Trump is really getting on my nerves, just when everything was going very well, right at the good moment where BTC exceeds its all-time high, Trump decides to make a comment about imposing a 50% tariff on the European Union, and when everything is in decline suddenly there's good news, if this isn't manipulation, I don't know what is, anyway the medium and long-term direction cannot be manipulated, perhaps it can only be delayed with these tricks, just keep the focus.
BTC broke its all-time high, which means you'll see pure nonsense, news outlets talking about cryptocurrencies, scammers everywhere, pseudo economic experts talking to you about crypto assets, and your neighbor putting their pension into a crypto pyramid scheme, Altseason is coming.
Gold is already in a clear downward trend, its price is well below 3395 USD, currently it is under 3214 USD, regarding USDT, it is also in a clear downward trend, currently its market capitalization has broken the 5% line, it seems that money is starting to move, the next step is for that money to go into the main stocks in the stock market, then or simultaneously to BTC, and later to higher risk products (like altcoins), the trend of capital flow seems to be starting.
To know if we are already on the verge of an Altseason, there must be trend changes in BTC capital; at this point, if the market cap falls below 63%, there is already a trend change (or false signal), but if the market cap of BTC falls below 61.8%, it is a clear sign that we have already entered Altseason.
It seems that BTC will close the session of the day above 91K, it is already a clear upward trend, there may be a slight reversal in these days, but the medium-term trend is upward, likewise, there is a lot of capital accumulation in low-risk products, and as we already know, that accumulated capital has to come out, so hold on, good times are coming.
There is a key pattern with gold and cryptocurrency reserves, let me explain, gold reaches a peak price, and then the price of gold starts to wobble, however, simultaneously BTC begins to inflate its price, then BTC wobbles just like gold, and next, altcoins start to inflate their price, this happens due to the rotation of capital, the accumulated money from investors in gold reserves moves to cryptocurrencies, first to BTC and then to altcoins, this is known as the cascade effect, it happens suddenly, it is the herd effect or FOMO, and it seems that the cycle is repeating itself, we are on the verge of this cyclical capital rotation event happening, there are very clear signals indicating that this will happen soon.
For there to be a confirmation of a clear upward trend, BTC must surpass the price of 91K, this based on the average reversion percentage. Currently, we are in a limbo; we do not know if this is a false signal and the downward trend will continue, or if we enter a kind of range before the rise. In any case, as I mentioned earlier, whether it is a range or a rise, it will be beneficial for altcoins, although for that to happen, BTC dominance must decrease while this occurs.
After a couple of months, $BTC has finally broken its bearish trend creating a reversal pattern, although it could still be a false signal, but in case it is not, there may be two options from now on:
1) start a new bullish trend
2) consolidate in a range
If either of the 2 cases happens, we will see how liquidity will start to circulate to the Altcoins in search of opportunities.
It has been a week since I executed my plan in the futures market, there have been good results, my trading plan has withstood the large waves of rising and falling of eth, however, I feel that it is still too early to create a copy trading account, I will continue running my plan for at least a month, and based on that, see if I apply more adjustments or if it is already done.
Today has been negative for all markets, like on other days, however, this message is a reminder for you to know that if you know what you have and the value you have, don't even think about selling when a correction comes, my portfolio has already dropped more than 60% and I am very calm, how about you? Are you going to sell at a loss? Because I am not selling anything.
To take advantage of market fluctuations, and instead of just being here waiting for my portfolio to go up, I will start swing trading with a separate capital in the futures market based on active management. I have been working on this for weeks with demo accounts, and I applied an algorithm for back testing; the results are very good. Currently, I am testing in the real market with a small capital. If the results are just as good, I plan to create a copy trading account on my profile so that others can earn alongside me. I am still doing tests; I don't want to rush until I am sure and refine my strategy with unnoticed movements. I will notify when I make the copy trading public.
There have been very strange movements in the last few hours, and I refer to sharp movements of ups and downs. What particularly caught my attention was what happened with $FDUSD and $ACT ; it’s as if they are desperately trying to liquidate the last survivors who still hold positions. Usually, these large liquidations benefit those with substantial capital more. In fact, crises are good but only for those with large reserves. When the market remains strong, artificial crises are attempted to provoke buying. If you are doing DCA, during such times, it is better to try to buy strategically only in these types of strong drops to avoid generating liquidity and causing further drops. Or in the best-case scenario, do not trade until seeing signs that the whales are starting to buy. This can be observed with large operations; you can see the order books at strategic prices. Also, analyze the market cap of stablecoins; usually, this starts to decline. But above all, keep a cool head; do not fall into fear.
finally btc has broken its dominance to less than 60%, it seems that it is almost impossible for Altcoins to fall further, with the recent large drop and with the dominance at 62%, we did not see significant sharp drops compared to previous moments, and much less now that the capitalization gap is being reduced, if I see that there is no bounce in the percentage of btc dominance, I will start putting in money next week.
You know, the fact that BTC is decreasing in price but its high market dominance remains the same makes me a bit worried. When this happens, it is because money is leaving the crypto market equally, which results in no changes in dominance, as stablecoins, BTC, and Altcoins are being drained equally. It may also be temporary; let's remember this is due to Trump's tariffs. This is something general in the market, and people are scared, as the stock markets are also in the red. I doubt Trump wants this to extend, because his oligarch friends would also be affected. In fact, he is acquiring cryptos at this moment; it's an opportunity for those who keep a cool head. I feel sorry for those who took out loans and are trapped right now.
I know, I am bored too, I just want the pump to come for all the Altcoins. The involvement of institutions, companies, and governments, as well as the scams scandals, have delayed and interrupted the Altseason. Many people are on the defensive about investing in Altcoins, and it shows in the high dominance of BTC and USDT. There is strong resistance to investing; a good positive trigger will be needed to generate confidence again. In any case, we are already at a breaking point; Altcoins are very oversold, and the large liquidity accumulation cannot remain like this forever. At any moment, it could turn around. When will it be? I don't know; it could take weeks or another couple of months from how I see the situation. I would recommend doing the same: accumulate until the dominance of BTC and USDT starts to fall, or apply DCA every time the prices of your coins go down; that also works. Meanwhile, we need to stay alert. I love you very much, babies 👶 haha
The concerning thing about the Libra case is not Milei, as there will always be this kind of opportunistic trash; those of us who have been in the crypto ecosystem for a long time already know how to distinguish scams. Here, the most worrying thing is all the herd of people who, despite it being a clear scam, still continue to defend this kind of lunatics like a group of monkeys, calling anyone who points this out a leftist. There is no doubt that we live in an Idiocracy.
$TST and $1000CHEEMS are relatively new cryptocurrencies just created, despite being memes, they do not have a loyal community behind their development and growth. I am very sure they are a scam; we have seen that Binance has recently promoted shitcoins, so I have no doubt that these coins will have a significant drop in a matter of hours. Don't be foolish and don't put your money here out of FOMO.
Listen to this, when BTC suddenly drops and at the same time loses a good percentage of dominance, it will be the last moment to buy cheap before the Bull Run fully begins.
Those who are doing DCA are doing very well, no one has exact certainty about the future, putting money in periodically during key drops makes your portfolio not suffer significant losses and be prepared for a big bull run.