2025.7.1 Bitcoin ($BTC) Market Analysis and Trading Ideas
1. Market Analysis ① Daily Level: Yesterday closed with a bearish candlestick, and the body is relatively large, indicating strong downward momentum ahead. The MACD histogram has also shifted from hollow to solid, suggesting weakening upward momentum, summarized in two words: "bearish trend".
② 4-Hour Level: Currently still operating within a range. Pay attention to the upper range at 108800–109100 and the lower range at 106500–106000. If it cannot effectively break through or fall below these levels, consolidation will be the main theme. If it breaks below the support, there will be a significant drop.
2. Trading Ideas Focus on short selling on rallies. If the price approaches the upper range of 108800, you can consider placing a short position and have a solid plan for adding to your position, with strict profit-taking and stop-loss measures.
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2025.7.1 Bitcoin ($BTC) Market Analysis and Trading Ideas
1. Market Analysis ① Daily Level: Yesterday closed with a bearish candlestick, and the body is relatively large, indicating strong downward momentum ahead. The MACD histogram has also shifted from hollow to solid, suggesting weakening upward momentum, summarized in two words: "bearish trend".
② 4-Hour Level: Currently still operating within a range. Pay attention to the upper range at 108800–109100 and the lower range at 106500–106000. If it cannot effectively break through or fall below these levels, consolidation will be the main theme. If it breaks below the support, there will be a significant drop.
2. Trading Ideas Focus on short selling on rallies. If the price approaches the upper range of 108800, you can consider placing a short position and have a solid plan for adding to your position, with strict profit-taking and stop-loss measures.
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#USNationalDebt #USNationalDebt The rising U.S. national debt is a critical issue that often goes unnoticed by many. With the debt surpassing $34 trillion, it raises serious concerns about future interest rates, inflation, and the overall health of the global economy. As the government continues to borrow more, the question becomes whether such debt levels are sustainable in the long term. For investors and traders alike, understanding the implications of national debt is key to making informed decisions. The value of the U.S. dollar, monetary policies, and even crypto markets are all influenced by this growing burden. #USNationalDebt
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Bitcoin is showing signs of cooling momentum. Short-term holders (STH) have reduced their holdings by 800,000 BTC (⬇️ 15.1%) since late May, now holding just 4.5 million BTC. 📉 This drop suggests fewer new buyers are entering the market, and many recent investors may be selling to take profits or cut losses.
🔥 CryptoQuant data reveals that demand momentum has hit a record low, dropping by 2 million BTC. Over the past 30 days, demand grew by just 118K BTC — half of what was seen in May. 🐢
Even institutions are showing caution: whale accumulation has slowed to 1.7% monthly 🐋, and daily ETF purchases have dropped from 9,700 BTC in April to just 3,300 now 🏦. Meanwhile, traders are turning bearish, shorting BTC as it slips toward $105K 📉—though some major institutions are still buying. 🏗️