don't be fooled; if the BTC price moves below 50, it may confirm weakness in the asset.

It's best to monitor the behavior in the next candles and see if the support close to 102 thousand holds; otherwise, the price may plummet even further.

Have a great Friday everyone!

#IsraelIranConflict
The price of Bitcoin has fallen to US$ 102.900, recording a drop of more than 4% in just 24 hours, after Israel conducted bombings in Tehran, the capital of Iran. The information was first reported by Axios and later confirmed by Al-Jazeera.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that the attacks aim to destroy the Iranian nuclear program and its capabilities to launch ballistic missiles. He also said that the offensives will continue until this threat is completely eliminated.

This conflict comes right after the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported that Iran has violated, for the first time in 20 years, the restrictions on uranium enrichment.

The tension has also affected the financial markets:
- Futures contracts on US and European exchanges fell by about 1.5%.
- Prices of bonds, gold, and oil rose, with crude oil seeing a significant increase of 9%.
- The US dollar appreciated against the euro and the British pound but lost strength against the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc.

We are left waiting for the outcome of the meeting scheduled for this weekend aiming for a peace agreement.

$BTC For today: Pullback, Correction or Downtrend? Let's analyze some important points:

The price dropped from 110,653.60 to 106,997.00, indicating recent selling pressure.
The three exponential moving averages (EMA 7, 25, and 99) are above the current price, indicating a downtrend in the short term.

The RSI technical indicator at 23.6 is a clear sign that the asset is oversold, which may suggest that a bullish correction is approaching — but still without confirmation of reversal.

The trading volume shows intense activity, which may indicate that many traders are reacting to the downward momentum.

My projection for today is: If the support around 106,830 is broken, the price may seek even lower levels. But since the RSI is already at a critical oversold level, there is potential for a slight recovery, especially if reversal candles or an increase in buying volume appear.
It is best to wait a few hours for clearer signals, as trading volume tends to decrease as it approaches.

Have a great Thursday everyone!

#TrumpTariffs The then president of the USA, Donald Trump, announced a new trade agreement with China. According to him, the USA will impose tariffs of up to 55%, while China will impose 10%.

Shortly after this news, data was released showing that monthly inflation in the USA slowed down, but annual inflation increased.

These measures had a certain impact on the market, causing gold to rise about 1%, with investors awaiting confirmation of the agreement from China.

Meanwhile, oil reached its highest value in two months, with optimism about a possible economic recovery.

Brent oil contracts rose by 1.4% and American oil contracts by 1.7%.

The American stock indices (Dow Jones and S&P 500) advanced with expectations of improved investor confidence, and the yields on US Treasury bonds fell slightly to 4.45%.

$ETH Strong upward trend for today?

Yes... If we rely on the current chart and with the current price near the top of the last 24 hours, the ETH chart indicates strong buying pressure.

The Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are aligned in a rising fashion (EMA7 > EMA25 > EMA99), which is typical of a well-structured bullish movement.

The high Volume accompanies the upward movement, reinforcing the strength of the trend.

The RSI at 80.03 signals that the asset is in overbought territory, confirming the buying momentum, but it also calls for caution — corrections may occur.

In summary: the current trend is clearly positive, with potential to continue rising in the short term. But it's worth monitoring closely — especially if there is a drop in volume or divergence in the RSI.

Good luck to everyone!

#CryptoRoundTableRemarks

Today the topic in focus is regulation — a subject that frequently arises and is of great importance to all of us who operate in stock exchanges and brokerage firms.

Round tables serve as a space to discuss how cryptocurrencies should be treated by laws. One of the main questions is whether they should be classified as securities (like stocks), as commodities (like gold or oil), or in another specific category.

Another essential point is finding ways to protect investors without hindering the development of new technologies. The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has been promoting several of these discussions precisely to try to clarify how the rules should be applied to the crypto-assets market.

$BTC What to expect for today?

After hitting the 110,367 USDT region three times in the last 24 hours, BTC has pulled back each time. This indicates a strong resistance at this level — the famous psychological and technical ceiling.

Looking at the technical indicators with the RSI(6) at 66.8: The relative strength index is approaching the overbought zone (above 70), suggesting that the asset may be getting stretched, which usually precedes a correction or consolidation.

The EMAs are positively aligned (7 > 25 > 99): This is typical of a consolidated uptrend, indicating that the price still has a buying bias in the short term.

The high volume of USDT at 14.84 billion reinforces that the market is active — this can increase the likelihood of breakouts, especially if accompanied by increasing volume.

Therefore, the trend for today based on these elements is upward, but with a clear warning: BTC needs to break the resistance of 110,367 USDT with strength and volume. Otherwise, we may see another pullback or lateral movement at this level.

Thus, the moment is to stay alert to these signals before trading. This is my personal opinion.
If you are considering trading, do your own analyses and draw your own conclusions.

Have a great Wednesday, everyone!

#Bob For the first time I will talk about BOB in the Alpha market of Binance.

So much has been said about BOB in recent weeks and now that there has been a correction, everyone is quiet. Why could that be?

Well... Looking at this chart, I think this is the best time to discuss it and here are some reasons to be optimistic:

Although the correction may seem frightening at first glance — with a drop of more than 32% and an RSI around 9.5, which is extremely low — these are precisely signals that experienced traders interpret as potential entry points.

Historically, this type of reading tends to be followed by a recovery.

With the EMA(99) serving as support, the current price is very close to the 99-period EMA (0.0000000684829), suggesting it may find technical support there.

The sharp drop may have been a realization of profits after the initial hype. If the Bob project maintains good fundamentals and an active community, the pullback may just be a pause before further appreciation.

The liquidity remains solid at $1.69 million, ensuring healthy movement and avoiding more abrupt manipulations.

Of course, the risk exists, as with any crypto asset — but for those entering now, the risk/reward may be quite favorable.

This may be a great opportunity for the medium/long term. But remember to do your own analysis before investing.

$BNB

#NasdaqETFUpdate

Nasdaq ETFs on the Rise: Opportunity or Warning Sign?

The Nasdaq-linked ETFs are strongly recovering in 2025, driven by three main factors:

1. Advancement of Artificial Intelligence:
ETFs like QQQ and ARKK rise with the appreciation of big techs and AI startups, such as NVIDIA and Microsoft.

2. Expectation of Interest Rate Cuts in the U.S.:
The potential drop in interest rates favors growth companies, strengthening the technology sector.

3. Affordable Option for Global Investors:
ETFs offer exposure to the U.S. digital economy with diversification and less risk, making them attractive for Portuguese-speaking investors.

But stay alert, prices are high, and adjustments may occur. Invest with a long-term focus and avoid decisions driven by FOMO (fear of missing out).

The fact is that Nasdaq ETFs rise with the advancement of AI and the expectation of interest rate cuts, thus presenting a good long-term opportunity, provided there is risk management.

Have a great Tuesday, everyone!

#MarketRebound Recovery reaction in the crypto market and the best time to buy.

A rebound in the market occurs when prices quickly recover shortly after a sharp decline. Here are the main signs to identify this movement:
Signs of recovery:
- Increase in buying volume, indicated by stronger green candles;
- The price breaks a support level but quickly rises again;
- The RSI indicator surpasses 30 points, exiting the oversold area;
- Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH) leading the rally and pulling other assets along.

How to act:
- Only enter the market after a confirmation, such as closing above a resistance level;
- Use a short stop-loss, just below the last low, to limit losses;
- Stay alert to economic news that influences the market, such as Fed decisions, ETF progress, or regulatory changes.

Follow for more tips like this.

#TradingTools101

Learn to Use the Main Tools to Operate in the Crypto Market.

To stand out in trading, it is essential to have the right resources and a good strategy. Here’s what you can’t miss:

Real-Time Updated Charts – Use platforms like TradingView or MetaTrader to perform technical analyses with tools like moving averages, RSI, and MACD.

Real-Time Market Information – Follow websites like CoinTelegraph or Bloomberg to anticipate economic events that may impact your assets.

Risk Management – Always use stop-loss and calculate the size of your positions based on your total capital. Golden rule: avoid risking more than 1 to 2% per trade.

Automation with Bots – Tools like 3Commas allow you to execute strategies automatically, without emotional interference, all day long.

Market Sentiment Indicators – Metrics such as the Fear and Greed Index or data on futures contracts help identify trends and possible turning points.

Bonus: If you are a beginner, before investing your money, try all of this using demo accounts. This way, you learn without risking your capital.

Have a great Tuesday everyone!
$BTC

#USChinaTradeTalks
The USA and China are conducting trade negotiations to maintain a temporary truce. Both have agreed to suspend some tariffs for 90 days, with significant reductions in the rates imposed on each other's products.

Additionally, China has committed to withdrawing non-tariff measures against the USA since April 2025.

Recent negotiations took place in Geneva and London, seeking to consolidate the truce despite the strategic tensions between the countries. However, challenges remain, including widespread US tariffs against China, Chinese restrictions on the export of rare earth minerals, and uncertainty about a lasting trade peace.

To address these issues, both established a continuous economic dialogue mechanism led by senior representatives from both governments.

Today my mind is not very good. Does any enlightened mind have a suggestion for this word?
#WOLDOFTHEDAY $BNB

$BTC The question that doesn't want to be silenced: Is BTC going to rise or fall?
Looking at the chart, I see that BTC has a slight upward bias today. The current price is 105,987.39 USDT, marking an increase of 0.49%*.

The exponential moving averages (EMAs) are aligned in a positive trend:
- EMA(7) 105,710.17
- EMA(25) 105,481.34
- EMA(99) 104,941.85

Another important factor is the RSI at 72.95, indicating that BTC is entering an overbought zone. This may suggest a possible price correction if buying continues intensely.

However, it is essential to consider that BTC had a recent drop to 100,372.26 USDT before recovering to the current value, showing volatility. The resistance marked at 110,718.00 USDT may be a target in the short term if the upward trend continues.

If you are thinking of trading, keep an eye on the RSI overbought zone and the support around 100,372 USDT, in case there is a reversal.

Have a great end of Sunday everyone!

#TradingMistakes101
Learn about the signals that make a difference when negotiating crypto:

Trading a single currency pair, such as SOL/USDT, can be risky if not done with strategy and discipline.

Many traders fall into the trap of overtrading, opening multiple positions without a solid plan, driven more by emotion than by logic.

Another common mistake is neglecting stop-loss orders, allowing losses to accumulate instead of limiting the damage. Impulsively buying after a series of highs can result in acquiring assets at their peak, leaving the investor stuck in an unfavorable position.

Additionally, many fail to analyze price movements and relevant news, blindly trusting signals without understanding their basis.

To achieve success in trading, it is essential to have patience, discipline, and good risk management. Each operation should be viewed as a strategic decision, avoiding impulsive actions that resemble gambling.

Trading cautiously and knowledgeably increases the chances of achieving consistent returns in the long term.

Have a great end to your Sunday everyone!

#CryptoCharts101
Understanding charts is like trying to navigate through a storm: it requires a lot of attention and practice.

Each candle represents a piece of the market's history, and the patterns provide clues about what may happen. Indicators like RSI and MACD, along with support and resistance, are like tools that help interpret this scenario. Learning to use them is like developing night vision, allowing one to see details that go unnoticed.

I still get confused by traps, but each mistake brings learning. The chart does not deceive; it only challenges those who are willing to understand its messages.

#SouthKoreaCryptoPolicy New Crypto Policy of South Korea (2025), clearly and objectively.

Cryptocurrency exchanges must keep at least 80% of customer assets in offline wallets (cold wallets) for greater security. Additionally, they need to have insurance to cover potential hacker attacks.

Stricter Rules Starting in 2025 (Phase 2):
New regulations will increase oversight on stablecoin issuers, making the listing process on exchanges more demanding. The security of financial institutions will also be strengthened.

Corporate Investments:
The government is testing the possibility of allowing companies, universities, and NGOs to invest in cryptocurrencies legally.

Taxation on Gains:
Starting January 2025, those who profit more than 50 million won from cryptocurrencies will have to pay 20% tax on those gains.

International Transactions Under Monitoring:
The Bank of South Korea will begin to supervise cryptocurrency operations conducted between different countries to prevent irregularities.

NFT Regulation:
NFTs used as a means of payment or on a large scale will be treated as financial assets and will become regulated.