This Wednesday, the US will release intensive second-quarter GDP data, the ADP employment figures, and PCE inflation data. If these three figures come in below expectations, they could trigger a reassessment of global markets and further influence the interest rate decision announced on Thursday. Due to fiscal concerns, the US could allow the dollar to weaken and keep the Fed's interest rates under pressure. This is all a concerted strategy, signaling strong expectations of rate cuts.
Beginning this Wednesday (GDP/ADP/PCE data) + Thursday (Fed decision) + Friday (NFP employment data) will be the most important market turning point of the year.
Friends, you must understand that the core financial variables in the market haven't actually changed. US dollar credit expansion continues, and the logic behind stablecoins is also strengthening. Although trade tensions have eased somewhat, that doesn't mean the risk of dollar weakness in this cycle is over. Pressure on US government bonds remains. As the overall rise in the crypto market today continues, don't forget that the main events of the week haven't even begun. Tech company earnings reports may not have much impact on us, but these three things can really change the benchmark for asset prices: the Fed's interest rate decision, PCE inflation data, and the NFP employment report. The crypto market reaction was also very clear. BNB was the first to break through $840, setting a new record high, ETH rose more than 3.5%, and Bitcoin easily surpassed $119,000. The top ten mid- and small-cap coins also surged in tandem, indicating that market funds are rapidly seeking assets with greater potential for explosion.