Links-usdt

After understanding the cycle of an investment product and the way market makers operate, you all start to feel that this market has certain laws, don't you? It's not a uniform law that applies to all; each coin is different, but mostly they follow the rules set by market makers, right? Therefore, our task is to find out their rules, isn't it? That's why we should only focus on top coins and those that have been around for a sufficient time: over 5 years, because these coins have time to manifest those laws. And when it becomes too clear, the market makers change again, widening the amplitude and duration, but the essence remains the same. Generally, coins, especially BTC, have an upward cycle of 2-2.5 years and a correction period of 1-1.5 years. According to calculations, the cycle may lead to another correction phase in 2026, but between the middle to the end of next year, around September to November, there will be price pushes and gradual distribution. Those who keep shouting that it’s about to drop, or are trying to short it, are those who understand that cycle, but on a smaller timeframe, so when it breaks on the small timeframe, they think it’s dropping. It's only scary when it breaks on the monthly timeframe. I'm explaining this so you will understand why I say to wait until September to November; there’s reasoning behind it, not just random guessing. I also want to clarify why some people keep saying it’s about to crash while the price continues to rise and fluctuates like that. And I will also explain why we should only focus on coins with a history of over 5 years and concentrate on just a few coins. We should choose coins that have characteristics similar to BTC. This way, when you say this market is about luck, you'll realize how much understanding you lack and find ways to supplement your knowledge.

Clarifying whether to set SL - Stoploss or not?
First, we need to understand clearly what SL is: simply put, it's the stop-loss point. There are two mindsets:
You have a competitive mindset: SL is bad, it makes you lose money if it gets triggered, keeping the order means there's still a chance to recover.
You have a safety mindset: SL is a way to protect your account, avoiding significant losses.
So, should you set SL or not?
Trader: 100% of orders must have SL because they always use high leverage.
Holder: 100% of orders set SL but place it on the weekly or monthly chart to avoid short-term price noise.
There are cases where SL is set equal to the account balance, meaning you deposit that amount, trade until it's gone, and then deposit again; this is a form of high-level capital management but also amateurish.
It's high-level if you know how to utilize high leverage, trading in multiples for extremely high profits.
Amateurish leads to continuous losses, creating bad habits, making it impossible to trade with large capital in the future.
There is a trading philosophy that doesn't set SL which involves hedging and trading both sides, requiring good calculation skills and a clear understanding of product margin rules. However, it always brings anxiety due to the status of losses.
DCA: Why do you keep hearing me talk about DCA and not about cutting orders? Because, for me, Link is a long-term growth mindset, so I only confirm the stop-loss point; if it goes down, I just DCA. If the situation gets too bad, I still cut like usual. You are psychologically affected because you use too much money that you can’t afford, or you invest your entire wealth hoping for a life change or seeking recognition, which creates feelings of fear and frustration.
Therefore, whether to set SL or not depends on the size of the orders you are trading.
A personal note for those who follow: set SL for everything, don’t deceive yourself; you really enjoy combining things with creativity.

CORE THINKING:

Organizations (sharks) never accumulate when prices rise sharply, but usually:

Due to the large volume, they "cannot buy in one go." Each time they buy a lot, it pushes the price up, making the organization itself buy at a high price, so they always break it down into many sessions and adjust the crowd's psychology.
The steps are as follows:
1. Create an accumulation area, sideways for a few weeks, or even a few months. Interspersed during this process are some sessions to shake off stocks with news or create surprises.
2. Shake out supply (price drop, scare selling) to make retail investors fear and sell. Usually lasts 2-3 sessions (the reason is every 2-3 DCA candles)
3. Re-accumulate at low price points, after retail investors have sold at a loss or stop-loss.
4. Strongly pull the price when enough stocks have been accumulated.
5. Begin distribution by creating beautiful, easily predictable chart areas, shaking stocks with increases of 20-30%, gradually distributing through each session. Create "false breakouts" to create FOMO for retail investors to jump in, observing whether retail reactions are strong or weak before proceeding.
Because even the organization, sharks do not know how high the peak is, yet some still like to catch the peak and the bottom; they also observe the strength of individual FOMO before pushing the price further or distributing it.
6. Bombing, ambushing after distribution is completed.
7. Create a new loop.
The above is the method we often call the manipulation team at work. It's nothing terrible but extremely cunning and effective.
Anyone who understands broadly will see it is no different from the cycle of an investment product.
Those who skim through various posts and come back here will see all the basic points I have already mentioned, mainly they interpret it to make it more complex to create more trust.
Just start from the basics, go slowly but surely.

Trading system, technical analysis methods: everyone should learn directly on YouTube, watching how others share their building, applying, and experiences like that, this requires continuous, direct practice to really grasp it, just reading a few lines up here, a few ideas every day won't make a difference.
Here, the main sharing is about trading psychology, sharing feelings with each other, reinforcing trust in one another, just explaining the basics.
Recently, I've shared a lot, but it's all just kindergarten knowledge, and if people still don't know, they should start being cautious.
There will be people like me writing articles to share, everyone has their own purpose, some want to copy trade, some call for joining paid groups, some sell courses, some register accounts under referral links, some earn fees for writing articles if they tag a coin or an event, and as for me, I write to accumulate merit, I also have personal purposes.
After reading for a while, it's just a few ideas that I've shared in my articles.
So, if anyone has questions or wants to ask anything, just comment on the latest articles, and if I see it, I will post a reply within my understanding.

For those who are using trading indicators and want to combine them correctly:
1. You must understand which group the indicator you are using belongs to: trend, momentum, or volume...
2. After understanding the meaning of that indicator, you need to backtest to find the suitable time frame for it. For example: MA10 works well on the M frame, MA20 works well on the W frame, so price reactions in these frames with that indicator are more reliable.
3. You should only combine 2-3 indicators and pair them correctly, for example, 1 trend indicator + 1 momentum indicator. Don't use 2 trend indicators, or 1 momentum indicator at the same time, as they will eventually conflict.
Some of those combos are: MA+MACD, Bollinger Band+RSI, MA+Stochastic...
4. You must backtest, backtest, and backtest to see how the indicator works, whether it is suitable or not, each product will have its own characteristics.
5. Indicators are programmed and use past prices (prices that have occurred) to predict the future, so you must wait for the candle to close. And waiting for the candle to close will be slower than the current price, always running 1 beat slower. The principle that must not be violated when using indicators is to “wait for the candle to close.”

You traders, when you win, write: you don't need to trust anyone, just self-deceive and you will learn from experience. When not trading, you are indifferent, rarely showing fear that others will criticize you later, afraid of exposing your weaknesses. When losing, you all rush to find good articles or news to reinforce your argument and hope, and feel uncomfortable with things that contradict that argument. I think, when you are not skilled yet, you should open your heart, close your ego, and ask more, whatever you do not understand, just ask.

Then I discovered that some of you are in a situation of not knowing how to handle situations, more precisely, not knowing how to manage orders, due to not having a trading plan, in short, not having a clear and consistent trading system. The 3 key phrases that you need to have soon, search on YouTube, Google, or Chat GPT: "trading system", "capital management", and "psychological management".
The above three should be learned gradually, for now, I will help you handle situations once you have determined the overall trend.
For example, if the view is bullish (do the opposite if bearish)
1. If anyone has an order from below but has run out of money, then just sit and watch or find more money to add to the order at important levels in a smaller frame, for example, if someone has a bullish view on Week, then enter on Daily or 4h, 1h to add at levels like the peak, old bottom, key levels or support-resistance which is something you know how to analyze technically.
2. If you do not have an order, you must divide your capital, enter at the current price, and there are 2 cases here: if the price goes up immediately, then like person number 1, but if it drops deeply (like the person mentioned about chasing the peak), then use the remaining money to DCA at important levels, if you follow the bandwidth then choose important price levels, if you follow the timing and cycle theory, then 2-3 red candles are the time to enter.
3. The most dangerous person is when the price goes up but keeps wanting to open sell orders, can still do it but with a volume smaller than half of normal, absolutely adhere to SL and TP (TP should be set lower than normal). In my opinion, those of you should first change that mindset, because in the long run, you will still lose. The mindset is to determine that when the price is rising, only look for buy orders. When the price is falling, look for sell orders, do not do the opposite, mixing buy and sell.
4. If you are holding a sell order that is currently under pressure, this person is the most exhausted.

This is for anyone passing by who is currently lost, experiencing losses, looking for ways to recover, wanting to relieve stress, needing to reinforce their thinking, psychology, system, or just wanting to chat. Respond here, I will answer, or we can share thoughts on investing within the limits of my understanding. I only provide answers, not opinions on any coins; I only hold BTC, ETH, and LINK. Anyone who has followed me from the beginning knows this, so I don't think it's necessary to ask again. Let's share our thoughts to strive together on this difficult path. If you can develop a 'good mindset,' then 'PLEASE DO NOT GIVE UP.'

The other day we talked about where LINK's cycle is at?
There were 2 people answering, 1 person suggested 4 phases of decline and 1 person suggested 1 accumulation phase. Surely everyone prefers long long short short, right? It seems no one is very interested.
So LINK last time on the M frame, the price missed the distribution phase like previous times: accumulation, growth, then decline immediately, so this could be the price will distribute during the decline or missed the distribution phase, right?
Case 1: distributing during the decline, then after a pullback to the 10-12 bottom, it could be accumulating. After accumulation, it will rise.
Case 2: missing the distribution phase, then the price must be pushed up to distribute everything. Thus the price will also rise, but it cannot rise strongly like after accumulation. In summary, it will still rise.
Worst case scenario: the current accumulation phase turns into a distribution phase and the price continues to drop to 7-6 (this case depends on everyone: they have tried to push the price up very high, the project is transparent, has built a reputation, so will they trample on their own rice bowl, completely destroying trust in that coin?)
In summary: the prediction of an increase has a higher probability, the levels to pay attention to are 20-21 (if case 2) and 25-26 (case 1), oh SL screams in case 3 :)))
What I mentioned above is called a macro perspective. Do not lose this overview first, then think about entering smaller frames to trade, okay guys?

Surely everyone has heard a lot about keeping a diary, right?
People say that keeping a diary helps you improve, but no one says what you improve in.

Actually, keeping a diary should be simple, whether you make a profit or a loss today, how much you make, professionals will use the profit of how much R or how much %, not paying attention to the amount of money, this also has a reason.
So what does keeping a diary help you improve in? It is improving your trading mindset. If you want to improve your skills, you have to study a lot, backtest a lot, observe the market with a trading system, but just turning on the chart, looking at the candles and then deceiving yourself with the rules in front of you that you have experienced without any basis is the same as nothing.

Talking about % or R, a bit spiritual, in terms of merit, you record how much profit you have in a month is the highest or how much profit you have in a week, then see if you will lose again if you exceed that number, this must be recorded for a long time to be able to withdraw. For example, the highest profit in a week is 100$, at the beginning of the week you made a profit of 100$ but at the end of the week you still made a profit of 20$ , then your merit threshold is only 100$ but the important thing is how much capital, put in 500$ to make a profit of 100$, which means if you only use capital of 500$ , your merit will only last 100$ 1 weeks, too much will lose again. So how to increase the profit, 1 is you do more good deeds, increase good deeds increase money, 2 is increase capital, convert to %, for example 500$ get 100$ will be 20%, so any capital with 20% profit must stop waiting for the next week. Must record, determine the threshold R or % to know when to stop.Understanding this will make you more proactive in trading.

4 stages of an investment product are as follows:
Phase 1: indifference phase, consolidation and accumulation
Phase 2: acceleration phase
Phase 3: peak and distribution phase
Phase 4: decline phase, large investors fleeing.

Note that after the accumulation phase, the price will increase and after the distribution phase, the price will decrease, but conversely, after the acceleration phase, it may not necessarily be distribution but could be re-accumulation for the next increase (which often breaks historical peaks), and after the decline phase, it may not necessarily be accumulation but could be re-distribution and a sharp decrease (which may then break historical lows).
It is too simple to read through and forget, but it is extremely important for a long-term overview.
Oh, someone told me to talk broadly, talking about the long term, the level is short-term trading, scalping, intraday; I would like to clarify that I only trade short-term trading products (as mentioned in the previous article, what products) on the Exness platform. On Binance, most of my profits there come from holding coins, so here I only talk about long-term thinking and strategies, and I am just an ordinary person like you, I don't need fancy words like pro, level, expert, or anything like that.
But if you browse through the articles, then experience it yourself, you'll understand that the person who jumps in and out seeing profits in the short term, in the end, loses everything. Then they turn around and hold some coin for a few years hoping to recover. So in the end, it still comes back to holding. Then holding until the end of the year sometimes makes real profits, and then they tell themselves that if they had known to buy at the beginning and delete the app, things would be great now. They keep getting lost in a cycle that no one can help them escape.
In summary, based on the 4 phases I shared with this picture,
Now according to you, where is LINK currently in which phase, guess for fun, it doesn't matter if it's right or wrong.

On my page, I mainly talk about trading mindset, primarily focusing on asset investment. If there's a signal, I'll also call it out; holding for at least 6 months is the minimum, so those who frequently jump in and out will find it quite uncomfortable.

Tomorrow or next week, when I have time, I'll prepare a cycle of a stock. Everyone should remember to take notes; this knowledge seems easy, but few people discuss it. Then guess what stage LINK is in and prepare your mindset; sometimes I predict wrong, and if anyone follows, they might end up stuck for 6 months.

I plan to share knowledge about the cycle of a stock, but since LINK is dropping, I'm sure you guys don't want to hear it. I'll wait until it turns green and ripe before sharing.

I will soon have a bit of money to buy more.

Distinguishing between asset investment and trading

Asset Investment: Stocks, Real Estate, Securities, Intellectual Property Rights
Profit: measured over the long term, cash flow generated from value growth and ownership of that asset.
Requirements: Leverage, mid-term and short-term frames are opportunities to add, do not jump in and out
Entry and exit points are primarily Long-term.

Trading: Gold, BTC, Currency, FX
Profit: generated by price differences in real-time
The nature is not significant price differences, so high leverage is used.
The analysis process is more probabilistic than determining high or low prices
Absolutely do not try to catch the top and bottom in trading, only wait for confirmation before starting to confirm entry and exit points.

Above is the distinction between investment and trading according to textbook standards, but in the process, we also generate two additional styles: holding and trading.
Products of asset investment that are traded, jumping in and out, are categorized as trading, and the products of trading that are held are categorized as asset investment.
Therefore, you just need to clarify what you are doing and what you want, then you can calculate your time in this market.
Investing in LINK as an asset means you must know whether it is in a primary trend of decline or increase; if declining, either cut and find another coin or wait for a rebound to cut some, while if it is in an increasing trend, just DCA whenever it drops (the trend here refers to the long term, opening at the Weekly frame or higher).
As for trading LINK, you must pay extreme attention to SL, TP, because trading with high leverage comes with a very high psychological risk, and pay more attention to short-term price fluctuations.

I am just an ordinary person in investing.

I used to think: I have to be really good. I have to be really successful. I have to have a name that everyone knows...

But after many years of struggling among numbers,
charts and fluctuations, I realized...
I am nobody in this market, I don't hold millions of dollars in funds, I don't have a team behind me or a famous KOL...
I am just an ordinary person.
Every morning I wake up, brew a cup of tea, open the charts and work.
I have failed. I have lost. I have doubted myself. But those seemingly meaningless days... helped me understand more about the essence of investing. Not to prove anything. But to train myself. To control my mind and emotions, in an uncontrollable world.

But also precisely because I am an ordinary person
I am quiet enough to listen to the market.
Humble enough to learn from those who came before.

I don't try to become someone else.
I just try to be better than I was yesterday. And aware enough to see my mind clearly amidst the storms,
that alone is already a victory.
And on this journey, I find myself
I find the true path that I want to take
A path not to compete, but to understand myself, understand others, and understand the market.

Then you will see, the most valuable thing does not lie in temporary profits,
but in the enduring values that you quietly build every day. "Awareness - Gratitude - The spirit of giving without expecting anything in return"
Investing is not just a game of money, but also a journey of growth, training, and leaving a little light for those who come after.

For the past few days, LINK has only been hovering around the price mark of 16 +-1, just 1 or 2 prices, so why is it that one person finds it normal with the same price fluctuation, while another feels anxious?
If you hold 10Link, 100Link, or even 1000Link, you still feel slow.
If you hold just 0.1 lot or 1 lot, you feel dizzy, have a headache, and experience psychological turmoil immediately.
Why??? Simply because you are trading with a position size that is too large, beyond what your account or you personally can handle.
I always remind you to prioritize capital management, set automatic SL, and if it hasn't reached SL, just stay calm. TP can be divided into stages depending on market reactions as you take profits gradually. This path is a long-distance run measured in years or months, not a sprint measured in minutes or hours.
At first, did you bring money into this market and maintain the stance that you are investing? When asked, you say you are investing in Crypto, but after a while, you revert to gambling.
At first, you said it was a job, but a job requires you to have knowledge and time, yet you continue to revert to gambling.
This is losing the overall perspective in terms of awareness.
You open the Weekly chart and see a big green candle, you say, "Oh, it's an up week," but when you get to the 1-hour chart, you say the price has broken the uptrend, then you trade down on the 1-hour chart and keep hoping to reverse that big green candle of the week.
This is losing the overall perspective in terms of analysis.
There are still many things that seem simple, and when mentioned, you might know right away, but when asked in detail, you cannot explain.

$BTC I noticed that people rarely pay attention to real strategic insights; they just like long long short short, wanting to see profits and losses to empathize. Those who hold assets look for things to reinforce their confidence to hold longer, while those who don't hold hope for further declines to buy in or want it to drop more so that their cuts feel less regretful. Gradually, the insights about the main trends are forgotten, or there are general errors that can be called overarching gaps.
I wrote about BTC where people accumulated from 79k and then gradually pushed the price up to nearly 130k, but when it went up, it was mostly shorts. Okay, short in the short term, short for adjustments, no one says anything, but after shorting, they just hold on and even increase their positions when the price rises. DCA but reverse DCA is really crazy.
Any article that touches on long long short short gets a lot of interactions, while articles about knowledge and psychology receive very few.
Therefore, the essence of this market remains the same; whether it's 10 years or 100 years from now, it will still be like this. So there will never be any technical analysis system that becomes outdated.
I hope everyone can take away a few lessons from this article.

$LINK The win rate is 50/50 or 45/55%, yet still consistently profitable for a simple reason: "Capital Management." I keep emphasizing this issue because it is what helps you survive in this market.
The most important order: "Psychological Management" comes first; psychology determines wins and losses, psychology determines everything in this market, but managing psychology is extremely difficult to change and control due to the inherent nature of human beings. Even top traders find it hard to master their emotions, which is why capital management and trading systems were created.
"Trading Systems" include trading principles, a set of trading rules, chart analysis methods, entry and exit points, Take Profit, Stop Loss... they have a relative nature, meaning they can be right sometimes and wrong at other times. For skilled individuals, they operate well, while for those who are not skilled, the rate of errors is higher.
However, there is one thing that can be controlled, most manageable, easy to do, and almost absolute: "Capital Management."
I always emphasize three things: "Psychological Management, Trading Systems, Capital Management." Anyone who lacks these three things will sooner or later be taken away by this market.
Therefore, keep searching for these three keywords on any platform, gradually learn, gradually equip yourself; there is no room for laziness or shortcuts. There is no holy grail. Only effort, effort, and more effort.
I wish you all success.

$BTC Talking about Copy Trading: should or shouldn't:
Should: when you have researched the person being copied along with the trading system that matches yours, understand them better and they are more talented.
Shouldn't: just seeing high profits and then following, why is that: because when you see they are being promoted by Binance, they are on a winning streak and have almost reached their profit peak, by the time you follow, they start to decline, alternating between losing trades or entering a losing streak (the cycle of a trader) will give you the feeling of being monitored or being played unfairly. Each trading system is only correct at one point in the market, what matters is good capital management to maintain the probability of the system reappearing after a losing streak, or maintaining the account to get through the adjustment cycle after a winning streak.
Note: use idle money to buy Link, everyone.

$BTC $LINK If you want to keep your mind calm, avoid FOMO at the peak, and cling to the bottom, you should hide posts like "what you missed..." or negative posts like "I burned my account, cursing the bookmaker..."
Focus on the current opportunities; what's missed is gone, it wasn't meant for you.
On my page, I only discuss psychology and the mindset of each experience, which may contradict the majority, so you might feel uncomfortable, but in the long run, it will improve your mindset.

$BTC $LINK for those who intend to get rich from investing in general or those who intend to dedicate all their time to this work, commonly referred to as full-time traders:
1. Before starting: - build a consistent trading system that has been validated and profitable for others (learn or find any trustworthy teacher)
- have a reserve fund for 6 months without profit and enough capital to trade during those 6 months, as well as living expenses.
2. During those 6 months, you must backtest your method intensely, while also practicing on a demo account and simultaneously trading in real situations to master your psychology.
3. After 6 months, you will determine whether to continue on this path or start this process all over again.
Why 6 months? According to general assessments based on the market, 6 months is a sufficient time to validate whether a system operates well or not (enough trades to condition the probability of occurrence).
Advice: you will have to go through many such 6-month processes to mature and survive in this harsh market. Whether the time is short or long also depends on each person's bright or dull mindset.
But: don't give up; once you overcome those difficult days, there will be a reward at the end of the road.
Just like my teacher said, if you are on the right path and have chosen the right method, sooner or later you will be profitable. I spent 2 years in ignorance through self-experience, plus 5 years going in the right direction (because I was not as bright and did not learn as well as others).
So: I believe you will make it too, just think correctly, choose a teacher for yourself, and be persistent for a while, the results will come.