Bitcoin (BTC) Futures Position Analysis: Short-Term Trade Setup.
Trend Analysis Short-Term Bull Catalysts: Breakout above $97,170 could target $100,000 (psychological resist). Positive funding rates and institutional ETF inflows Bear Risks: Overbought RSI(14) on 4h charts (74.41) and Stochastic %K (93.92) signal pullback risk. Liquidation clusters at $91,600 and $84,000 may trigger cascading sells if support breaks. Mid-Term Bull Case: Sustained close above $100,000 could target $109,354 (2025 ATH). Bear Case: Failure to hold $91,600 may lead to $84,000 (Fibo 38.2%).
Trade Setup Long Position (Bull Breakout) Entry: $94,500–$95,000 (pullback to 23.6% Fibo level). Take-Profit: TP1: $97,170 TP2: $100,000 Stop-Loss: $91,500 Leverage: 3x or 5x Short Position (Bear Reject) Entry: $97,000–$97,170 Take-Profit: TP1: $94,500 TP2: $91,600 Stop-Loss: $98,000 Leverage: 3x or 5x
Indicator Confirmation Long Trigger: MACD histogram resurgence above signal line Volume spike (>$40B 24h) on breakout above $97,170 Short Trigger: Bear engulfing candle at $97,170 RSI divergence below 70 on 4h chart