叶轩-顺势

Institutional expectations for the U.S. seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls for July to be released tonight at 20:30 (Previous value: +147,000)
1. Bank of America: +60,000; Barclays: +75,000; Deutsche Bank: +75,000; HLB Bank: +75,000; Panseon Macro: +75,000;
2. Standard Chartered Bank: +75,000; Credit Suisse: +80,000; Sumitomo Mitsui: +90,000; TD Securities: +90,000; Spartan Securities: +95,000;
3. Oxford Economics: +95,000; UBS Group: +95,000; Citigroup: +100,000; DB Bank: +100,000; Goldman Sachs: +100,000;
4. JPMorgan: +100,000; Moody's Analytics: +100,000; Morgan Stanley: +100,000; Stifel: +100,000; CIBC: +101,000;
5. Monex Group: +101,000; ANZ Bank: +109,000; Daiwa Capital: +110,000; KPMG: +110,000; UOB Bank: +110,000;
6. Wells Fargo: +110,000; ING: +115,000; Imperial Bank: +120,000; Nomura Securities: +120,000; Westpac Bank: +120,000;
7. Jefferies: +125,000; Natixis: +130,000; Capital Economics: +130,000; HSBC: +130,000; Lloyds Bank: +130,000;
8. Berenberg: +140,000; Mizuho Bank: +140,000; Bank of Montreal: +150,000; Rabobank: +170,000.[Reuters expectation: +110,000]#加密市场回调

Ethereum is currently at 85 points, aiming for 3760.

It's easy to get there; trying doesn't always yield results, but not trying definitely yields no results.
#美国加征关税

Trump: Powell is Unsuitable to be the Chairman of the Federal Reserve

U.S. President Trump stated on social media: "Too late, Mr. Jerome Powell is the same as always!! He is too slow to act, and in fact, he is too angry, too stupid, and too politicized to be suitable for the position of Chairman of the Federal Reserve. He has cost our country trillions of dollars, and has conducted the most incompetent and corrupt renovations in the history of construction! In other words, Mr. Too Late is a complete loser, and our country is paying the price for it!"

From the one-hour chart, the candlestick is running above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, the KDJ has formed a dead cross and is trending downward, and the momentum bars are decreasing in volume.

Evening Bitcoin: Rebound to around 118800-119200,
Target around 116500-115200.

Evening Ethereum: Rebound to around 3880-3895,
Target around 3820-3760.
#美联储利率决议

Tonight's Must-Watch! The Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator is Coming

On July 31, the U.S. Core PCE Price Index for June will be released at 20:30 Beijing time. The annualized quarterly rate of the Core PCE Price Index for the second quarter, released yesterday, was higher than expected, suggesting a possible rebound in inflation in June. However, if the data falls short of expectations, bets on a rate cut in September are likely to increase. Be cautious of market fluctuations at that time... #BNB创新高

Trump: Economy better than expected, the Federal Reserve must cut interest rates

On July 30, Trump stated on social media: "The second quarter GDP has just been released, 3%, far better than expected! 'Too late, sir' must now lower interest rates. There is no inflation! Allow people to buy houses and refinance for this!"

From the four-hour chart of Ethereum, the candlestick is running below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, with an increase in the momentum bars, and the KDJ has formed a death cross with a downward trend.

Evening Bitcoin: around 118400-118800,
Target around 117000-116100.

Evening Ethereum: around 3790-3810,
Target around 3735-3690.
#美联储利率决议

The Federal Reserve Strikes Tonight: A Series of Risk Events Unfold

On July 30, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 02:00 Beijing time on Thursday, followed by a press conference with Powell at 02:30. This meeting is expected to maintain the current stance, although two board members may 'switch sides.' The market is focused on the timing of the restart of rate cuts. Can Captain Powell lead the Federal Reserve's ship steadily forward? Additionally, tonight the U.S. 'small non-farm' data and second-quarter GDP data, as well as the Bank of Canada's interest rate decision, will be released; investors are advised to pay attention.

Today's key financial data and events: July 30, 2025, Wednesday
① 04:30 US API crude oil inventories for the week ending July 25
② 09:30 Australia's Q2 CPI annual rate
③ 09:30 Australia's June weighted CPI annual rate
④ 13:30 France's Q2 GDP annual rate preliminary
⑤ 15:00 Switzerland's July KOF Economic Leading Indicator
⑥ 16:00 Germany's Q2 non-seasonally adjusted GDP annual rate preliminary
⑦ 16:00 Switzerland's July ZEW Investor Confidence Index
⑧ 17:00 Eurozone's Q2 GDP annual rate preliminary
⑨ 17:00 Eurozone's July industrial and economic sentiment index
⑩ 20:15 US ADP employment change for July
⑪ 20:30 US Q2 real GDP annualized quarterly rate preliminary
⑫ 20:30 US Q2 real personal consumption expenditures quarterly rate preliminary
⑬ 20:30 US Q2 core PCE price index annualized quarterly rate preliminary
⑭ 20:30 US Treasury's quarterly refinancing report
⑮ 21:45 Bank of Canada announces interest rate decision and monetary policy report
⑯ 22:00 US June existing home sales index monthly rate
⑰ 22:30 US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending July 25
⑱ 22:30 US EIA Cushing crude oil inventories for the week ending July 25
⑲ Next day 02:00 Federal Reserve FOMC announces interest rate decision
⑳ Next day 02:30 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell holds a press conference

Trump announces trade agreement between the U.S. and EU: 15% tariff + $600 billion investment in the U.S.

On July 28, local time on July 27, U.S. President Trump stated that the U.S. has reached a trade agreement with the European Union, imposing a 15% tariff on goods imported from the EU. Trump indicated that the EU will increase its investment in the U.S. by $600 billion compared to before, will purchase U.S. military equipment, and will buy $750 billion worth of U.S. energy products. Trump stated that tariffs on steel and aluminum will remain as is, and energy is a key part of this agreement, which will benefit the automotive industry and have a significant impact on agriculture. The U.S. will invest heavily in the chip sector, and the British Prime Minister is pleased with this agreement. U.S. Secretary of Commerce Ross stated that the U.S. will determine its tariff policy regarding chips within two weeks. #BNB创新高

The idea was issued, and it directly reached the target position in 1 hour.
Ethereum cashes out 70 points, congratulations to those who followed along here!
#山寨季來了？ $BTC $ETH

Ideas issued, directly reached the target position after 1 hour.
Ethereum realized 70 points, congratulations to those who followed along here! #山寨季來了？

Big cake 1-hour line 5 consecutive declines, the sea surface is often too calm, which is a sign that waves are coming. Yesterday, laid out 4 orders to collect big cake over 3000 points, and collected second cake over 150 points.

Ye Xuan morning: Retracement to around 118600-118950,
Target around 117500-116300.

Ye Xuan morning: Retracement around 3730-3750,
Target around 3675-3635.
#山寨季來了？

Only do it steadily, continue 6900 You [salute]
#山寨季來了？

Peak position available

30 minutes 12700 units, like a fast and stable feeling
#山寨季來了？

Ethereum experienced wide fluctuations at noon, causing the bears to shiver, while the bulls felt a sense of opportunity and triggered a strong rebound, making the situation quite intense. Still, the same advice applies: we should take what we can, eat what we need, and stay steady rather than greedy!

Ye Xuan in the evening: rebounded to around 118800-119200,
Targeting around 117600-116500.

Ye Xuan in the evening: rebounded to around 3640-3660,
Targeting around 3580-3530.

#山寨季來了？

Go with the flow, Ethereum's small wave directly 🤏

The target of 3645 has been directly broken through, 🤏5800 also
#山寨季來了？

Follow Ye Xuan, eating meat bite after bite.

Eating meat every day until my mouth is dripping with grease, Ethereum 🤏50 points.
#山寨季來了？

Golden touch, Ethereum directly shorted to the second target, dropped 140 points, the positions have all been planned for you in advance, just need to hold on [Handshake].

Ye Xuan morning: Bounce back to around 118500-118050,
Target around 119500-120600.

Ye Xuan morning: Bounce back to around 3605-3585,
Target around 3660-3710.
#山寨季來了？

Follow Ye Xuan, eat meat bite after bite.
​
​🤏60 points, 🤏10000 You!

Persistence is a belief, a fearless determination to move forward through wind and rain.
#Strategy增持比特币