可可虾虾
（每周一到周六比特币BTC、以太坊eth的早评策略分析，长期推荐优质个币和直播分析，不定期
分享才付米玛）关注工众号：币老登
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当前市场支撑稳固，短期内大幅下跌风险较低。
持有 93800 价位以下多单的投资者，建议保留部分仓位并设置保本止损。
有迹象显示，若今晚 A 股部分游资开始入场，五一假期期间或迎来价格拉升行情。
不过需警惕，在假期最后一晚，市场可能趁投资者松懈之际出现砸盘，此举或为两天后的美联储议息会议做铺垫。
通常在议息会议前 24 小时，市场会趋于谨慎，主力资金也往往提前离场观望。
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
持有 93800 价位以下多单的投资者，建议保留部分仓位并设置保本止损。
有迹象显示，若今晚 A 股部分游资开始入场，五一假期期间或迎来价格拉升行情。
不过需警惕，在假期最后一晚，市场可能趁投资者松懈之际出现砸盘，此举或为两天后的美联储议息会议做铺垫。
通常在议息会议前 24 小时，市场会趋于谨慎，主力资金也往往提前离场观望。
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
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If Bitcoin maintains a strong sideways pattern, the current fluctuation range is an excellent entry point;
If a pullback occurs, the previous high can serve as a bullish layout point.
It is worth noting that, regardless of the sideways range price or the previous high after the pullback, the price difference between the two is relatively limited. From the current market performance, no pullback signals have yet emerged, so investors might as well seize the opportunity to position in Bitcoin below the $100,000 mark.
#特朗普就职百日
If a pullback occurs, the previous high can serve as a bullish layout point.
It is worth noting that, regardless of the sideways range price or the previous high after the pullback, the price difference between the two is relatively limited. From the current market performance, no pullback signals have yet emerged, so investors might as well seize the opportunity to position in Bitcoin below the $100,000 mark.
#特朗普就职百日
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ICE 已触及第二阶段关键支撑位
自持仓以来，我坚持持有 ICE 超过一年，历经盈利到亏损再重回盈利的波动。在炒币领域，信念不可或缺。
尽管前期盈利时离场能斩获两三倍收益，但倘若目标仅限于此，选择主流币显然更稳妥，不仅安全性高，也无需担忧项目方跑路导致归零风险。
这正是许多人即便知晓某币种潜力巨大，却难以实现百倍收益的原因 —— 缺乏坚定持仓的定力，事后才追悔莫及。
聚焦 ICE 当前盘面，第二支撑位意义重大。
此前 0.0027 位置作为第一支撑，曾四次抵御住大幅下探并实现收复；而当下 0.0055 附近已形成新的平台支撑。
若 ICE 能在该点位稳固立足，极有可能以此为跳板开启新一轮上涨行情，这个点位既是全新起点，也可能成为阶段性低点。
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
自持仓以来，我坚持持有 ICE 超过一年，历经盈利到亏损再重回盈利的波动。在炒币领域，信念不可或缺。
尽管前期盈利时离场能斩获两三倍收益，但倘若目标仅限于此，选择主流币显然更稳妥，不仅安全性高，也无需担忧项目方跑路导致归零风险。
这正是许多人即便知晓某币种潜力巨大，却难以实现百倍收益的原因 —— 缺乏坚定持仓的定力，事后才追悔莫及。
聚焦 ICE 当前盘面，第二支撑位意义重大。
此前 0.0027 位置作为第一支撑，曾四次抵御住大幅下探并实现收复；而当下 0.0055 附近已形成新的平台支撑。
若 ICE 能在该点位稳固立足，极有可能以此为跳板开启新一轮上涨行情，这个点位既是全新起点，也可能成为阶段性低点。
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
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April 30 Trading Strategy Analysis
📊 Market Analysis: Bitcoin's rebound faced resistance and fell back, and although it has risen again, it still hasn't broken through the key resistance level. The current support and resistance zones are clear, and it is recommended to mainly focus on buying on dips.
📈 Operation Plan:
Pay close attention to the $95,500-$96,000 resistance zone; if it breaks through effectively, you can follow the trend; on the contrary, if it faces pressure, you can try to short with a light position.
Keep a close eye on the $94,700-$94,200 support area; if it stabilizes, you can consider going long;
If it breaks below this range, further observation of the $93,500-$93,000 support level is needed.
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
📊 Market Analysis: Bitcoin's rebound faced resistance and fell back, and although it has risen again, it still hasn't broken through the key resistance level. The current support and resistance zones are clear, and it is recommended to mainly focus on buying on dips.
📈 Operation Plan:
Pay close attention to the $95,500-$96,000 resistance zone; if it breaks through effectively, you can follow the trend; on the contrary, if it faces pressure, you can try to short with a light position.
Keep a close eye on the $94,700-$94,200 support area; if it stabilizes, you can consider going long;
If it breaks below this range, further observation of the $93,500-$93,000 support level is needed.
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
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五一假期（5.1-5.5）期间，A 股部分游资或选择入场，市场主力可能借此机会推动行情上扬。
若持有多单且已有浮盈，建议先锁定部分利润，剩余仓位设置保本止损，只要关键支撑位不破，即可继续看多。
明日（5.1）日本议息会议，若结果显示不加息，市场或迅速迎来一波上冲行情。
值得警惕的是，假期尾声的 5 月 5 日夜间尤其是后半夜，主力很可能趁投资者松懈时发动砸盘，甚至可能提前至 5 月 4 日（周日晚）行动，为后续的议息会议做铺垫。通常在议息会议前 1-2 日市场会进入震荡期，5 月 7 日美盘时段或开启下跌趋势。
因此，下周操作需保持谨慎，降低杠杆并维持轻仓。
5 月 8 日美联储议息会议前，主力资金往往提前 24 小时离场观望。
市场普遍预期 5 月不会降息，此结果符合预期，不构成实质利空；
而 6 月降息概率较高，相关利好预期或在 5 月提前反映。
操作上，避免在同一价位多次做空，持仓务必设置止损，在 96600-99200 区间分批挂空更为稳妥。
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
若持有多单且已有浮盈，建议先锁定部分利润，剩余仓位设置保本止损，只要关键支撑位不破，即可继续看多。
明日（5.1）日本议息会议，若结果显示不加息，市场或迅速迎来一波上冲行情。
值得警惕的是，假期尾声的 5 月 5 日夜间尤其是后半夜，主力很可能趁投资者松懈时发动砸盘，甚至可能提前至 5 月 4 日（周日晚）行动，为后续的议息会议做铺垫。通常在议息会议前 1-2 日市场会进入震荡期，5 月 7 日美盘时段或开启下跌趋势。
因此，下周操作需保持谨慎，降低杠杆并维持轻仓。
5 月 8 日美联储议息会议前，主力资金往往提前 24 小时离场观望。
市场普遍预期 5 月不会降息，此结果符合预期，不构成实质利空；
而 6 月降息概率较高，相关利好预期或在 5 月提前反映。
操作上，避免在同一价位多次做空，持仓务必设置止损，在 96600-99200 区间分批挂空更为稳妥。
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
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金融市场存在着令人费解的反常识现象：理论上，在同等保证金与杠杆条件下，多空双方对赌必有一盈。
但实际交易中，却常出现双方皆亏的局面。
这一违背直觉的结果，已被多次验证，我在交易一线也屡见不鲜。而真正洞悉其背后逻辑，才是叩开专业交易员大门的关键。
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
但实际交易中，却常出现双方皆亏的局面。
这一违背直觉的结果，已被多次验证，我在交易一线也屡见不鲜。而真正洞悉其背后逻辑，才是叩开专业交易员大门的关键。
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
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市场上关于交易所与客户对赌的争议屡见不鲜。
从行业运作逻辑来看，部分交易所将对赌视为维持运营的必要手段，认为在金融市场的特定机制下，对赌模式具备盈利必然性，本质上是通过客户亏损获取收益。
然而，当对赌成为交易所的核心经营目标时，天平便会严重倾斜。
凭借信息优势与技术手段，交易所往往能在博弈中对客户形成多重压制，导致交易公平性丧失。
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
从行业运作逻辑来看，部分交易所将对赌视为维持运营的必要手段，认为在金融市场的特定机制下，对赌模式具备盈利必然性，本质上是通过客户亏损获取收益。
然而，当对赌成为交易所的核心经营目标时，天平便会严重倾斜。
凭借信息优势与技术手段，交易所往往能在博弈中对客户形成多重压制，导致交易公平性丧失。
#特朗普就职百日 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
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BTC/USDT Latest hourly level data shows that the Bitcoin price is oscillating between the 25-period SMA ($94,604.55) and the 50-period SMA ($94,296.48), resembling a unicycle walking on a tightrope.
The latest closing price reached $94,782.6, but the resistance level above at $95,630 remains to be broken, while the support level below at $92,800.01 provides a defense line.
In terms of technical indicators, the RSI value is 54.2, indicating that market sentiment is leaning towards neutral;
The ADX is only 18.41, reflecting a weak current trend strength. It is worth noting that the MACD value of 94.85 remains high, suggesting that there is still bullish sentiment in the market.
However, the current trading volume is only 377.80111, far below the average level of 871.122387, raising concerns about the risks associated with low market trading activity.
If market momentum strengthens subsequently, it is essential to closely monitor price breakthroughs at resistance or pullbacks at support. Given the current shrinking volume situation, operations must remain cautious.
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
The latest closing price reached $94,782.6, but the resistance level above at $95,630 remains to be broken, while the support level below at $92,800.01 provides a defense line.
In terms of technical indicators, the RSI value is 54.2, indicating that market sentiment is leaning towards neutral;
The ADX is only 18.41, reflecting a weak current trend strength. It is worth noting that the MACD value of 94.85 remains high, suggesting that there is still bullish sentiment in the market.
However, the current trading volume is only 377.80111, far below the average level of 871.122387, raising concerns about the risks associated with low market trading activity.
If market momentum strengthens subsequently, it is essential to closely monitor price breakthroughs at resistance or pullbacks at support. Given the current shrinking volume situation, operations must remain cautious.
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
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It is necessary to mention a situation that warrants caution:
The strong bullish atmosphere in the market is quietly influencing judgment, and the current trend appears to have the potential for a breakout to the upside. At the same time, mobile phones frequently push out more than 10 pieces of good news daily, with predictions of institutional entry and Bitcoin reaching new highs being heard everywhere.
Currently, the core PCE data on Wednesday evening, as well as the U.S. non-farm data and unemployment rate performance on Friday evening, are the key factors.
Especially during a period of continuous market fluctuations, these subtle fundamental changes often trigger more intense reactions from funds.
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
The strong bullish atmosphere in the market is quietly influencing judgment, and the current trend appears to have the potential for a breakout to the upside. At the same time, mobile phones frequently push out more than 10 pieces of good news daily, with predictions of institutional entry and Bitcoin reaching new highs being heard everywhere.
Currently, the core PCE data on Wednesday evening, as well as the U.S. non-farm data and unemployment rate performance on Friday evening, are the key factors.
Especially during a period of continuous market fluctuations, these subtle fundamental changes often trigger more intense reactions from funds.
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
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Bitcoin reached a highlight moment in today's early trading, briefly touching the $95,000 mark before slightly retracing to around $94,800, setting a new price peak for the year.
Driven by this, major cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum, Ripple, and Dogecoin saw a collective rise, with Ethereum successfully standing above $3,400.
Amidst the sharp market fluctuations, the cryptocurrency sector experienced a wave of liquidations within 24 hours.
Data shows that over 110,000 investors faced liquidations, involving an amount as high as $275 million (approximately 2 billion RMB), with long position liquidations accounting for 62% ($170 million) and short position liquidations accounting for 38% ($110 million).
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
Driven by this, major cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum, Ripple, and Dogecoin saw a collective rise, with Ethereum successfully standing above $3,400.
Amidst the sharp market fluctuations, the cryptocurrency sector experienced a wave of liquidations within 24 hours.
Data shows that over 110,000 investors faced liquidations, involving an amount as high as $275 million (approximately 2 billion RMB), with long position liquidations accounting for 62% ($170 million) and short position liquidations accounting for 38% ($110 million).
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
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Trading Strategy Continuation
Short-term key support level is locked at 92800, with a stop loss set at 91600.
It is recommended to seize long opportunities in the 91600-92000 range, and strictly set a stop loss. You can set 91000 as the stop loss line; as long as this support holds, there is still room for upward movement.
The short-term resistance level above is 95700. Only by breaking through this level can we expect to open a bullish trend, with subsequent target resistance looking towards 96800-98500.
Conservative short positions can be attempted near 98500.
The current price is at the four-hour level support of 94300. The balance of long and short forces is referenced from this level. Key attention should be paid to the four-hour candlestick closing price: if it closes above 94300, the bulls are dominant; if it closes below, the bears are in control.
#加密市场反弹 #AI概念币领跑
Short-term key support level is locked at 92800, with a stop loss set at 91600.
It is recommended to seize long opportunities in the 91600-92000 range, and strictly set a stop loss. You can set 91000 as the stop loss line; as long as this support holds, there is still room for upward movement.
The short-term resistance level above is 95700. Only by breaking through this level can we expect to open a bullish trend, with subsequent target resistance looking towards 96800-98500.
Conservative short positions can be attempted near 98500.
The current price is at the four-hour level support of 94300. The balance of long and short forces is referenced from this level. Key attention should be paid to the four-hour candlestick closing price: if it closes above 94300, the bulls are dominant; if it closes below, the bears are in control.
#加密市场反弹 #AI概念币领跑
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Last night, the market showed a trend of shrinking volume and pullback, with traders who accurately grasped the rhythm reaping significant rewards.
Ethereum (ETH) dipped to a low of $1742 in the evening but quickly recovered the critical support level of $1753, rebounding to a high of $1810, resulting in an intraday fluctuation of $70. By strictly executing the strategy, a profit space of $30-50 could be secured.
Bitcoin (BTC) Key Levels
Support Levels: $91700/$89500/$88547
Resistance Levels: $96000/$97000
Currently, $94000 is the core observation level. If a significant volume breakout signal occurs, it is expected to trigger a significant downward trend.
Ethereum (ETH) Key Levels
Support Levels: $1675/$1585/$1500
Resistance Level: $1828
$1753 is an important dividing line between bulls and bears. After the price touched this level in the early morning, it quickly rebounded by $60. Today's focus should be on the gains and losses at this level. If it breaks, pay attention to support at $1705/$1675, with a key observation on whether a double bottom structure can form.
SOL Market Watch
Support Levels: $140/$133
Resistance Level: $167
It is recommended to focus on trading Bitcoin and Ethereum in the short term, as trading opportunities for SOL are limited recently.
Operational Strategy
As the end of the month approaches, the market is prone to extreme volatility. It is advised to adopt a quick in-and-out strategy to timely lock in capital and some profits while keeping a flexible base position to respond.
In the upcoming week, pay attention to the stabilization signals of some tokens pulling back to the MA30 and MA60 moving averages to capture new entry opportunities.
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
Ethereum (ETH) dipped to a low of $1742 in the evening but quickly recovered the critical support level of $1753, rebounding to a high of $1810, resulting in an intraday fluctuation of $70. By strictly executing the strategy, a profit space of $30-50 could be secured.
Bitcoin (BTC) Key Levels
Support Levels: $91700/$89500/$88547
Resistance Levels: $96000/$97000
Currently, $94000 is the core observation level. If a significant volume breakout signal occurs, it is expected to trigger a significant downward trend.
Ethereum (ETH) Key Levels
Support Levels: $1675/$1585/$1500
Resistance Level: $1828
$1753 is an important dividing line between bulls and bears. After the price touched this level in the early morning, it quickly rebounded by $60. Today's focus should be on the gains and losses at this level. If it breaks, pay attention to support at $1705/$1675, with a key observation on whether a double bottom structure can form.
SOL Market Watch
Support Levels: $140/$133
Resistance Level: $167
It is recommended to focus on trading Bitcoin and Ethereum in the short term, as trading opportunities for SOL are limited recently.
Operational Strategy
As the end of the month approaches, the market is prone to extreme volatility. It is advised to adopt a quick in-and-out strategy to timely lock in capital and some profits while keeping a flexible base position to respond.
In the upcoming week, pay attention to the stabilization signals of some tokens pulling back to the MA30 and MA60 moving averages to capture new entry opportunities.
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
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As the A-shares are about to enter a trading halt, the market is expected to experience a surge in the next two days, with the upward trend likely to continue after the market opens on May 6.
In terms of individual stocks, Sichuan Jinding surged to the daily limit due to positive earnings reports yesterday; Hangzhou Gear's weekly chart has formed a V-shaped reversal pattern, making its future performance worthy of expectation.
During the May Day holiday, some A-share speculators may shift to the cryptocurrency market.
In the short term, the cryptocurrency market may experience rapid corrections and rebound trends.
From a technical analysis perspective, both the daily and weekly levels are in an upward channel, suggesting a strategy of buying on dips, with a focus on the 4-hour level to seize trading opportunities.
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场反弹
In terms of individual stocks, Sichuan Jinding surged to the daily limit due to positive earnings reports yesterday; Hangzhou Gear's weekly chart has formed a V-shaped reversal pattern, making its future performance worthy of expectation.
During the May Day holiday, some A-share speculators may shift to the cryptocurrency market.
In the short term, the cryptocurrency market may experience rapid corrections and rebound trends.
From a technical analysis perspective, both the daily and weekly levels are in an upward channel, suggesting a strategy of buying on dips, with a focus on the 4-hour level to seize trading opportunities.
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场反弹
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Interpretation of Bitcoin's Short-Term Trend: Fluctuations Replace Pullbacks, Gearing Up for a Breakthrough!
1) Although bears have made attempts, their momentum is hard to sustain, and bulls quickly take over to stabilize the market;
2) The bulls are not in a hurry to make a move but are choosing to lie in wait for the right opportunity to launch an attack;
3) Bitcoin is expected to continue fluctuating and gaining momentum, and with positive news, it is likely to break through the key resistance level of 96,000 USD;
4) My personal strategy focuses on holding positions for a rise, with an emphasis on long positions.
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
1) Although bears have made attempts, their momentum is hard to sustain, and bulls quickly take over to stabilize the market;
2) The bulls are not in a hurry to make a move but are choosing to lie in wait for the right opportunity to launch an attack;
3) Bitcoin is expected to continue fluctuating and gaining momentum, and with positive news, it is likely to break through the key resistance level of 96,000 USD;
4) My personal strategy focuses on holding positions for a rise, with an emphasis on long positions.
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
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Zero-Cost Layout Bitcoin Bear Spread Strategy Guide
Strategy Construction Method
Based on holding 1 BTC spot, establish a three-leg options strategy:
Sell 1 call option with a strike price of $98,000 expiring on May 16, while buying 1 put option with a strike price of $90,000 expiring on May 16, and selling 1 put option with a strike price of $85,000 expiring on May 16.
This strategy can initially yield a profit of $1,280, with a maximum potential profit of $6,200.
Target Audience This strategy is suitable for two types of investors: firstly, conservative players holding BTC spot, expecting the price will not rise significantly but are concerned about a market crash;
Secondly, cost-sensitive traders who wish to implement a bearish strategy while avoiding the upfront capital investment costs. Risk Control Key Points Ensure that the spot position is sufficient to avoid excessive selling of options.
If the market rises significantly, when the price reaches $99,200, it is recommended to sell the spot to stop losses; if faced with a downturn, you can flexibly choose to take profits early and lock in profits in a timely manner.
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
Strategy Construction Method
Based on holding 1 BTC spot, establish a three-leg options strategy:
Sell 1 call option with a strike price of $98,000 expiring on May 16, while buying 1 put option with a strike price of $90,000 expiring on May 16, and selling 1 put option with a strike price of $85,000 expiring on May 16.
This strategy can initially yield a profit of $1,280, with a maximum potential profit of $6,200.
Target Audience This strategy is suitable for two types of investors: firstly, conservative players holding BTC spot, expecting the price will not rise significantly but are concerned about a market crash;
Secondly, cost-sensitive traders who wish to implement a bearish strategy while avoiding the upfront capital investment costs. Risk Control Key Points Ensure that the spot position is sufficient to avoid excessive selling of options.
If the market rises significantly, when the price reaches $99,200, it is recommended to sell the spot to stop losses; if faced with a downturn, you can flexibly choose to take profits early and lock in profits in a timely manner.
#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币
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Ethereum liquidation heat map data releases key signals:
If the price rises, the range of 1808-1884 has a large number of significant and ultra-large short positions facing liquidation risks; when the price falls, the area of 1736-1704 has many significant and ultra-large long positions that will trigger liquidation.
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场反弹
If the price rises, the range of 1808-1884 has a large number of significant and ultra-large short positions facing liquidation risks; when the price falls, the area of 1736-1704 has many significant and ultra-large long positions that will trigger liquidation.
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场反弹
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On-chain data shows that the unrealized profits of Bitcoin whales continue to rise, which may imply adjustment risks. Since the beginning of this month, the unrealized profits of wallets holding 1000-10000 BTC have surged by about 38%, reaching 150 billion USD, a new high since February.
Looking back at history, when unrealized gains approach 200 billion USD, large investors often choose to take profits, leading to a slowdown in asset upward momentum.
This indicator change is worth highlighting for investors.
#AI概念币领跑 #加密市场反弹
Looking back at history, when unrealized gains approach 200 billion USD, large investors often choose to take profits, leading to a slowdown in asset upward momentum.
This indicator change is worth highlighting for investors.
#AI概念币领跑 #加密市场反弹
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On-chain data reveals new trends, with Binance, the leading global cryptocurrency exchange, continuously increasing its USDT reserves. As an important market indicator, the inflow of stablecoins often signifies an increase in buying power, and this growth may be a prelude to a recovery in the cryptocurrency market.
Looking back at past market cycles, the increase in exchange stablecoin reserves is often accompanied by a surge in trading activity — investors deposit USDT on the platform, poised to quickly allocate into Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various altcoins, aiming to capture the benefits of price increases.
#加密市场反弹 #AI概念币领跑
Looking back at past market cycles, the increase in exchange stablecoin reserves is often accompanied by a surge in trading activity — investors deposit USDT on the platform, poised to quickly allocate into Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various altcoins, aiming to capture the benefits of price increases.
#加密市场反弹 #AI概念币领跑
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