孤独九剑

If you are a novice and don't know what is trending or going against the trend, it is best not to do contracts. Just hold the spot. This short article is mainly for those who have learned technical analysis and still often stop losses. You must understand it. I encourage you and deepen my impression. If you have stable profits, there is no need to look at it. The left side of the dividing line is a bullish trend, because it has been forming higher highs and lower highs. Then the question is, where do you intervene to go long? Fibonacci 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% or OTE, extreme OB; simple callbacks, bullish engulfing, hammer lines, FB structures, SB structures, 2B structures, trend lines, moving averages, etc. that you have learned? If the red flag shows the signal we want, do you enter the market to go long? Yes, I will enter the market, but stop loss. Are these trending orders? Look at the chart again. Are we leeks always going against the dealer? It's awesome. We have been contributing to the dealer. This is what we learned in books, watched in videos, heard from coaches, and determined by authority figures. We believed it to be true, set a stop loss, and felt that we could tolerate it. We justified it by saying that this was a stop loss within the system. With the spirit of Kong Yiji, the dealer laughed. In fact, we only make reversal orders, and there is only one chance of making a profit, which is (1), (2), (3). It is very easy to lose money if we enter the market from other places. We should remind ourselves not to make reversal orders as much as possible, because there is only one chance. The correct approach: remember that the current trend is to follow the trend. For example, we should go long in the green flag trend and look for the signal structure we want at a small level. Then your winning rate will be greatly improved, instead of reversing in the red flag trend. Going short in the red flag trend is to follow the trend. Do you think that following the trend is big and going against the trend is small? Not necessarily. Today's views are all subversive, anti-human thinking, and thinking from the dealer's perspective. We will follow the smart money wherever it is. If you can read this short article, you are really lucky. $BTC

True experts are never deceived by illusions
(Sun Tzu's Art of War - Chapter on Reality and Illusion) begins by stating:
'The shape of the army resembles water; water flows according to the terrain, and the army wins according to the enemy.'
Sun Tzu emphasizes: in warfare, adapt to the situation, endless changes, true and false intertwine, making it impossible for the enemy to predict.
And the trading market is indeed a battleground of indistinguishable truth and falsehood.
Is it a real breakout or a false breakout?
Is the main force distributing or accumulating?
Emotional reversal or luring both long and short?
If you cannot distinguish between reality and illusion, you will surely fail in trading.
Understanding how to identify 'illusion' and strike 'reality' is the true skill of a trading expert.
1. The way of reality and illusion: attack when the enemy is unprepared, strike unexpectedly

Mastering "momentum" is to master the opportunity for victory.
Sun Tzu said:
"The swift current of water can wash away stones, that is momentum."
It means: The reason water can wash away large stones is not because the water is hard, but because it has momentum and energy.
This is also the core idea of (The Art of War):
"A good strategist causes others to act, but does not act themselves."
That is: to place the opponent in a situation I set, while I am not led by the opponent.
In trading, this means:
✅ We should wait for the market to enter structures, positions, and favorable "situations" that we are familiar with before taking action, rather than being led by market fluctuations and trading randomly.

In the (Mao Attack) chapter, we learned how to layout wisely to reduce hard fighting; while in the (Military Formation) chapter, Sun Tzu teaches us a higher-level concept:
"Victory can be known, but cannot be forced."
What does it mean?
—— Victory or defeat can be known in advance through situational analysis, but it must not rely on strong action or personal will to 'manufacture victory.'
In the trading world, this means: A good trader will predict trends, positions, structures, K-line patterns, and cycles in advance to foresee the outcomes of trades, thereby planning ahead. However, this does not guarantee victory, as while victory can be predicted, it cannot be forced; otherwise, one would be a deity. The market is complex and ever-changing. We should find unchanging rules within changes to achieve long-term compound returns. In this chapter, Sun Tzu presents several critical concepts: 1. Stand on the ground of invincibility, waiting for the enemy's defeat. "A good warrior stands on invincible ground and does not lose sight of the enemy's defeat."

In the world of trading, understanding how to plan ahead is more important than frequent fighting.
This point has long been told to us in (The Art of War - Military Strategy).
Sun Tzu said:
"The highest military strategy is to win through strategy, followed by engagement, and lastly siege."
Trading experts do not enter and exit blindly every day, but think deeply and strike precisely.
Today, we will use the perspective of excellent traders to deeply analyze (military strategy), learning the true path to victory through intelligence.
The essence of military strategy - winning before taking action.
Sun Tzu believed:
Military strategy: Winning through intelligence, winning in strategy.

🎯 In all military tactics, the whole nation is the priority, followed by the destruction of the country; the whole army is the priority, followed by the destruction of the army...
Thus, winning a hundred battles does not make one the best; defeating the enemy without fighting is the best.

✅ The best victory is not frequent trading for small profits, but rather fewer trades, hitting hard, and winning big battles.
In every trade, we are not aiming for 'one win,' but for 'the long-term stable growth of the overall system.' 'Trading does not require us to be right every time, but rather to earn enough when we are right and cut losses when we are wrong.'
> Our goal is to achieve a long-term positive expected value, rather than focusing on individual wins or losses.

In (The Art of War), Sun Tzu begins by saying:
"War is a matter of state, a matter of life and death, a path to survival or extinction, it must not be ignored."
In our current language, it is:
War is a major matter of life and death for a nation and must not be taken lightly; it must be investigated thoroughly.
What does this have to do with trading? In fact, it is very relevant. 💪
In the market, trading is our 'battlefield'.
And we, as traders, are like generals——
Every order placed is like deploying troops;
Every take profit and stop loss is a switch between offense and defense.