韭菜爱玩

The top region of #ETH突破4000 is between $4,200 and $4,500; a pullback must hold above $3,980.
Termination signal for the upward trend: If ETH has three consecutive daily closing prices that cannot hold above $4,200–$4,300, or if it drops below $3,980 with high volume in a single day, then a top formation is confirmed.
Conditions for trend continuation: Weekly closing price breaks above $4,300 with adequate volume (daily average volume 120%+), then we look towards $4,500–$5,200.
Core reminder:
The current rise of ETH is driven by interest rate cut expectations and institutional ETF inflows, not a technically healthy bull—if after the September Federal Reserve policy is implemented, the volume does not follow up, $4,200 may become a temporary peak. Strictly manage positions to avoid trading during low liquidity hours in the Asian session! $ETH

Posts! Posts! Posts! Important things are said three times!
Every post I make, read it carefully
Because every word is money, whether you understand it or not is your fate, only providing strategies and timing #BNBChainMeme热潮 $BNB for reference only.

LD Capital founder Yi Lihua believes that $5,000 is the key target for breaking new highs, but one must be wary of pullbacks along the way.

$ETH

Trading Strategy Quick Reference Table
| Strategy Type | Operation Direction | Entry Price | Target Price | Stop Loss Price | Applicable Group |
|---------------|---------------------|------------------|-----------------|------------------|-------------------|
| Bullish | Buy in batches | $3550-$3580 | $3640-$3700 | <$3540 | Conservative/Trend Traders |
| Bullish | Lightly chase long | After stabilizing at $3700 | $3775-$3800 | <$3680 | Aggressive/Breakout Traders |
| Bearish | Short in batches | $3715-$3775 | $3600-$3550 | >$3780 | Short-term Experts/Counter-Trend Traders |

The current market is highly competitive between bulls and bears. It is recommended that ordinary investors focus on "light positions for short-term trading", paying close attention to the breakout direction of the 3550 support and 3775 resistance, and adjust strategies in a timely manner. $ETH

🔴 Short Selling Strategy (High Risk, Suitable Only for Short-term Experts)
Entry Timing and Price Levels:
- Short Selling in Resistance Zone: $3715-3775 (Bollinger Band Upper Limit + Previous High Pressure), accumulate positions gradually at highs.
- Overbought Signal Confirmation: Enter when RSI > 70 and a long upper shadow candlestick appears.
- Target Profit Levels:
- First Target $3600-3580 (4-hour MA30 Moving Average).
- Second Target $3500-3460 (Daily Neckline Level).
- Stop Loss Setting: Break above $3780 or 3%-5% position stop loss.

1. Strong bullish trend but accumulation of overbought risks
- ETH has risen over 3% intraday, breaking through the key resistance level of $3700, with a clear short-term bullish trend.
- Contradictory technical signals:
- Positive signals: The 4-hour candlestick shows a "bullish engulfing" pattern, trading volume is increasing, and the MACD histogram shortening indicates enhanced bullish strength.
- Risk signals: The RSI has exceeded 70, entering the overbought zone, indicating the possibility of a pullback; some periods show a divergence between price and volume (price increases but trading volume decreases), reflecting weakened upward momentum.
2. Bearish crisis and institutional arbitrage risks
- Recently, retail investors have pushed up perpetual contract demand through high leverage long positions, while institutions are profiting from the "shorting perpetual contracts + holding spot to hedge" strategy, with funding rates potentially reaching an annualized 10.5%.
- Potential crash risk: If funding rates turn negative or the market shifts, institutional arbitrage positions may withdraw, potentially causing a sharp decrease in liquidity, leading to a chain liquidation. ETH, due to its higher leverage, may face greater downside risk than BTC.
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📊 Operational strategy and key price levels
🟢 Bullish strategy (cautious participation, strict stop-loss required)
Entry timing and price levels:
- Ideal support zone: $3550-3580 (daily MA7 moving average + previous high converting to support), can build positions in batches.
- Aggressive long: If it holds above $3700 and breaks through $3715 with volume, can follow in light positions, targeting $3775-3800.
- Target profit-taking levels:
- Short-term target $3640-3684 (previous high resistance).
- After breaking $3715, look for $3775-3800.
- Stop-loss settings: Below $3540 (below support) or 3%-5% stop-loss on positions.

#ETH走势分析 Combined with the post I just sent, here’s a mnemonic for you:
Support to buy, break to chase; light positions, strict stop-loss; watch for upgrades, wait for breakout
$ETH
Understood, profit easily and effortlessly

#ETH走势分析 Key support level and entry timing
Conservative strategy: Buy when the price falls back to the support level
Support range: $2655-2670 (low point tested many times recently, strong technical support).
Entry conditions:
The price falls to the $2655-2670 range;
The trading volume shrinks first (reduced selling pressure) and then suddenly increases (buying intervention);
The MACD indicator appears a golden cross (the white line crosses the yellow line) or the RSI rebounds from below 30 to above 45.
Stop loss setting: below $2620 (about 2% below the support area).

Aggressive strategy: break through resistance and chase the rise
Resistance level: $2720-2730 (short-term pressure area above the current price).
Entry conditions:
The price quickly breaks through $2720 and the trading volume increases (30% higher than the average of the previous 3 hours);
The K-line forms a "yang engulfing" or "morning star" pattern (bullish signal).
Stop loss setting: below $2,680 (about 1.5% below the entry point).

2. Target and profit plan
First target: $2,750-2,780 (short-term resistance zone, partial profit can be taken).
Second target: $2,800-2,850 (medium-term resistance, if it breaks through, it can continue to hold).
Long-term potential: If the Pectra upgrade (mainnet fork in March) goes smoothly, it may hit more than $3,000.

Risk control and precautions
Leverage recommendations:
Conservative strategy: 3-5 times (medium volatility, controllable risk);
Aggressive strategy: no more than 5 times (to prevent sudden fluctuations and liquidation).
Position management:
Total position ≤ 10% (for example: a $10,000 account, a maximum investment of $1,000);
Batch position building: 50% for the first purchase, and 30% after breaking through $2,750. $ETH

#bybit被盗 BlockBeats news, on February 22, SlowMist founder Yu Xian posted a message saying, "Although there is no clear evidence now, from the Safe multi-signature method and the current coin laundering method, it looks like North Korean hackers. $ETH

Just tonight, ETH has fallen sharply. The reason is that the official bybit wallet was stolen. "The most knowledgeable hackers only want ETH. Isn't it obvious who has value?" "After the exchange was stolen, don't you have to buy all of it back? A large amount of buying is on the way. #bybit被盗 $ETH

#ETH走势分析 Just after publishing the strategy article on shorting ETH, it started to fall directly $ETH

#ETH走势分析 I posted an article about ETH short selling strategy. Friends who don’t have any idea can go and have a look. $ETH

I don't know if any fans have persisted and set the stop loss above 2770 according to this step #ETH走势分析

$ETH

If it falls below $2,700 and the volume increases → go short, stop loss 2,725, target 2,600;
If it rebounds after falling to $2,680, MACD cross → enter long position, stop loss 2,620, target 2,750.
If it rebounds after falling to $2,680, MACD cross → enter long position, stop loss 2,620, target 2,750.

What's wrong with this market? So much good news, I haven't seen this situation #地缘政治对比特币的影响

#ETH走势分析 If ETH breaks through $2,750 and stabilizes, it may trigger a short stop loss, resulting in a rapid rebound to $2,800, and the stop loss must be stopped immediately.
Risk control and precautions
1. Position management:
Single transaction position ≤ 5% (for example, a $10,000 account, a maximum investment of $500).
Leverage recommendation ≤ 3 times (to avoid the risk of liquidation).
2. Stop loss iron rule:
If the price breaks through the stop loss position in the opposite direction, leave the market immediately and do not carry the order. $ETH

#ETH走势分析 Rebound to Resistance Level to Short (Conservative)
Entry Point:
Wait for ETH to rebound to the range of $2740-$2750 (recently frequently obstructed area), if the following signals appear simultaneously:
✅ Volume Shrinking (Volume decreased by more than 20% compared to the previous hour)
✅ K-line Pattern: Appearance of "Long Upper Shadow" or "Bearish Engulfing" (indicating bulls are unable to break through)
Stop Loss: Set above $2770 (approximately 1% above the resistance area).
Take Profit Target:
First Target: $2680 (short-term support)
Second Target: $2655 (February 15 low, strong support area). $ETH

#ETH走势分析 Core Logic: Why is it suitable to short now?
1. Resistance Level Suppression: Recently, ETH has attempted to break through the $2740-$2750 range multiple times but has failed (refer to data from February 14, 2025, where $2700 became a key battleground). The current price is close to the resistance zone ($2727-$2750), and if the rebound is weak, it may trigger a pullback.
2. Surge in Short Positions: In the past week, Ethereum short positions increased by 40%, soaring 500% since November 2024, indicating a strong bearish sentiment in the market.
3. Technical Indicator Signals:
MACD: If the hourly MACD forms a 'death cross' (the fast line crosses below the slow line), it suggests an increase in short-term downward momentum.
RSI: If the current RSI value is above 60 but not overbought (<70), it may form a 'top divergence' (price rises but RSI falls), enhancing the short signal. $ETH