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Lier

Open Trade
High-Frequency Trader
2.6 Months
菜鸟一个,Kyd00827
16 Following
24 Followers
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Portfolio
--
See original
Intraday fluctuation range: $83,500-$85,500, tested the resistance level of $85,500 but did not effectively break through. Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to be cautious of the risk of 'upward movement without volume.' Technical indicators MACD: The 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars are moderately expanding, but have not entered the overbought zone (RSI around 60). Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise. Support level: $83,000-$83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, it may trigger short-term selling. 2. Market sentiment and capital flow Institution behavior A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million into ETFs in one day, indicating long-term capital inflow. On-chain data shows an increase in net outflows from exchanges, whale accounts continue to increase their holdings, supporting prices. Risk factors Small cryptocurrency liquidity crisis: After the OM token crashed by 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating on Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.
Intraday fluctuation range: $83,500-$85,500, tested the resistance level of $85,500 but did not effectively break through.

Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to be cautious of the risk of 'upward movement without volume.'

Technical indicators
MACD: The 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars are moderately expanding, but have not entered the overbought zone (RSI around 60).

Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support level: $83,000-$83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, it may trigger short-term selling.



2. Market sentiment and capital flow

Institution behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million into ETFs in one day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows an increase in net outflows from exchanges, whale accounts continue to increase their holdings, supporting prices.

Risk factors
Small cryptocurrency liquidity crisis: After the OM token crashed by 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating on Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.
My Assets Distribution
USDT
100.00%
--
Bearish
See original
$SOL Daily Fluctuation Range: $83,500 - $85,500, has tested the $85,500 resistance level but has not effectively broken through. Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, a slight decrease from the previous day, caution is needed against the risk of 'volume-less rise'. Technical Indicators MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bar gently expands, but has not entered the overbought zone (RSI around 60). Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise. Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, it may trigger short-term sell-off. II. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow Institutional Behavior A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million in ETF on a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow. On-chain data shows that net outflows from exchanges are increasing, whale accounts are continuously accumulating, supporting the price. Risk Factors Liquidity crisis of small coins: After the OM token flash crash of 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating towards Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.
$SOL Daily Fluctuation Range: $83,500 - $85,500, has tested the $85,500 resistance level but has not effectively broken through.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, a slight decrease from the previous day, caution is needed against the risk of 'volume-less rise'.

Technical Indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bar gently expands, but has not entered the overbought zone (RSI around 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, it may trigger short-term sell-off.



II. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow

Institutional Behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million in ETF on a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows that net outflows from exchanges are increasing, whale accounts are continuously accumulating, supporting the price.

Risk Factors
Liquidity crisis of small coins: After the OM token flash crash of 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating towards Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.
--
Bullish
See original
#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily volatility range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through. Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed for the risk of 'volume-less rise'. Technical indicators MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand but have not entered the overbought area (RSI around 60). Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if sustained may trigger accelerated rise. Support level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken may trigger short-term selling. 2. Market sentiment and capital flow Institution behavior A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a daily net inflow of $130 million into ETFs, indicating long-term capital inflow. On-chain data shows an increase in net outflows from exchanges, whale accounts continue to increase holdings, supporting prices. Risk factors Small coin liquidity crisis: OM token plummeted 80%, the market is cautious about capital concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.
#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily volatility range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through.

Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed for the risk of 'volume-less rise'.

Technical indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand but have not entered the overbought area (RSI around 60).

Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if sustained may trigger accelerated rise.

Support level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken may trigger short-term selling.



2. Market sentiment and capital flow

Institution behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a daily net inflow of $130 million into ETFs, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows an increase in net outflows from exchanges, whale accounts continue to increase holdings, supporting prices.

Risk factors
Small coin liquidity crisis: OM token plummeted 80%, the market is cautious about capital concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.
ETHUSDT
Long
Closed
PNL
+0.30
--
Bullish
See original
#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily Volatility Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not break through effectively. Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed against the risk of "upward movement without volume." Technical Indicators MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand, but have not entered the overbought area (RSI about 60). Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if stabilized may trigger accelerated rise. Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken may trigger short-term sell-off. 2. Market Sentiment and Capital Trends Institutional Behavior A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, ETF net inflow of $130 million in a single day, showing long-term capital inflow. On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to increase holdings, supporting prices. Risk Factors Small Coin Liquidity Crisis: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.
#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily Volatility Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not break through effectively.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed against the risk of "upward movement without volume."

Technical Indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand, but have not entered the overbought area (RSI about 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if stabilized may trigger accelerated rise.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken may trigger short-term sell-off.



2. Market Sentiment and Capital Trends

Institutional Behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, ETF net inflow of $130 million in a single day, showing long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to increase holdings, supporting prices.

Risk Factors
Small Coin Liquidity Crisis: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.
ETHUSDT
125X
Long
Unrealized PNL
-0.08
-47.00%
--
Bullish
See original
#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily Volatility Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through. Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed regarding the risk of 'rising without volume'. Technical Indicators MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand, but have not entered the overbought zone (RSI about 60). Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if stabilized, may trigger an accelerated rise. Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support area), if broken, may trigger short-term sell-off. II. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow Institutional Behavior A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million into ETFs in a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow. On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price. Risk Factors Small Coin Liquidity Crisis: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating towards Bitcoin, with altcoins under pressure.
#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily Volatility Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed regarding the risk of 'rising without volume'.

Technical Indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand, but have not entered the overbought zone (RSI about 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if stabilized, may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support area), if broken, may trigger short-term sell-off.



II. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow

Institutional Behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million into ETFs in a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price.

Risk Factors
Small Coin Liquidity Crisis: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating towards Bitcoin, with altcoins under pressure.
ETHUSDT
125X
Long
Unrealized PNL
-0.08
-47.00%
--
Bullish
See original
#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily Volatility Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance but failed to break through effectively. Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed regarding the risk of 'rising without volume'. Technical Indicators MACD: Golden cross continues on the 4-hour chart, momentum bars are gently expanding, but have not entered the overbought area (RSI around 60). Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise. Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support area), if broken, it may trigger short-term selling. II. Market Sentiment and Fund Flow Institutional Behavior A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million in ETFs for the day, indicating long-term capital inflow. On-chain data shows an increase in net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price. Risk Factors Small Coin Liquidity Crisis: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is wary of funds concentrating on Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.
#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily Volatility Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance but failed to break through effectively.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed regarding the risk of 'rising without volume'.

Technical Indicators
MACD: Golden cross continues on the 4-hour chart, momentum bars are gently expanding, but have not entered the overbought area (RSI around 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support area), if broken, it may trigger short-term selling.


II. Market Sentiment and Fund Flow

Institutional Behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million in ETFs for the day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows an increase in net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price.

Risk Factors
Small Coin Liquidity Crisis: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is wary of funds concentrating on Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.
ETHUSDT
Long
Closed
PNL
+0.30
--
Bullish
See original
#国会议员交易限制 [Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug] Daily fluctuation range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through. Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to beware of the risk of 'upward movement without volume'. Technical indicators MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars gently expanding, but not entering the overbought area (RSI around 60). Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise. Support level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if it breaks, it may trigger short-term selling. 2. Market sentiment and capital flow Institutional behavior A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, ETF net inflow of $130 million in one day, showing long-term capital inflow. On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price. Risk factors Small cryptocurrency liquidity crisis: After the OM token flash crash of 80%, the market is wary of funds concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.
#国会议员交易限制 [Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug] Daily fluctuation range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through.

Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to beware of the risk of 'upward movement without volume'.

Technical indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars gently expanding, but not entering the overbought area (RSI around 60).

Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if it breaks, it may trigger short-term selling.



2. Market sentiment and capital flow

Institutional behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, ETF net inflow of $130 million in one day, showing long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price.

Risk factors
Small cryptocurrency liquidity crisis: After the OM token flash crash of 80%, the market is wary of funds concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.
ETHUSDT
125X
Long
Unrealized PNL
-0.08
-47.00%
--
Bullish
See original
#国会议员交易限制 [Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug] Daily fluctuation range: $83,500-$85,500, tested the resistance level of $85,500 but did not effectively break through. Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to be cautious of the risk of "price increase without volume." Technical indicators MACD: The 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expanding, but has not entered the overbought area (RSI about 60). Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it stabilizes, it may trigger an accelerated rise. Support level: $83,000-$83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, may trigger short-term selling. 2. Market sentiment and capital flow Institutional behavior A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million into ETFs in one day, indicating long-term capital inflow. On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price. Risk factors Liquidity crisis in small cryptocurrencies: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is cautious about capital concentrating on Bitcoin, with altcoins under pressure.
#国会议员交易限制 [Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug] Daily fluctuation range: $83,500-$85,500, tested the resistance level of $85,500 but did not effectively break through.

Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to be cautious of the risk of "price increase without volume."

Technical indicators
MACD: The 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expanding, but has not entered the overbought area (RSI about 60).

Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it stabilizes, it may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support level: $83,000-$83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, may trigger short-term selling.



2. Market sentiment and capital flow

Institutional behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million into ETFs in one day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price.

Risk factors
Liquidity crisis in small cryptocurrencies: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is cautious about capital concentrating on Bitcoin, with altcoins under pressure.
ETHUSDT
125X
Long
Unrealized PNL
-0.08
-47.00%
--
Bearish
See original
The previous high prices were entirely reliant on speculation by the big players, focusing on reality, 0.3 is relatively reasonable. US-China tariff tug-of-war. The Trump administration's fluctuating tariff policies (such as retracting exemptions for certain products after April) have led to extreme market volatility, with Bitcoin fluctuating widely in the 80,000-85,000 range. If tariffs escalate comprehensively, the Oxford Economics Institute predicts that global trade volume may shrink to levels seen during the 2008 financial crisis, which could put short-term pressure on Bitcoin but benefit it in the long term due to safe-haven demand. US debt crisis and dollar liquidity. The 10-year US Treasury yield has surged to 4.51%, intensifying the pressure of $37 trillion in debt interest, with expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts rising. History shows that during periods of liquidity easing, Bitcoin's average increase exceeds 300%. Bitwise analysts point out that the depreciation of the dollar and capital outflows (such as Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin) could drive prices to break through $200,000. 2. Market behavior verification. Institutional and retail differentiation. Whale addresses increased their holdings by 213,000 BTC in one week, but retail selling pressure led to short-term fluctuations. Institutions like MicroStrategy continue to accumulate, forming long-term support. The correlation between Bitcoin and gold has risen to 0.5, strengthening the narrative of “digital gold” amidst tariff conflicts. Key technical signals. The 4-hour chart has formed a “W double bottom,” with 82,400-81,200 as the short-term bull-bear dividing line. If it holds above $85,000, the target looks towards $91,300. The MACD golden cross shows upward momentum, but the RSI at 54 warns of potential overbought corrections. 3. Scenario simulation.
The previous high prices were entirely reliant on speculation by the big players, focusing on reality, 0.3 is relatively reasonable.
US-China tariff tug-of-war.
The Trump administration's fluctuating tariff policies (such as retracting exemptions for certain products after April) have led to extreme market volatility, with Bitcoin fluctuating widely in the 80,000-85,000 range.

If tariffs escalate comprehensively, the Oxford Economics Institute predicts that global trade volume may shrink to levels seen during the 2008 financial crisis, which could put short-term pressure on Bitcoin but benefit it in the long term due to safe-haven demand.

US debt crisis and dollar liquidity.
The 10-year US Treasury yield has surged to 4.51%, intensifying the pressure of $37 trillion in debt interest, with expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts rising. History shows that during periods of liquidity easing, Bitcoin's average increase exceeds 300%.

Bitwise analysts point out that the depreciation of the dollar and capital outflows (such as Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin) could drive prices to break through $200,000.

2. Market behavior verification.

Institutional and retail differentiation.
Whale addresses increased their holdings by 213,000 BTC in one week, but retail selling pressure led to short-term fluctuations. Institutions like MicroStrategy continue to accumulate, forming long-term support.

The correlation between Bitcoin and gold has risen to 0.5, strengthening the narrative of “digital gold” amidst tariff conflicts.

Key technical signals.
The 4-hour chart has formed a “W double bottom,” with 82,400-81,200 as the short-term bull-bear dividing line. If it holds above $85,000, the target looks towards $91,300.

The MACD golden cross shows upward momentum, but the RSI at 54 warns of potential overbought corrections.

3. Scenario simulation.
OMUSDT
20X
Short
Unrealized PNL
+0.92
+117.00%
--
Bearish
See original
$BTC Daily Fluctuation Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through. Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed for the risk of 'upward movement without volume'. Technical Indicators MACD: The 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars are moderately expanding, but have not entered the overbought zone (RSI around 60). Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if sustained, may trigger accelerated upward movement. Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, may trigger short-term selling. II. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow Institutional Behavior A publicly listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million for ETFs in a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow. On-chain data shows an increase in net outflow from exchanges, with whale accounts continuing to increase their holdings, supporting the price. Risk Factors Small coin liquidity crisis: After the OM token plummeted by 80%, the market is cautious about funds concentrating on Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.
$BTC Daily Fluctuation Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed for the risk of 'upward movement without volume'.

Technical Indicators
MACD: The 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars are moderately expanding, but have not entered the overbought zone (RSI around 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if sustained, may trigger accelerated upward movement.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, may trigger short-term selling.



II. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow

Institutional Behavior
A publicly listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million for ETFs in a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows an increase in net outflow from exchanges, with whale accounts continuing to increase their holdings, supporting the price.

Risk Factors
Small coin liquidity crisis: After the OM token plummeted by 80%, the market is cautious about funds concentrating on Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.
BTCUSDT
Short
Closed
PNL
+0.30
--
Bearish
See original
#比特币与美国关税政策 Daily Fluctuation Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through. Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to be cautious of the 'no-volume rise' risk. Technical Indicators MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand, but has not entered the overbought area (RSI about 60). Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if sustained could trigger accelerated rise. Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken may trigger short-term sell-off. II. Market Sentiment and Fund Flow Institutional Behavior A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, ETF net inflow of $130 million in a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow. On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting prices. Risk Factors Small-cap liquidity crisis: OM token collapsed by 80%, leading the market to be cautious about funds concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure. {future}(BTCUSDT)
#比特币与美国关税政策 Daily Fluctuation Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to be cautious of the 'no-volume rise' risk.

Technical Indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand, but has not entered the overbought area (RSI about 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if sustained could trigger accelerated rise.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken may trigger short-term sell-off.



II. Market Sentiment and Fund Flow

Institutional Behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, ETF net inflow of $130 million in a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting prices.

Risk Factors
Small-cap liquidity crisis: OM token collapsed by 80%, leading the market to be cautious about funds concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.
--
Bearish
See original
$BTC US-China Tariff Tug-of-War The Trump administration's tariff policy has been inconsistent (such as withdrawing exemptions for certain products after announcing them in April), leading to significant fluctuations in market sentiment, with Bitcoin oscillating widely between the 80,000-85,000 range. If tariffs are fully escalated, the Oxford Economics Institute predicts that global trade volume may shrink to levels seen during the 2008 financial crisis, which could put short-term pressure on Bitcoin but benefit it in the long term due to safe-haven demand. US Debt Crisis and Dollar Liquidity The yield on 10-year US Treasuries soared to 4.51%, intensifying the pressure from $37 trillion in debt interest, and expectations for Fed rate cuts are rising. History shows that during liquidity easing cycles, Bitcoin's average price increase exceeds 300%. Bitwise analysts point out that the depreciation of the dollar and capital outflows (such as Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin) may drive prices to break through $200,000. II. Market Behavior Verification Institutional and Retail Divergence Whale addresses increased their holdings by 213,000 BTC in one week, but retail selling pressure led to short-term volatility. Institutions like MicroStrategy continue to increase their holdings, forming long-term support. The correlation between Bitcoin and Gold has risen to 0.5, reinforcing the narrative of “digital gold” amid tariff conflicts. Key Technical Signals The 4-hour chart has formed a “W double bottom,” with 82,400-81,200 as the short-term bullish-bearish dividing line. If it holds above $85,000, the target looks towards $91,300. The MACD golden cross indicates upward momentum, but the RSI at 54 warns of potential overbought corrections.
$BTC US-China Tariff Tug-of-War
The Trump administration's tariff policy has been inconsistent (such as withdrawing exemptions for certain products after announcing them in April), leading to significant fluctuations in market sentiment, with Bitcoin oscillating widely between the 80,000-85,000 range.

If tariffs are fully escalated, the Oxford Economics Institute predicts that global trade volume may shrink to levels seen during the 2008 financial crisis, which could put short-term pressure on Bitcoin but benefit it in the long term due to safe-haven demand.

US Debt Crisis and Dollar Liquidity
The yield on 10-year US Treasuries soared to 4.51%, intensifying the pressure from $37 trillion in debt interest, and expectations for Fed rate cuts are rising. History shows that during liquidity easing cycles, Bitcoin's average price increase exceeds 300%.

Bitwise analysts point out that the depreciation of the dollar and capital outflows (such as Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin) may drive prices to break through $200,000.

II. Market Behavior Verification

Institutional and Retail Divergence
Whale addresses increased their holdings by 213,000 BTC in one week, but retail selling pressure led to short-term volatility. Institutions like MicroStrategy continue to increase their holdings, forming long-term support.

The correlation between Bitcoin and Gold has risen to 0.5, reinforcing the narrative of “digital gold” amid tariff conflicts.

Key Technical Signals
The 4-hour chart has formed a “W double bottom,” with 82,400-81,200 as the short-term bullish-bearish dividing line. If it holds above $85,000, the target looks towards $91,300.

The MACD golden cross indicates upward momentum, but the RSI at 54 warns of potential overbought corrections.
See original
$BTC SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders: Fund Isolation: Use only idle funds, refuse to borrow leverage; Position Control: Single risk <2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve 'escape funds' to cope with extreme market conditions; Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset safety. The essence is to respect the market: even the most sophisticated strategies require redundant design, survival > excessive profit.
$BTC SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders:

Fund Isolation: Use only idle funds, refuse to borrow leverage;

Position Control: Single risk <2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve 'escape funds' to cope with extreme market conditions;

Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset safety.
The essence is to respect the market: even the most sophisticated strategies require redundant design, survival > excessive profit.
--
Bearish
See original
#币安安全见解 SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders: Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse to borrow leverage; Position Control: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve 'escape funds' to cope with extreme market conditions; Technical Safeguards: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security. The essence is to respect the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy design is necessary, survival > excessive profit.
#币安安全见解 SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders:

Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse to borrow leverage;

Position Control: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve 'escape funds' to cope with extreme market conditions;

Technical Safeguards: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security.
The essence is to respect the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy design is necessary, survival > excessive profit.
VIDTUSDT
Short
Closed
PNL
+1.21
--
Bearish
See original
#保护你的资产 SAFU (Safety First) is the trader's survival rule: Capital Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse to borrow leverage; Position Control: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to deal with extreme market conditions; Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security. The essence is to respect the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy design is necessary, survival > excessive profit.
#保护你的资产 SAFU (Safety First) is the trader's survival rule:

Capital Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse to borrow leverage;

Position Control: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to deal with extreme market conditions;

Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security.
The essence is to respect the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy design is necessary, survival > excessive profit.
VIDTUSDT
Short
Closed
PNL
+1.21
--
Bearish
See original
#保持SAFU 1SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders: Capital Isolation: Use only idle funds, refuse borrowing leverage; Position Control: Single risk <2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve 'escape funds' for extreme market conditions; Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset safety. The essence is to respect the market: no matter how precise the strategy, redundancy design is necessary, survival > excessive profit.
#保持SAFU 1SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders:

Capital Isolation: Use only idle funds, refuse borrowing leverage;

Position Control: Single risk <2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve 'escape funds' for extreme market conditions;

Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset safety.
The essence is to respect the market: no matter how precise the strategy, redundancy design is necessary, survival > excessive profit.
VIDTUSDT
7X
Short
Unrealized PNL
+0.21
+7.00%
--
Bearish
See original
#保持SAFU 1SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders: Capital Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse borrowed leverage; Position Control: Single trade risk < 2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve 'escape funds' to cope with extreme market conditions; Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security. The essence is to respect the market: even the most precise strategy requires redundancy design, survival > excessive profit.
#保持SAFU 1SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders:

Capital Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse borrowed leverage;

Position Control: Single trade risk < 2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve 'escape funds' to cope with extreme market conditions;

Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security.
The essence is to respect the market: even the most precise strategy requires redundancy design, survival > excessive profit.
VIDTUSDT
7X
Short
Unrealized PNL
+0.21
+7.00%
See original
#保持SAFU SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders: Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse borrowed leverage; Position Control: Single transaction risk < 2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions; Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security. The essence is to respect the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy design is necessary, survival > profit. SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders: Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse borrowed leverage; Position Control: Single transaction risk < 2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions; Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security. The essence is to respect the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy design is necessary, survival > profit.
#保持SAFU SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders:

Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse borrowed leverage;

Position Control: Single transaction risk < 2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions;

Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security.
The essence is to respect the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy design is necessary, survival > profit. SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders:

Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse borrowed leverage;

Position Control: Single transaction risk < 2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions;

Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security.
The essence is to respect the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy design is necessary, survival > profit.
VIDTUSDT
7X
Short
Unrealized PNL
+0.21
+7.00%
See original
#保持SAFU SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders: Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse borrowed leverage; Position Control: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions; Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset safety. The essence is to respect the market: even the most precise strategies require redundancy design, survival > huge profits. SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders: Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse borrowed leverage; Position Control: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions; Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset safety. The essence is to respect the market: even the most precise strategies require redundancy design, survival > huge profits.
#保持SAFU SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders:

Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse borrowed leverage;

Position Control: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions;

Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset safety.
The essence is to respect the market: even the most precise strategies require redundancy design, survival > huge profits. SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders:

Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse borrowed leverage;

Position Control: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions;

Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset safety.
The essence is to respect the market: even the most precise strategies require redundancy design, survival > huge profits.
VIDTUSDT
7X
Short
Unrealized PNL
+0.21
+7.00%
See original
#保持SAFU SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders: Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse to borrow leverage; Position Management: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions; Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security. Essentially, it is about respecting the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy in design is necessary; survival > excessive profit. SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders: Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse to borrow leverage; Position Management: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility; Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions; Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security. Essentially, it is about respecting the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy in design is necessary; survival > excessive profit.
#保持SAFU SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders:

Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse to borrow leverage;

Position Management: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions;

Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security.
Essentially, it is about respecting the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy in design is necessary; survival > excessive profit. SAFU (Safety First) is the survival rule for traders:

Fund Isolation: Only use idle funds, refuse to borrow leverage;

Position Management: Single risk < 2%, total position matches volatility;

Disaster Recovery Plan: Reserve "escape funds" to cope with extreme market conditions;

Technical Moat: Use cold wallets/multi-signature to ensure asset security.
Essentially, it is about respecting the market: no matter how sophisticated the strategy, redundancy in design is necessary; survival > excessive profit.
VIDTUSDT
7X
Short
Unrealized PNL
+0.21
+7.00%
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