Rion_K

Published: August 1, 2025

In the wake of the latest Federal Reserve policy meeting, Chair Jerome Powell is facing intensified scrutiny. Former President Donald Trump has renewed his calls for Powell’s removal, arguing that he is failing to cut interest rates rapidly enough. Meanwhile, the Fed has maintained its benchmark rate at 4.25–4.50% for a fifth straight meeting.

🔍 What’s Driving the Controversy?

🧾 Rate Decision & Internal Dissent

At the July Fed meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9–2 to maintain rates, with Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman dissenting—a rare occurrence not seen in over 30 years New York Post+15Reuters+15Wikipedia+15AP News+4Kiplinger+4CBS News+4.

Powell justified the hold, citing inflation modestly above target and labor market resilience. He emphasized the need for more data before considering rate cuts Reuters+1Kiplinger+1.

🗣️ Trump’s Public Rebuke

Trump branded Powell a “stubborn MORON” on Truth Social, demanding immediate rate reductions and urging the Fed board to seize control from the Chair if he refuses AP News+5Reuters+5Al Jazeera+5.

He further called on Powell to step down following the resignation of Fed Governor Adriana Kugler, suggesting the Board should act against him Reuters+9El País+9AP News+9.

📊 Key Economic and Policy Context

Despite political pressure, inflation remains slightly above the Fed’s 2% target (Core CPI ~2.9%, Core PCE ~2.8%) and unemployment holds near 4.1–4.2%—indicators Powell cited to justify caution Kiplinger+4Reuters+4thetimes.co.uk+4.

Markets have dialed back expectations for a September rate cut, now seeing less than a 50% chance of easing, with potential policy action pushed into late 2025 or early 2026 Kiplinger.

🧠 What This Means for Markets & Governance

Eroding Fed independence: Political interference threatens the credibility of future economic data and policy decisions.

Leadership under pressure: With Kugler’s early resignation effective August 8, Trump gains a fresh opportunity to shape the Board—and potentially build support for replacing Powell washingtonpost.com.

Investor impact: Markets remain wary of further political escalation. If leadership changes or rate cuts accelerate, risk assets could react sharply.

🔭 What to Monitor Now

Whether Trump follows through with efforts to push Powell out or reshapes the Fed Board.

Future dissent trends within the FOMC, especially among new or Trump-aligned governors.

Signs of inflation trending below the Fed threshold—or new economic shocks from tariffs or labor trends.

Jerome Powell is at a pivotal crossroads. While he continues to uphold a measured, data-driven path, political pressure from Trump and allied financial interests is mounting. The Fed’s independence hangs in the balance—and so does market stability in the year ahead.

#JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Trump #FedNews #EconomicPolicy #MarketVolatility #Inflation #CentralBankIndependence #FOMC

XRP's official departure from $3 was finalized today and became a bearish milestone not many were ready to see. It is currently trading at about $2.92 following a persistent and steady decline from its July peak of over $3.70. The pattern is obvious: $3 is no longer the line in the sand as it once seemed, and bulls are no longer in charge.

The 26 EMA has now been breached by the price, which is exhibiting minimal resistance to downward pressure. The fact that volume is still moderate during this correction may indicate that there is no panic, but it also indicates that there is not much buying interest. The RSI is currently hovering in the high 40s, indicating waning momentum and validating the downward trend as it dips below the neutral zone.

What does this signify for investors? First, the $3 narrative needs to be abandoned. Although holding onto that threshold blinds traders to the market's true structure, it was a crucial psychological milestone during the rally. Several retests failed to hold $3, which should be seen as evidence that this zone is now functioning as resistance rather than support. A minor historical support cluster and the 50 EMA are converging in the $2.70-$2.60 zone, which is the next area of interest.

A retest of the $2.30-$2.20 range will be in play if XRP finds support there, but it may stabilize if that level is broken. XRP's growth has waned. Clinging to the $3+ price tag will only cause rational positioning to be delayed. If buyers do not appear soon, this decline may worsen. Instead of holding onto broken price points, it is preferable to adjust to what the chart is telling you.

Ethereum takes hit

Ethereum, which peaked just below $4,000, has entered a necessary correction phase. Given the overheated RSI which, at its peak, reached 78 — a level infrequently maintained in trending markets — the recent downtrend is not totally surprising. The 26 EMA, however, is now entering the picture and could serve as the first significant support level since the start of this breakout.

Ethereum has already dropped almost 10% from the local peak and is currently trading close to $3,620. The asset is still well above its major moving averages, even though the red candles are piling up. The 26 EMA is closing in quickly. If selling pressure begins to lessen, the 26 EMA — which is positioned around $3,480 — may offer ETH a lifeline and an opportunity to consolidate rather than break down further.

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The volume profile indicates that the selling pressure is consistent but not spiking, indicating that this is more of a cooldown than a panicked surrender. Additionally, the RSI has dropped back toward 61, removing ETH from the danger zone and placing it in a more neutral position that allows for a recovery.

ETH might find a new base of support to range or build up for another leg upward if the 26 EMA holds. Conversely, the $3,000 level — which is home to the 50 EMA, which has historically been a reliable anchor in corrective cycles — would be the next area to keep an eye on if it fails. Ethereum is essentially cooling off without crashing.

The 26 EMA is a crucial technical indicator at the moment that could determine whether ETH maintains a sound correction or runs the risk of plunging further into a drawdown. The $3,480-$3,500 range should be the focus of attention in the coming days.

Bitcoin tumbles down

The $120,000 threshold, which now appears more like a ceiling than a stepping stone, has officially been lost by Bitcoin. The price has fallen more than 7% from the local peak and is currently trading at about $114,798 after failing to break through the resistance with conviction.

At least temporarily, the rejection at this psychologically significant level signals a shift in bullish sentiment. The obvious decline in momentum is more worrisome for bulls. There has been a decline in buying interest as volume has been drying up on every attempt to break $120,000. The bullish push is no longer in control, as evidenced by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has fallen below 60.

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The 26 EMA, which is slightly above $111,800, is the next line of defense. During the recent uptrend on Bitcoin, this level has served as dependable short-term support. Bitcoin may try to move toward resistance once more if it can recover sharply from the 26 EMA. If it does not hold, however, the correction may deepen toward the 50 EMA, which is located at about $107,000, where more robust support is probably going to be present. The level of $120,000 is out of the question for the time being.

The rejection was not only technical, but it was also supported by macro factors, such as the United States' renewed strength. Unless Bitcoin exhibits a strong reaction at the 26 EMA support, investors should prepare for consolidation or additional declines.

If there is not a significant rebound, it will be hard to support another leg up in the near future, but a bounce there might maintain the bullish structure. Let's sum up: $120,000 is history for the time being. Before investors can begin to envision new highs, Bitcoin must regain its equilibrium and maintain important support.

In a surprising turn of events, former U.S. President Donald Trump has made a provocative assertion regarding recent economic data. He claims that the latest U.S. employment figures have been deliberately "rigged" to tarnish his reputation ahead of the upcoming presidential election.
Trump suggests that the employment numbers released are no coincidence but are part of a strategic political effort to influence public opinion and impact financial markets. His comments have sparked widespread discussion, not only across media outlets but also within financial communities. Given the significant influence macroeconomic indicators have on market trends—particularly in the crypto and stock sectors—investors are now highly cautious.
The key question remains: Is this a calculated political move tied to election season, or merely an unfortunate coincidence?
One thing is certain:
📊 Market watchers are paying close attention.
Expect increased volatility and rapid market reactions in the coming months as political narratives, economic data, and market sentiment continue to intersect.$TRUMP

#BinanceSquare #MarketNews #Crypto #Stocks #Election2024 #EconomicData #Trump #FinancialNews

In a surprising turn of events, former U.S. President Donald Trump has made a provocative assertion regarding recent economic data. He claims that the latest U.S. employment figures have been deliberately "rigged" to tarnish his reputation ahead of the upcoming presidential election.
Trump suggests that the employment numbers released are no coincidence but are part of a strategic political effort to influence public opinion and impact financial markets. His comments have sparked widespread discussion, not only across media outlets but also within financial communities. Given the significant influence macroeconomic indicators have on market trends—particularly in the crypto and stock sectors—investors are now highly cautious.
The key question remains: Is this a calculated political move tied to election season, or merely an unfortunate coincidence?
One thing is certain:
📊 Market watchers are paying close attention.
Expect increased volatility and rapid market reactions in the coming months as political narratives, economic data, and market sentiment continue to intersect.$TRUMP

#BinanceSquare #MarketNews #Crypto #Stocks #Election2024 #EconomicData #Trump #FinancialNews

Bitcoin at a Crossroads as Bulls and Bears Vie for Dominance at $113K
As of August 2, 2025, Bitcoin is locked in a fierce tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces, with its price hovering around the critical $113,000 pivot point. Trading between $113,561 and $113,800 over the past hour, Bitcoin commands a market capitalization of $2.26 trillion, with a 24-hour trading volume of $49.17 billion. The cryptocurrency’s recent price action, marked by a decline from a high of approximately $123,236, signals a short-term downtrend and heightened volatility, with an intraday range spanning $112,680 to $115,899. This pivotal moment has crypto investors and market analysts closely monitoring technical indicators, market sentiment, and potential catalysts to determine Bitcoin’s next move.
Price Trends and Market Dynamics
Bitcoin’s recent descent from its $123,236 peak reflects a cooling-off period after a strong bullish run earlier in 2025. The cryptocurrency has struggled to maintain momentum above the $120,000 level, a psychological and technical barrier that previously sparked intense market activity. Over the past 24 hours, the price has fluctuated within a relatively tight range, underscoring uncertainty about its short-term direction. This volatility follows a broader trend of consolidation, with Bitcoin’s market cap holding steady at $2.26 trillion, supported by robust trading volume that indicates sustained investor interest despite the indecision.
The $113,000 level has emerged as a critical pivot, acting as both a support and resistance zone in recent weeks. Earlier in 2025, Bitcoin faced similar battles at lower price points, such as $110,000 in June and $120,000 in July, each time testing the resolve of bulls and bears. The current price action suggests a compression pattern, where narrowing ranges often precede significant breakouts or breakdowns, keeping traders on edge.
Technical Indicators: A Mixed Picture
Technical analysis reveals a complex landscape for Bitcoin. The daily chart shows Bitcoin trading below its recent highs, with the 50-day moving average (approximately $105,800) providing some support, while the $110,000–$112,000 zone remains a formidable resistance. Analysts note the formation of a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern on longer-term charts, a bullish signal that could foreshadow a breakout if Bitcoin clears the $112,000 neckline with strong volume. However, momentum indicators paint a cautious picture. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum, suggesting that buying pressure may be fading. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory, hovering near high levels, which could indicate a potential pause or pullback if selling pressure mounts.
On-chain data adds further nuance. The 24-hour long/short ratio for Bitcoin futures on Binance stands at 0.56, reflecting a bearish tilt among futures traders anticipating a price decline. Yet, open interest in Bitcoin futures remains near record highs at $75 billion, signaling that leveraged positions could amplify price movements in either direction. This high-stakes environment underscores the importance of the $113,000 pivot as a make-or-break level for Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory.
Bullish and Bearish Sentiment
Bulls remain cautiously optimistic, buoyed by Bitcoin’s ability to hold above key long-term moving averages and the ongoing influx of institutional capital through exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The post-halving environment, which historically reduces Bitcoin’s new supply and fuels scarcity-driven rallies, continues to support bullish sentiment. Some analysts project that a decisive break above $113,000–$115,000 could pave the way for a rally toward $130,000 or even $165,000 later in 2025, especially if ETF inflows and global market sentiment remain favorable.
Conversely, bears argue that Bitcoin’s momentum is waning, pointing to technical exhaustion and the risk of profit-taking near recent highs. A failure to break through $113,000 could trigger a retest of lower support levels around $105,000 or even $103,600, particularly if macroeconomic uncertainties or regulatory developments dampen investor confidence. The relative underperformance of altcoins compared to Bitcoin also hints at potential market fatigue, which could exacerbate downward pressure if Bitcoin fails to hold its current range.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
Bitcoin stands at a critical juncture, with the $113,000 pivot acting as a battleground for market direction. A sustained breakout above this level, backed by strong volume, could signal the start of a new bullish phase, potentially driving Bitcoin to new all-time highs. However, a drop below $112,680 could embolden bears, leading to a deeper correction toward lower support zones. Traders are advised to monitor volume trends, ETF inflows, and macroeconomic factors, such as regulatory shifts or global economic sentiment, which could tip the scales.
For now, Bitcoin’s fate hinges on whether bulls can muster the strength to overcome resistance or if bears will capitalize on weakening momentum. As the crypto market watches closely, risk management remains paramount in navigating this volatile landscape. Stay tuned for Bitcoin’s next move, as the outcome of this clash will likely set the tone for the broader cryptocurrency market in the weeks ahead.
#MarketPullback
$BTC

And most users had no idea it was happening.

Your private chats were literally one toggle away from going public and showing up in Google results.

Here's what actually happened - and it's worse than you think.

OpenAI quietly introduced a "Make link discoverable" option within their new Shared Chats feature. Sounds innocent, right?

Wrong.

If you clicked that option, your chat became a public webpage that search engines could immediately index.

Google started crawling these conversations, and thousands of ChatGPT chats - many containing personal, professional, or sensitive content - began surfacing in Google Search results.

Why this was so dangerous:

- No clear warning: There was zero indication that enabling this option would make your content publicly searchable on Google.

- Basic web dev failure: OpenAI didn't add a "noindex" directive - web development 101 for keeping content off search engines.

- High-risk data exposed: The indexed chats included job applications, personal identifiers, business plans, technical code, and internal documents.

For a company pushing AI for enterprise use, this was a massive data governance failure.

Once this story started spreading, OpenAI pulled the plug within 24 hours.

They removed the "discoverable" option, started coordinating with Google to remove indexed links, and urged users to review their shared chats.

But the damage was already done. Cached versions of these conversations may still appear in search results.

What you need to do right now:

1. Go to ChatGPT > Settings > Shared Links
2. Review every conversation you've made public
3. Delete any shared links you don't want on the web
4. Wait for Google to remove the indexed versions

Sam Altman previously warned about this - "There's no legal privacy shield around your AI chats yet - it's screwed up, and it needs fixing."

This wasn't some sophisticated hack. This was a feature working exactly as designed - with very poor execution lol.

Thousands of users accidentally made their private conversations public because of one unclear toggle.

And this won't be the last AI privacy incident. It's just the first one that got caught.

Leverage isn’t the problem.
You are.
Let’s clear up one of the biggest misconceptions in trading.
Everyone keeps blaming leverage for their losses, but they’re missing the real issue.
What Actually Matters in a Trade?
Forget about leverage for a second. What really matters is:
Notional position sizeDefined risk in dollar terms
The way you reach your desired exposure (via 2x, 10x, 100x, or spot) is mostly irrelevant.
If your trade size and stop-loss are the same, the outcome will also be the same, no matter the leverage multiplier.
Confused? Let's Do Some Quick Math
Imagine this setup:
Portfolio size: $100,000Risk per trade: $1,000
Trade example:
Long BTC at $100,000Stop-loss at $99,000Target at $102,000
You're risking $1,000 for the chance to make $2,000 — that’s a 2R trade.
Now here comes the magic trick...
Scenario A:
$1,000 margin x100 leverage = $100,000 position
Price hits $102K → $2,000 profitPrice drops to $99K → $1,000 loss
Scenario B:
$10,000 margin x10 leverage = $100,000 position
Same result: $2,000 profit or $1,000 loss
Scenario C:
$50,000 margin x2 leverage = $100,000 position
Again: $2,000 profit or $1,000 loss
Scenario D:
Buy $100,000 spot BTC (no leverage)
Still: $2,000 profit or $1,000 loss
So What’s the Point?
All these setups have:
The same notional exposureThe same dollar riskThe same potential outcome
The only difference?
Margin efficiency.
Using more leverage simply means you're tying up less of your capital to take the same trade.
So, What’s the Real Mistake Most Traders Make?
Most of you start with:
“I have $1,000. Let’s pick a leverage level based on vibes.”
Feeling scared? Use 2x.Feeling bold? YOLO 100x.
So, without logic, you jump between $2,000 and $100,000 in trade size.
No risk calculation. Just mood swings.
Want to Level Up? Flip the Script:
Define your risk first.Decide your position size second.Pick your leverage last.
That’s how professionals think.
But Wait... Some Real-World Nuance:
Even if you plan your trades perfectly, real-life trading involves:
Funding ratesTaker fees and spreadsSlippage & volatility gapsExecution delays
These can eat into your profits or make losses worse. So your textbook “2R” setup might not play out perfectly in reality.
Bottom Line?
Leverage is just math.
It’s not inherently risky.
The risk comes from poor sizing and emotional trading.
So next time someone says:
"He's using 100x leverage, he's going to get wrecked!"
You’ll know better.
What really liquidates most traders?
Low IQ, not high leverage.

Confidence in Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has taken a serious hit. Just one disappointing U.S. employment report was enough to dismantle the illusion of a “resilient labor market” that Powell had defended earlier this week. Markets reacted immediately, and a September interest rate cut is once again on the table — now with a much higher probability than before.
According to the newly released data, the U.S. economy added just 73,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in July. That’s far below the 110,000 expected by analysts. What’s more, there were massive revisions to previous months’ figures. June’s number was slashed from 147,000 to only 14,000. May’s data dropped from 144,000 to 19,000. In total, 258,000 jobs disappeared from the last two months' statistics — roughly equivalent to the entire population of Scottsdale, Arizona.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate quietly rose to 4.2%. Although that matched expectations, it was still higher than the previous month, putting a serious dent in the narrative that the Fed had pushed just days ago. Powell’s statement that the labor market was “still strong” didn’t even survive a full media cycle before being discredited by the cold reality of the numbers.

Markets Flip: Rate Cut Seen as a Done Deal
The market’s response was swift. The CME FedWatch Tool showed that the probability of a rate cut in September jumped to 75.5%, up from just 40% a day earlier. Prediction platform Kalshi echoed this sentiment, giving a 75% chance that Powell and his team will lower interest rates at the next FOMC meeting.
The bond market also responded sharply. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped by 15 basis points to 3.80%, while the ten-year yield fell by 8 basis points. For many investors, the message was clear — a policy pivot is rapidly approaching.

Trump Blasts Powell: “Too Late. Cut Rates Now!”
As expected, Donald Trump wasted no time in attacking the Fed Chair. On his Truth Social platform, he called Powell “a disaster” and demanded an immediate rate cut.
“Too little, too late. Jerome ‘Too Late’ Powell is a disaster. CUT RATES! The good news is, tariffs are bringing billions into the USA!”
So what do today’s numbers really mean? At this point, there are only two plausible interpretations. Either the U.S. labor market is genuinely sliding into recession, or the Bureau of Labor Statistics data is so flawed that a quarter of a million jobs have simply vanished in two months. Neither scenario is encouraging. The first suggests real economic trouble. The second suggests that nobody actually knows what’s going on in the economy.
In either case, a September rate cut is no longer a “maybe.” The market is now pricing it in as almost certain.

#Powell , #Fed , #WallStreet , #FederalReserve , #TRUMP

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,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“