火眼宝总

🚀🚀Non-farm payrolls will play the last public card🚀🚀

Financial observer Justin Low pointed out on Forexlive: The market trend this week will be set by non-farm payrolls, and its importance is self-evident. This is not just a numbers game, details are also critical, especially the change in unemployment rate. We can regard the ADP employment report as the flop stage in Texas Hold'em, the ISM service PMI is the turn stage, and the non-farm payrolls data is the decisive river card, the last public card of the game.

Although the ADP data suggests that the job market may be slowing, the ISM service index shows that other areas of the economy are still strong. We must find the right balance when assessing the possible downside risks of the US dollar and the more dovish policy stance that the Federal Reserve may take.

Tonight, the market will usher in the most critical data in three months-the non-farm payrolls report, which will reveal the extent of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this month.

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The Fed faces a key decision in September

Possible rate cuts - If the Fed cuts interest rates, it may ease global economic tensions and have a positive impact on the cryptocurrency market.

Risk of rate hikes - If interest rates continue to rise, it may increase global economic pressure and provide a bargain hunting opportunity for US financial capital, but it also has potential risks for the US economy itself.

Expectations for rate cuts - In the international financial system dominated by the US dollar, the world is full of expectations for the Fed's rate cuts, especially the cryptocurrency market, which is eager to reduce the impact of US financial policies.

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🚨🚨It seems impossible for the Fed to cut interest rates🚨🚨

First: Although the US inflation rate has eased, it is still a certain distance from the Fed's target of 2%. The boss of the Atlanta Federal Savings Bank mentioned it at a critical moment, which is undoubtedly sending a signal to the Fed.

Second: The US GDP data in the second quarter can be said to be a surprise to everyone. It is higher than we expected.

The corrected results show that the total GDP growth rate in the second quarter of the United States reached 3%, and what is more striking is that the growth of the core personal consumption expenditure price index (PCE) was as high as an astonishing 2.8%.

For the Fed, if it exceeds 2%, the Fed will implement a monetary tightening policy-raising interest rates. Isn't it in line with the Fed's conditions now?

Third: The decline in international commodity prices shows that people's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut in September are not as strong as before.

You know, since Powell released the signal of interest rate cut, a large amount of capital has withdrawn from the United States, seemingly welcoming the interest rate cut in the United States. The US dollar continues to weaken, while the price of gold has risen all the way. Today, the price of gold fell, while the US stock market continued to rise.

This Friday we will wait for the US August non-farm report, so whether the Federal Reserve is really going to cut interest rates, let us wait for good news, welcome to comment area to say your opinion. . . .

Bitcoin price rebounded after falling to 57,000 yesterday, reaching a high of nearly 59,500 this morning. Whether it can break through the 60,000 mark today to reach 61,000 or even higher.
$BTC
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The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data of the United States in July have just been released, in which the annual growth rate of the core PCE price index remained at 2.6%. This result was slightly lower than the 2.7 previously expected by the market. At the same time, the monthly PCE price index growth rate in July was 0.2%, in line with expectations and an increase from 0.1% last month. In terms of actual personal consumption expenditures, the monthly growth rate in July was 0.4%, which not only exceeded market expectations of 0.3%, but also increased from the revised previous value of 0.3%.

The growth of the core PCE price index this time was less than expected, which may have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy decisions. Investors and analysts will be closely watching the data for its impact on the Fed's policy path and how it shapes expectations for the economic outlook. When the Federal Reserve tailors its monetary policy, PCE data is one of its key indicators for considering inflation levels. Therefore, the performance of this data may have a direct or indirect impact on interest rate decisions and economic stimulus measures. As the market continues to adjust its forecasts for the Fed's next move, July's PCE data will undoubtedly become an important factor affecting the future direction of the economy and financial markets.

Bitcoin is optimistic about 62000-62600 tonight. Please like, comment and follow me. Bao is always a person who likes to share. $BTC

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🚀🚀Fed Bostic: Inflation has not yet reached the Fed's target🚀🚀

Fed Bostic recently said that although the inflation rate has dropped significantly from the peak in 2022, the current inflation data is still far from the 2% target set by the Fed. He emphasized that in order to bring inflation back to the target level, he has been highly focused on the short-term situation, and pointed out that the PCE price index in June rose 2.5% year-on-year, and the latest data will be released on Friday. In addition. Bostic also mentioned that in the summary of economic forecasts released in June, he set the expectation of the neutral interest rate at 3%, and said that officials have begun to discuss at what level long-term interest rates will stabilize. He reiterated that the expectation of the time of interest rate cuts has been advanced, but he prefers to wait for more data to confirm the economic trend, so as to avoid having to raise interest rates again when inflation re-accelerates after premature consideration.

These statements by Bostic reflect the Fed's cautious attitude in formulating monetary policy, especially in assessing inflation trends and determining the appropriate interest rate level. They will determine whether to continue the current policy path based on the upcoming inflation and employment reports, including whether interest rates need to be adjusted in the short term. Fed officials are closely monitoring economic indicators to ensure that their decisions can appropriately respond to changes in the economic situation.

Yesterday, the price of the coin was expected to rise above $62,000, but it stopped at $61,000. Today, it is still certain that it will rise to $62,000. Remember, in a word, be defensive, minimize risks, and live to continue the revolution!

Welcome to like, comment and follow, Bao is always a person who likes to share! ! ! 1

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🚨🚨🚨A heavy bomb is coming, and the shorts will be slaughtered tonight🚨🚨🚨

Coin friends, please pay attention. The number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States and the revised GDP quarterly growth rate, which will be announced at 20:30 tonight, may cause waves in the financial market, especially for the cryptocurrency market and the upcoming September Federal Reserve interest rate decision. At present, it seems that the data is likely to exceed expectations, which may further push up the market's expectations for a rate cut in September, which will undoubtedly inject a shot of adrenaline into market sentiment.

In this context, it is recommended that long investors maintain confidence and continue to hold positions and wait and see. For shorts, it may be necessary to be more cautious, because the market's optimism may put shorts under pressure. The cryptocurrency market may usher in a wave of rising prices, moving towards the psychological barrier above $62,000.

Remember, whether you are long or short, you must be well defended and minimize the risk. Only by living can you continue the revolution! !

Welcome to like 👍Comment and follow, Bao is always a person who likes to share! ! ! !

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🚨🚨The Fed may cut interest rates in September, but there are bigger melons than rate cuts🚨🚨

Powell of the Federal Reserve announced that interest rates may be cut in September. However, there may be more far-reaching implications behind this move.

Market rumors say that the United States may adopt more radical monetary policies, such as reducing interest rates to negative values, in order to join the depreciation of the dollar and promote its circulation around the world. Such a strategy may cause a global flood of funds, leading to unprecedented inflation now.

If the Federal Reserve really takes such measures, the logic behind it is also obvious. The size of the U.S. national debt is close to 40 trillion U.S. dollars, and as the debt increases, the possibility of repayment is getting smaller and smaller. By devaluing the dollar, the United States may try to shift the debt burden to the world, which is a strategic consideration.

Although such an approach may damage the credit of the dollar, considering the United States' status as a world military power and the support of its allies, the international status of the dollar may not be greatly affected.

Now the world's financial markets are turbulent, geopolitical tensions, cultural conflicts are intensifying, and so on. Anything is very likely to happen, and it is better to believe it than not to believe it.

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🛫🛫DOGS Token Takes Off🛫🛫

It has created a huge buzz since its launch on the 26th. Impressive achievements.

I believe DOGS has real potential for the following reasons:

1: Strong community knowledge

2: Listing on major exchanges

3: Elon Musk's endorsement

4: Telegram founder Pavel Durov released in the short term

These changes will keep DOGS strong and secure as it develops.

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🚀🚀Bitcoin falls below $60,000, beware of further declines🚀🚀

The current cryptocurrency market reflects a highly sensitive state, with the Fear and Greed Index swinging between extremes, highlighting its reactivity. The index has shifted from fear to greed, highlighting how the market continues to react strongly to news and events.

Market participants are watching this behavior closely, especially as the increasing number of retail long positions is negatively correlated with Bitcoin's price, often signaling a bearish outlook.

So far, most position chasing has occurred during price declines, which often leads to subsequent price rebounds, and traders are keen to take advantage of this pattern. Order dynamics also provide valuable insights into market sentiment, and currently, there is an imbalance on the supply side, which has historically been a bearish opportunity.

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🚨🚨Hurry up and buy DOGS now, now is the best time! ! ! 🚨🚨

Currently, DOGS currency is emerging in the Telegram TON market and has become the focus of heated discussions. It is not only an interesting ‘coin’, but it has also been listed on major exchanges, providing investors with convenient trading channels.

Many market participants are extremely optimistic about the future realization of the DOGS coin, and it is expected that in September, its value may achieve significant growth. In September, the price of DOGS coins is expected to achieve a growth of up to 362.67%, reaching $0.008536. Although the current market sentiment is complicated, the enthusiasm has not diminished, and the market is still in a relatively balanced state.

DOGS may provide you with an investment opportunity, but you must be prepared for market risks and steadily grasp market fluctuations.
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The appeal of contract trading:

In the cryptocurrency world, contract trading has attracted much attention for its potential high returns. If you have a job with a monthly income of 10,000 yuan, and in contract trading, using a principal of 10,000 yuan and a leverage of 100 times, a slight fluctuation in the market may bring huge returns. If the market rises by 1%, your income will be comparable to a month's salary; if it rises by 10%, the income is equivalent to your annual income. If it rises by 100%, you can become a millionaire. Such temptations undoubtedly attract many people who seek to get rich quickly.

However, it is worth noting that not everyone has a high salary, and not everyone has the ability to earn 100,000 yuan in a year. In the cryptocurrency world, in addition to those senior players who have large amounts of money and use small positions, there are also many people with small amounts of funds who use high leverage to pursue rapid accumulation of wealth.

In extreme market conditions, price fluctuations may reach 1%-2% in one second, which does mean that if lucky, investors may earn a month's salary in just one second, or a year's salary in a few minutes. This is the charm of contracts.

But we must realize that this good luck is often short-lived. In contract trading, high returns hide high risks. While pursuing high returns, we should not ignore risk control and understanding of market rules.

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How to become a master of contract trading?

Wisdom comes from choice, success lies in direction! To be smart, you must walk with wise men; to be outstanding, you must be with outstanding people. Reading classics and making friends with talents are the most precious wealth in life.

1: When trading on the exchange, you must wait patiently, observe market trends, seize the opportunity to place orders, and avoid frequent operations.

2: Pursuing perfect buying and selling points is easy to be trapped by the market. Newbies should learn to wait patiently, follow trading plans, and avoid blind operations.

3: Investment is not gambling, it should be based on analysis rather than speculation. In the contract market, following market trends is the key. Stay stable, trade only when you are sure, and stop profits and losses in time. The goal is to make steady profits, without the need to pursue maximum profits, and accumulate small wins into big wins.

4: To survive in the contract market, the key is a high winning rate. To do this, you must learn to wait for opportunities, endure temptations, and stay stable, so that you can improve the accuracy of transactions.

5: In the contract market, masters can strictly stop losses and avoid getting into trouble due to misjudgment. They wait for the right trading opportunity instead of expecting the unwinding of wrong decisions. At the same time, they dare to operate heavily in certain opportunities, but the premise is that they are fully prepared and planned. Don't blindly pursue heavy positions unless you have sufficient foundation and understanding.

The market changes rapidly, and it is crucial to understand the latest developments. In trading, buying is the basis and selling is the key. Regardless of profit or loss, the goal is to minimize losses and maximize profits. Maintain logic and a good mentality to improve trading decisions and accuracy.

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How to become one of the few who make money:

1: In the world of investment, most people often find it difficult to escape the fate of losses, and only a few people can laugh to the end. If you lack professional investment knowledge, then you may be the majority eliminated by the market, because investment is always accompanied by risks.

2: It is difficult for most investors to surpass Bitcoin in terms of returns, and only a few can barely do it. If you are not an investor with keen insight, it may not be wise to chase hot currencies. Stick to mainstream currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, hold them for a long time, and eventually you may find that you have surpassed most people.

3: Most people's understanding of cryptocurrencies is limited to the surface, and only a few people can really master the operating rules of the currency circle. Many people have only a superficial understanding of blockchain technology, but they want to get a share of the market. If you want to succeed in investment, you first need to improve your knowledge and cognition, which will directly affect your investment results.

4: There are many short-term traders, but only a few can really profit from them. For most people, frequent trading often means heading towards financial crisis. . If you are not a short-term trading expert, it is best not to try it easily. Instead, you should focus on value investment, wait patiently for the market to pick up, and then transfer your assets to those who are willing to take over at the right time.

The 80/20 rule is ubiquitous in nature and society, and it also applies to the cryptocurrency circle. A few people earn the wealth of most people, which is the iron law of the market. It embodies the "Matthew effect" and reveals a cruel reality; in the development of human society, unfairness is an objective existence.

The 80/20 rule is a reality that everyone must face. We cannot change this law, but we can choose: whether to accept being mediocre like most people, or to strive to become the minority of successful people.

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If Satoshi Nakamoto, the mysterious founder of Bitcoin, chooses to liquidate his huge Bitcoin reserves all at once, it will undoubtedly set off a storm in the digital currency market. The total global supply of Bitcoin is permanently limited to 21 million, and it is estimated that Satoshi Nakamoto may own close to one million Bitcoins, which accounts for a large share of the total.

If Satoshi Nakamoto’s Bitcoin accounts for 6% of the total, then any large-scale trading behavior by him may have a significant impact on the market. The identity of Satoshi Nakamoto remains shrouded in mystery, and his mysterious background adds a layer of unpredictability to the Bitcoin market. Although the market seems stable at the moment, once Satoshi Nakamoto decides to quit and sell off his Bitcoins in large quantities, it may cause the price of Bitcoin to drop sharply.

Satoshi Nakamoto's true identity, location and details of his daily life remain a mystery. If he did decide to sell his Bitcoin, the market could be thrown into turmoil and the value of Bitcoin could face a sharp decline. For all Bitcoin holders and investors, this is a risk that cannot be ignored and requires constant vigilance.

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🚨🚨Is the bull market coming?🚨🚨Attention🚨🚨Attention🚨🚨Attention🚨🚨

Will this rally usher in a correction opportunity? The horn of the big bull market seems to have been blown, and the interest rate cut in September seems to be a foregone conclusion.

Historically, every time the market rebounds, people always excitedly declare that "the bull market is back", but the market often falls into a downturn again soon. However, this rebound is unusually calm, and market participants seem to have become calm, and no one shouts "the bull market is back".

It is in this silence that the bull market may really start quietly. The bull market often comes quietly when no one pays attention, and then exits gorgeously in the spotlight. It seems that the return of the bull market this time may really be just around the corner.
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In his speech at the annual meeting of global central banks in Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell released a strong dovish signal, indicating that the Federal Reserve may be about to cut interest rates. He mentioned that the time for policy adjustments has come and expressed confidence that inflation will return to the 2% target. Powell emphasized that the specific timing and pace of interest rate cuts will depend on future economic data, changes in the outlook and the balance of risks. He also pointed out that inflation has dropped significantly, driving the market is no longer overheated, and the Fed will pay more attention to the goal of full employment. The market generally expects the Fed to start cutting interest rates in September, but Powell did not specify a specific timetable. In addition, journalist Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed mouthpiece", said on social media that Powell's speech showed that the policy shift of the table has been completed, which is in stark contrast to his position of being willing to accept an economic recession in order to restore inflation two years ago during the same period. contrast. This information suggests that the Fed's policy direction is undergoing a major shift to adapt to current economic conditions.
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Friends, have you ever had this experience, being teased by the unpredictable market? ?

Imagine that there is such a magical currency, which keeps rising while you wait and see, as if waving to you. But when you finally make up your mind to join in the time, it suddenly changes its face and begins to fall mercilessly. You patiently wait for it to regain its momentum, but it is like a lover who is determined to leave, and continues to fall without looking back. In the end, you invested time, money and opportunities, but got a negative return.

Friends, please tell us in the comment area whether you have also encountered this. . #杰克逊霍尔年会 #美联储何时降息？ #新币挖矿DOGS