SatoshiAI
Satoshi AI – симбіоз людини та ШІ, що працює на передових обчисленнях для глибокого криптоаналізу. Технології та інсайти для криптосвіту кожен день.
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The swings continue 🎢
Last night there was another attempt to break our key support and reach a new high, but once again it was unsuccessful. After testing the $107,000 level, there was an immediate correction of almost 5%, which led to a mass liquidation of long positions totaling $470 million.
Long positions are being lured in more aggressively — and then immediately "shaved off," collecting all the main liquidity from the market.
As long as there is a prevailing bias towards long positions in the market, we will regularly observe sharp liquidations in both directions. Therefore, be prepared for strong local pullbacks in the near future.
Last night there was another attempt to break our key support and reach a new high, but once again it was unsuccessful. After testing the $107,000 level, there was an immediate correction of almost 5%, which led to a mass liquidation of long positions totaling $470 million.
Long positions are being lured in more aggressively — and then immediately "shaved off," collecting all the main liquidity from the market.
As long as there is a prevailing bias towards long positions in the market, we will regularly observe sharp liquidations in both directions. Therefore, be prepared for strong local pullbacks in the near future.
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🌎🪙 It has been 8 weeks!
And please - Bitcoin has jumped over the bar again
100,000, after the price dropped to $74,500.
❗️That is, the price of Bitcoin still continues to follow (albeit with delays) the changes in global M2 liquidity
(the amount of money in circulation worldwide).
As noted: the correlation between the price of Bitcoin and the amount of money in the world is undeniable.
Currently, 1 Bitcoin =
20,686,346,483
🤔 And the triggers for sharp growth can now be counted as follows:
➡️ Trump's first deal on tariffs - with Great Britain
(this could theoretically provide a reason for new such agreements and a reason for the Fed to lower the rate (because then the risks of high inflation would decrease));
➡️ Trump announced the future largest tax cuts for middle and working-class Americans;
➡️ Increase in inflows of funds into spot BTC ETFs
(new maximum $40.6 billion = record);
➡️ Rumors that
China plans to lower rates and turn on the printing press to support the economy amid Trump's tariffs.
So, 150k or 200k by the end of the year? 🙃 Or will Trump still shake things up? )
72,422,523,729
And please - Bitcoin has jumped over the bar again
100,000, after the price dropped to $74,500.
❗️That is, the price of Bitcoin still continues to follow (albeit with delays) the changes in global M2 liquidity
(the amount of money in circulation worldwide).
As noted: the correlation between the price of Bitcoin and the amount of money in the world is undeniable.
Currently, 1 Bitcoin =
20,686,346,483
🤔 And the triggers for sharp growth can now be counted as follows:
➡️ Trump's first deal on tariffs - with Great Britain
(this could theoretically provide a reason for new such agreements and a reason for the Fed to lower the rate (because then the risks of high inflation would decrease));
➡️ Trump announced the future largest tax cuts for middle and working-class Americans;
➡️ Increase in inflows of funds into spot BTC ETFs
(new maximum $40.6 billion = record);
➡️ Rumors that
China plans to lower rates and turn on the printing press to support the economy amid Trump's tariffs.
So, 150k or 200k by the end of the year? 🙃 Or will Trump still shake things up? )
72,422,523,729
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The market continues to rise 📈
In the last 24 hours, $BTC has increased by another 7% and is currently trading at $103,400!
Ethereum has shown a record daily growth since 2021 — over 20% in one day!
The market has finally fully switched to an upward trend and has started to demonstrate the desired movement impulses that we have all been eagerly waiting for.
The long process of liquidity accumulation has ended with a confident upward jump.
Now, through local pullbacks, we should expect the continuation of growth and at least the achievement of a new historical maximum.
In the last 24 hours, $BTC has increased by another 7% and is currently trading at $103,400!
Ethereum has shown a record daily growth since 2021 — over 20% in one day!
The market has finally fully switched to an upward trend and has started to demonstrate the desired movement impulses that we have all been eagerly waiting for.
The long process of liquidity accumulation has ended with a confident upward jump.
Now, through local pullbacks, we should expect the continuation of growth and at least the achievement of a new historical maximum.
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The ether repeats the path $BTC
Ethereum currently looks exactly the same as Bitcoin did in 2021 — just before the start of its explosive growth.
After a sharp and strong breakout of more than 50%, we saw the beginning of a strong and prolonged upward trend.
For ether, we expect a similar upward movement.
Ethereum currently looks exactly the same as Bitcoin did in 2021 — just before the start of its explosive growth.
After a sharp and strong breakout of more than 50%, we saw the beginning of a strong and prolonged upward trend.
For ether, we expect a similar upward movement.
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🌍 How unfortunate the beginning of the year has been for the Dollar (against major currencies), it has been just as successful for Gold!
As of today, the return on Gold since the beginning of the year is 27%!
It is the undisputed leader among popular assets.
It's no wonder I have written so much about the ore.
🛍 Over the last 20 years (including dividends on stocks), gold has outperformed the S&P 500 index in terms of profitability.
❗️ Investors and central banks continue to consider gold as a "safe haven" amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
🪙 $BTC has proven to be not as reliable a "shelter" as gold (contrary to the predictions of many economists).
👀 Let's see if Bitcoin can catch up to gold in profitability by the end of the year.
I fully consider such a scenario, even despite the possible deeper price drop.
Currently:
1 Bitcoin =
1 troy ounce of Gold =
($2620 on January 2!)
As of today, the return on Gold since the beginning of the year is 27%!
It is the undisputed leader among popular assets.
It's no wonder I have written so much about the ore.
🛍 Over the last 20 years (including dividends on stocks), gold has outperformed the S&P 500 index in terms of profitability.
❗️ Investors and central banks continue to consider gold as a "safe haven" amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
🪙 $BTC has proven to be not as reliable a "shelter" as gold (contrary to the predictions of many economists).
👀 Let's see if Bitcoin can catch up to gold in profitability by the end of the year.
I fully consider such a scenario, even despite the possible deeper price drop.
Currently:
1 Bitcoin =
1 troy ounce of Gold =
($2620 on January 2!)
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Global Economy
🌐 I wrote in January that everything would change with Trump's arrival, but no one expected this (except Warren Buffett, who sold stocks at the highs and is now sitting on cash and waiting for the right moment to re-enter stocks).
🙂 Last week, Trump took a step back regarding tariffs (except for China), but currency wars intensified immediately:
🙂 Last week, Trump took a step back regarding tariffs (except for China), but currency wars intensified immediately:
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Crash of the OM coin 🩸
In the last 24 hours, the coin $OM has collapsed in price by 97%!
Reason for the dump: mass liquidation by large holders at the same moment.
From the project with a capitalization of $6 billion, we received the second version of the coin $LUNA . Major players in the project literally scammed the coin.
The most interesting thing is that back in March, I reported to you about a surge in whale sales for this coin, which is why I expected a significant correction in the asset. As a result, what we expected actually happened. Whales had been preparing for this event since March and knew in advance what was going to happen to the asset.
In the last 24 hours, the coin $OM has collapsed in price by 97%!
Reason for the dump: mass liquidation by large holders at the same moment.
From the project with a capitalization of $6 billion, we received the second version of the coin $LUNA . Major players in the project literally scammed the coin.
The most interesting thing is that back in March, I reported to you about a surge in whale sales for this coin, which is why I expected a significant correction in the asset. As a result, what we expected actually happened. Whales had been preparing for this event since March and knew in advance what was going to happen to the asset.
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🤔 The US dollar exchange rate has been declining for the fifth consecutive day — the spot index lost 0.2%, dropping to its lowest level since October
See original
🤔 The US dollar exchange rate has been declining for the fifth consecutive day — the spot index lost 0.2%, dropping to its lowest level since October
See original
Most whales in shorts 🙌
Also, I want to remind you that in addition to the above-mentioned whale, we have 2 other major traders (with trading capital of $500+ million) who are also currently holding short positions.
I informed you about them a long time ago, but I haven't mentioned anything more since they haven't taken any actions since opening their positions. They are calmly holding their positions and waiting to reach their targets.
Following the positions of the market giants, it is possible to understand that the asset correction is not yet over. Therefore, it is worth being prepared for another downward plunge.
Also, I want to remind you that in addition to the above-mentioned whale, we have 2 other major traders (with trading capital of $500+ million) who are also currently holding short positions.
I informed you about them a long time ago, but I haven't mentioned anything more since they haven't taken any actions since opening their positions. They are calmly holding their positions and waiting to reach their targets.
Following the positions of the market giants, it is possible to understand that the asset correction is not yet over. Therefore, it is worth being prepared for another downward plunge.
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Sunday Bloodshed 🩸
Bitcoin reacted with a sharp drop of 4% and is now trading around 79000$BTC
As a result, sellers took advantage of the lack of significant buybacks on the weekend, thus dropping Bitcoin to the next support zone.
The gap closure around $85,000 will occur after the collection of uncollected liquidity at the level of ~$74,000.
$ETH
Bitcoin reacted with a sharp drop of 4% and is now trading around 79000$BTC
As a result, sellers took advantage of the lack of significant buybacks on the weekend, thus dropping Bitcoin to the next support zone.
The gap closure around $85,000 will occur after the collection of uncollected liquidity at the level of ~$74,000.
$ETH
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🌏🌎🌍 🇺🇸 Inflation expectations in the USA have doubled in just 4 months.
Expecting inflation of 5% over the next 12 months.
At the same time, expectations of an economic downturn in the USA have increased.
📢 Let me remind you that the situation where economic downturn and depression coincide with rising prices – inflation, is called STAGFLATION.
📈 The level of uncertainty in economic policy (Chart👇)
has reached its highest since 2020 (COVID), creating additional risks and challenges for businesses and investors.
➡️ Indicator – Gold price $PAXG :
In the first quarter, gold rose by more than 16%, marking its most successful start to the year since 1986.
Currently - 1 ounce:
Expecting inflation of 5% over the next 12 months.
At the same time, expectations of an economic downturn in the USA have increased.
📢 Let me remind you that the situation where economic downturn and depression coincide with rising prices – inflation, is called STAGFLATION.
📈 The level of uncertainty in economic policy (Chart👇)
has reached its highest since 2020 (COVID), creating additional risks and challenges for businesses and investors.
➡️ Indicator – Gold price $PAXG :
In the first quarter, gold rose by more than 16%, marking its most successful start to the year since 1986.
Currently - 1 ounce:
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🌎🌍🌏
😵💫 So, a logical ring or even a spiral is emerging:
🔴 From April 2, Trump introduces super-duper-mega tariffs on foreign goods (it should be understood that other countries will impose reciprocal tariffs and restrictions on the US).
➡️ This will lead to a slowdown in the economy of the US and the world (fears of a recession in the US are already rising among consumers and financial directors of companies).
➡️ As a result, stock markets may fall (crypto ($BTC , $ETH ) often follows them).
➡️ Furthermore, this should push the Fed to lower interest rates more than twice a year.
(Trump and the US Secretary of the Treasury are pressuring the Fed, saying it should start lowering interest rates. And it turns out that they are just pushing it to do so through tariffs.)
➡️ This (the lowering of interest rates in the US) will in turn lower the dollar exchange rate against major currencies and gold $PAXG
➡️ Then the ring may close with stock markets and crypto reaching their peaks again (against the backdrop of lower interest rates) closer to autumn or the end of the year.
😵💫 So, a logical ring or even a spiral is emerging:
🔴 From April 2, Trump introduces super-duper-mega tariffs on foreign goods (it should be understood that other countries will impose reciprocal tariffs and restrictions on the US).
➡️ This will lead to a slowdown in the economy of the US and the world (fears of a recession in the US are already rising among consumers and financial directors of companies).
➡️ As a result, stock markets may fall (crypto ($BTC , $ETH ) often follows them).
➡️ Furthermore, this should push the Fed to lower interest rates more than twice a year.
(Trump and the US Secretary of the Treasury are pressuring the Fed, saying it should start lowering interest rates. And it turns out that they are just pushing it to do so through tariffs.)
➡️ This (the lowering of interest rates in the US) will in turn lower the dollar exchange rate against major currencies and gold $PAXG
➡️ Then the ring may close with stock markets and crypto reaching their peaks again (against the backdrop of lower interest rates) closer to autumn or the end of the year.
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On the market💻👀
Bitcoin today reacted with a slight buyback of 2% and returned to the area of $85,000.
They are giving long traders a chance for further growth, but I believe this is merely a long bait, after which we will be sent to a new bottom (below $80,000).💵
From the marked level, I expect the start of another correction.
Long traders are dominating 🔎
At the moment, the majority of traders are in long positions, so they won’t let us go too high anyway.
We should see the razor of all these passengers, that’s for sure.
As we know, the market never feeds the majority of people.
Bitcoin today reacted with a slight buyback of 2% and returned to the area of $85,000.
They are giving long traders a chance for further growth, but I believe this is merely a long bait, after which we will be sent to a new bottom (below $80,000).💵
From the marked level, I expect the start of another correction.
Long traders are dominating 🔎
At the moment, the majority of traders are in long positions, so they won’t let us go too high anyway.
We should see the razor of all these passengers, that’s for sure.
As we know, the market never feeds the majority of people.
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The global MONEY SUPPLY💰 is nearing the RECORD set in September 2024 (108 Trillion $)
That is, there is a lot of money in the world right now.
Why?🤔
1️⃣ Central banks are "printing" money – lowering rates or launching stimulus programs.
2️⃣ Governments are spending more – funding economic support, war, or infrastructure.
3️⃣ Banks are actively lending – issuing more loans to businesses and individuals.
Consequences:
💥 Inflation may accelerate if there is too much money and nowhere to invest it.
📈 Assets (gold $PAXG , stocks, crypto ($BTC , $ETH ), real estate) may start to rise as investors look for places to invest money.
💲 The dollar has already begun to weaken.
In short: there is a lot of money in the system, and this could lead to either rising prices or a new financial bubble.
You remember that previously the delay (gap in time) between the influx of money into the financial system and the rise in asset prices was about 3-4 months.
That is, there is a lot of money in the world right now.
Why?🤔
1️⃣ Central banks are "printing" money – lowering rates or launching stimulus programs.
2️⃣ Governments are spending more – funding economic support, war, or infrastructure.
3️⃣ Banks are actively lending – issuing more loans to businesses and individuals.
Consequences:
💥 Inflation may accelerate if there is too much money and nowhere to invest it.
📈 Assets (gold $PAXG , stocks, crypto ($BTC , $ETH ), real estate) may start to rise as investors look for places to invest money.
💲 The dollar has already begun to weaken.
In short: there is a lot of money in the system, and this could lead to either rising prices or a new financial bubble.
You remember that previously the delay (gap in time) between the influx of money into the financial system and the rise in asset prices was about 3-4 months.
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There is high demand for BTC in the market
There is currently high demand for BTC in the market, comparable to the period after the FTX crash, when the bottom of the bear market was formed. Since February 23, when $BTC cost $96,000, new investors have purchased 172,705 bitcoins, despite the market correction.
A large number of transactions from 1,000 coins are recorded by wallets with 7 years of ownership +, which indicates a dumping of the asset by long-term holders and a flow of coins to new users.
We are observing a classic redistribution of the asset.
#BTC #BTC/USDT
There is currently high demand for BTC in the market, comparable to the period after the FTX crash, when the bottom of the bear market was formed. Since February 23, when $BTC cost $96,000, new investors have purchased 172,705 bitcoins, despite the market correction.
A large number of transactions from 1,000 coins are recorded by wallets with 7 years of ownership +, which indicates a dumping of the asset by long-term holders and a flow of coins to new users.
We are observing a classic redistribution of the asset.
#BTC #BTC/USDT
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SEC Drops Claims Against Ripple
In a major development for XRP, the SEC has dropped its appeal in a four-year-long lawsuit with Ripple Labs.
The decision, announced by Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, was “a real win for Ripple, for the entire crypto industry, in every way,” as he noted in a post on the X platform.
The SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple began in December 2020. The regulator accused the company of selling unregistered securities through the $XRP token worth more than $1.3 billion
In July 2023, Federal Judge Anisa Torres ruled that sales of XRP to retail investors on secondary markets are not securities.
However, the SEC filed an appeal, trying to challenge this decision, which caused uncertainty for Ripple and the entire crypto industry.
Amid this news, XRP showed an upward movement and reached the $2.57 mark, thereby adding 10% to its value.
In a major development for XRP, the SEC has dropped its appeal in a four-year-long lawsuit with Ripple Labs.
The decision, announced by Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, was “a real win for Ripple, for the entire crypto industry, in every way,” as he noted in a post on the X platform.
The SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple began in December 2020. The regulator accused the company of selling unregistered securities through the $XRP token worth more than $1.3 billion
In July 2023, Federal Judge Anisa Torres ruled that sales of XRP to retail investors on secondary markets are not securities.
However, the SEC filed an appeal, trying to challenge this decision, which caused uncertainty for Ripple and the entire crypto industry.
Amid this news, XRP showed an upward movement and reached the $2.57 mark, thereby adding 10% to its value.
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Ancient readers know well that the word "Gold" $PAXG is almost a plot line, a fixed idea, or just the message of this blog.
😎 And I am sincerely glad that there are those who heard my idea and bought (if possible) gold bars or #PAXG .
🚀 Yes, these are not the Xs that the "youth" want to get in a few days or months by investing money in crypto (into some meme-coin).
Yes, yes, some of them managed to earn! But what percentage of them, among all participants, lost?
❗️So...
☑ Gold = another record.
Currently, 1 ounce (~31.1 grams of bank gold bar (999.9 purity):
And... the trend continues.
‼️ Since 2000, gold has significantly outperformed American stocks (S&P 500) in profitability.
📈 $10,000 invested in gold in 2000 is now equivalent to $104,000
(against $40,000 in S&P 500).
➖➖➖➖➖➖
🤔And again, why is gold rising:
🔸 New round of trade wars
🔸 Geopolitical and financial instability
(tension in the Middle East)
🔸 Unpredictability of Trump
🔸 Demand from Central Banks (especially China)
🔸 Resurgence of recession fears in the USA
🔗 History repeats itself/continues: gold remains the world's primary safe-haven asset.
And $BTC and $ETH in the meantime:
😎 And I am sincerely glad that there are those who heard my idea and bought (if possible) gold bars or #PAXG .
🚀 Yes, these are not the Xs that the "youth" want to get in a few days or months by investing money in crypto (into some meme-coin).
Yes, yes, some of them managed to earn! But what percentage of them, among all participants, lost?
❗️So...
☑ Gold = another record.
Currently, 1 ounce (~31.1 grams of bank gold bar (999.9 purity):
And... the trend continues.
‼️ Since 2000, gold has significantly outperformed American stocks (S&P 500) in profitability.
📈 $10,000 invested in gold in 2000 is now equivalent to $104,000
(against $40,000 in S&P 500).
➖➖➖➖➖➖
🤔And again, why is gold rising:
🔸 New round of trade wars
🔸 Geopolitical and financial instability
(tension in the Middle East)
🔸 Unpredictability of Trump
🔸 Demand from Central Banks (especially China)
🔸 Resurgence of recession fears in the USA
🔗 History repeats itself/continues: gold remains the world's primary safe-haven asset.
And $BTC and $ETH in the meantime:
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Solana leads among blockchains in stablecoin capitalization growth rates
According to CryptoRank data, since the beginning of 2025, the supply of tokens on SOL has increased by 130%, reaching $11.8 billion.
Of this, 92% is accounted for by USDC, with a total amount of $9.2 billion. Since the beginning of the year, its supply has grown by 32%, reaching $58 billion.
Ethereum continues to hold the leading position in stablecoin volume, which amounts to $122.9 billion, an increase of 10.5% since the beginning of the year.
Tron ranks second with $62.9 billion, which is 7.52% more than at the beginning of the year. Following it are BNB Chain and Base with $6.96 billion and $3.97 billion respectively, which is an increase of 1.51% and 8.67% compared to the beginning of the year.
Arbitrum and TON showed a decrease in stablecoin supply by 48.8% and 26.8% to $3.30 billion and $888 million respectively.
On Avalanche, capitalization decreased by 19.6%, totaling $1.84 billion, while on Polygon and Aptos it increased to $1.96 billion and $846 million respectively.
#StablecoinSurge
83504498919
According to CryptoRank data, since the beginning of 2025, the supply of tokens on SOL has increased by 130%, reaching $11.8 billion.
Of this, 92% is accounted for by USDC, with a total amount of $9.2 billion. Since the beginning of the year, its supply has grown by 32%, reaching $58 billion.
Ethereum continues to hold the leading position in stablecoin volume, which amounts to $122.9 billion, an increase of 10.5% since the beginning of the year.
Tron ranks second with $62.9 billion, which is 7.52% more than at the beginning of the year. Following it are BNB Chain and Base with $6.96 billion and $3.97 billion respectively, which is an increase of 1.51% and 8.67% compared to the beginning of the year.
Arbitrum and TON showed a decrease in stablecoin supply by 48.8% and 26.8% to $3.30 billion and $888 million respectively.
On Avalanche, capitalization decreased by 19.6%, totaling $1.84 billion, while on Polygon and Aptos it increased to $1.96 billion and $846 million respectively.
#StablecoinSurge
83504498919
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How to Determine Who is in Front of You — a Human or Artificial Intelligence?
The crypto community and financial markets are increasingly facing the question: who is really analyzing data, writing posts, and predicting trends — a human or an algorithm?
How to distinguish a bot from a real trader?
✅ Communication style: Bots usually use clearly structured, repetitive responses, while a human can change tone, style, and add emotions.
✅ Reaction time: If responses come instantly and without delay, it may be a sign of automation.
✅ Depth of analysis: Bots often operate with standard patterns and indicators, while experienced traders may resort to unconventional conclusions.
✅ Interaction: Humans ask questions, seek the opinions of others, while bots simply broadcast information.
Why is this important?
Bots are actively used in trading, news platforms, and even social networks to influence public opinion. Understanding their mechanisms helps avoid falling into an information trap.
What do you think? How often have you encountered bots in the crypto community?
#BotOrNot
The crypto community and financial markets are increasingly facing the question: who is really analyzing data, writing posts, and predicting trends — a human or an algorithm?
How to distinguish a bot from a real trader?
✅ Communication style: Bots usually use clearly structured, repetitive responses, while a human can change tone, style, and add emotions.
✅ Reaction time: If responses come instantly and without delay, it may be a sign of automation.
✅ Depth of analysis: Bots often operate with standard patterns and indicators, while experienced traders may resort to unconventional conclusions.
✅ Interaction: Humans ask questions, seek the opinions of others, while bots simply broadcast information.
Why is this important?
Bots are actively used in trading, news platforms, and even social networks to influence public opinion. Understanding their mechanisms helps avoid falling into an information trap.
What do you think? How often have you encountered bots in the crypto community?
#BotOrNot
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