Crypto_blogs 2025

#TrumpTariffs In the USA, it is proposed to charge only profit tax from crypto companies

US Senator Cynthia Lummis, along with her colleague Senator Bernie Moreno, has appealed to the US government to reconsider the tax regime for cryptocurrencies.

Lawmakers propose to relieve American companies from the "unfair burden of taxation" by changing the accounting rules for unrealized profits from digital assets.

Currently, corporations with annual income exceeding $1 billion pay no less than 15% in taxes. The Lummis-Moreno proposal states that applying this rule to unrealized profits harms American crypto firms.

According to Lummis, American companies will be taxed more than foreign competitors in the field of digital finance. And this could hinder the US from leading in this sector on a global scale.

Биткоин еще не выбрал направление

Рынок биткоина демонстрирует смешанные сигналы. Несмотря на то что майнеры активно накапливают BTC, что обычно предвещает рост, участники рынка деривативов сохраняют осторожность и готовятся к возможной коррекции.

Технический анализ указывает на два сценария развития событий. Если тенденция к накоплению усилится, BTC cможет преодолеть сопротивление на уровне $98 515 и устремиться к психологически важной отметке $102 080. В случае коррекции цена может опуститься ниже $95 000 и найти следующую поддержку на уровне $92 910.

Bitcoin is close to the $100,000 level

The price of Bitcoin has increased by more than 14% over the past 30 days, significantly recovering after falling below $75,000 in April. This bullish momentum has strengthened as the coin demonstrates resilience amid macroeconomic instability and pressures, including those caused by Trump's trade tariffs.

At the time of writing, BTC is only 6.3% below the $100,000 mark and less than 17% from a potential move to $110,000

Technical indicators point to an upcoming rally for Bitcoin and altcoins

In the second half of April 2025, the cryptocurrency market is recovering. Against this backdrop, divergence signals have emerged, hinting at a possible rally for Bitcoin and altcoins

Whales holding between 1,000 and 100,000 ETH now control $59 billion

Analysis of ETH distribution shows alarming signs of increasing concentration. First, let's exclude addresses with more than 100,000 ETH, which are typically associated with centralized exchanges. Whale addresses holding between 1,000 and 100,000 ETH now control about $59 billion in ETH. This is approximately 25.5% of the circulating supply.

This group continues to accumulate more assets, reinforcing the shift of power towards large players operating off exchanges but significantly influencing the market.

#BTC☀ What will happen with Bitcoin? While gold is on the rise, Bitcoin, often referred to as 'digital gold', shows ambiguous dynamics. Since the beginning of the year, the cryptocurrency has lost about 10%, while the precious metal has gained 20%, noted Anthony Papiliano, CEO of Professional Capital Management. However, over the last 12 months, the gap is not that large — during this period, both assets have appreciated by about 35%.

Papiliano named several reasons why BTC might soon replicate the current dynamics of gold. Among them:

plans by the US government to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve;

increasing acceptance of cryptocurrency by the younger generation, which is choosing it as a long-term investment.

"Based on historical data, BTC's returns will soar above gold in the coming months," predicts the expert.

Bitcoin indeed follows gold with a lag of about 100 days, especially in conditions of increasing global liquidity. Optimism is also boosted by the fact that in the first quarter of 2025, institutional investors acquired over 95,400 BTC, indicating their strong interest in the cryptocurrency.

#BNB Binance Coin conducted a quarterly token burn. The process took place directly on the BNB Smart Chain (BSC). As a result, 1.57 million BNB tokens were burned.

#BTC☀️ Bitcoin and the chances of ATH this year

Fred Krueger used a geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model to estimate the probability of Bitcoin rising to $108,000 in 2025.

Another analyst agreed with Krueger's conclusions and forecasted the beginning of a new bull trend. According to him, this will be aided by a strong correlation with global M2 liquidity and the weakening of the US dollar.
The analyst expects a short-term correction to $80,000 but maintains long-term optimism. According to his forecasts, by 2030 BTC could reach $550,000–$650,000 due to its limited supply and the devaluation of fiat currencies.

#BTC BTC Forecast: Possible Rise to $87,000

Thanks to support from long-term holders (LTH), Bitcoin has already surpassed an important resistance level of $81,863. At the time of writing this analysis, BTC is trading at $83,484.

If the market continues to respond to stable demand from LTH, the price of the cryptocurrency may rise significantly in the near future. With increased demand from retail traders, the cryptocurrency has a chance to overcome the $85,000 mark and reach $87,730.

However, if long-term holders start taking profits, Bitcoin may fall again. In that case, a drop below $81,863 is likely — approximately down to $74,389.

#BTC Bitcoin (Bitcoin, BTC) is not backed by physical assets such as gold or fiat currencies (dollars, euros, etc.). Its value is based on several key factors:
1. Decentralization and limited supply
The maximum number of bitcoins is capped at 21 million (this is built into the algorithm).
New BTC is created through mining, but the issuance gradually decreases (halvings every 4 years).
2. Trust and demand
The value of BTC is determined by market demand: the more people and institutions believe in it, the higher the price.
Major companies (Tesla, MicroStrategy) and investment funds (e.g., ETF from BlackRock) invest in bitcoin, which strengthens its status.
3. Blockchain technology:
Bitcoin operates on a secure blockchain network that provides:
Transparency (all transactions are visible in a public ledger).
Immutability (faking transaction history is virtually impossible).
Decentralization (there is no single controlling authority). #Bitc
4. Comparison with traditional currencies
Fiat money (dollars, euros) is backed by trust in governments and central banks, but can depreciate due to inflation.
Bitcoin is often referred to as "digital gold."

How many bitcoins are lost?

It is estimated that 3–4 million BTC are lost forever (for example, due to forgotten private keys, deaths of owners).
Including Satoshi Nakamoto's wallets (≈1 million BTC have not moved since 2009–2010).

How to choose altcoins?
1. Look at liquidity (trading volume).
2. Study the team and partnerships.
3. Keep an eye on updates (hype updates often move the price).
4. Portfolio allocation:
- 50% – BTC + ETH.
- 30% – blue chips (SOL, BNB, etc.).
- 20% – high-risk alts.

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When to buy?
- After BTC correction (alts usually fall harder).
- At the beginning of the "alt season" (when BTC stabilizes).
Important#! The crypto market is volatile – do not invest more than you are willing to lose.

WHICH altcoins to choose? Blue chips (low risk, high capitalization)
These coins are relatively stable and often mimic BTC's movement:
- Ethereum (ETH) – leader in DeFi, NFT, Dencun update → reduced fees.
- Solana (SOL) – high speed, growing ecosystem (meme coins, DeFi).
- BNB (Binance Coin) – used in BSC, token burning, support from Binance.

2. Promising altcoins for the medium term (6–12 months)
Projects with a strong team and growing ecosystem:
- Chainlink (LINK)– #1 oracles, integrations with banks and CBDC.
- Polkadot (DOT)– multi-chain, Polkadot 2.0 update.
- Avalanche (AVAX)– subnets, partnerships with traditional finance.

3. High-risk but potentially profitable altcoins.
Can give x5–x10, but the chance of failure is higher:
- Arweave (AR) – decentralized data storage.
- Render (RNDR)– decentralized rendering (artificial intelligence + metaverse).
- Sei (SEI)– high-speed L1 for trading.

4. Meme coins (for speculation only!)
- Dogecoin (DOGE)– depends on Elon Musk.
- Shiba Inu (SHIB)– ecosystem development (Shibarium).
- New memes (e.g., WIF, PEPE, BONK) – can rise sharply but also fall quickly.
5. Trending sectors 2024–2025
- RWA (Real World Assets)– Ondo Finance (ONDO), TokenFi (TOKEN).
- AI + Big Datai (FET)
IMX

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The Influence of Bitcoin on the Market, Part 2. Bitcoin (BTC) has a huge impact. At times when BTC slows down, capital flows into promising altcoins (for example, in DeFi, AI tokens, etc.).

5. The Impact of Halvings and Macroeconomics
- BTC halvings (halving of issuance) have historically triggered bull markets, positively affecting the entire crypto market.
- Macroeconomic factors (actions of the Fed, inflation, crises) hit BTC harder, and through it – the entire market.

Conclusion
Bitcoin is the "flagship" of the crypto market, and its dynamics determine investor sentiment. However, in recent years, altcoins sometimes move independently (especially in niche segments), so it is important to monitor not only BTC but also fundamental trends in other projects.

Bitcoin (BTC) has a huge influence on the entire crypto market, and here's how it happens:

1. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC Dominance)
Bitcoin is the first and most capitalized cryptocurrency, so its movement often sets the trend for the entire market.
- When BTC rises – altcoins usually rise too, but with some delay.
- When BTC falls – most altcoins fall harder (the "bloodbath" effect).
- When BTC consolidates (moves sideways) – investors switch to altcoins, which can trigger an "altseason".

2. Psychological Influence
- BTC is perceived as "digital gold" and an indicator of trust in the crypto market.
- Sharp movements in BTC (for example, reaching a new ATH or steep corrections) trigger FOMO (fear of missing out) or panic.

3. Influence on Liquidity
- Most altcoins are traded in pairs with BTC (for example, ETH/BTC) or stablecoins (USDT, USDC).
- If BTC sharply falls, traders often convert assets to stablecoins, which decreases the liquidity of altcoins.

4. Correlation with Other Assets.
- During periods of BTC growth, many altcoins mimic its movement, but with greater volatility.

everything is possible

Possible scenario on April 12. Technical analysis and cycles:
- Historically, after Bitcoin halving, there is a growth period of 12–18 months, so by April 2025 BTC may be in a growth phase (unless there is a 'bearish' scenario).
- Altcoins often follow Bitcoin, but with greater volatility.

Possible scenarios for April 12, 2025
- Bullish scenario: BTC above $100K, activity in DeFi and NFT, growth of altcoins.
- Bearish scenario: Correction after growth, regulatory pressure, or hacking attacks.

Conclusion
It is impossible to make an exact prediction, but if the 2024 halving triggers a new growth cycle, April 2025 may be positive for the crypto market. Keep an eye on macroeconomics, regulation, and technological trends (such as the development of Ethereum, Solana, DeFi 3.0).

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