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剖析热门币种走势，分享交易策略。无论是新手小白对币安的懵懂，还是老手寻求新突破，我希望给你的征程中带来可靠指南，带你穿越k线复杂的浪潮，挖掘其中的无限机遇。
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I recently bought U from a long-term collaborator and transferred an extra 70,000 RMB to the other party. They did not return the money and said the chat records were deleted. I know I can check the WeChat and Alipay bills to clarify this, and I also know that Transcan can retrieve the transaction records for U. As long as they check, it will be clear that I transferred extra, but the other party seems unwilling to do so. I understand this as a deliberate refusal to return the money. What should I do now?
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The best decision I made this year was buying 1620 ETH on the early morning of April 7th, $ETH
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Emotional Trading
#比特币四年周期将改变？ Emotional trading is a common irrational behavior in financial markets, where investors are driven by emotions (such as greed, fear, anxiety, etc.) in trading decisions instead of based on objective analysis and strategy. This trading approach often leads to poor decisions and losses. Below is an in-depth analysis of emotional trading and coping strategies:
### I. Common Manifestations of Emotional Trading
1. Driven by Fear
- Panic selling during market downturns, leading to 'cutting losses' at low points.
- Blindly chasing after missing opportunities, fearing loss of gains.
2. The Influence of Greed
- Overconfidence when making profits, ignoring risks, and holding positions too long leading to profit reversal.
### I. Common Manifestations of Emotional Trading
1. Driven by Fear
- Panic selling during market downturns, leading to 'cutting losses' at low points.
- Blindly chasing after missing opportunities, fearing loss of gains.
2. The Influence of Greed
- Overconfidence when making profits, ignoring risks, and holding positions too long leading to profit reversal.
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Market Analysis on December 15th Early Morning
Bitcoin showed a rising trend early this morning, followed by a continuous decline throughout the day, accelerating its drop by 10 PM. However, it has temporarily halted its decline and started to rebound. In the next 5 days, the market will fluctuate around the interest rate cut meeting on December 19. During this period, it is recommended to primarily adopt a low-long strategy. It is predicted that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 87%. Accumulating positions in batches during the decline will be a good opportunity for wealth appreciation. But be sure to take note, do not enter the market recklessly with heavy positions or high leverage, otherwise, the principal may be at risk.
Market Analysis
$BTC After an accelerated decline on the hourly level, a rebound has now begun. If the close at 12 o'clock can stabilize above 101800, attention should be paid to the two resistance levels of 101800 - 103700. If the closing price is below 100500, the market may slightly correct, with support levels at these critical points of 99260 - 98300 - 97000, and the overall outlook remains bullish.
Market Analysis
$BTC After an accelerated decline on the hourly level, a rebound has now begun. If the close at 12 o'clock can stabilize above 101800, attention should be paid to the two resistance levels of 101800 - 103700. If the closing price is below 100500, the market may slightly correct, with support levels at these critical points of 99260 - 98300 - 97000, and the overall outlook remains bullish.
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Market Analysis on the Early Morning of 12.14
$BTC
Bitcoin has broken through 100460 and continues to rise. This price level needs to be closely monitored at night. If the 4-hour line can stabilize above it, it means last night's pullback has ended, and the market will open an upward channel, with upper resistance levels sequentially at 101877, 103200, and 104630 (101877 is the top of the consolidation area). Conversely, if it falls below 100460, this topping will fail, returning to the consolidation range, and the 4-hour line will continue to pull back, with lower support levels around 99460, 98850, and 98060 (falling below 98850 will trigger a daily level pullback).
$ETH
Ethereum just broke through the first resistance level (the top of the consolidation area) before pulling back, with 3900 becoming a critical point at night. If the 1 - 2 - 4 hour lines can stabilize above it, all cycles will show a bullish trend, with subsequent upward targets around 3981, 4006, and 4029 (3981 is the top of the consolidation area). Once it falls below 3900, the topping will fail and return to consolidation, with the 1 - 2 - 4 hour lines synchronously pulling back, and lower support levels around 3871, 3835, and 3803.
Bitcoin has broken through 100460 and continues to rise. This price level needs to be closely monitored at night. If the 4-hour line can stabilize above it, it means last night's pullback has ended, and the market will open an upward channel, with upper resistance levels sequentially at 101877, 103200, and 104630 (101877 is the top of the consolidation area). Conversely, if it falls below 100460, this topping will fail, returning to the consolidation range, and the 4-hour line will continue to pull back, with lower support levels around 99460, 98850, and 98060 (falling below 98850 will trigger a daily level pullback).
$ETH
Ethereum just broke through the first resistance level (the top of the consolidation area) before pulling back, with 3900 becoming a critical point at night. If the 1 - 2 - 4 hour lines can stabilize above it, all cycles will show a bullish trend, with subsequent upward targets around 3981, 4006, and 4029 (3981 is the top of the consolidation area). Once it falls below 3900, the topping will fail and return to consolidation, with the 1 - 2 - 4 hour lines synchronously pulling back, and lower support levels around 3871, 3835, and 3803.
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12.12 Cryptocurrency Evening Market Analysis
Good morning, today's focus is on the retracement situation and its intensity. Bitcoin previously surged to 101880 and encountered resistance above. The inflow of funds was significant during yesterday's rebound, showing strong momentum towards the previous high of 104600. Friends holding short positions may consider appropriately reducing positions when Bitcoin retraces to the 100,000 round number, and be sure to manage your positions well, as subsequent market conditions may put short sellers in a difficult situation, and decisively stop loss if necessary.
Market Analysis
$BTC The overall trend is upward, with minor cycles encountering resistance and retracing. After the retracement, it is recommended to go long, and shorting is not advised. If it can stabilize above 102000 today, it is likely to challenge the previous high. The upper resistance levels are 101500, 103700, and 107000 in order; if the closing price at 12 o'clock is below 101500, the market will slightly retrace, with support levels at 99100, 98300, and 96200. Considering yesterday's fund inflow and K-line performance, the market outlook is bullish.
Market Analysis
$BTC The overall trend is upward, with minor cycles encountering resistance and retracing. After the retracement, it is recommended to go long, and shorting is not advised. If it can stabilize above 102000 today, it is likely to challenge the previous high. The upper resistance levels are 101500, 103700, and 107000 in order; if the closing price at 12 o'clock is below 101500, the market will slightly retrace, with support levels at 99100, 98300, and 96200. Considering yesterday's fund inflow and K-line performance, the market outlook is bullish.
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Summary from early morning on December 11
The recent market has seen a significant decline, and the overall trend is currently bearish with insufficient upward momentum. The news that Microsoft refused to purchase Bitcoin early this morning has made matters worse, therefore it is prudent to reduce positions during rebounds, which aligns with the market trend. Although the market has dropped sharply, this can also benefit healthy market development. However, the situation for altcoins is concerning, as most have performed poorly this month, though there may be a turnaround next month.
1. BTC Market Analysis
Bitcoin continues to show a bearish outlook, but if the price drops, it may be worth considering a small bottom fishing. The downtrend is clear, and if tonight's 1-hour rebound can break through 96000, the resistance levels above will be 98800, 101500, and 103700. If the closing price tomorrow morning is below 96000, the market may correct, with key support levels at 93950, 90800, and 87200 to watch.
1. BTC Market Analysis
Bitcoin continues to show a bearish outlook, but if the price drops, it may be worth considering a small bottom fishing. The downtrend is clear, and if tonight's 1-hour rebound can break through 96000, the resistance levels above will be 98800, 101500, and 103700. If the closing price tomorrow morning is below 96000, the market may correct, with key support levels at 93950, 90800, and 87200 to watch.
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MOVE: May make a stunning debut tonight, worth paying close attention to!
It is reported that MOVE will first be listed on some exchanges at 8 PM tonight, with a significant launch on Binance at 9 PM. This project can be described as a 'superstar' presence this year, having officially announced that it will open simultaneously on major global exchanges even before its launch, a treatment that is indeed rare in the crypto field.
MOVE utilizes the same underlying move language as sui and apt, and incorporates a modular design, aiming to tackle the vulnerabilities of Ethereum ecosystem smart contracts, making it a model of a modular Ethereum L2 public chain that integrates with MOVE.
From an investment perspective, if the opening price is in the range of 0.4 - 0.5, it may be worth considering entering at the right time. Given its extremely high expected opening enthusiasm, the price trend is very likely to surge rapidly. If the opportunity to enter below 0.5 is missed, it may also be worth taking a chance when the price is around 0.6 - 0.7. The preliminary estimate for its price ceiling may be around 1.2 - 1.5. Let’s look forward to MOVE’s exciting performance in the market tonight! #币安HODLer空投MOVE
It is reported that MOVE will first be listed on some exchanges at 8 PM tonight, with a significant launch on Binance at 9 PM. This project can be described as a 'superstar' presence this year, having officially announced that it will open simultaneously on major global exchanges even before its launch, a treatment that is indeed rare in the crypto field.
MOVE utilizes the same underlying move language as sui and apt, and incorporates a modular design, aiming to tackle the vulnerabilities of Ethereum ecosystem smart contracts, making it a model of a modular Ethereum L2 public chain that integrates with MOVE.
From an investment perspective, if the opening price is in the range of 0.4 - 0.5, it may be worth considering entering at the right time. Given its extremely high expected opening enthusiasm, the price trend is very likely to surge rapidly. If the opportunity to enter below 0.5 is missed, it may also be worth taking a chance when the price is around 0.6 - 0.7. The preliminary estimate for its price ceiling may be around 1.2 - 1.5. Let’s look forward to MOVE’s exciting performance in the market tonight! #币安HODLer空投MOVE
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Tomorrow, we will focus on the vote on the "Evaluation of Bitcoin Investment" proposal at the Microsoft shareholders' meeting.
If you want to buy now, you can adjust the position 235 strategy to 1234. #APT、ADA、ENA大额解锁
If you want to buy now, you can adjust the position 235 strategy to 1234. #APT、ADA、ENA大额解锁
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Market Summary for Early Morning of 12.9
In the current cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin is showing a high-level consolidation trend, with trading stagnating over the weekend and liquidity being scarce. Although there are localized fluctuations in the altcoin sector, the overall market is about to enter a key turning point, necessitating high vigilance against reversal risks. The core focus is on tomorrow's daily and weekly closing performance, while the analysis of the Wealth Coin's expected significant rise next week will also be clarified after the close at eight o'clock tomorrow morning.
Market Deep Analysis
$BTC
Bitcoin's price is fluctuating narrowly around 100,000, currently in a strategic decision period for bulls and bears. Considering multiple factors, the probability of an upward breakout is slightly favorable. The previous spike caused a significant adjustment in the long position structure, with a substantial cleanup of long positions. From a technical perspective, a strong support platform is currently being built at around 99,100, which is difficult to breach effectively in the short term. The resistance levels above are sequentially 101,500, 103,700, and 107,000. The daily candlestick pattern shows a doji, indicating a temporary balance of bull and bear forces. If the closing price tomorrow morning is below 99,100, the technical pattern will turn weak, and the market will likely pull back, with critical support levels below being 98,900 and 96,100. At that time, consider entering long positions opportunistically, as the medium-term bullish trend still holds potential.
Market Deep Analysis
$BTC
Bitcoin's price is fluctuating narrowly around 100,000, currently in a strategic decision period for bulls and bears. Considering multiple factors, the probability of an upward breakout is slightly favorable. The previous spike caused a significant adjustment in the long position structure, with a substantial cleanup of long positions. From a technical perspective, a strong support platform is currently being built at around 99,100, which is difficult to breach effectively in the short term. The resistance levels above are sequentially 101,500, 103,700, and 107,000. The daily candlestick pattern shows a doji, indicating a temporary balance of bull and bear forces. If the closing price tomorrow morning is below 99,100, the technical pattern will turn weak, and the market will likely pull back, with critical support levels below being 98,900 and 96,100. At that time, consider entering long positions opportunistically, as the medium-term bullish trend still holds potential.
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Recent Trends and Dynamics in the Cryptocurrency Market
On Sunday, Bitcoin and Ethereum exhibited a sideways trend, and the market appeared calm on the surface, but there were undercurrents beneath. Most altcoins not only failed to rise but continued to decline, which is perplexing. This phenomenon seems to indicate a weakening of bullish forces. Especially for some older altcoins, after reaching a peak and forming a double top yesterday, they showed weakness, almost as if signaling a top prematurely. Although top formations usually do not happen all at once, the significant reduction in upward momentum has sounded the alarm. Given the large fluctuations in capital at the end of the year and the beginning of the next, from a risk-return perspective, the current risks have gradually surpassed potential returns. My personal judgment is that a significant correction may begin in late December, and I suggest that investors interested in entering the market should wait for a better opportunity; currently, only short-term operations are advisable, with quick entries and exits.
Key Dynamics Summary:
1. Bitcoin: BTC price fell into a fluctuation range after a spike, with reduced volatility, making it difficult to find profit opportunities in the short term.
2. Ethereum: ETH shows signs of a pullback on the 1-hour chart, while the 4-hour chart maintains a fluctuating pattern, with the long and short sides stuck in a stalemate.
3. Trump-related Coins: Doge, Xrb, People, and other coins related to Trump are expected to remain market hotspots and be repeatedly hyped before his anticipated return.
4. XRP Whale Movements: When XRP dropped to $2.22, whales stepped in to buy over 120 million coins, establishing strong support at this price level. If it falls below this point, a downward trend may be confirmed.
5. Trump's Son Speech: On December 9-10, Trump's son will appear at the Abu Dhabi Bitcoin Conference and deliver a speech. This news is expected to bring short-term positive stimuli to the cryptocurrency market.
6. Altcoin Seasonal Outlook: From this month until March next year, it is highly likely to be an active period for altcoins, with an initial estimate of about 90 days. The current consolidation after the weekly rise may be accumulating energy for further upward movement.
7. Saylor's Proposal Impact: Michael Saylor proposed that the U.S. sell its gold reserves to buy Bitcoin. If this idea gains market attention, it could become an important speculative theme in the cryptocurrency market next year, warranting continuous tracking and attention.
On Sunday, Bitcoin and Ethereum exhibited a sideways trend, and the market appeared calm on the surface, but there were undercurrents beneath. Most altcoins not only failed to rise but continued to decline, which is perplexing. This phenomenon seems to indicate a weakening of bullish forces. Especially for some older altcoins, after reaching a peak and forming a double top yesterday, they showed weakness, almost as if signaling a top prematurely. Although top formations usually do not happen all at once, the significant reduction in upward momentum has sounded the alarm. Given the large fluctuations in capital at the end of the year and the beginning of the next, from a risk-return perspective, the current risks have gradually surpassed potential returns. My personal judgment is that a significant correction may begin in late December, and I suggest that investors interested in entering the market should wait for a better opportunity; currently, only short-term operations are advisable, with quick entries and exits.
Key Dynamics Summary:
1. Bitcoin: BTC price fell into a fluctuation range after a spike, with reduced volatility, making it difficult to find profit opportunities in the short term.
2. Ethereum: ETH shows signs of a pullback on the 1-hour chart, while the 4-hour chart maintains a fluctuating pattern, with the long and short sides stuck in a stalemate.
3. Trump-related Coins: Doge, Xrb, People, and other coins related to Trump are expected to remain market hotspots and be repeatedly hyped before his anticipated return.
4. XRP Whale Movements: When XRP dropped to $2.22, whales stepped in to buy over 120 million coins, establishing strong support at this price level. If it falls below this point, a downward trend may be confirmed.
5. Trump's Son Speech: On December 9-10, Trump's son will appear at the Abu Dhabi Bitcoin Conference and deliver a speech. This news is expected to bring short-term positive stimuli to the cryptocurrency market.
6. Altcoin Seasonal Outlook: From this month until March next year, it is highly likely to be an active period for altcoins, with an initial estimate of about 90 days. The current consolidation after the weekly rise may be accumulating energy for further upward movement.
7. Saylor's Proposal Impact: Michael Saylor proposed that the U.S. sell its gold reserves to buy Bitcoin. If this idea gains market attention, it could become an important speculative theme in the cryptocurrency market next year, warranting continuous tracking and attention.
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Summary of Market on December 8th Early Morning
Today's cryptocurrency market is bustling, especially the tokens in the Meme sector, which are experiencing rapid growth and showcasing their unique strengths. In this wave of market, we can observe a key detail: Bitcoin is in a consolidation state, with trading volume being relatively low. However, it is precisely in this situation that altcoins are thriving and surging significantly. This means that as long as a small portion of capital flows out of the Bitcoin market, it is enough to drive altcoin prices to soar. It can be anticipated that once Bitcoin continues to reach new highs and maintains high-level fluctuations, altcoins are likely to experience explosive growth that could double in a day. Therefore, for all investors, this round of market is full of opportunities, and savvy investors are already conducting in-depth research and preparing response strategies to better seize this wave of wealth.
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8 points, target 3.9 first $WIF
$WIF wif current price around 3.51 enter a little spot
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12.7 Early morning market summary
Ethereum is currently leading the market. Has the cottage season that we have been looking forward to last month really arrived? Bitcoin has entered a sideways state after a strong surge to 100,000, which means that long liquidation has basically been completed and the market selling pressure has eased. In the future, the market will most likely fluctuate between 100,000 and 9.9w to digest yesterday's spike market. After sufficient accumulation, it is still bullish. I am confident that Bitcoin will break through 110,000 next week. In a bull market, callbacks mostly appear in the form of spikes, and there will not be a large-scale wash market in August, September, and October. However, spikes may still occur once or twice a month. Everyone must do a good job of strategic planning and position management.
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