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Bitcoin False Breakout, Bearish Counterattack? 2025.6.9
Brothers, the structure on June 9 is very critical; is it the starting point for a big drop, or a trap for inducing shorts and washing positions?
Updated daily, remember to follow me!
I. Structure and Phase Analysis
From the trend perspective, this wave of Bitcoin has highly conformed to the structural characteristics of a false breakout that induces buying:
✅【Short-term】
After breaking through the upper resistance and quickly pulling back, it engulfs the bullish candlestick + increased selling volume;
MACD shows a top divergence, SRSI is rapidly declining from the overbought zone;
Currently testing around 105K FVG; if breached, it will confirm the spike and drop and enter the decline phase.
✅【Medium-term】
This round of rebound from 103K to 106K failed to sustain, constituting a 'failed attempt to rise';
Updated daily, remember to follow me!
I. Structure and Phase Analysis
From the trend perspective, this wave of Bitcoin has highly conformed to the structural characteristics of a false breakout that induces buying:
✅【Short-term】
After breaking through the upper resistance and quickly pulling back, it engulfs the bullish candlestick + increased selling volume;
MACD shows a top divergence, SRSI is rapidly declining from the overbought zone;
Currently testing around 105K FVG; if breached, it will confirm the spike and drop and enter the decline phase.
✅【Medium-term】
This round of rebound from 103K to 106K failed to sustain, constituting a 'failed attempt to rise';
See original
[Market Crossroads: Rebound or Lure? 2025.6.6]
Brothers, I don't want to say too much today. The market has reached a critical time window—will it be the 'starting point for a new round of rise' or 'the last lure before a drop'? After reading this article, you may have the answer.
1. Structural analysis: spring may not be a real spring.
First, let's talk about the structure—viewed from a structural perspective, the current major coin is a typical pullback after a distribution phase.
The daily and 12-hour candlesticks show that although a long lower shadow has formed near 100K, possibly indicating a rebound or shakeout, I only trust 'structural confirmation', not 'emotional speculation'.
1. Structural analysis: spring may not be a real spring.
First, let's talk about the structure—viewed from a structural perspective, the current major coin is a typical pullback after a distribution phase.
The daily and 12-hour candlesticks show that although a long lower shadow has formed near 100K, possibly indicating a rebound or shakeout, I only trust 'structural confirmation', not 'emotional speculation'.
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BTC Multi-Strategy Reflection (June 4)
Bulls don't die in the downtrend, but in the 'inducing longs' spring dream.
1. Structural judgment: High-level 'inducing longs' sideways, or a prelude to redistribution.
Current price is running in the range of 105,500-106,400, just stuck in the previous high FVG supply area, after a failed high, it has clearly retreated. From a pattern perspective, it is closer to a non-continuation high retreat → horizontal accumulation → redistribution structure.
Indicators are also giving clear warnings:
1H, 2H, and 4H Stoch RSI are all in a death cross.
MACD top divergence + momentum bars turning green.
The FVG support at 104,800 below has not been effectively tested.
✅ Conclusion: The main force is more inclined to build an inducing long structure here, then further push down to retest previous low support.
1. Structural judgment: High-level 'inducing longs' sideways, or a prelude to redistribution.
Current price is running in the range of 105,500-106,400, just stuck in the previous high FVG supply area, after a failed high, it has clearly retreated. From a pattern perspective, it is closer to a non-continuation high retreat → horizontal accumulation → redistribution structure.
Indicators are also giving clear warnings:
1H, 2H, and 4H Stoch RSI are all in a death cross.
MACD top divergence + momentum bars turning green.
The FVG support at 104,800 below has not been effectively tested.
✅ Conclusion: The main force is more inclined to build an inducing long structure here, then further push down to retest previous low support.
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BTC High Position Rebound? Don't Celebrate Too Early! (June 3rd)
The clearer the structure, the more one feels — now is not the time to impulsively go long.
I. Short-term structure: Increased risk of false bullish, bears may welcome a turning point
Currently, BTC is in a key supply area on the 1H-8H charts, with rebound momentum clearly waning, and the price stuck in the dense FVG area of 106500-107000, showing multiple signs of halting. It resembles a distribution structure during a rebound, rather than a consolidation before a rise.
Short-term tops are continuously accumulating liquidity, with strong false bullish sentiment, a typical 'pull a knife to kill the bulls' scenario may be brewing.
Indicator signals: Stoch RSI has entered extreme overbought territory, and the MACD red bars have not expanded — insufficient strength, short positions need to be extremely cautious.
I. Short-term structure: Increased risk of false bullish, bears may welcome a turning point
Currently, BTC is in a key supply area on the 1H-8H charts, with rebound momentum clearly waning, and the price stuck in the dense FVG area of 106500-107000, showing multiple signs of halting. It resembles a distribution structure during a rebound, rather than a consolidation before a rise.
Short-term tops are continuously accumulating liquidity, with strong false bullish sentiment, a typical 'pull a knife to kill the bulls' scenario may be brewing.
Indicator signals: Stoch RSI has entered extreme overbought territory, and the MACD red bars have not expanded — insufficient strength, short positions need to be extremely cautious.
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Did you open too many 11w?
Fool, not daring to get on the car yourself, and misleading others not to get on either, your heart can be punished, your heart can be punished.
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【$BTC Structure Analysis｜Don't chase highs, the real opportunities haven't arrived】
Family, as this round of market has gone this far, are you a calm trader, or an emotional liquidator?
Many in the market are shouting 'the pullback is over, it's time to buy the dip,' but I just want to say: the rebound you see is a short's respite, not a bull's rebirth.
This wave of BTC decline is not an end, but the beginning of a larger decline.
One, structure precedes price; the trend is already clear.
BTC's current structure has clearly entered the Markdown phase:
The previous top at 112000 was the distribution peak;
The current retracement is not a bottom, but the last supply test to replenish the FVG area;
Many in the market are shouting 'the pullback is over, it's time to buy the dip,' but I just want to say: the rebound you see is a short's respite, not a bull's rebirth.
This wave of BTC decline is not an end, but the beginning of a larger decline.
One, structure precedes price; the trend is already clear.
BTC's current structure has clearly entered the Markdown phase:
The previous top at 112000 was the distribution peak;
The current retracement is not a bottom, but the last supply test to replenish the FVG area;
See original
【China State Construction Group owes wages, Bitcoin is not speculation, it is a matter of survival.】
On May 27, it was exposed by xhs: China State Construction Group owes wages in Guangdong, and the Egypt project has not paid salaries for nearly a year.
The state-owned enterprises that once represented national credit are now also collapsing.
The faith in fiat currency is gradually disintegrating.
After the real estate crisis, even infrastructure giants have started to delay wage payments; do you still believe that "salary card + property certificate" is safe?
When you discover that even the national team can't pay salaries, yet the crypto market still fluctuates thousands of points within a day,
you should rethink: "What is the essence of 'money'? Where is the anchor point for asset allocation?"
On the blockchain, there are no wage debts, no defaults, no freezes.
💡Bitcoin is the "safe haven anchor" in asset allocation.
📊【Market Analysis | BTC/USDT (May 28, 2025)】
The current price rebounded to 108,200, testing the lower edge of the supply zone; momentum is weakening.
Structural features indicate this is the pullback testing phase.
📉Operation suggestions:
1️⃣ Short-term short position: If it fails to break through 108,800 and falls back on increased volume, set up a short position; stop loss above 109,000.
2️⃣ Medium-term short position: If it breaks below 107,000 on increased volume, target the 105,000 area.
⚠️ Long positions should wait and see; do not act lightly if it does not break 109,000.
💬On one side is the "national credit" that doesn't even pay salaries;
on the other side is the ever-redeemable, borderless BTC.
In such an era:
it's not about whether you believe in Bitcoin, but whether you have any way out.
Systemic social risks are amplifying, and Bitcoin is the refuge of this era.
If you are tired of passively waiting and want to truly change your fate trajectory, don't be "the one owed wages," be the one who makes active choices.
$BTC
On May 27, it was exposed by xhs: China State Construction Group owes wages in Guangdong, and the Egypt project has not paid salaries for nearly a year.
The state-owned enterprises that once represented national credit are now also collapsing.
The faith in fiat currency is gradually disintegrating.
After the real estate crisis, even infrastructure giants have started to delay wage payments; do you still believe that "salary card + property certificate" is safe?
When you discover that even the national team can't pay salaries, yet the crypto market still fluctuates thousands of points within a day,
you should rethink: "What is the essence of 'money'? Where is the anchor point for asset allocation?"
On the blockchain, there are no wage debts, no defaults, no freezes.
💡Bitcoin is the "safe haven anchor" in asset allocation.
📊【Market Analysis | BTC/USDT (May 28, 2025)】
The current price rebounded to 108,200, testing the lower edge of the supply zone; momentum is weakening.
Structural features indicate this is the pullback testing phase.
📉Operation suggestions:
1️⃣ Short-term short position: If it fails to break through 108,800 and falls back on increased volume, set up a short position; stop loss above 109,000.
2️⃣ Medium-term short position: If it breaks below 107,000 on increased volume, target the 105,000 area.
⚠️ Long positions should wait and see; do not act lightly if it does not break 109,000.
💬On one side is the "national credit" that doesn't even pay salaries;
on the other side is the ever-redeemable, borderless BTC.
In such an era:
it's not about whether you believe in Bitcoin, but whether you have any way out.
Systemic social risks are amplifying, and Bitcoin is the refuge of this era.
If you are tired of passively waiting and want to truly change your fate trajectory, don't be "the one owed wages," be the one who makes active choices.
$BTC
See original
$BTC Bears, please bring out the champagne, bulls manage your hands well, don't rush to catch the flying knives!
Technical Structure Analysis:
Short-term: If the rebound does not exceed 109,800, continuously blocked, the supply zone's destructive power is at full capacity.
Medium-term: MACD momentum is exhausted, Stoch divergence, high-level fluctuations form an M-top, breaking below 107,800 = signal of a breakdown.
Long-term: Fluctuations at the upper edge of the large channel, if it does not break 112,000, the probability of a pullback to the central axis zone (98K~100K) increases significantly.
🧨 Long and Short Strategy:
✅ Long Position: Strong support near 107,000 not broken + increased trading volume can test for low absorption, stop loss at 106,500, target 109,000;
⚠️ If holding long positions above 109,000 → suggest reducing positions for defense, exit if breaking 107,800.
✅ Short Position: For short positions above 110,000, it is recommended to continue holding, with a target of 105,000 or even 102,000;
⚠️ If shorting near 109,000, be aware that the 107,800 area may bounce back, suggest reducing positions to lock in profits.
Now is not the time to compete on direction, but on the ability to survive.
Those who don't understand stop-loss will turn bulls into cannon fodder; those who don't understand patience will also be spit back by bears!
Even Pinduoduo can cut itself with a financial report!
#BTC走势分析
Technical Structure Analysis:
Short-term: If the rebound does not exceed 109,800, continuously blocked, the supply zone's destructive power is at full capacity.
Medium-term: MACD momentum is exhausted, Stoch divergence, high-level fluctuations form an M-top, breaking below 107,800 = signal of a breakdown.
Long-term: Fluctuations at the upper edge of the large channel, if it does not break 112,000, the probability of a pullback to the central axis zone (98K~100K) increases significantly.
🧨 Long and Short Strategy:
✅ Long Position: Strong support near 107,000 not broken + increased trading volume can test for low absorption, stop loss at 106,500, target 109,000;
⚠️ If holding long positions above 109,000 → suggest reducing positions for defense, exit if breaking 107,800.
✅ Short Position: For short positions above 110,000, it is recommended to continue holding, with a target of 105,000 or even 102,000;
⚠️ If shorting near 109,000, be aware that the 107,800 area may bounce back, suggest reducing positions to lock in profits.
Now is not the time to compete on direction, but on the ability to survive.
Those who don't understand stop-loss will turn bulls into cannon fodder; those who don't understand patience will also be spit back by bears!
Even Pinduoduo can cut itself with a financial report!
#BTC走势分析
See original
Wenzhou, Zhejiang, Wenzhou, Zhejiang!
The largest bitcoin warehouse with a position of 16,852,681,841, James Wynn's long factory has collapsed!
The boss has run away! On-chain data shows that James Wynn's $1.2 billion BTC long position has been completely liquidated at a loss!
We have no choice but to take the losses as salary!
The original prices were all over $110,000, $100,000, $90,000 (the opening average price was $108,921), and now they're all being cleared at a loss, all sold for $107,746, how much was lost? A loss of $13.39 million!
All liquidated, all liquidated, it only took 47 minutes! Started liquidating at 6:40 and finished clearing by 7:27, completely cleaned up, beautifully done!
However, the boss said: I, James Wynn, am not an ordinary person. Although this trade lost money, I made a lot in the past few days, and when all is calculated, I still made a net profit of $8.45 million!
The largest bitcoin warehouse with a position of 16,852,681,841, James Wynn's long factory has collapsed!
The boss has run away! On-chain data shows that James Wynn's $1.2 billion BTC long position has been completely liquidated at a loss!
We have no choice but to take the losses as salary!
The original prices were all over $110,000, $100,000, $90,000 (the opening average price was $108,921), and now they're all being cleared at a loss, all sold for $107,746, how much was lost? A loss of $13.39 million!
All liquidated, all liquidated, it only took 47 minutes! Started liquidating at 6:40 and finished clearing by 7:27, completely cleaned up, beautifully done!
However, the boss said: I, James Wynn, am not an ordinary person. Although this trade lost money, I made a lot in the past few days, and when all is calculated, I still made a net profit of $8.45 million!
See original
$BTC BTC has recently entered a sideways consolidation after a rapid breakthrough, with the trend shifting from a unidirectional strengthening to high-level testing. The divergence between bulls and bears is intensifying, and the market is at a critical stage of 'direction selection'.
🔍 Short-term Structural Analysis:
The price is operating near previous highs, attempting to push upwards multiple times without success, indicating significant selling pressure above;
Trading volume has decreased, and momentum indicators are diverging, suggesting insufficient upward momentum in the short term;
If it fails to break out with volume, a short-term selling structure after a false breakout may form.
🔍 Long-term Structural Analysis:
The overall trend is still within an upward channel, with no structural damage observed;
The current consolidation is more likely a continuation within the trend, releasing market sentiment;
If key support is not broken, the basis for trend continuation still holds, but the pace is slowing.
📌 Conclusion:
📉 Short-term is weak, guard against false breakouts;
📈 Long-term is not damaged, wait for low entries.
This stage is not suitable for aggressive operations; it is more appropriate to plan in advance and wait for a favorable strike after the structure breaks.
🔍 Short-term Structural Analysis:
The price is operating near previous highs, attempting to push upwards multiple times without success, indicating significant selling pressure above;
Trading volume has decreased, and momentum indicators are diverging, suggesting insufficient upward momentum in the short term;
If it fails to break out with volume, a short-term selling structure after a false breakout may form.
🔍 Long-term Structural Analysis:
The overall trend is still within an upward channel, with no structural damage observed;
The current consolidation is more likely a continuation within the trend, releasing market sentiment;
If key support is not broken, the basis for trend continuation still holds, but the pace is slowing.
📌 Conclusion:
📉 Short-term is weak, guard against false breakouts;
📈 Long-term is not damaged, wait for low entries.
This stage is not suitable for aggressive operations; it is more appropriate to plan in advance and wait for a favorable strike after the structure breaks.
See original
🚨【$SOL Market + Reflection | When Humanity Opens Fire, K-lines Also Bleed】
Last night in Wuhan, the Chongren Road shooting incident: gunshots suddenly erupted on an ordinary night, just like the market suddenly plunges during a sideways trend.
The $SOL market wave was as if someone pulled the trigger without warning.
📊 SOL/USDT Technical Analysis | Bullish Counterattack, or False Breakout?
🔍 Structural Observation
Prices have continuously faced resistance in the 170~172 resistance zone, failing to effectively close above, indicating weak buying pressure;
Currently, it has dipped to the 162 range, forming a bottom oscillation platform, but the rebound has not broken out with volume, showing a clear short-term directional turn to bearish;
If prices break below the daily mid-track support level of 159.5, it will confirm the Wyckoff redistribution phase, initiating a new round of downward movement.
📈 Indicator Reference
SRSI has just crossed upwards from a low position, but the volume has not increased simultaneously → a typical “false divergence” trap;
MACD is operating below the zero line, and the momentum bars are still leaning bearish, with no effective reversal structure formed.
📌 Strategy Suggestions:
Conservative short position layout point: place a short near the rebound to 169, set a stop loss above 172, target 159/153
✅ Aggressive strategy: lightly short near the current price of 166, coupled with a small-level death cross + confirmation of a breakdown for additional position size.
Violence always erupts when people let their guard down, and the market is no different — prolonged sideways movement must lead to a drop.
Many people are still fantasizing about a V-shaped reversal for SOL, but in fact, the main force has long been distributing in batches; what you see as an increase is just a “bubble signal” under chip rotation.
Stop fantasizing that a spike is always a washout; it could also be a signal of bullets being chambered.
Last night in Wuhan, the Chongren Road shooting incident: gunshots suddenly erupted on an ordinary night, just like the market suddenly plunges during a sideways trend.
The $SOL market wave was as if someone pulled the trigger without warning.
📊 SOL/USDT Technical Analysis | Bullish Counterattack, or False Breakout?
🔍 Structural Observation
Prices have continuously faced resistance in the 170~172 resistance zone, failing to effectively close above, indicating weak buying pressure;
Currently, it has dipped to the 162 range, forming a bottom oscillation platform, but the rebound has not broken out with volume, showing a clear short-term directional turn to bearish;
If prices break below the daily mid-track support level of 159.5, it will confirm the Wyckoff redistribution phase, initiating a new round of downward movement.
📈 Indicator Reference
SRSI has just crossed upwards from a low position, but the volume has not increased simultaneously → a typical “false divergence” trap;
MACD is operating below the zero line, and the momentum bars are still leaning bearish, with no effective reversal structure formed.
📌 Strategy Suggestions:
Conservative short position layout point: place a short near the rebound to 169, set a stop loss above 172, target 159/153
✅ Aggressive strategy: lightly short near the current price of 166, coupled with a small-level death cross + confirmation of a breakdown for additional position size.
Violence always erupts when people let their guard down, and the market is no different — prolonged sideways movement must lead to a drop.
Many people are still fantasizing about a V-shaped reversal for SOL, but in fact, the main force has long been distributing in batches; what you see as an increase is just a “bubble signal” under chip rotation.
Stop fantasizing that a spike is always a washout; it could also be a signal of bullets being chambered.
See original
The co-founder who left in 2019, specifically chose 5.20 to give the best gift to the E Guard!
PANews
--
Ethereum co-founder Jeffrey Wilcke transfers 105,736 ETH to Kraken, worth approximately $262 million
PANews May 20 news, according to ARKHAM monitoring, Ethereum co-founder Jeffrey Wilcke has just transferred 105,736 ETH to the Kraken exchange, worth approximately $262 million.
See original
Today, $BTC inserted several needles above 105000 again. A brother asked me: "Is it time to sell? Is the big player playing tricks on me?"
I said: You have to believe that inserting needles is not the end, but the prelude to the beginning.
When the main force is still willing to wash the plate, it means they still want to control the market;
The real runaway market is when they can’t be bothered to pull and directly smash through your stop loss with a single bearish line.
Don't be afraid of inserting needles; be afraid if you can't understand the intention behind them.
Watching the market is just a surface; focusing on the structure is your protection umbrella.
🎯【Strategy Reference | Order Plan】
🧠 Defensive Strategy (suitable for those seeking safety)
Place Buy Orders: 104800 / 104300 in batches
Stop Loss: 103400
Target: 107800 / 110000
📌 Logic: Wait for the main force to test the 105800 supply zone before making a secondary pull-up
⚔️ Aggressive Strategy (betting on high volatility)
Place Sell Orders: near 106600
Stop Loss: 107300
Target: 104500 / 103300
📌 Logic: MACD divergence combined with high position needle insertion indicates short-term selling has cost-effectiveness.
I said: You have to believe that inserting needles is not the end, but the prelude to the beginning.
When the main force is still willing to wash the plate, it means they still want to control the market;
The real runaway market is when they can’t be bothered to pull and directly smash through your stop loss with a single bearish line.
Don't be afraid of inserting needles; be afraid if you can't understand the intention behind them.
Watching the market is just a surface; focusing on the structure is your protection umbrella.
🎯【Strategy Reference | Order Plan】
🧠 Defensive Strategy (suitable for those seeking safety)
Place Buy Orders: 104800 / 104300 in batches
Stop Loss: 103400
Target: 107800 / 110000
📌 Logic: Wait for the main force to test the 105800 supply zone before making a secondary pull-up
⚔️ Aggressive Strategy (betting on high volatility)
Place Sell Orders: near 106600
Stop Loss: 107300
Target: 104500 / 103300
📌 Logic: MACD divergence combined with high position needle insertion indicates short-term selling has cost-effectiveness.
See original
📉【Market Spike, Emotions Spike】📉
Brothers, today BTC spiked wildly between 102000 and 105000, with three spikes in one day, making everyone on edge. Some say this is a washout, others say it’s a sell-off, but I just want to say, this market resembles an extreme emotional outburst.
📰 Today I saw the news about "the second-year student at Beihang University committing suicide due to delayed graduation". To be honest, I was shaken.
You work hard, you excel, but a single delay can crush a person. Isn’t it just like in the crypto world, a stop-loss or a spike can clear out brothers who have invested their entire holdings?
I want to say some harsh words, but today, I just want to speak the truth:
💥 The market is fake, but being alive is real.
If you got swept out by a spike today, if you’ve held on to your position to the limit, if you’re about to break down in front of the screen, I want to tell you:
Being liquidated is not scary, and not being able to hold on is not shameful. You are not alone.
🎯 A few points on the market:
1️⃣ Today BTC is moving in a classic oscillating accumulation structure, spikes = clearing floating positions.
2️⃣ 105000 is a supply zone that acts as resistance, and 102000 has strong demand support, while the main force is building a new consolidation zone.
📍 Don’t rush to charge in short-term; wait for a valid breakout before considering a follow-up attack.
But remember, the market won’t cater to emotions, but emotions can destroy all judgment.
🔥 I won’t open positions tonight, not because there are no opportunities, but because I choose to defend.
Next time we attack, I hope you’re still at the table.
We are analysts, not gods; we are humans who still want to keep trading.
🪬 May the market be gentle, and may you be safe.
Brothers, today BTC spiked wildly between 102000 and 105000, with three spikes in one day, making everyone on edge. Some say this is a washout, others say it’s a sell-off, but I just want to say, this market resembles an extreme emotional outburst.
📰 Today I saw the news about "the second-year student at Beihang University committing suicide due to delayed graduation". To be honest, I was shaken.
You work hard, you excel, but a single delay can crush a person. Isn’t it just like in the crypto world, a stop-loss or a spike can clear out brothers who have invested their entire holdings?
I want to say some harsh words, but today, I just want to speak the truth:
💥 The market is fake, but being alive is real.
If you got swept out by a spike today, if you’ve held on to your position to the limit, if you’re about to break down in front of the screen, I want to tell you:
Being liquidated is not scary, and not being able to hold on is not shameful. You are not alone.
🎯 A few points on the market:
1️⃣ Today BTC is moving in a classic oscillating accumulation structure, spikes = clearing floating positions.
2️⃣ 105000 is a supply zone that acts as resistance, and 102000 has strong demand support, while the main force is building a new consolidation zone.
📍 Don’t rush to charge in short-term; wait for a valid breakout before considering a follow-up attack.
But remember, the market won’t cater to emotions, but emotions can destroy all judgment.
🔥 I won’t open positions tonight, not because there are no opportunities, but because I choose to defend.
Next time we attack, I hope you’re still at the table.
We are analysts, not gods; we are humans who still want to keep trading.
🪬 May the market be gentle, and may you be safe.
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