Lier

#BTC重返10万 Kyd00827

#美联储FOMC会议 $BTC
近日就算有利好消息比特币也难涨
而且它的走势早就不按之前的四年周期来了
山寨价格连着六周跌，能不能翻身就看接下来几周能不能止跌反弹，不然还得继续走弱。
现在全看美联储政策这些大环境。不过也有大佬说，虽然短期有人赚钱跑了，但长期持币的人根本没动，交易所里的比特币还在变少
9.3万到9.8万这个价位有很多人囤货，暂时跌不下去。
看技术面
比特币在10.27万那儿撑住了，接下来要么冲前高，要么在10.6万到10.8万之间震荡。现在这行情跟2024年那波震荡特别像，建议少折腾
现在市场最关心的就是美联储这周怎么表态。
大家本来盼着2025年能降息两次，要是美联储说只能降一次，比特币估计得跌；
要是维持两次的预期，可能也就原地晃悠。而且最近油价涨得凶，万一通胀跟着起来，美联储说不定更不敢降息了，到时候市场波动肯定更大。
整体来看，市场维持谨慎态度，建议控制仓位，减少杠杆交易，重点关注美联储政策及地缘局势对市场流动性的影响
关注哈希妮，持续分享中
#美联储FOMC会议 #Solana现货ETF竞赛 #Metaplanet增持比特币
BTCUSDT
永续
104,726.5
-2.29%

$BTC #Metaplanet Increases Bitcoin Holdings
Metaplanet announced the issuance of $210 million in zero-coupon bonds to acquire more Bitcoin, continuing its treasury strategy aligned with major institutional investors like MicroStrategy.
💬 What do you think of this approach? Will more companies adopt Bitcoin as a treasury asset, or is the risk too high in the current market environment?
#Vietnam Crypto Policy
Vietnam has passed a new law recognizing crypto assets, which will take effect in January 2026. This legislation provides a legal framework for virtual and crypto assets and introduces incentives for industries including artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and digital infrastructure.
💬 Do you think this move can drive broader cryptocurrency adoption and innovation in Southeast Asia? Feel free to share your thoughts!

#越南加密政策 #Metaplanet Increases Bitcoin Holdings
Metaplanet announces the issuance of $210 million in zero-coupon ordinary bonds to acquire more Bitcoin, continuing its treasury strategy aligned with major institutional investors like MicroStrategy.
💬 What do you think of this approach? Will more companies adopt Bitcoin as a treasury asset, or is the risk too high in the current market environment?
#越南加密政策
Vietnam has passed a new law recognizing crypto assets, which will take effect in January 2026. This legislation provides a legal framework for virtual assets and crypto assets and introduces incentives for industries including artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and digital infrastructure.
💬 Do you think this move will drive broader cryptocurrency adoption and innovation in Southeast Asia? Feel free to share your thoughts!

#Metaplanet增持比特币 #Metaplanet增持比特币
Let's talk about something real in the crypto world! That listed company in Tokyo called Metaplanet has once again increased their Bitcoin holdings!
Just this past weekend, the CEO of Metaplanet directly announced: they invested 117 million dollars and bought 1,112 Bitcoins!
Calculating that, the average price per coin is about 105,000 dollars. This is quite significant, as it brought their total Bitcoin holdings to exactly 10,000 coins!
Just think about the scale of this! When do you think they started buying? Overall, the average acquisition cost for these 10,000 coins is around 94,700 dollars.

On May 12, 2025, Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, announced the launch of a cash-level privacy-protecting stablecoin. The current stablecoin market size has reached $243 billion, while the total market value of stablecoins on the Cardano chain is only $31.5 million. Hoskinson pointed out that people are reluctant to use stablecoins that can be easily tracked for everyday consumption, and this privacy stablecoin proposal aims to fill the market gap and meet users' demand for privacy protection.

On May 12, 2025, Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, announced the launch of a cash-level privacy-protected stablecoin. The current stablecoin market size is $243 billion, while the total market capitalization of stablecoins on the Cardano blockchain is only $31.5 million. Hoskinson pointed out that people are reluctant to use stablecoins that can be easily tracked for everyday consumption. This privacy stablecoin proposal aims to fill the market gap and meet users' demand for privacy protection.

#交易赛联盟 Ah, Ethereum is really a beast. The conditional order of 2547, as soon as it hits, it immediately成交 (transaction). The fake breakthrough is so disgusting, I’ll have to be trapped for half a month again.

$ALPACA doesn't understand why the dealer has started selling and there are still so many people going long

Intraday fluctuation range: $83,500-$85,500, tested the resistance level of $85,500 but did not effectively break through.

Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to be cautious of the risk of 'upward movement without volume.'

Technical indicators
MACD: The 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars are moderately expanding, but have not entered the overbought zone (RSI around 60).

Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support level: $83,000-$83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, it may trigger short-term selling.



2. Market sentiment and capital flow

Institution behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million into ETFs in one day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows an increase in net outflows from exchanges, whale accounts continue to increase their holdings, supporting prices.

Risk factors
Small cryptocurrency liquidity crisis: After the OM token crashed by 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating on Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.

$SOL Daily Fluctuation Range: $83,500 - $85,500, has tested the $85,500 resistance level but has not effectively broken through.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, a slight decrease from the previous day, caution is needed against the risk of 'volume-less rise'.

Technical Indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bar gently expands, but has not entered the overbought zone (RSI around 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, it may trigger short-term sell-off.



II. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow

Institutional Behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million in ETF on a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows that net outflows from exchanges are increasing, whale accounts are continuously accumulating, supporting the price.

Risk Factors
Liquidity crisis of small coins: After the OM token flash crash of 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating towards Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.

#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily volatility range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through.

Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed for the risk of 'volume-less rise'.

Technical indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand but have not entered the overbought area (RSI around 60).

Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if sustained may trigger accelerated rise.

Support level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken may trigger short-term selling.



2. Market sentiment and capital flow

Institution behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a daily net inflow of $130 million into ETFs, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows an increase in net outflows from exchanges, whale accounts continue to increase holdings, supporting prices.

Risk factors
Small coin liquidity crisis: OM token plummeted 80%, the market is cautious about capital concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.

#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily Volatility Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not break through effectively.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed against the risk of "upward movement without volume."

Technical Indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand, but have not entered the overbought area (RSI about 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if stabilized may trigger accelerated rise.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken may trigger short-term sell-off.



2. Market Sentiment and Capital Trends

Institutional Behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, ETF net inflow of $130 million in a single day, showing long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to increase holdings, supporting prices.

Risk Factors
Small Coin Liquidity Crisis: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is wary of capital concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.

#加拿大推出SolanaETF Daily Volatility Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance but failed to break through effectively.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed regarding the risk of 'rising without volume'.

Technical Indicators
MACD: Golden cross continues on the 4-hour chart, momentum bars are gently expanding, but have not entered the overbought area (RSI around 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support area), if broken, it may trigger short-term selling.


II. Market Sentiment and Fund Flow

Institutional Behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million in ETFs for the day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows an increase in net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price.

Risk Factors
Small Coin Liquidity Crisis: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is wary of funds concentrating on Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.

#国会议员交易限制 [Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug] Daily fluctuation range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through.

Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to beware of the risk of 'upward movement without volume'.

Technical indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars gently expanding, but not entering the overbought area (RSI around 60).

Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it holds, it may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if it breaks, it may trigger short-term selling.



2. Market sentiment and capital flow

Institutional behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, ETF net inflow of $130 million in one day, showing long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price.

Risk factors
Small cryptocurrency liquidity crisis: After the OM token flash crash of 80%, the market is wary of funds concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.

#国会议员交易限制 [Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug][Hug] Daily fluctuation range: $83,500-$85,500, tested the resistance level of $85,500 but did not effectively break through.

Trading volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to be cautious of the risk of "price increase without volume."

Technical indicators
MACD: The 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expanding, but has not entered the overbought area (RSI about 60).

Key resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if it stabilizes, it may trigger an accelerated rise.

Support level: $83,000-$83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, may trigger short-term selling.



2. Market sentiment and capital flow

Institutional behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million into ETFs in one day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting the price.

Risk factors
Liquidity crisis in small cryptocurrencies: After the OM token crashed 80%, the market is cautious about capital concentrating on Bitcoin, with altcoins under pressure.

The previous high prices were entirely reliant on speculation by the big players, focusing on reality, 0.3 is relatively reasonable.
US-China tariff tug-of-war.
The Trump administration's fluctuating tariff policies (such as retracting exemptions for certain products after April) have led to extreme market volatility, with Bitcoin fluctuating widely in the 80,000-85,000 range.

If tariffs escalate comprehensively, the Oxford Economics Institute predicts that global trade volume may shrink to levels seen during the 2008 financial crisis, which could put short-term pressure on Bitcoin but benefit it in the long term due to safe-haven demand.

US debt crisis and dollar liquidity.
The 10-year US Treasury yield has surged to 4.51%, intensifying the pressure of $37 trillion in debt interest, with expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts rising. History shows that during periods of liquidity easing, Bitcoin's average increase exceeds 300%.

Bitwise analysts point out that the depreciation of the dollar and capital outflows (such as Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin) could drive prices to break through $200,000.

2. Market behavior verification.

Institutional and retail differentiation.
Whale addresses increased their holdings by 213,000 BTC in one week, but retail selling pressure led to short-term fluctuations. Institutions like MicroStrategy continue to accumulate, forming long-term support.

The correlation between Bitcoin and gold has risen to 0.5, strengthening the narrative of “digital gold” amidst tariff conflicts.

Key technical signals.
The 4-hour chart has formed a “W double bottom,” with 82,400-81,200 as the short-term bull-bear dividing line. If it holds above $85,000, the target looks towards $91,300.

The MACD golden cross shows upward momentum, but the RSI at 54 warns of potential overbought corrections.

3. Scenario simulation.

$BTC Daily Fluctuation Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, caution is needed for the risk of 'upward movement without volume'.

Technical Indicators
MACD: The 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars are moderately expanding, but have not entered the overbought zone (RSI around 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if sustained, may trigger accelerated upward movement.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken, may trigger short-term selling.



II. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow

Institutional Behavior
A publicly listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, with a net inflow of $130 million for ETFs in a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows an increase in net outflow from exchanges, with whale accounts continuing to increase their holdings, supporting the price.

Risk Factors
Small coin liquidity crisis: After the OM token plummeted by 80%, the market is cautious about funds concentrating on Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins.

#比特币与美国关税政策 Daily Fluctuation Range: $83,500 - $85,500, tested the $85,500 resistance level but did not effectively break through.

Trading Volume: 24-hour trading volume is $26.3 billion, slightly down from the previous day, need to be cautious of the 'no-volume rise' risk.

Technical Indicators
MACD: 4-hour chart golden cross continues, momentum bars moderately expand, but has not entered the overbought area (RSI about 60).

Key Resistance: $85,500 (short-term breakout point), if sustained could trigger accelerated rise.

Support Level: $83,000 - $83,500 (strong support zone), if broken may trigger short-term sell-off.



II. Market Sentiment and Fund Flow

Institutional Behavior
A listed company recently purchased 3,459 BTC for $285 million, ETF net inflow of $130 million in a single day, indicating long-term capital inflow.

On-chain data shows increased net outflow from exchanges, whale accounts continue to accumulate, supporting prices.

Risk Factors
Small-cap liquidity crisis: OM token collapsed by 80%, leading the market to be cautious about funds concentrating on Bitcoin, altcoins are under pressure.

$BTC US-China Tariff Tug-of-War
The Trump administration's tariff policy has been inconsistent (such as withdrawing exemptions for certain products after announcing them in April), leading to significant fluctuations in market sentiment, with Bitcoin oscillating widely between the 80,000-85,000 range.

If tariffs are fully escalated, the Oxford Economics Institute predicts that global trade volume may shrink to levels seen during the 2008 financial crisis, which could put short-term pressure on Bitcoin but benefit it in the long term due to safe-haven demand.

US Debt Crisis and Dollar Liquidity
The yield on 10-year US Treasuries soared to 4.51%, intensifying the pressure from $37 trillion in debt interest, and expectations for Fed rate cuts are rising. History shows that during liquidity easing cycles, Bitcoin's average price increase exceeds 300%.

Bitwise analysts point out that the depreciation of the dollar and capital outflows (such as Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin) may drive prices to break through $200,000.

II. Market Behavior Verification

Institutional and Retail Divergence
Whale addresses increased their holdings by 213,000 BTC in one week, but retail selling pressure led to short-term volatility. Institutions like MicroStrategy continue to increase their holdings, forming long-term support.

The correlation between Bitcoin and Gold has risen to 0.5, reinforcing the narrative of “digital gold” amid tariff conflicts.

Key Technical Signals
The 4-hour chart has formed a “W double bottom,” with 82,400-81,200 as the short-term bullish-bearish dividing line. If it holds above $85,000, the target looks towards $91,300.

The MACD golden cross indicates upward momentum, but the RSI at 54 warns of potential overbought corrections.