韭菜爱玩

帖子！帖子！帖子！重要的事说三遍！
我发的每一篇帖子，认真仔细看
因为每一个字都是钱，看不看得懂就是你的造化了，只提供策略、操作时机#BNBChainMeme热潮 $BNB 仅供参考

#ETH走势分析 Combined with the post I just sent, here’s a mnemonic for you:
Support to buy, break to chase; light positions, strict stop-loss; watch for upgrades, wait for breakout
$ETH
Understood, profit easily and effortlessly

#ETH走势分析 Key support level and entry timing
Conservative strategy: Buy when the price falls back to the support level
Support range: $2655-2670 (low point tested many times recently, strong technical support).
Entry conditions:
The price falls to the $2655-2670 range;
The trading volume shrinks first (reduced selling pressure) and then suddenly increases (buying intervention);
The MACD indicator appears a golden cross (the white line crosses the yellow line) or the RSI rebounds from below 30 to above 45.
Stop loss setting: below $2620 (about 2% below the support area).

Aggressive strategy: break through resistance and chase the rise
Resistance level: $2720-2730 (short-term pressure area above the current price).
Entry conditions:
The price quickly breaks through $2720 and the trading volume increases (30% higher than the average of the previous 3 hours);
The K-line forms a "yang engulfing" or "morning star" pattern (bullish signal).
Stop loss setting: below $2,680 (about 1.5% below the entry point).

2. Target and profit plan
First target: $2,750-2,780 (short-term resistance zone, partial profit can be taken).
Second target: $2,800-2,850 (medium-term resistance, if it breaks through, it can continue to hold).
Long-term potential: If the Pectra upgrade (mainnet fork in March) goes smoothly, it may hit more than $3,000.

Risk control and precautions
Leverage recommendations:
Conservative strategy: 3-5 times (medium volatility, controllable risk);
Aggressive strategy: no more than 5 times (to prevent sudden fluctuations and liquidation).
Position management:
Total position ≤ 10% (for example: a $10,000 account, a maximum investment of $1,000);
Batch position building: 50% for the first purchase, and 30% after breaking through $2,750. $ETH

#bybit被盗 BlockBeats news, on February 22, SlowMist founder Yu Xian posted a message saying, "Although there is no clear evidence now, from the Safe multi-signature method and the current coin laundering method, it looks like North Korean hackers. $ETH

Just tonight, ETH has fallen sharply. The reason is that the official bybit wallet was stolen. "The most knowledgeable hackers only want ETH. Isn't it obvious who has value?" "After the exchange was stolen, don't you have to buy all of it back? A large amount of buying is on the way. #bybit被盗 $ETH

#ETH走势分析 Just after publishing the strategy article on shorting ETH, it started to fall directly $ETH

#ETH走势分析 I posted an article about ETH short selling strategy. Friends who don’t have any idea can go and have a look. $ETH

I don't know if any fans have persisted and set the stop loss above 2770 according to this step #ETH走势分析

$ETH

If it falls below $2,700 and the volume increases → go short, stop loss 2,725, target 2,600;
If it rebounds after falling to $2,680, MACD cross → enter long position, stop loss 2,620, target 2,750.
If it rebounds after falling to $2,680, MACD cross → enter long position, stop loss 2,620, target 2,750.

What's wrong with this market? So much good news, I haven't seen this situation #地缘政治对比特币的影响

#ETH走势分析 If ETH breaks through $2,750 and stabilizes, it may trigger a short stop loss, resulting in a rapid rebound to $2,800, and the stop loss must be stopped immediately.
Risk control and precautions
1. Position management:
Single transaction position ≤ 5% (for example, a $10,000 account, a maximum investment of $500).
Leverage recommendation ≤ 3 times (to avoid the risk of liquidation).
2. Stop loss iron rule:
If the price breaks through the stop loss position in the opposite direction, leave the market immediately and do not carry the order. $ETH

#ETH走势分析 Rebound to Resistance Level to Short (Conservative)
Entry Point:
Wait for ETH to rebound to the range of $2740-$2750 (recently frequently obstructed area), if the following signals appear simultaneously:
✅ Volume Shrinking (Volume decreased by more than 20% compared to the previous hour)
✅ K-line Pattern: Appearance of "Long Upper Shadow" or "Bearish Engulfing" (indicating bulls are unable to break through)
Stop Loss: Set above $2770 (approximately 1% above the resistance area).
Take Profit Target:
First Target: $2680 (short-term support)
Second Target: $2655 (February 15 low, strong support area). $ETH

#ETH走势分析 Core Logic: Why is it suitable to short now?
1. Resistance Level Suppression: Recently, ETH has attempted to break through the $2740-$2750 range multiple times but has failed (refer to data from February 14, 2025, where $2700 became a key battleground). The current price is close to the resistance zone ($2727-$2750), and if the rebound is weak, it may trigger a pullback.
2. Surge in Short Positions: In the past week, Ethereum short positions increased by 40%, soaring 500% since November 2024, indicating a strong bearish sentiment in the market.
3. Technical Indicator Signals:
MACD: If the hourly MACD forms a 'death cross' (the fast line crosses below the slow line), it suggests an increase in short-term downward momentum.
RSI: If the current RSI value is above 60 but not overbought (<70), it may form a 'top divergence' (price rises but RSI falls), enhancing the short signal. $ETH

This image releases the impact on cryptocurrency:
✅ Federal Reserve policy and the trend of the dollar:
If the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes or officials' speeches release "hawkish" signals (such as implying interest rate hikes), it may push up the dollar and suppress the prices of risk assets like Bitcoin.
If the attitude is "dovish" (such as an increase in expectations for interest rate cuts), a weaker dollar may be favorable for cryptocurrency.

✅ Economic data and market sentiment:
U.S. employment/manufacturing data: If the number of initial jobless claims rises or the manufacturing index is weak, it may trigger concerns about an economic recession, driving risk-averse sentiment, and some funds may flow into cryptocurrency.
✅ Chinese policy: If China's policies to stabilize foreign investment or adjustments to loan interest rates release easing signals, it may boost confidence in Asian markets, indirectly benefiting the crypto market.

✅ Energy prices and inflation expectations:
If EIA crude oil inventories significantly decrease, it may push up oil prices and inflation expectations, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's tightening expectations, which would be bearish for cryptocurrency; conversely, if inventories increase, it may alleviate inflationary pressure.

✅ Market linkage risks:
If European economic data deteriorates (such as Germany's PPI falling more than expected), it may trigger a sell-off of global risk assets, and cryptocurrency may be affected as well. #地缘政治对比特币的影响

#BTC走势分析 Current Market Trends and Technical Indicators Short-term Volatility and Divergence: On February 19, the market showed that Bitcoin's price rose to $96,050 amidst volatility, but trading volume decreased, creating a divergence. The Williams indicator showed overbought conditions. This divergence usually indicates weakening upward momentum, and the price may correct or consolidate. A similar situation occurred on February 18, where, despite a brief price rebound, the candlestick chart still indicated a downward trend, raising concerns about the risk of a pullback due to insufficient buying support.
✅ Potential Short Signal Resistance Level Breakout Failure: If the price attempts to rebound but fails to break through recent highs (such as the $96,000-$97,000 range), and trading volume does not increase accordingly, it can be viewed as a short signal.
✅ Entry Timing Suggestion for Short-term Pullback Opportunity: If the price rebounds to around $96,000 during the day and shows a volume-price divergence, consider gradually building a short position with a target towards the $94,000-$95,000 range. This should be combined with real-time candlestick charts to confirm the strength of resistance levels.
✅ Breaking Key Support Level: If the price remains below $95,000 and trading volume increases, it may trigger a technical sell-off, at which point a short position can be taken, with the stop-loss set above $96,500. Stop-loss Setting: It is recommended to strictly set a stop-loss (e.g., 1%-2% above the current price) to guard against the risk of a rebound due to unexpected positive news.

Summary: Currently, Bitcoin is in a downward trending volatility, with a technical pullback demand, but a comprehensive judgment should be made in conjunction with real-time trading volume and policy dynamics. If the price rebounds to around $96,000 during the day and trading volume is weak, or if it breaks below the $95,000 support level, it can be seen as a relatively safe shorting opportunity. In operations, it is crucial to closely monitor market sentiment changes and the effectiveness of key resistance/support levels. $BTC

#ETH走势分析 ⚠️ Only watching and not liking, how will I update everyone later? After breaking a thousand followers, I will create a group for you all, and I will share the most important points in the group at that time——⚠️
Core Technical Signals
1. Key Resistance Zone Validation
Core Resistance Levels:
2715-2730 USD (High-density trading area from the 4-hour chart)
2750 USD (Rebound high on February 20, psychological resistance level)
Volume and Price Divergence:
If the price rebounds to the above resistance zone while trading volume continues to shrink (volume below the average of the last 3 days by more than 15%), it forms a 'false breakout' signal.
2. Technical Indicator Resonance
MACD: Daily MACD histogram has been shortening for 5 consecutive days, with the fast and slow lines flattening below the zero axis, indicating bearish momentum is building.
RSI (14): Current value is 54 (neutral to weak), if it rebounds above 60 without breaking through the 70 overbought area, it forms a top divergence.
Bollinger Bands: Price is below the middle band (2710 USD), if it touches the middle band and then retreats, it triggers a 'band pressure' signal.

II. Short Selling Strategy and Operation Plan
✅
Conservative Strategy: Set up short positions in the resistance zone
Entry Conditions:
Price rebounds to the 2715-2730 USD range
At the same time, meet the following two technical signals:
✅ MACD death cross on the hourly chart
✅ Candle pattern shows 'Evening Star' or 'Bearish Engulfing'
✅ Trading volume decreases by more than 20% compared to the previous period
Position Allocation:
Total position 5% (e.g.: for a 10,000 USD account, enter 500 USD)
Leverage: 3 times (volatility 4.8%, risk controllable)
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss: 2745 USD (0.5% above the resistance zone)
Target 1: 2655 USD (Low point on February 15, profit-loss ratio 1:1.8)
Target 2: 2562 USD (Strong support zone, profit-loss ratio 1:3.5)
✅
Aggressive Strategy: Chase shorts after breaking support
Trigger Conditions:
- Price surges in volume (volume > 30% of the average of the last 3 hours) and breaks below 2660 USD (immediate support)
15-minute chart forms a 'descending flag' or 'breaks through an ascending wedge'
Position Allocation:
Total position 3% (300 USD), leverage 5 times
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss: 2688 USD (1% above entry point)
Target: 2562 USD (profit-loss ratio 1:4) $ETH

#ETH走势分析 Entry Conditions:
Break Support and Short: If the price quickly breaks below the psychological level of $2700 and trading volume increases (e.g., volume increases by over 30% on the hourly chart), you can follow the trend and short;
Pattern Confirmation: Observe whether a "descending channel" or "break of the short-term upward trend line" is formed.
Stop Loss and Target:
Stop Loss: Set above $2750;
Target: $2655, look towards $2562 after breaking. $ETH

#ETH走势分析 短期阻力观察：当前价格2718美元附近若持续横盘且交易量低迷（如小时图成交量低于前日均值20%），可能形成局部顶部。
MACD：小时图MACD柱状图持续为负但逐渐缩短，显示多军力量有限，若形成死叉或柱状图由正转负，可能触发回调。
KDJ：当前KDJ值中性（约43），若反弹至超买区域（J值>80）并形成死叉，可视为空头介入信号。 $ETH