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Bitcoin has entered the ATH range of 102-109,000$

Now it can be said that a new maximum is just a matter of time. Attempts to break the ATH resistance level have begun on the monthly (!) time frame.

⏸The Fed is expected to maintain the rate at 4.5%

The FOMC statement emphasizes:
▪️Inflation remains high
▪️Risks of both higher inflation and rising unemployment
▪️Quantitative easing policy continues, inflation target of 2% confirmed
▪️The Fed is ready to adjust policy if necessary, but is not yet ready to pivot.

Bitcoin is rising, Ethereum is sleeping

April has been successful for Bitcoin: +14.2% and the best month since March 2024.
Ethereum, on the other hand, is disappointing — another decline, this time -1.58%. This is already the fifth consecutive drop, something ETH has not experienced since 2018.

📈 Bitcoin outperformed gold and tech giants in April!

Since the beginning of the month, BTC has risen by 12%, surpassing gold and the shares of technology companies. Investors view it as an alternative hedge amid growing concerns about U.S. fiscal policy and institutional stability.

📉 Initially, tariff shocks caused a decline in the price of bitcoin along with other risky assets. However, soon the cryptocurrency diverged from the markets, sharply rising as long-term Treasury yields increased and investors sought protection from rising political risks.

🏦 In April, investors poured around $2.9 billion into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds listed in the U.S., marking a sharp turnaround compared to March and February, when net outflows from the funds totaled $811 million and $3.6 billion respectively.

🔮 A strategic reallocation of assets away from U.S. assets is expected to fuel the next rise of Bitcoin. The protective properties of bitcoin are becoming increasingly relevant as investors face a whole range of risks: from shocks in the private sector to threats from the public sector.

Investors poured $3 billion into Bitcoin ETFs in a week!

Last week, exchange-traded funds tracking Bitcoin and Ethereum attracted over $3.2 billion. The leader was the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), which received an inflow of nearly $1.5 billion — a record volume this year.

Other funds also recorded significant inflows:
- ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB): over $620 million
- Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC): about $574 million

Ethereum products noted their first net weekly inflow since February. The rally comes amid a rise in risk assets, including the S&P 500, which rose 4.6% last week due to optimism about potential tariff agreements.

Crypto enthusiasts point to Bitcoin's resilience compared to stocks during President Donald Trump's trade war and the subsequent turmoil in financial markets. This year, the token has remained stable despite a nearly 6% drop in the S&P 500, which reignites discussions about Bitcoin as "digital gold" — a new type of safe haven.

💎 Major Events of the Upcoming Week:

🔹Monday, April 21:
🇨🇳China - Central Bank's Base Lending Rate - 04:15 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Leading Economic Index (March) - 17:00 MSK

🔹Tuesday, April 22:
🇪🇺EU - Speech by ECB President C. Lagarde - 17:00 MSK

🔹Wednesday, April 23:
🇺🇸USA - Manufacturing/Services Sector Activity Index/Composite PMI (April - Previous) - 16:45 MSK
🇺🇸USA - New Home Sales (March) - 17:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Crude Oil Inventories - 17:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Fed Beige Book - 21:00 MSK

🔹Thursday, April 24:
🇺🇸USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 15:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Durable Goods Orders (March - Previous) - 15:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Existing Home Sales (March) - 17:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Fed Balance Sheet - 23:30 MSK

🔹Friday, April 25:
🇺🇸USA - Michigan University Expected Inflation (April) - 17:00 MSK

The Fed kept the interest rate at 4.5%
forecast: 4.5%
previous: 4.5%
▶️Key points from Jay Powell's speech:
▪️The economy in the U.S. is strong.
▪️The Fed will slow down the pace of balance sheet reduction.
▪️Economic uncertainty has increased.
▪️Inflation expectations have risen slightly due to tariffs, long-term expectations also remain aimed at 2%.
▪️There is no rush to make a decision on the Fed's rate; we are ready to wait for greater clarity.
▪️The new U.S. administration is implementing changes in policy. If the economy remains strong, we may be able to maintain restraint in policy for a longer period.
▪️We may soften the Fed's monetary policy if the labor market weakens.
▪️Inflation is rising due to changes in trade policy.
▪️Fed chairpersons issued forecasts similar to the last time.
▪️If the Fed's dual mandate goals need to be balanced, it is a challenging task, but the situation is different now.
▪️Analysts have raised the likelihood of a recession in the U.S., but it remains low.
▪️Now is the right time to slow down the pace of balance sheet reduction. We are still far from the level needed to stop the Fed's balance sheet reduction.
▪️I see no reason to believe that we are witnessing a repeat of the 1970s.

⚡️Strategy will raise ~ $500 million to purchase bitcoin through stock placement

Company Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) plans to place an additional 5 million Class A preferred shares at a price of $100 each. All proceeds from the placement will be used for corporate purposes, including the acquisition of bitcoins.

📊 Dividends: The shares will provide fixed dividends of 10% per annum, which will be paid quarterly in cash. The company also reserves the right to buy back some or all of the share issuance.

💰 New purchase:
The company recently acquired 130 BTC for $10.7 million, which is the smallest bitcoin acquisition since the launch of their bitcoin strategy in August 2020.

🔹 Considering the latest transaction, the total accumulated BTC by Strategy amounted to 499,226 BTC.

🔥 The company continues to increase its bitcoin reserves, and this could be an important signal for the cryptocurrency market! Attention, traders and investors!

💎 Key Events of the Upcoming Week:

🔹Monday, March 17:
🇺🇸USA - Retail Sales (Feb.) - 15:30 MSK
🇪🇺EU - Speech by ECB President C. Lagarde - 17:00 MSK

🔹Tuesday, March 18:
🇺🇸USA - Import/Export Price Index (Feb.) - 15:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Industrial Production (Feb.) - 16:15 MSK

🔹Wednesday, March 19:
🇯🇵Japan - Central Bank Interest Rate Decision - 06:00 MSK
🇪🇺EU - Consumer Price Index CPI (Feb.) - 13:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Crude Oil Inventories - 17:30 MSK 
🔥🇺🇸USA - Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision - 21:00 MSK
🔥🇺🇸USA - FOMC Press Conference - 21:30 MSK

🔹Thursday, March 20:
🇨🇳China - Base Lending Rate of the PBOC - 04:15 MSK
🇪🇺EU - ECB Monthly Report - 14:00 MSK
🇬🇧UK - Central Bank Interest Rate Decision - 15:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (March) - 15:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 15:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Existing Home Sales (Feb.) - 17:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Leading Economic Index (Feb.) - 17:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Fed Balance Sheet - 23:30 MSK

😏 Is the market falling? Or is it preparing for takeoff?

News is scary, prices are plummeting, people are in panic. But experienced players know: such moments often precede growth.

😎 The question is, are you ready to buy while others are dumping their assets?

Are you with the bulls or still unsure?

CME launches futures on Solana🚨

On March 17, the largest regulated derivatives exchange, CME Group, will launch futures on Solana (SOL), pending approval from regulators.

💥 What will be available?
- Microcontracts — 25 SOL
- Standard contracts — 500 SOL

🔥 Why is this needed?
The launch of futures on Solana is a response to the growing interest from clients looking to hedge risks using regulated instruments. Solana continues to gain popularity among developers and investors, and the new derivatives will provide a convenient way to manage risks in the crypto market.

💡 What could this mean for the future?
This launch of futures is an important step toward the possible approval of spot ETFs on Solana. The SEC traditionally views the presence of a regulated futures market as a key factor for approving spot ETFs, opening up prospects for new investments and expanding opportunities for investors.

⏳ What's next?
Regulators are likely to monitor trading activity on CME for several months before making a final decision. This could lead to increased interest and liquidity in the Solana market.

💎 Key Events of the Upcoming Week:

🔹Monday 10 February:
🇪🇺EU - Speech by ECB President C. Lagarde - 17:00 Moscow time

🔹Tuesday 11 February:
🇺🇸US - Speech by Fed Chairman J. Powell - 18:00 Moscow time

🔹Wednesday 12 February:
🇺🇸US - Consumer Price Index (January) - 16:30 Moscow time
🇺🇸US - Crude Oil Inventories - 18:30 Moscow time
🇺🇸US - Fed Budget Execution Report (January) - 22:00 Moscow time

🔹Thursday 13 February:
🇬🇧UK - GDP (Q4 24 - prev) - 10:00 Moscow time
🇩🇪Germany - Consumer Price Index CPI (Jan) - 10:00 Moscow time
🇺🇸USA - Producer Price Index PPI (Jan) - 16:30 Moscow time
🇺🇸USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 16:30 Moscow time

🔹Friday 14 February:
🇺🇸USA - Fed Balance Sheet - 00:30
🇪🇺EU - GDP (Q4 24 - prev) - 13:00 Moscow time
🇺🇸USA - Retail Sales (Jan) - 16:30 Moscow time
🇺🇸USA - Industrial Production (Jan) - 17:15 Moscow time

What is the situation today in the cryptocurrency market, February 7, 2025.

🟠Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $97,936, showing an increase of 1.27% over the last 24 hours. The day's high was $100,186, and the low was $95,761.

🔹Ethereum (ETH) is also demonstrating positive dynamics, trading at $2,835.

🧪The market is gradually recovering after recent volatility.

👌The Fear and Greed Index for BTC is at a neutral level of 54, indicating balanced sentiments among investors.

🇺🇦 In Ukraine, the legalization of cryptocurrency is expected by the summer of 2025, which could attract new participants to the market.

I recommend closely monitoring the news and being prepared for possible changes in the market.

Nobody needs Bitcoin during the correction. Now they will fly in again due to the fact of growth and Trump will be to blame again.

Huge hole up to $102,000. How quickly will we close it?

⏸The Fed keeps the rate at the same level of 4.5%
Previous: 4.5%
Expected: 4.5%

▶️Key points from Jerome Powell's speech:
▪️Jerome Powell confirmed the strength of the U.S. economy, noting that inflation is gradually approaching the target of 2%, although it remains relatively high.
▪️He emphasized that labor market conditions are balanced, with stable unemployment, indicating that the labor market is not contributing to inflation. Additionally, he assured that inflation expectations remain firmly anchored.
▪️Powell stated that while the recent rate cut was appropriate, there is no urgency for further cuts as the economy remains resilient.
▪️Looking ahead, he confirmed that the Fed will conduct five-year planning in 2025 but indicated that changing the inflation target of 2% is not under discussion.
▪️In response to a question about recent calls from Trump for rate cuts, Powell declined to comment, stating that the Fed will focus on its work. He also noted that he had not received any direct communication from him.

If we believe the analysts, #BTC is going through a 'bear trap', after which a real bull run awaits us! 🔥💰

Who is already holding coins?

Highlights from Jerome Powell's Press Conference (FOMC)

➡️ The U.S. economy remains strong, with GDP potentially exceeding 2% in 2024.
➡️ Inflation is approaching the target level, but is still somewhat elevated.
➡️ There is no rush to lower interest rates.
➡️ The Fed is focused on real progress in inflation and the labor market before taking further steps.
➡️ Forecasts are uncertain due to potential changes in the new administration's policy.
➡️ The U.S. is gradually moving away from dependency on trade with China.
➡️ Artificial intelligence is becoming an important factor for the stock market.
➡️ There is no need to wait for 2% inflation to begin lowering rates.
➡️ Assets in the market are overvalued by many metrics.
➡️ Banks may work with cryptocurrencies with proper risk management.

Overall, the Fed maintains a wait-and-see position, noting that further changes in rates depend on macroeconomic data.