币须成功

The events around us are not about Russia and Ukraine, nor about Palestine and Israel, but about how Dong Xiying and others are seizing the future of students from humble backgrounds!

No matter how Bitcoin moves next, the bull market is very likely to end in 2025. After it ends, the things to do during the bear market are quite boring, just waiting, waiting for the bull market in 2028-2029. Occasionally, there may be opportunities for short-term rebounds, but most of the time will just be spent waiting. My consistent style is that I do not like to short; even if I am bearish, I don’t like shorting. I think shorting Bitcoin and taking on that high risk is unnecessary, as I have a strong aversion to risk.

So what should we do during the waiting period of the bear market? What should we post on Weibo after 2025? I will probably spend most of my time and funds on US stocks. After liquidating last month, most of my funds are now in short-term bonds and US stocks. Currently, I have more in short-term bonds because you never know when Bitcoin will have an upward trend again, so it's necessary to enter and exit at any time. The short-term bond rates are around 4-4.3 now, which is still acceptable. But after the bull market ends, I will basically go all in on US stocks.

So what can be anticipated in the future is that after Bitcoin loses its momentum, there will be more and more discussions about American politics and US stocks on Weibo. However, if Bitcoin is performing well, of course, we will still focus on discussing Bitcoin.

Bull Market Characteristics:
• First 8 months: Slow oscillation, consolidation adjustments, gradual capital allocation.
• Last 2 months: Rapid surge, market sentiment explodes, forming the main upward wave.
• Last 2 months: Frenzied topping, sentiment reaches a peak, but risks also intensify.

Current Assessment:
• The bull market started in October 2023 and is currently in the mid-stage consolidation period; the real explosion has yet to come.
• According to historical rhythms, the explosion period is expected between February and May 2024, with the main upward wave completing most of its gains in just a few months.
• The entire bull market may end around July 2025, after which it will enter a bear market.

Why is trading considered a form of cultivation?

​1. The market is complex and ever-changing. How to simplify the complicated and find an exit in uncertain market conditions is key to trading.

​2. The path of trading involves many pitfalls. Trading must be honed in real markets; only by experiencing trends against you, holding positions, liquidation, and doubling can one truly understand.

​3. Trading requires overcoming many barriers. Technical barriers, system barriers, capital management barriers, emotional barriers, psychological barriers, and the integration of knowledge and action barriers. If one does not seek to improve oneself, it is impossible to overcome these barriers.

​4. There are gains and losses in trading. It is impossible to capture all market movements; many trading opportunities will certainly be “missed.” The most important aspect of trading is focus—stay attuned to familiar territory and only earn what belongs to you. In a vast sea, only take a ladle full.

​5. Consistent execution in trading is difficult. The consistency in trading execution is the hardest; luck will occasionally interfere, and without a certain level of mental fortitude, it is fundamentally impossible to achieve.

​Trading behavior reflects the trader; through the myriad of trading appearances, it mirrors the trader's different mindsets: greed, fear, obsession, and regret.

​Traders can only seek inward, cultivate the mind, and nurture character to find their true selves; only in this way can they gradually emerge from trading. #Trader's Quotes

This year's market forecast is in line with the big guys.
In spring, the price of Bitcoin will be between 130,000 and 150,000.
In summer, it will be adjusted.
In autumn, it will recover.
In winter, it will reach a record high of around 180,000.
The following is my prediction.
In 2026, the bear market, the price of the coin will be around 80,000.
In 2027, the year of recovery.
In 2028, it will be halved.
In 2029, the price of the coin will reach around 400,000 in the late stage of another bull market.
The price of a coin of 1 million will eventually fall in the late stage of the bull market after the halving in 2032. This is expected to be three years later than the price model of Jiushen, which can reach 1 million in 2030.

When selecting high-quality altcoins, we can consider multiple dimensions. Current popular tracks include public chains, MEME, AI, gaming, L2, DEFI, etc., while projects within the same track can perform very differently.
Taking MEME as an example, although People, Doge, and Floki are all established players, their price increases are vastly different. People’s performance is mediocre, while Doge and Floki have skyrocketed like rockets. The reasons for this are several: first, the narrative is crucial. Doge gained enormous attention due to Musk's mention on Twitter, with traffic and funds continuously flowing in, driving the price up; second, the project’s community team is actively operating, proactively shaping the narrative and advancing the project process, such as Doge expanding to other platforms after BN; finally, strong market maker support is also an important factor.
In the case of public chains, not all projects are worth investing in. For instance, Solana (SOL) and Injective (INJ) still stand firm in the last cycle and reached new highs, while other projects have gradually fallen silent. The influence of investment teams is also significant, as global renowned market maker JUMP supports projects like Sol, INJ, Sui, Apt, etc.
Investing in cryptocurrencies requires maintaining rationality; market dynamics and the favor of large funds are key to success, and one must not be self-satisfied. #币安MegadropSOLV

The cryptocurrency world is a university, but it’s not a 4-year program; it’s an 8-year program.
As we all know, the cryptocurrency world has a 4-year cycle.
If you are a complete novice and have no understanding of blockchain concepts,
you can only truly 'graduate' after experiencing two cycles, which means achieving freedom.

Entering this university, the first step is to choose a major:
• Trading: high-frequency, day trading, trends, short-term speculation, spot, futures, leverage, options...
• Playing on-chain: navigating DeFi, NFT, GameFi, MEME, inscriptions, runes, new coin listings and arbitrage...
• Engaging in primary market: research, participating in early-stage investments, looking for new tracks, new narratives.
• Farming: account farming, Odyssey, airdrop farming, multi-account strategies, avoiding witches...
• Arbitrage: market price differences, cross-platform arbitrage, dex-cex arbitrage, Pendle market arbitrage...
• Arbitraging: OTC, cross-border, cross-platform price difference trading.

In the first 4 years, you should focus on rapidly accumulating funds.
During this time, your goals are survival, learning, and optimizing strategies.
Those starting from scratch or with very little capital can try high-frequency trading or farming, constantly improving skills through practical experience to accumulate initial capital.

By the second 4 years, with funds and experience, your role should shift from speculator to investor.
• Focus on long-term trends and layout promising coins.
• Understand cycle rotation and grasp the bull-bear rhythm.
• Even participate in project development.

Ultimately, these 8 years are a journey of cultivation, not only of wealth growth but also of cognitive leaps. After graduation, you will no longer be anxious about wealth but can truly choose the life you want to live.

In the university of cryptocurrency, there are no diplomas, only results. Everyone's progress bar is different; can you stick it out until the day of 'graduation'?

A decline is not a risk, but a process of reducing risk. Risks often arise during upward trends, while opportunities emerge during declines. Therefore, your actions during a decline will directly affect your mindset during an upward trend. If you are afraid to buy during a decline and instead choose to chase after rising prices, you may face the risk of being trapped; once trapped, you often choose to cut losses, creating a vicious cycle.
In contrast, the rational strategy is to buy in batches during declines and take profits in batches during rises. Whether it's investing or trading, it is essentially about selling high and buying low. While chasing after rising prices and cutting losses might bring some profits in the short term, this approach does not have long-term sustainability.
Remember, respect the market, manage your emotions, and you can stand firm in this volatile market.

Many people do not understand that investment mainly falls into two types: aggressive investment and defensive investment.
It's like a football ⚽ match; if you are the losing side, you need to be aggressive, you need to take risks, and you need to score quickly. When you are the dominant side, what you need is to prevent your opponent from breaking through and scoring.

So when you have no money, you must actively engage in aggressive investment; you need to achieve your first wealth goal in life, earning your first five-figure or six-figure sum. When you have some savings, you should make some passive defensive investments.

Many rich people say their secret to success is not to put all your eggs in one basket, to diversify your investment portfolio, etc. I find these statements quite ridiculous...

Because if everyone diversifies their investments, then everyone could become rich; in fact, no one becomes rich just by diversifying their investments.

The rich do not tell you that the reason they became wealthy is because they invested all their resources in one project at the beginning. They had to take risks, wait for opportunities, and they needed patience and courage.

Only after they became wealthy do they expand their investment portfolio to protect their wealth from devaluation...

Saving money now gives you the option for the future; when a crisis strikes, you can take a gamble. When a crisis erupts, global central banks will only do one thing: inject liquidity.

As long as you have a bowl called assets during this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, you can catch the water flowing down from above...

All-in is a kind of wisdom, and taking over also requires courage [rabbit][rabbit][rabbit]

Yesterday, a big guy sent me a voice message and told me to defend, but I heard it as "let's go" 👊

In the morning, a master told me that there was a main force ahead, so I bought the bottom. In the afternoon, I heard clearly that he said there was resistance ahead 📉

I said that the copycat was shipped, and shipping means it's over... You heard it as copycat season, blame me? 😭

Major Events in the Crypto World! You Can't Miss This Moment!
The Christmas bells are ringing, seize the investment opportunity!

As Christmas approaches, from December 10 to 15, many Western investors may choose to take their profits and allocate funds for holiday expenses. Therefore, we are likely to experience a market adjustment period of 2-3 weeks.

With the Spring Festival approaching, seize the last investment opportunity!

Once the adjustment period is over, we will welcome the most important festival in the country—Spring Festival (from January 20 to January 30), which may be your last entry opportunity. Seize this moment to prepare for the upcoming market.

In February and March, the blockchain market will usher in a bull market!

In the coming 2-3 months, the blockchain market may experience a strong bull market. Various altcoins will rise in turn, and meme and trending projects will emerge continuously; this is a time full of opportunities.

By the end of March, it is recommended to temporarily withdraw and observe!

However, by the end of March, I recommend that everyone temporarily exit the market and maintain an observational stance. Because every year, April to May is often a market adjustment period, and sometimes this adjustment can last for 6-8 months.

In the next 3-4 months, an investment window period!

Therefore, the next 3 to 4 months will be an excellent investment window period. When encountering a low point, do not hesitate; decisively seize the opportunity to let your wealth grow!

In this market full of uncertainties, maintaining keen insight and calm judgment is crucial. Let us embrace this opportunity-filled period together, making the investment journey smoother.

Turn//

The popular tracks of the bull market, worth paying attention to btc!
Modular Narrative: tia, alt, manta
New Public Chains: sui, apt, sei, ton
New Layer 2: strk, op, arb
Staking Track: ldo, ssv, ethfi
DEPIN Track: fil, mobile
RWA Track: mkr, polyx, rio, ondo
SOL Ecosystem: ray, pyth, jup, jto
Certain Security Systems: bake, cake, xvs ​

Must-See 🔥🔥 Top 10 Predictions for the Crypto Market in 2025 ❗️❗️
2024 is set to be a milestone year for the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin has soared over $103,000, hitting a record high, with a year-to-date increase of 141.72%. This is largely due to the record issuance of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF, which attracted $33.56 billion in assets.
President-elect Trump supports cryptocurrencies during his campaign, promising to establish a Bitcoin strategic reserve and restructure the SEC (which has historically been hostile towards cryptocurrencies). He has also nominated Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, who has stated, "Cryptocurrency represents freedom, and the crypto economy will be here to stay." As we enter 2024, Congress also appears to be leaning towards supporting cryptocurrencies, with pro-crypto candidates defeating opponents in several key elections. Legislative support for cryptocurrencies is expected in the coming months. With global stimulus policies from China and other major central banks, increasing institutional adoption, and rapid improvements in blockchain technology, the outlook for 2025 seems quite bright.

[StarR][StarR][StarR] Here are ten predictions for 2025:

1. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana will reach new all-time highs, with Bitcoin trading prices exceeding $200,000.

2. The inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs in 2025 will surpass that of 2024.

3. Coinbase will surpass Charles Schwab to become the most valuable brokerage in the world, with its stock price exceeding $700 per share.

4. 2025 will be known as the "Year of Crypto IPOs," with at least five crypto unicorns going public in the U.S.

5. Tokens issued by AI agents will lead to a larger meme coin craze than in 2024.

6. The number of countries holding Bitcoin will double.

7. Coinbase will enter the S&P 500 index, and MicroStrategy will enter the NASDAQ 100 index, adding cryptocurrency exposure to (almost) every U.S. investor's portfolio.

8. The U.S. Department of Labor will relax guidance on cryptocurrencies in 401(k) plans, allowing hundreds of billions of dollars to flow into crypto assets.

9. With the long-awaited stablecoin legislation passed in the U.S., the market capitalization of stablecoin assets will double to $400 billion.

10. As Wall Street's acceptance of cryptocurrencies deepens, the value of tokenized real-world assets (RWA) will exceed $50 billion.

Additional Prediction: By 2029, Bitcoin will surpass the $18 trillion gold market, with trading prices exceeding $1 million per coin. #Bitcoin #CryptoCommunity #Trump #USAEconomy #Globalization #WealthManagement #FinancialKnowledge

The more you spend when you have money, the more you will be in a mess when you don't have money.

Learning to save 150,000 or 300,000 yuan in the first stage will allow you to grab the first springboard in life. People who can't save money give you three suggestions:

1. Never borrow money, even if you are starving.

2. Check your balance when buying a bottle of water. Don't underestimate these few dollars. Your money is lost in this way.

3. After saving a certain amount of savings, don't rush to buy luxury goods. Spend every penny on the blade and learn to invest above your neck.

Pay more attention to your inner self in daily life and learn to make yourself valuable, so that your accumulated funds will be more valuable.

From now on, please be stingy with yourself. (Repost)

"Bull market late indicator progress chart, detailed explanation..."
Article 1: Bitcoin breaks through historical peaks and continues to reach new highs. (✔️)
Passed, reached the target. Bitcoin broke through the historical peak of $69,000 and has now risen to over $100,000.
Article 2: The greed index has been extremely greedy since it reached 90°. (✔️)
Passed, reached the target. Last month, Bitcoin broke through $73,000, and the greed index reached a maximum of 94°, and has been extremely greedy since then.
Article 3: Value coins broke through the previous historical high and moved away from the previous high (X)
Not passed, not reached the target. BNB has reached a new high, but OKB and ETH have not broken through the previous historical high, and it will take time.
Article 4: The annualized value of the altcoins collectively surpassed Bitcoin. (X)
Not passed, not reached the target. It has not closed in 2024, but we can see that most of the altcoins have not surpassed Bitcoin in annualized value, mainly looking at the annualized value in 2025.
Article 5: 90% of the altcoins have doubled 10 times from the bottom. (X)
Not passed, not up to standard. See Figure 2 for details. Most of the altcoins did not meet the standard, only a few of them did. The previous multiples were high and the next wave of the market performance was mediocre.
Article ⑥: BTC market share <span and the monthly collapse was 10%. (X)
Article ⑦: Bitcoin fell into stagflation, and the altcoins collectively rushed up. (X)
Note: If the multiples were high in the past, you will have a lower cost-effectiveness in the future after chasing the rise
When the annual line is closed this year, I will sort out the data and share it in the group or Weibo every week. Pay attention to the data of the annualization and multiples of the altcoins surpassing Bitcoin.

If you think a coin is not profitable, then sell it and avoid internal strife.
There are very few cases like Bitcoin, where it sells off years later.
Is life the same if you have 10 million at 20 years old versus having 10 million at 80 years old?
A bull market requires timely switching; time is the greatest cost.
Moreover, Bitcoin cannot rise infinitely; just a few days ago, Bitcoin touched the threshold of 100,000 USD, with a market cap reaching 2 trillion.
In 2024, the global market value of gold is about 20 trillion, which means there is a tenfold space from 2 trillion to 20 trillion, and the market value of gold is a highly valuable reference indicator.
All industries are measured against gold; an increase in gold prices indicates poor performance in industries, as business owners buy gold. Conversely, a sharp drop in gold signifies the best opportunity to invest in industries.
The upper limit of Bitcoin is likely to reach parity with gold, after which it will not grow as rapidly as it has in the past; it will enter a phase of slow growth.
In this round, Bitcoin will not reach the market value of gold, but the next round in 2030 might.
If you are looking at a long-term investment, this drop is the final entry opportunity.
Typically, each round of Bitcoin only has a growth range of 5-8 times.

How to determine when a bull market peaks???

I personally think it's quite important.

1: BTC will peak before the market.
2: Public chains and platform coins will lead other coins to peak later.
If BTC peaks, then public chains and platform coins will lead innovative coins to peak about a month later.

History does not repeat details, but the process is similar.
BTC is still the leading pioneer of the bull market and will be the first major coin to peak ahead of the market.
During the peak process of BTC, most large-cap coins will only see slight follow-ups in price increases. Even if there are a few that surge, that would be just individual cases. It will be after BTC peaks that public chains and platform coins will lead other coins into chaos.

Summary: After BTC peaks, the market will not crash immediately.

"The market will maintain a brief frenzy for 15 to 25 days."

The public chain sector and BNB will serve as the second leaders of this bull market, waiting for BTC to stop rising and peak. They will then take over for the second wave, starting a second wave of frenzy, with massive funds flowing into altcoins. The pace will accelerate, quick battles and quick decisions, constantly hitting new highs in the short term. Innovative coins may double in a week and triple in a month. But there is only less than a month to celebrate, or even just a short 20 days.

"When BNB and ETH also stop rising, the market will collapse completely."

If at that time, the retail investors who have survived in this market until now, congratulations to you!

Autumn is not as good as deep autumn, with fat ducks and fresh fish, it is a good harvest season. You must firmly hold your position until the end.

Next, you need to lift your spirits, stay alert, and start preparing to reduce your positions in batches. Don't fantasize about selling at the peak.

In this market, the biggest enemy is not the opposing players, but the fear and greed within yourself. In the final stages, the market might rise to 10 times, but if you sell at 7 times, you will feel like you've lost 3 times, greedily rushing back in to make it up.

Bottom fishing and peak escaping, precise wave riding, these are all tempting death traps. Lightly, you may miss the opportunity, seriously, you may go bankrupt.

This wave of market can top your annual gains, hold tight during the bumps, but decisively let go when it gets crazy, stay focused.

Important reminder: This article elaborates on how to judge when a bull market peaks, not targeting the current market situation.