Bitcoin (BTC) has recorded a rise reaching its highest level of US$109 thousand, or up 33% since the Halving phenomenon occurred in April 2024.
Bitcoin reached this new all-time high just 273 days post-Halving. According to historical data, new all-time highs typically occur after 500 days post-Bitcoin Halving.
Analysts believe this surge is driven by institutional demand and the growth of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The scarcity of Bitcoin due to the Halving also pushes Bitcoin to new records.
Enmanuel Cardozo from Brickken added that the role of large institutions like Strategy and Tether accelerates the Bitcoin market cycle. He estimates that if the trend continues, the price peak could occur earlier than previous cycles due to increasing liquidity and a more mature market.
However, investors remain cautious amid global economic uncertainty and selling pressure. US-China trade tensions and monetary policies, such as the possibility of interest rate cuts by The Fed, also influence market sentiment.
The price movement of Bitcoin post-halving this time is faster than previous cycles, with the role of institutions and ETFs becoming more dominant. Although historical patterns remain a reference, new factors have changed market dynamics.
Saturday and Sunday are moments when the financial market is closed, causing volatility to be low. Then volatility becomes high on Monday when the market opens, so what can be done?
**#1 Review Last Week's Situation.**
Last week's situation will reflect the potential situation for the following week. If there was bearish sentiment last week and also potential declines, then be wary of the potential for a red market when the market opens due to selling pressure.
**#2 Check Pre-Market Conditions.**
When the market is about to open, there is always a pre-market price displayed, where this condition is a highlight of the potential that will occur when the market opens. If the pre-market is green, there is a chance of a crypto pump, but if the pre-market is red, there is a chance of a crypto dump.
**#3 Be Careful with Volatility.**
When the market just opens, there will be unusual volatility that may cause potential false breakouts. Wait 1-2 hours after the market opens to make a position-taking bias.
**#4 Don't Overtrade When Market Direction is Unclear.**
At the beginning of the opening, the market direction is often still unclear, so we must be careful when opening positions, which is better to be less aggressive and reduce positions than to get caught in a wrong bias.
**How to Stay Profitable in Uptrend and Downtrend Markets.**
The current state of the crypto market tends to be more beneficial for those who are smart at adapting. Once they know the right way to adapt, there is a chance they can profit consistently. So, how can one achieve consistent profits in both uptrend and downtrend markets?
**#1 Learn Two-Way Bias.**
The modern crypto market allows market participants to gain profits by trading in both directions by making purchases (long) and sales (short) to earn profits when the market rises or falls. By learning two-way bias, we can gain profits when the market rises or falls.
**#2 Trading Altcoins as a Solution When Bitcoin is Stuck.**
There are moments when Bitcoin tends not to make significant movements, but we can take advantage of Altcoins for trading and gain profits because the Altcoin market always has unique volatility compared to Bitcoin.
**#3 News Trading is Risky but Quite Interesting to Do.**
In traditional markets, many trade macro news such as FOMC, CPI, and PPI, but in crypto, there are many news items outside of traditional finance that are quite interesting to pay attention to. For example, CEX exploits, hacked tokens, and news about the launch of certain platforms can be used as news to open trading positions.
**#4 Know When to Stay Out.**
When we are confused about determining bias, sometimes we need to pause and think. Don't push the bias until we end up incurring losses. If you are in doubt, stay out!
$BTC Now Total Bitcoin Ownership of Metaplanet Surpasses 5,000 Pieces
Metaplanet Inc, a financial company from Japan, has bought an additional 145 Bitcoin (BTC) on Thursday (24/04). This purchase brings the company's total Bitcoin ownership to 5,000 BTC, equivalent to 0.0238% of the supply.
The purchase value this time reached 1.9 billion Japanese yen at an average price of 13.2 million yen per BTC. Additionally, this accumulation strategy is part of Metaplanet's Bitcoin treasury, which emulates the company led by Michael Saylor, namely Strategy (MSTR).
On the other hand, Metaplanet recorded a BTC Yield of 13% for the current quarter up to April 24, 2025. This figure indicates an increase in the value of Bitcoin ownership compared to the total outstanding shares.
As of April 21, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $88,153, reflecting a 4.27% increase from the previous close. The intraday high reached $88,260, while the low was $84,336.
Short-Term Outlook (Next 5 Days):
Analysts predict that BTC could rise to around $110,294 by April 26, representing a potential 26% increase from current levels CoinCodex. This optimism is fueled by renewed institutional interest, including a $15.85 million inflow into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs last week FXStreet.
Medium-Term Forecast (April–May 2025):
For April, experts forecast BTC to fluctuate between $87,610 and $127,131, with an average around $107,370 changelly.com. In May, projections suggest an average price of approximately $112,108, with potential lows of $100,858 and highs up to $123,358.
Long-Term Projections (End of 2025):
Several analysts maintain bullish long-term forecasts:
Robert Kiyosaki predicts BTC will reach between $180,000 and $200,000 by year-end Crypto Basic.
Tom Lee of Fundstrat anticipates BTC could surpass $150,000 in 2025 Mitrade.
Betting markets, however, show a 61% probability of BTC reaching $110,000 in 2025, with only a 14% chance of hitting $200,000 Business Insider.
Technical Analysis:
Recent price movements indicate BTC has rebounded from its April 9 low of just under $75,000, marking a 16% gain Bitrue. Analysts note that BTC is unlikely to revisit the $70,000 range, suggesting a bullish trend Blockchain News.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin's current momentum, supported by institutional interest and positive market sentiment, suggests potential for continued growth in the near term. However, long-term projections vary, and investors should remain cautious of market volatility.