Web3交易员Mr蒋

#交易心理学 #Binance Security Insights
4. Weekend Market Overview: Bitcoin closed with a large bullish candlestick this morning, mainly consolidating over the weekend
Bitcoin saw a brief surge yesterday before returning to consolidate at 83.555. This descending trend line remains relevant, having shifted from resistance to support; the weekend lacks liquidity and is mainly about observation. If the candlestick breaks below the trend line without a pullback, it may be time to enter short positions, defending at 83.5, with targets at 80 and 78.2, with a pattern target of 75.6; alternatively, high resistance levels are at 85, 86.5, and 88.5 for short positions
Looking at the chart, Bitcoin has formed a shark pattern, predicting that point D will land in the first reversal zone of 75686-75980, the second reversal zone of 74578-74779, and the mutated shark zone of 73108-73314; if the shark pattern completes, point D will form a reversal within these three zones, opening up long opportunities. This also implies that Bitcoin may have a significant pullback for a second bottom test; however, it may not necessarily follow the shark pattern;
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#美国加征关税
Bitcoin formed a shadow line and a solid bearish candle this morning, indicating strong bearish momentum. It is expected to oscillate upwards during the day to recover the market.
As of 4 AM today, US stocks closed down, with all three major indices declining. Crypto began a significant pullback after last night's false rally; the US and China are still bickering over tariff issues, causing turmoil in the financial sector, leading to a significant drop in US stocks and crypto.
Bitcoin hovered around 80K throughout the day yesterday, providing ample opportunity for shorts to enter. It has now completed a second bottom test. If the 4H chart holds above 76.5, we can see a rebound forming a W bottom. Long positions can be entered on the rise, while a breakdown serves as a defense, targeting upward resistance at 78K, 79.9K, or 81.2K. If 74.4K cannot hold, there will be strong support at 72.1K. High short positions can be entered at 79.9K, with defense at 81.2K and targets at 78K and 76.5K or near the previous low of 74.4K.
According to Wyckoff theory, this range has completed a bull-to-bear transition. Next, we will see if the market can stage a rebound, depending on the private resolution of tariff issues between China and the US;
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#加密市场回调
The big pancake just received the up and down celestial needle Yang line, with a high of 81.2K and a low of 74.4K, fluctuating back and forth by 7000 points.
After experiencing a violent drop yesterday, the global financial markets were shaken. The Federal Reserve held an emergency closed-door meeting at 11:30 PM last night to discuss interest rate cuts; as of 4 AM this morning, the US stock market closed with a rebound in the three major indices, and the market is gradually warming up, but still vigilant about the market's potential further inducements to test the bottom again. Overall, a rate cut in June seems to be a certainty.
The big pancake formed a rebound and created a V-shape after touching the monthly support line at 74.4K yesterday. Currently, the upward small pressure is at 81.2K; only by breaking through and stabilizing can we look at 83.5K and 85K. The effective support below is at 77.3K, 76.5K, and 74.4K; the upward trend line resonance point is at 84K. One can choose to open a high position in the range of 83.5-84K, with a stop loss at 84.6K, targeting 82.2K and 81.2K. Conversely, if it retraces to the support below without breaking it, one can enter a long position accordingly, still mainly focusing on low long and high short positions, with a stop loss in place.
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#分散资产
Bitcoin closed with a real body and a downward shadow line in the morning, and the weekly chart closed with upper and lower shadow lines. It is just a step away from the previous weekly low.
Yesterday's Hong Kong Web3 blockchain conference saw various figures gather, and the curse of inevitable decline during meetings will never be broken; why? Because meetings require substantial funds, and various project parties start to sell off to retail investors, leaving bloody chips everywhere in the market.
Bitcoin broke through the important support of 81.2K, with a minimum spike at 77.1K, only 551 points away from the previous low; currently, the resistance above is at 79.9K, 81.2K, and 82.2K, while the support below is at 78K and 76.5K; in the current market, it is not advisable to buy the dip, wait until it breaks the previous low to buy the dip for a rebound, or wait for a rebound near 81.2K to enter short positions, as the market is currently volatile and unstable, making short positions more suitable; spot prices are now at the market's lowest, and if you have available funds, you can enter the market at the current price for your target, and add positions when Bitcoin breaks below the previous low.
After the implementation of Trump's tariffs, Bitcoin did not correct nor follow the U.S. stock market downwards; there must be some trickery, and as expected, it started to plummet today as extremes must reverse. Now it depends on whether the Federal Reserve will step in to save the market and provide liquidity to revitalize U.S. stocks and cryptocurrency; U.S. federal funds futures suggest that the Federal Reserve will cut rates 5 times this year by 120 basis points, so everyone should not fall in the darkness before dawn, but wait for the market to cut rates and unleash a wild bull market.

#币安投票上币

Yesterday morning I posted that the upward resistance is at 85.8K, 86.5K, 88.5K, and the support below is at 83.5K, 82.2K, 81.2K; by the time the US stock market closed in the morning, the big coin also surged to the maximum resistance of 88.5K, a precise prediction. If you are energetic and watching the right side for high shorts, you could have at least 3,000 to 5,000 points in profit; if you flipped and entered a long position at 82.2K, you are also in a floating profit state now. This is all just hindsight analysis, you can look back at it yourself, but I still made a long position and earned 2,000 points before sleeping.
With the official implementation of tariffs, the view of altcoins has almost dropped to zero, and the old public chains remain relatively stable. This year's new coins have basically halved and are in a state of declining to zero; it is recommended to avoid altcoins, unable to afford big coins and weak Ethereum, buying some old public chains for trading can also work; MEME can create wealth and villas by the sea, but that is for a minority of people, most cannot hold on and will eventually drop to zero.
As long as the big coin does not break the previous low of 81.2K and break through the previous high of 88.5K, it is still oscillating within the range, mainly high shorts and low longs; currently, the big coin is in a narrow range oscillating between 82.2K and 83.5K looking for a direction, with resistance still at 85K, 86.5K, and 88.5K, you can choose to set high shorts, support at 82.2K, 81.2K for low longs; watch the right side, if it breaks and pulls back to 83.5K and stabilizes or breaks through and retests without falling, go long on the right side, with a stop loss at 83K, target 85K and resistance above; if it breaks 83.5K without a pullback, enter a short position in line with the trend, with a stop loss at 83.93K, target 82.2K and support below, two strategies for you to choose from.
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Tomorrow at 3 AM, Trump will deliver a speech at the White House regarding the implementation of tariff policies. Will we see a continued pullback or the arrival of a rebound market? Yesterday, the market experienced a V-shaped recovery, giving many people renewed hope and enthusiasm, but some believe this is a deliberate spike in preparation for a significant pullback tomorrow. After all, the higher you lift it, the harder it falls; both bulls and bears express their opinions and encourage each other.
Bitcoin is currently in a converging triangle looking for direction. In this case, breaking out to go long or breaking down to go short are both valid options; the challenge is having the courage to open positions and set stop losses. The essence of trading is to know, act, and try; it’s better to be wrong than to miss out. If you make a mistake, it's okay, but correct it in time and stand firm; missing a market movement is acceptable, but missing a major trend is not. It’s fine to make mistakes, but it’s a problem if you’re unwilling to admit it and still harbor a sense of luck.
Bitcoin faces resistance at 85.8K, 86.5K, and 88.5K, where one can consider shorting. Support is at 83.5K, 82.2K, and 81.2K, where one can consider going long. Currently, we are in a converging triangle, oscillating and waiting for a true breakout or breakdown to enter on the right side; or we can wait for tomorrow’s confirmation of the tariff policy and a stable market before choosing to enter. Both sides carry risks, so today it’s best to keep hands off and observe the situation.
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#冲币新时代
Binance has announced the launch of the fourth phase of the KERNEL token. Just by holding BNB in fixed income, you can receive airdrop rewards, or complete Web3 wallet tasks to earn points for airdrops; the current market has just rebounded a bit, and Binance's activities will continue to be launched. At the same time, tokens are being transferred to Binance's designated TGE wallet on-chain, indicating that the next IDO project is about to arrive. Holding BNB truly brings abundant benefits with rewards every month.
BNB dropped to around 586 during this wave of pullback. With the market rebounding and new Binance projects launching, BNB has also seen a small rebound, with upward resistance at 622.87, 632.55, and 638.31; support levels below are 610, 598.98, and 586.49. Given that a Megadrop and IDO projects are imminent, it is recommended to focus on long positions. You can wait for a pullback to 610 without breaking, then go long, or if it breaks, wait for a pullback to enter long positions, defending at 599 with targets at 627.45 and 641.22.
For spot buying, set a limit order at 546.81. It's not that the current price isn't suitable, but BNB below 550 offers better value for money; if you don't hold any spot and want to earn monthly benefits, you can enter with a market order and then average down if it drops by 10%. After all, holding BNB won't let you lose, with monthly benefits that are plentiful, a great opportunity worth having.
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#AmericanBitcoin发布会
4.1 Morning Market Overview: The Bitcoin daily chart closed with a Doji candlestick as bulls and bears continue to contest, while the monthly chart closed with an Inverted Hammer candlestick at a bottom of 76.5K.
Tomorrow, Trump will announce a reciprocal tariff policy in the White House Rose Garden. Will it lead to further bearish corrections or a potential relief bounce? Since the announcement of Trump's tariff policy on the 28th of last month, the market has been in an extreme bearish correction mode; now that the negative news has been exhausted, the market should welcome a rebound and recovery trend. Yesterday, UT again issued 1 billion on the TRON chain, indicating that the market has shown signs of warming up, with whales entering and starting to bottom fish.
During the Asian session, the market mainly consolidated sideways. We will see some action after 6 PM; yesterday morning, the post mentioned that 83.5K and 85K are both upward resistance levels, so one could choose to short at these two points. Last night, as expected, it broke through 83.5K, hitting a low of 83895.8 before starting to pull back. If you were tracking the market price, a short position would have been entered, and the left-side entry at 83.5K is now yielding a profit of 1000 points. Conversely, since 81.2K has formed a triple bottom and has not broken down, one could consider entering a long position, targeting around 83.5K for nearly 2000 points in profit. If you have followed both bull and bear trades, you would have profited. I've shared everything you need, just take action. If you are still hesitant about entering the market, you might want to consider whether you are still suited for trading in Web3.
Today's strategy remains unchanged. As long as Bitcoin does not break below 80K or exceed 85.8K, it will remain in a range-bound consolidation. Repeatedly buying low and selling high with proper risk management is sufficient. Today's key focus is on the 82.2K support line; the bottom of the candlestick has already risen to 82.2K. Let's observe the upcoming market trends and wait for a high short and low long opportunity.
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#BSC链热浪来袭 3.31 Monday Morning Market Overview: Bitcoin forms a Doji candlestick, long and short positions continue to vie, with intraday focus on a downward trend.
BTC dipped to 81.5K at 6 AM, stopped and recovered, then tested 81.2K again at 8 AM; currently, the bearish momentum is very strong, and it seems that it will continue to pull back, aiming to fill the earlier dip, with further declines expected.
The 4H chart shows Bitcoin forming a Shark pattern, with the first PRZ at 81984 having been breached, and the second PRZ just tested this morning; there might be another dip. The third PRZ is at 80120; according to the harmonic pattern, the D point reversal suggests a long position with T1 target at 82919, T2 at 83794, and stop loss at 79035, yielding a risk-reward ratio of 2.7. Once the strategy is confirmed, one can wait for a left-side long position.
Following the Shark pattern trend, Bitcoin is expected to drop further, with strong resistance for short positions at 83.5K or 85K; similarly, support levels for light long positions are at 81.2K and 80.2K. Always set a stop loss when opening positions; though the market frequently triggers stop losses now, not setting one could lead to immediate liquidation. Preserve your capital to avoid missing opportunities!
The 1H smaller timeframe also shows an M top pattern, with MACD indicating negative momentum and insufficient bullish strength, while KDJ shows a death cross; various signs indicate that today will still be a day of corrective, downward fluctuations.

65264189781 The big pie opened with upper and lower shadow lines in the morning, a large bearish candle, and the market fluctuated upward during the day. The big pie's daily line broke through 82K with a low of 81.6K, daily high points are getting lower and lower, and low points are also getting lower, the market has once again reached an extreme point, with altcoins almost dropping by over 90%; tomorrow is the weekly close, if today does not fall below 81K, the weekly line will continue the small upward structure. After these two days of large adjustments, the market started a small rebound after hitting a low of 81.6 early this morning, forming a small ascending triangle, with upward resistance at 83.5K, 85K, and 85.8K. One can wait for a right-side breakout at 83.5K to go long, with the target above resistance, and a stop loss below. Alternatively, one can enter short positions around 83.5K, with a breakout stop, targeting around 82K. Given the current market situation, I personally lean towards going long on a right-side breakout for a rebound, while it's also fine to short at resistance levels; just make sure to protect your position. Trading itself is never 100% correct; just do what you understand. If you make mistakes, learn from them and continue; don't get overly pleased with temporary success or discouraged by a moment's error. Since you choose to trade, just keep going with understanding and action.

#土狗冲锋 3.28 Market Overview: ETH is preparing for a second test at 1750, this weak Ethereum has fallen hard. Yesterday during the day, ETH hovered around 2024.68, trying to break through but lacked momentum. A pullback is expected to hold within the range of 1980-1975. However, unexpectedly, the two converging triangles directly broke down, and both important supports at 1980 and 1950 were also breached. The 15M pullback was 101 points; if no defense was set with leverage above 50X, it would have resulted in a significant loss. Many people paid a heavy price for today's sharp drop. 24H total liquidation across the network reached 355 million USD, with the main liquidation of long positions reaching 2.959 million USD, which is unbearable to witness. When opening contracts, please set defense and do not harbor a sense of luck, otherwise, one sharp move can wipe you out, but there is still a chance to earn back the principal. Ethereum's large range pullback is only 10 points away from the 0.618 reversal point at 1886.8, while the upward movement is constrained by resistance at 1915. Given the current market, one can wait for a breakthrough at 1915 to stabilize and defend on the right side at 1886.8, or ambush on the left side at 1886.8 with defense at 1872. The target is first to look at 1950 and then 1980; the goal is to catch a rebound and see how the U.S. stock market opens to observe if the Americans will drive the market up. Yesterday, ETH spot ETF had a net outflow of 2090 contracts, with BlackRock and Grayscale showing no volatility, and Fidelity saw an outflow of 995.67 contracts. Whales have been continuously dumping ETH; first, two whale wallets sold 14,064 units, and then another whale accelerated the drop by selling 6,505 units during the decline. The U.S. government also transferred out 884 units. Whales are not optimistic about Ethereum's recent performance, and Ethereum's market value has dropped to 8.3%, which is abnormal if it doesn't fall.

$BTC 3.26 Morning Market Overview: Bitcoin daily chart continues to form a doji candlestick, with intraday fluctuations trending upwards. BTC has experienced a healthy pullback influenced by the US stock market, which is a normal fluctuation to capture liquidity and provide a healthy trend; simultaneously, it has also encountered resistance at the 4H multiple top of 88500 before starting a pullback. Yesterday, the bullish position was set up at 85K; the lowest point was 85.8K, which was not executed, but that's okay. Today the market is already rebounding, and one can choose to enter a short position at 88516 or at the trend line of 89713, with a stop loss at 90566 and targets of 86.5K and 85.8K. Conversely, we are still waiting for a pullback to 85K and 83.5K, both of which are strong support levels and also entry points for bullish positions. In trading, much of the time is spent waiting; when the strategy level is reached, one must know how to act and have the courage to place trades while incorporating defense. Yesterday, the net outflow of BTC spot ETF was 209.45 contracts, marking the first outflow after seven consecutive working days of net inflow.

#GameStop将比特币纳入储备资产 3.26 Morning Market Overview: $BTC
Bitcoin daily chart continues to close with a doji bearish candle, primarily showing a bullish trend during the day
BTC has experienced a healthy pullback influenced by the US stock market, which is a normal fluctuation to capture liquidity for a healthy market trend; at the same time, it also encountered resistance at 88500, the multiple tops in the 4H timeframe, and started to pull back
Yesterday, Bitcoin long positions were set at 85K, but the lowest point was 85.8K, which was not reached, but that’s okay. Today the market is already in a rebound, and one can choose to enter a short position at 88516 or at the trend line at 89713, with a stop loss at 90566, targeting 86.5K and 85.8K; conversely, still wait for a pullback to 85K and 83.5K, which are both strong support levels and positions for long entries; in trading, more time is spent waiting. When the strategy position is reached, one must act decisively and be willing to trade with defense
Yesterday, BTC spot ETF had a net outflow of 209.45 contracts, marking the first outflow after seven consecutive working days of net inflow.

#GameStop将比特币纳入储备资产 3.26 Market Overview: LTC Market Repair Completed, Continuing to Break Up
LTC spicy strips come back strong, previously accumulating around 87, then accumulating again near 90; with enough chips, it’s time to pump; this morning touched the upper resistance at 96.1 and directly retraced to 93.3, in the afternoon re-repairing the market, seizing the lower liquidity begins to rise, a big bullish candle directly pulled back
LTC is within an ascending wedge channel structure, with both the bottom and top rising respectively; on the right side, bet on a true breakthrough at 96.2 to go long, targets at 99.21 and 103.56, with a defense at 95.02; or on the right side above the ascending trend line at 96.2 to go short, target at 93.35, with a defense at 97.33; 93.05 is the ice line within this range, as long as it doesn't break, it remains a bullish structure, breaking down and then pulling back up also indicates a long direction; lower support at 91.2, 89.69, 88.18, spot allocation can be built in batches near the three support levels.

$ETH
ETH started touching the 2100 resistance yesterday afternoon and has failed five consecutive 4H attempts to touch the 2100 resistance since this morning. This shows that those who have profits to be realized are reducing or closing their positions at this level.
The US stock market opened 1H, and all three major indices slightly rose, which will have a certain lifting effect on crypto; if it can break through the 2068 level, we will look at the 2100 resistance and 2153. For support, we will look at 2024 and 1988; currently, Ethereum is continuously forming an ascending triangle, with the bottom consistently rising, which is very strong, and there is no reason to short. It is recommended to mainly buy on dips.
1988 is a strong support entry point for long positions on the left side, with a stop loss at 1975, T1 targets at 2068 and 2100, and 1945 is also a strong support position to go long; if it breaks below 2068 and then retraces back up, it is also a good opportunity to go long with a light position, but the profit target is small, aiming for 2100, hoping for 2153, with a stop loss at 2038, basically a 1:1 risk-reward ratio.

#币安MegadropSOLV #币安MegadropSOLV Golden Shovel BNB is here again
With Binance launching #币安MegadropSOLV Megadrop SOLV yesterday, this is also the third Megadrop airdrop. Each event will have certain rewards. There are two ways to participate this time. First, you can get SOLV airdrop by holding BNB for regular financial management; the other is to stake at least 0.0001$BTC in Binance Web3 wallet, and then participate in the exchange Megadrop to complete the stake to get SOLV
As soon as the event came out, BNB hit 745 yesterday. Long-term holding of BNB is a very good choice; one coin has four benefits: Launchpool, Holder, Megadrop and the price of the coin itself; after all, BNB is the token of Binance, the world's largest exchange, and it is stable and has a low risk factor of non-depreciation
BNB is looking for a breakthrough in the rising wedge channel, which can also be seen as a breakthrough in the rising triangle. The main support is the 727.3 support-resistance exchange point. The pressure is still at 745 above, but the Megadrop lasts for 10 days, so BNB will try to break through and touch the 773 position.
The shark pattern of BNB has not come out last time, so we will continue to use it; according to the standard shark pattern, it will go to the 769-773 range and the 785-794 range, and even break the previous high to complete the mutation shark and reach the 810-816 range; generally, the BNB market is still bullish. After all, BNB's value ecology and destruction are still ahead of the public.

#加密市场反弹 25.01.05 Weekend Market Overview:
$BTC Bitcoin closed as a doji star this morning, with bulls and bears locked in a stalemate, looking for a breakthrough this weekend.
The 4H Bitcoin is currently following the trend line to form an ascending triangle, with resistance at 99K above. In the 4H, there are signs of volume-price divergence and a death cross, both indicating a potential pullback.
Assess the direction on a higher time frame and look for opportunities on a lower time frame; the 1H is forming an ascending triangle facing pressure from 99K and significant pressure at 100K; yesterday's short positions at 100K continue to be set up; liquidity may be insufficient this weekend to break the upper resistance line, which suggests a focus on consolidation within a small triangle; intraday support at 97880 and 97203, resistance at 98664 and 98976.
The above information is for market analysis only and should not be considered as trading advice; for more posts, information, and wealth code point analysis, please search directly on Binance: Liang Xuan Mr. Jiang.

#加密ETF申请热潮涌现
12.28 Weekend Evening Market Overview:
$SOL has been pulling back since hitting a new high of 264 on 11.22, while various sectors of public chain tokens have been continuously reaching new highs. In contrast, SOL has been declining daily, which is a bit perplexing.
From the DEX data, SOL has ranked ahead of ETH and BSC for two consecutive months, with the first DEX trading volume never shaken; moreover, the MEME wealth effect on the SOL chain is the largest. Since the bull market began on November 4, it was SOL chain's PNUT and ACT that played a leading role in creating wealth, attracting old retail investors back to the crypto space and bringing in fresh capital.
However, currently, SOL is the weakest public chain token. The rising star SUI has been steadily advancing, while the established competitor XRP has also returned to the top 3 in market capitalization. The collapsed and reorganized FTT has also been reaching new highs and progressing steadily. Is it possible that the big players and Wall Street capital are planning for next year's ETT application approval while accumulating positions through long-term oscillation? I believe this is the reason; otherwise, there’s no explanation for this situation.
Currently, SOL is forming a flag pattern within a descending wedge channel, oscillating narrowly; the highs are getting lower, and the lows are getting lower. The daily line needs to stabilize at 202 for SOL to truly embark on a market trend of its own; resistance is at 209 and 230, while support is at 178.5 and 167.57

#市场反弹迹象
The spring of Bull Terrier $FLOKI is coming
According to the official FLOKI Twitter, their trading product ETP will be launched in Q1 next year. If approved smoothly, FLOKI will become the only MEME token with institutional products in Europe, apart from DOGE; this is also an important step for FLOKI, transforming from a MEME to a practical project.
From November 4th, when Trump won the election, to the 19th, when Mr. Bao made his statement, FLOKI completed a real case of the Wyckoff escape top method; it also marked the end of a 1:1 proportional pullback from the top M pattern; at the same time, it perfectly completed the Gartley pattern.
Now, the market #市场反弹迹象 is beginning to rebound, and with the timely good news from FLOKI, it will迎来新春天; the bottom has already formed, waiting for FLOKI's perfect performance; resistance is at 0.20056 and 0.23472, support at 0.15218 and 0.11466

#加密市场盘整 Golden Shovel $BNB
BNB mining is back
Although the market has been fluctuating downwards, BNB, as Binance's platform token, remains resilient; after the sharp decline and subsequent rebound from the 19th, followed by a second test of the bottom, it was noticed that altcoins have started not to follow Bitcoin’s decline below previous lows, but instead raise their bottoms and continue to stabilize and rise; Bitcoin's market share is beginning to decline, Bitcoin is consolidating, and altcoins are eager to welcome a new round of recovery
In this sluggish market, BNB lives up to expectations, and this morning at 8 o'clock, the 63rd round of mining for new BIO this month has arrived, which is also a benefit for us holding BNB. One coin, four uses, is worth having. If you hold BNB for the long term, it is definitely a good choice
According to the current trend, BNB is an unfinished shark pattern. BC has been established, predicting the D point of the first standard shark reversal range 769.65-773.89; the second standard shark reversal range is 783.5-793.86; the third mutated shark reversal range is 810.71-816.63; as altcoins begin to warm up, BNB will also continue to reach new target heights, whether it will create a historical new high remains to be seen; BNB pressure looks at 706.28 and 726.95 support 668 and 658.6