乾兮研究社-凯

During an economic downturn, it also brings about sexual decline. "Hemline Index", "Viagra Index"
1. "Hemline Index"
During economic prosperity: Many job opportunities and strong consumer confidence, women are more willing to wear short fashionable clothing to showcase vitality, hemlines become shorter.
During economic recession: Conservative consumption, attire tends towards longer hemlines and understated styles.
2. "Viagra Index"
During economic prosperity: High demand, high prices, hard to find.
During economic recession: Unsold, even with price reductions, no one is interested.

Recently many people have been discussing whether there is still a chance for counterfeiting. Then let me analyze the copycat scene.

1. Wait for the bottom to form and focus on the current market performance of hot tracks

2. The overall trend of altcoins has been weak recently, and the money-making effect is weak. Although there was a small rebound yesterday, the gains were basically given up today, and most high-quality altcoins are still fluctuating near their recent lows. The market shows that the support below is relatively solid and the market is in the bottom testing stage. It is recommended to wait and see and wait for ETH to stabilize before altcoins may have an opportunity to explode.

3. Wait patiently: The current market is still dominated by shock bottoming out. Blindly buying the bottom is risky and you need to wait for clearer trend signals.

4. Focus on hot tracks: Market funds are still concentrated in high-potential sectors, such as:

1. L2 expansion (Layer2 ecosystem grows significantly)

2. Modular blockchain (solving scalability pain points)

3. Ethereum staking (as the ETH staking rate increases, related projects will benefit)

4. AI+Blockchain (combination of artificial intelligence and decentralization, long-term trend)

5. Prefer strong currencies: Within the same sector, leading projects and currencies with advanced technology often outperform the market, so you need to carefully select the targets.

6. The market is still in a period of adjustment, but some undervalued high-quality projects have entered the layout window.

7.ETH’s trend is the key. If it stabilizes and rebounds, it will drive the market sentiment of altcoins to recover.

Follow me and I will bring you more insider information. #比特币突破11万美元

Here it comes, the second call $TRUMP

Can the dealer take advantage of the trend and start the second wave of Trumpcoin?

I bought it at 12 knives, with a stop loss, don't let it down

The trading volume of $WIF seems a bit off. Since the old brand wif died, it really hasn't been seen alive for a long, long time. It qualifies for a high pull, so killing it is not a problem.

Trump personally got involved, I went long at 13.9
$TRUMP

$shell Suspected consolidation has ended, about to start the main upward trend

As an AI project that can make money madly in a bear market, it is said to be an AI team specially brought in from web2 by Binance, with a wealth creation effect. The washout should be almost over.

Coupled with sufficient product conditions, it is also likely to tell the AI story on BSC.

Story + product + good team + strong market maker = conditions for price increase

Notified group friends that I boarded at 0.5U, whether we can lose a 0 is uncertain; we need to pull it up to see the price trend range of the market maker.

CZ praised the AI story yesterday. I think the odds for shell are good, waiting for a wave of main upward trend $SHELL

PNUT Squirrel has also arrived at the target location, enjoy eating over 50 points $PNUT

Entered at five thirty yesterday afternoon, and I've already eaten over 30 items. In this market, being able to enjoy a golden pig's foot rice is quite nice.
$PNUT

Take friends to escape the peak, wait in cash for opportunities

Reasons for cryptocurrency losses:

Let me give you an example so you understand.
You have 1 million in assets, and you use 700,000 to buy a cryptocurrency. The next day, this cryptocurrency drops by 1%, and you lose 7,000. You don't care; after all, it will rise again sooner or later.

On the third day, it drops another 3%, and you lose almost 20,000. You are unafraid because it will rise again sooner or later.

On the fourth day, it rises by 2%, and you recover almost 10,000 of your principal. You smile, feeling everything is under control.

On the fifth day, it suddenly plummets by 20%, and you lose 140,000. You feel a bit anxious and start to fantasize that it will rebound tomorrow.

On the sixth day, it rebounds by 5%, and you breathe a sigh of relief, thinking that trading cryptocurrencies still has some patterns to follow.

On the seventh day, it rises by 1%, and you begin to feel hopeful.

On the eighth day, it rises again by 1%. Although you feel the increase is slow, at least there is hope to recover your principal, and you are content with that.

On the ninth day, it suddenly crashes by 30%, and you start to panic, doubting whether you chose the wrong cryptocurrency.

On the tenth day, it drops another 10%, and you start to get angry.

On the eleventh day, the cryptocurrency price no longer fluctuates significantly and starts to consolidate. You see someone online saying this is a bottoming signal, indicating that the market is accumulating momentum, and you firmly believe it will rebound soon.

But…
In the following week, the cryptocurrency price continues to consolidate. You go online to learn some knowledge about cryptocurrencies, and based on your understanding, you think this is the legendary “main force accumulation phase”!

You continue to hold the cryptocurrency..

A month later, not only has the cryptocurrency price not risen, but it has also dropped another 20%. You start to feel numb, thinking that if you could just break even, you would withdraw your money and never touch cryptocurrencies again..

But things don’t go as planned; your cryptocurrency is still falling. At this point, you finally learn a new concept—stop-loss!

You feel tremendous pain and inner struggle, unsure whether to liquidate or continue holding..

Just then, a good friend tells you that a new cryptocurrency has recently surged by 200%, and he shares his “leading strategy” with you!

You believed it! You actually believed it!
So, you sold your cryptocurrency and told yourself,
that once you make a profit on the new cryptocurrency, you would come back to average down, hold it for the long term, and talk about breaking even later!

So, do you understand where the root of cryptocurrency trading losses lies?

After the original accumulation of wealth, there is a period of expansion, during which many people experience a decline in wealth and then seek opportunities for a comeback.

Of course, many people, after experiencing high consumption, are unable to control themselves from luxury to simplicity and cannot make a comeback.

Checklist and Standard Procedures for On-Chain Operations

1. Must use a Mac computer and an iPhone
Every strange thing you download could compromise your clipboard, read your data, and monitor your personal information.

2. Before completing any signature or clicking any link
Make sure you know what you are doing.
You can download GoPlusSecurity
as a plugin to assist and remind yourself.

Strictly prohibit searching for links on Google.
Strictly prohibit entering links from Twitter/TG.
Strictly prohibit entering tweet links.
Strictly prohibit clicking links sent by group friends without confirmation.

Only trust the official project party account links on Twitter (and do not believe in any airdrop phishing).

3. Check any transfer five times.
First check if the address is correct.
Second check if you are in a safe environment.
Third check if someone is pressuring you with FOMO?
Fourth check if it is the correct chain address.
Fifth check to remind yourself about social engineering courses.

4. Do not trust any information from strangers.
Greed is the first step to death.
There is no free lunch.
When you don’t know who the fool is,
assume you are the fool.

5. For acquaintances, assess their motives and sources of profit.
Most scams are committed by acquaintances.
In web3, if you need to send money and entrust it to others,
assume that this money is already lost.
If you don’t know how they make money,
then the money they make is your money.

6. Constantly remind yourself that you are in a dark forest.
Repeat steps 1-6 of this process.
Assume you will be scammed and attacked.

What should you learn in the first lesson of cryptocurrency investment?

In one sentence, "In this game, losing is easier than winning."

——

Newbies think that the odds of winning or losing are 50% each time they take action.

This understanding is correct, but also inaccurate. Because it only reaches this level of understanding, it has no practical significance.

Expressed in numbers, it means "If you make a 100% profit, you only need to lose 50% to return to the starting point."

As long as you keep playing, this rule will always exist—every time you fall into a pit, you need to achieve double the victory to escape.

So, "losing is easier than winning."

You not only need to understand this principle, but also engrave it in your bones, reminding yourself to be cautious at all times.

Visited a senior with assets worth 1700 bucks, who earnestly told me
1. If ordinary people want to turn their lives around quickly, they must sleep sideways.
2. The thinking of the rich is always counterintuitive; remember this, remember it well.
3. There is no difficulty that is without difficulties.
4. The accumulation of wealth relies on accumulation.
5. Learning to use methods that yield maximum results with minimal effort can achieve results with minimal effort.
6. How to quickly accumulate the first bucket of gold? First, buy a bucket.

Making money and losing money no longer affects my life; I eat and drink as I please. I have always treated the crypto world as a game to play.

During the process of increasing my joy beans, I didn’t feel much, but I enjoy facing this game with the posture of winning. I like the feeling of being trusted, and I prefer the perspective of a winner when my judgment is correct.

Often, confidence and achievements in one’s career can bring you boundless self-confidence. I am a genius; why do I need to prove myself?

February 2025 Cryptocurrency Market Summary

Recently, the cryptocurrency market has shown a volatile pattern, with Bitcoin retracing to the $96,000 range after breaking through $100,000, and Ethereum stabilizing above $6,000, but facing short-term pressure from CME short positions. The market has shown significant differentiation:

1. Resilience of mainstream coins: Bitcoin is supported by institutional funds (such as BlackRock ETF holding over 1.1 million BTC) and expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, with a long-term bullish outlook of $180,000 to $200,000; Ethereum benefits from the explosion of the Layer 2 ecosystem (such as Arbitrum's TVL surging 30%).

2. Track hotspots: Layer 2 (zkSync, Arbitrum), AI + blockchain (such as VIRTUAL), and RWA (real-world asset tokens) strengthen against the trend, with funds concentrating on fundamental logic.

3. Risks and challenges: Regulatory uncertainty (such as the SEC's crackdown on fraud), Meme coin bubbles (TRUMP plummeting 60%), and macroeconomic fluctuations (U.S. debt crisis, inflation rebound) exacerbate market volatility.

4. Institutional trends: BlackRock and others continue to increase their BTC holdings, total trading volume of stablecoins exceeds $27 trillion, and the scale of tokenized assets (RWA) grows by 60% to $13.5 billion, indicating accelerated institutional entry.

Focus on Layer 2 ecosystems, AI + blockchain, and compliant RWA projects while being cautious of high leverage and emotional trading.$TRUMP

The market bear has reached its peak, and even the previously most active meme groups are silent. Level one drops, level two drops. Memes drop.

Buying when no one cares, something big is coming. The worse the market, the better the time to position.

Gold is everywhere.
$TRUMP

Be patient and wait for liquidity

Treasure the time when the market is not good and you can take a break

Control your hands, consider it a vacation for yourself

Trading cryptocurrencies all year round is actually very exhausting

The cryptocurrency world has returned to its essence!

All coins are tools for wealth transfer and harvesting.

Previously, it was somewhat veiled, but now it is completely transparent; it's all about a wave.

Trump, Musk, the President of Brazil, Argentina, Zhao Changpeng, and Wang Xing are all changing their methods of harvesting.

In fact, the main thing is that the retail investors have become smarter; they are no longer naive.

Currently, if you want to invest rather than speculate,

only BTC, ETH, and some exchange platform tokens are worth investing in.

A person who relies entirely on his own ability, starting from scratch, earning billions of dollars. Such people cannot be defined as normal people.

A person who starts from scratch must have the ability to operate things to the extreme, he must have encountered far more difficulties than the second generation of rich people, and he must not be protected by anyone. He will definitely choose the most commercially efficient way to do anything.

And this most commercially efficient way must be ruthless, must be low in emotional intelligence, and must be disregarding face.

They want to filter out all invalid people and things, leaving only one person or one thing to attack at each time point, and then go all out to operate to the extreme.

The so-called extreme operation is beyond the cognition of most people.

The technology tree of people like us is mainly in the ability to do things, not the ability to empathize. It is the ability to do things to the extreme, the ability to operate to the extreme. Beyond the imagination of most people. And the ability to empathize often means mediocrity, because the ability to empathize often means that you need to constantly compromise with low-value people, which will damage your space to do things.

The reason why most people think that emotional intelligence and empathy are so important is because most people are not capable of doing things. They need to obtain survival resources from so-called emotional intelligence, love, or love to make up for their lack of ability to do things.

When you choose a person with strong ability. You have to endure his naivety in interpersonal relationships. But in the end you will gain more from him than from most people.

Because the ability to do things is extremely scarce.