Everything is seeing a big drop. Haha, still need to keep pushing.
指数爆炸
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Hungry, I'm a bit surprised why you think a big drop will lead to a miraculous recovery. To me, it's a very normal occurrence. I've predicted this many times before; you could say every major drop was anticipated. It's quite obvious that once a certain volatility is reached, the market naturally changes direction. So, making money in this game isn't really hard; what's difficult is that small money is eager to make big money. I've seen comments from people waiting for me to provide live trading signals. Hungry, just wait a bit longer. Last time I provided a signal to short ARC, and in fact, even with low leverage, it took off in one wave. So, there's no need to rush; time flies and another month is about to pass. If you extend the timeline a bit, being slow is actually being fast. $BTC
Isn't it too much short selling, which caused the explosion?
五味子
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This market situation has directly rendered my CPU useless. The tariffs haven't been resolved, the interest rate cuts haven't arrived, and the issue of the massive national debt in the U.S. is something I feel will lead to at least one more wave of correction before going back up. I've said before that the reversal is getting closer, with a prediction around May 8th; damn it, it came early and ruined everything. Yesterday, Trump finally softened his stance, kneeling to the village chief, calling him 'dad', and admitting defeat to Powell, calling him 'godfather'. I've said it before, in the tariff war, the one who ends up kneeling will definitely be Trump; he really doesn't understand our king, who is the real king. Regarding the tariff negotiations, or rather, the meeting of the two kings, there should be progress in May. The U.S. has a huge debt to deal with, constantly changing orders and making a fuss, simply wanting to gain more leverage to fill their own pockets. In the later stages, with the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates in June and the easing of tariffs, Trump admitting defeat should all be positive news. I've mentioned that the reversal is getting closer; if there’s another significant correction this time, we should focus on going long later. Currently, from the daily chart pattern, BTC has broken through, the upward trend line, and crossed the bull-bear boundary, indicating a reversal in the market. The MACD is entering upward, showing momentum for further increases. From past patterns, the operators have completed their bottom-fishing layout below 76,000, and the recent two days of upward movement have indeed seen increased volume and main funds entering the market. However, one point: the expected interest rate cut hasn't come yet, and the explosive rise is somewhat bizarre, making me consider that the operators might be engaging in a pump-and-dump scheme. I personally suggest that, at the current price, at least halve the positions of bottom-fished coins. At the very least, for spot buying, I personally judge that, although the upper boundary of the trading range has been broken and 89,000 pressure has turned into support, I do not recommend entering spot positions at this level. The operators' rise is too strange; the trend line hasn't even had a single pullback, which means that 83,500 might be the level we need to reconsider. For now, let's stabilize; especially in times like these, we need to remain calm. The upper pressure is around 95,000, and the lower support is around 83,500. On the hourly chart, the MACD has a death cross, indicating a demand for correction, with high volume pushing up, clearing liquidity, and then a volume decline. I suggest shorting at 93,000, with a stop loss at 94,000 and taking profit near 90,000. On the weekly chart, the MACD has a golden cross, indicating that a reversal pattern is emerging in the major trend; I suggest mainly focusing on going long after a pullback in the future. If you are short and stuck, hold on for two days; after it drops, you can either cut losses to break even or take a gamble, setting the stop loss price 1,000 points above the opening price.
The bull market is still waiting to rise with cash
五味子
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Is DeepSeek dead? Besides being investigated by the United States and banned by Italy, DeepSeek's information accuracy rate is only 17%, ranking 10th out of 11 models including ChatGPT and Gemini, second to last. The two geniuses Liang Wenfeng and Luo Fuli did not tame DeepSeek; if you ask too much, it will expose itself. Inquiring about which OpenAI model DeepSeek belongs to. After switching to deep thinking R1 mode, DeepSeek answered that it is an enhanced version model based on GPT-3.5, known as GPT3.5turbo. It also fully admitted that it is GPT4.
Latest: Due to concerns over Fentanyl smuggling, Trump has imposed a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico. Although this is the third time tariff news has surfaced, Wall Street is still panicked, and the S&P 500 index briefly plummeted. Two days ago, we reported that Wall Street reached a consensus: OpenAI > DeepSeek. DeepSeek has not rewritten the AI valuation rules. Original research drugs (OpenAI) will attract huge investments, while generic drugs (DeepSeek) will struggle to find mainstream VC or PE willing to invest. Many readers who have increased their positions in AI concept stocks have already recouped a lot.
The major U.S. stock indices retracted gains on Thursday afternoon after President Trump issued the latest round of tariff threats against Mexico and Canada. The Dow Jones index rose by 0.4%, the S&P 500 index rose by 0.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite index rose by 0.3%.
Recently, it has really been exhausting retail investors and small shareholders. Just yesterday it was sunny, filled with laughter, and today it feels like a thunderstorm, with casualties all around. Retail investors laughed and cried, cried and laughed, completely bewildered, unable to make sense of it all. Some are even questioning whether the bull market is over. Am I buying the dip or am I at the peak? Recently, the trade war and financial conflict between China and the United States have intensified. With mutual exchanges, the market has seen extreme fluctuations, essentially hunting each other directly. Because in the financial market, both sides surely have nationals infiltrating the other's territory, acting as troublemakers and stirring up chaos, hunting down each other's retail investors. However, I still want to remind everyone that the bull market is still ongoing; it should be about 250 days until it ends. There should at least be one more wave of upward movement, lasting 1-2 months. From the perspective of the larger cycle, the bullish trend remains, and the recent extreme volatility is merely a strong shakeout. Everyone should hold on to their positions and stay calm. Continue to be patient and wait for the rise in value. I know it's tough, but we must endure.
Today's crash, especially the crash of the altcoins, has no technical indicators to speak of; it's completely due to retail investors panicking and selling off, while the big players are heavily dumping. All support levels have been breached. ETH, can you imagine, actually dropping to 2100? When BTC was at 56000, it didn't even reach that. This time, it dropped to 90,000, and it actually did. Spot traders may see significant losses, while contract traders should all be exposed. A few days ago, I mentioned that there might be a market on February 2-3. But I didn't expect the drop to be so terrifying. At this point, if you're stuck, don't sell off. Looking at the long lower shadow, the big players have achieved their goal. After this crash, under normal circumstances, we should soon see a subsequent rise. But all the retail investors are wiped out. Spot players, if you just got caught in the dip, those who bought at 2100 ETH will feel great. Everyone is saying ETH will surge 50% in February, which would make it around 4000. This morning, it was hard to breathe; I can only calmly tell everyone to stay grounded. Just lie flat and don’t sell off. Take a chance; even Trump, if he's stuck, will want to get out. Maybe in the next couple of days, the U.S. BTC national plan will be approved. The crypto market will start another round of frenzied rallies.
Not making money in the first quarter of 2025, not leaving
五味子
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A dark horse in the AI field — DeepSeek has risen from China. It has shaken large tech stocks, causing Nvidia's stock price to plummet. 'This is a typical phenomenon in our industry,' said Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff. 'Pioneers do not necessarily become winners in the end.
DeepSeek has worried Wall Street, as the cost of developing models will be lower than expected. But with chip stocks falling, some analysts see a glimmer of hope. What if the expenses for companies to develop AI models are less than anticipated?
SoftBank Group fell 5.0% in the Japanese market, and chip testing equipment manufacturer Advantest plummeted 11%. A market strategist mentioned that there might be some 'sell first, think later' mentality in the market regarding whether DeepSeek will become a disruptor reshaping the AI landscape in the United States, opinions are divided.
Data shows that the cost of generating information with DeepSeek's AI model is about one-tenth that of OpenAI's ChatGPT. A research firm stated that this price difference puts pressure on tech competitors, potentially forcing them to lower the fees they charge customers for using AI models and to adjust the high costs of training and developing AI models.
Recently, the stock market and cryptocurrency market were affected by a wave released by DeepSeek. Speculators also plummeted, harvesting losses. However, from the BTC pattern, it still appears bullish. Altcoins have recently seen retail investors withdrawing funds due to the holiday in C country. After the pullback, many have exited with losses. At this moment, it is crucial to endure the pressure of decline and not cut losses now. In terms of contracts, even if you play, you should do so with a small position. February is a magical month; perhaps a little positive news will lead to a one-sided surge and sustained price increase. Those currently in a bind can only hold on and choose to lie flat. In the first quarter of 2025, don’t leave without making a profit.
New Year Blessings Happy New Year Binance in Bed Glory We Can Turn Losses into Profits
独领风骚必暴富
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Finally, the needle was stabbed. I have said it many times before. In the process of rising, there are many sharp drops. I thought it would go up to 98,500 at most, but it was 97,777. Those who have large contract positions will die. Especially for the copycats, most of the retail investors are in the copycats. It is the Chinese New Year again, and a large number of sales will automatically form panic and sell at a loss. This time the needle was stabbed, and the risk of further downward movement has been eliminated. I personally recommend copycats and get on board directly. ETH, 3080, DOGE, 0.3100, SOL, 228, LTC, 110, LINK, 22.5, ENA, 0.725, UNI, 10.5, SUI, 3.58. The spot is dry, so I am not afraid of a hammer. Then just lie down. $BTC #加密市场回调 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC?
President Trump told the audience at the World Economic Forum, "America will become the world's cryptocurrency capital." Global banking giant Standard Chartered also stated that Bitcoin will reach $200,000 this year.
Trump has ordered the cryptocurrency working group to draft new regulations and explore national reserves. Once the U.S. Bitcoin Reserve Act is implemented, The Five Eyes Alliance G7 (Group of Seven) G20 (Group of Twenty) will follow suit, meaning that Bitcoin will become a strategic reserve necessity for mainstream countries around the world, ushering in the golden age of cryptocurrency.
Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, stated that he is a "devout believer" in Bitcoin and predicts that Bitcoin could reach $700,000. He added, "My God, if we could tokenize bonds and stocks tomorrow, investing would become democratized in unimaginable ways." This world's most powerful investment mogul believes that amidst concerns about currency devaluation, Bitcoin could reach $700,000. BlackRock announced that at the end of the fourth quarter, its managed assets reached a record $11.55 trillion, a 15% increase from $10 trillion in the same period last year. Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points today, in line with expectations. Bitcoin did not experience a significant drop. It can be confirmed that this negative sentiment has been fully absorbed. This cycle of increases has concluded the last round of negative sentiment. The Trump family holds a large amount of digital currency, and many of Trump’s cabinet members also hold BTC. Trump’s proposal to establish a national strategic reserve has a very high probability of passing. If passed, there will be national sovereign funds flooding in. The price of BTC is likely to rise to $200,000 or even $500,000. The cryptocurrency market will soar. Altcoins will also skyrocket. Always remind everyone to enter the market in batches and hold coins for the rise; in February, there will be a spectacular scene of all coins flying together. If there is still a slight pullback in the next few days, get in now, don't wait. Waiting too long will mean missing out on this bull market. $BTC #比特币行情聚焦 #日本金融政策
U.S. President Trump has just signed an executive order aimed at supporting the cryptocurrency industry, fulfilling his campaign promise to support the sector that helped him get elected. The executive order will establish a "Digital Asset Market Working Group" to assess matters related to the creation of cryptocurrency reserves. This article outlines other aspects of this wide-ranging order.
Trump has signed an executive order that formally suspends U.S. military aid to Ukraine. The order takes effect immediately, meaning the U.S. will no longer provide further assistance for already approved projects. This decision has "shocked" U.S. officials. Putin said in an interview, "If the 2020 U.S. election was not stolen from Trump, the war with Ukraine would never have started."
Trump: I understand interest rates better than Powell. Trump stated, "As oil prices drop, I will demand an immediate interest rate cut, and similarly, the whole world should lower rates." Five days later, the Federal Reserve will hold its first policy meeting since Trump took office on January 28-29, with expectations to maintain interest rates. Subsequently, Trump publicly questioned Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's interest rate decisions at the White House, claiming he intends to discuss with Powell "at the right time" because he "understands interest rates better than Powell." The King of Understanding is back. When asked if he believes Federal Reserve officials will listen to his opinions, Trump replied "yes."
Trump has taken office and is fulfilling campaign promises one by one. Particularly in the field of digital currency, he indeed has a significant influence on the entire cryptocurrency market. For a new narrative around BTC, he has provided momentum to raise BTC prices. Sovereign funds from various countries are also stirring. Only if the U.S. publicly stores BTC, will massive funds flow into BTC. This will raise the tide for the entire cryptocurrency market. It has been repeatedly reminded to buy on dips, hold coins, and wait for price increases; the bull market is still ongoing, and BTC prices are far from where they should be. Moreover, the matter of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates is just a performance between Trump and Powell. Politicians are all actors, involved in human affairs. On the surface, they say there will be variables, but privately they have already reached an agreement with Trump. It is merely a means and tool to serve the country and capital. When Trump says to lower interest rates, it will definitely happen. A rate cut in February is a foregone conclusion. February will see numerous favorable conditions and is bound to be a month of explosive growth. Everyone is watching closely. #特朗普加密政令 $BTC
When Trump delivered a video speech, he stated, "The message I have for every business in the world is very simple: come to America to produce your products, and we will provide the best low tax rates globally." "But if you choose not to produce your products in America, that is certainly your right, and simply put, you will have to pay tariffs.
If the 25% tariff proposed by President Trump goes into effect next month, Canada's GDP will decline significantly. Economists estimate that if Canada takes retaliatory measures and imposes tariffs in kind, then the decline in Canada's GDP will be between 3% and 5.6%.
Trump said in the Davos video: 1. Calling on OPEC to lower oil prices. 2. Requesting the Saudi Crown Prince to increase investment in the U.S. to $1 trillion. 3. The EU's tariffs are too high, regulations too strict, and the trade deficit with the U.S. is too large; measures will be taken. 4. Publicly questioning Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's interest rate decisions and plans to speak with him at the appropriate time, claiming to understand interest rates better than Powell.
PS: The second confrontation between Trump and the Federal Reserve has begun.
The Federal Reserve will announce the interest rate cut situation for February on January 30th. According to the nature of political performances and social relationships, with the new president in office, the Federal Reserve is likely to compromise and accommodate Trump's demands for interest rate cuts. Another 25 basis point cut is expected in February. At least two cuts are anticipated by 2025. The favorable news in February will continue to encourage capital to remain in the cryptocurrency market. In recent days, BTC has experienced continuous surges, breaking previous highs, and is currently undergoing a normal correction and consolidation. Coupled with the Chinese New Year, retail investors are returning home, leading to reduced trading volume and liquidity. The overall market is mainly showing slight declines and fluctuations. At this time, it is precisely the opportunity to gradually enter the market and heavily invest in the final moments. Buy the dips in cryptocurrencies, hold for price increases, and not focus on recent fluctuations; be patient. Within a month, February is sure to be a season of explosive growth. $BTC #特朗普加密政令 #ETH再度冲击4K
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When Trump delivered a video speech, he stated, "The message I have for every business in the world is very simple: come to America to produce your products, and we will provide the best low tax rates globally." "But if you choose not to produce your products in America, that is certainly your right, and simply put, you will have to pay tariffs.
If the 25% tariff proposed by President Trump goes into effect next month, Canada's GDP will decline significantly. Economists estimate that if Canada takes retaliatory measures and imposes tariffs in kind, then the decline in Canada's GDP will be between 3% and 5.6%.
Trump said in the Davos video: 1. Calling on OPEC to lower oil prices. 2. Requesting the Saudi Crown Prince to increase investment in the U.S. to $1 trillion. 3. The EU's tariffs are too high, regulations too strict, and the trade deficit with the U.S. is too large; measures will be taken. 4. Publicly questioning Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's interest rate decisions and plans to speak with him at the appropriate time, claiming to understand interest rates better than Powell.
PS: The second confrontation between Trump and the Federal Reserve has begun.
The Federal Reserve will announce the interest rate cut situation for February on January 30th. According to the nature of political performances and social relationships, with the new president in office, the Federal Reserve is likely to compromise and accommodate Trump's demands for interest rate cuts. Another 25 basis point cut is expected in February. At least two cuts are anticipated by 2025. The favorable news in February will continue to encourage capital to remain in the cryptocurrency market. In recent days, BTC has experienced continuous surges, breaking previous highs, and is currently undergoing a normal correction and consolidation. Coupled with the Chinese New Year, retail investors are returning home, leading to reduced trading volume and liquidity. The overall market is mainly showing slight declines and fluctuations. At this time, it is precisely the opportunity to gradually enter the market and heavily invest in the final moments. Buy the dips in cryptocurrencies, hold for price increases, and not focus on recent fluctuations; be patient. Within a month, February is sure to be a season of explosive growth. $BTC #特朗普加密政令 #ETH再度冲击4K