穆昕策略

Contract trading carries high risks. To avoid liquidation, attention must be paid from multiple aspects. Here are some methods:

Reasonably control position size

- Light position trading: Avoid excessive leverage. Risks are high with leverage above 10 times. It is recommended to use 2-5 times leverage initially, keeping the position size below 20%-30% of total funds. For example, with 100,000 yuan in funds, use 20,000-30,000 yuan for opening positions.

- Build positions in batches: Avoid fully entering positions at once. Start with 20% of the position, and increase if the market is favorable, but keep the total position size below 50%. For instance, if you buy with a 20% position, increase by 30% after confirming the upward trend.

Strictly set stop-loss and take-profit

- Set stop-loss: Set stop-loss levels according to risk tolerance. For highly volatile contracts, set a stop-loss of 3%-5%. For example, if the purchase price is 1000 yuan, the stop-loss could be set at 970-950 yuan.

The Bitcoin market over the weekend was quite stable, hovering below 86500 all day, with minimal fluctuations. Both bulls and bears are locked in a silent stalemate, with the price firmly locked in a narrow range.
After my in-depth research on the market and analysis of various technical indicators, the early morning will be an excellent entry point. The market has been oscillating below 86500, and the Bitcoin price has attempted to break through multiple times without success, with significant selling pressure above. As long as the price encounters resistance at this level, it is highly likely to decline. Mu Xin suggests adopting a high short strategy.

1. Possible cause analysis

Continuing uncertainty of Trump's policies
Recently, Trump proposed a 'U.S. cryptocurrency strategic reserve' plan, announcing it on March 2. On the same day, BTC rose more than 10%, briefly reaching $92,000. However, due to the vague details of this plan, investors are confused about its specific implementation and subsequent impact, leading to a loss of market confidence and triggering sell-offs. Moreover, the source of funding for the plan is also under scrutiny. If it relies solely on confiscated assets (worth $19 billion in BTC) to support this plan, it will be difficult to create a sustained and stable influx of funds, and market enthusiasm is likely to cool quickly, prompting a price correction in BTC.

The current market is in a correction phase, overall performance is weak, but it is worth noting that from a technical indicator perspective, the Bollinger Bands on the four-hour level are showing an opening upwards. This pattern usually indicates that the market has certain upward momentum in the short term, and there is a trend for prices to expand upwards. At the same time, the KDJ indicator is also showing positive signals, with the three lines forming a golden cross and moving upwards, indicating that bullish forces are gradually accumulating. Based on the above technical analysis, for the trading layout at night, it is recommended to focus on a long strategy.

Morning thoughts are verified#美国加密战略储备 #CZ新代币模型设想 #BNBChainMeme热潮 #美国加征关税 $BTC

Last night, the Bitcoin market experienced a sudden change, and the price surged strongly. It skyrocketed from around 85200 to nearly 95000. When Mu Xin woke up, he witnessed an increase of 8000 points, which perfectly confirmed his bullish prediction made over the weekend.
From a technical indicator perspective, on the four-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are in an opening state, the K-line quickly rebounded to touch the upper band of the Bollinger Bands before being pressured into a pullback. The KDJ indicator is turning downwards, and the bullish energy bars of the MACD indicator are also gradually shrinking, indicating that there is a demand for a correction in the current market.
Switch to the daily level, the MACD bearish energy bars continue to shrink and are close to the zero axis, the KDJ indicator is diverging upwards, and the K-line is oscillating near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. Overall analysis suggests an intraday operation strategy of first shorting and then going long.

Emphasizing again that this week's trend is set to rebound, the market has arrived as expected

#美国加密战略储备 #XRP、SOL、ADA纳入美国战略储备？ #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #币安盘前市场上线RED #美国加征关税 $BTC

Three Iron Rules
Refuse to chase highs, calmness is key: When the market is all frenzy and everyone is rushing in, we must stay clear-headed and not let FOMO emotions take control. While others are scrambling to enter, you should take a step back, wait for the market to panic and drop, and when everyone is in a hurry to sell, that's when we quietly enter the market. This is the skillful operation of ambushing at low positions; buying at high positions is just foolish!

Be flexible in your operations, refuse heavy positions: The market in the crypto world changes faster than a change of face, so never bet all your assets at once; heavy positions are like shackling yourself. Give yourself some room to maneuver; opportunities are endless, and don’t hang all your hopes on one tree.

3/2 Bitcoin Strategy
In the current cryptocurrency market, the trend of Bitcoin (BTC) is receiving significant attention. From a technical analysis perspective, over the past four hours, the market has shown a significant bullish volume trend. The strong injection of bullish forces has greatly increased market trading activity, with trading volume continuing to rise, clearly indicating that the bullish forces in the market are gaining advantage and actively pushing prices upwards.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands indicator, it is evident that the bands are opening upwards. The widening of the Bollinger Bands typically signifies increased market volatility, and an upward opening strongly suggests that there is further room and momentum for prices to rise. Meanwhile, the candlestick is continuously oscillating in the middle to upper range of the Bollinger Bands. This oscillation is not chaotic but rather a consolidation of strength within a relatively strong area, supported by bullish forces, accumulating energy for a potential significant upward movement.

#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #美SEC：Meme币非证券 #比特币价格走势分析 #芝商所将推出SOL期货 $BTC $ETH Continue ⬆️ to watch, bulls are increasing volume

Those who stay up late must have eaten well, Bitcoin has moved out of a 1000-point range.

#美联储降息预期 #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #币安盘前市场上线RED #币安HODLer空投SHELL #美国加征关税

#比特币价格走势分析 <t-7/>#币安盘前市场上线RED This position is available, it should be reliable, right?

Kong Dan Zhi Sun eliminated,
Four-hour bulls are making a move, short-term resistance around 88900, short positions can be taken in the 88000-88500 range, target 86000-84000#币安HODLer空投SHELL #Bybit发布黑客取证报告 <t-10/>#美联储降息预期

Bitcoin near 86200🈳, target 85000-84000
Bamboo shoots 96700#币安HODLer空投SHELL #比特币价格走势分析 #Bybit发布黑客取证报告

Analysis of ETH key price points

In the cryptocurrency market, the price trend of ETH has always been the focus of investors and analysts. At present, from a technical perspective, there are two important price ranges for ETH, namely the key resistance level and the key support level.

1. Key resistance level

The most critical resistance level of ETH is between $3,360 and $3,450. This range is like an insurmountable wall, which has formed a strong obstacle to the rise of ETH prices. When the price of ETH gradually climbs to this range, it will encounter a large number of selling orders. The outflow of these selling orders makes it extremely difficult for the price to break upward. In the past market conditions, ETH has tried to break through this resistance range many times, but most of them ended in failure. This fully demonstrates the effectiveness and strong influence of this resistance level. It is like a "price ceiling" that limits the upward space of ETH prices in the short term.

The following is a summary of relevant content:

U.S. Government Authorized to Sell Bitcoin

U.S. Department of Justice Obtains Approval to Sell Bitcoin: The U.S. Department of Justice has received approval from the Northern District Court of California to sell 69,370 bitcoins seized from the illegal dark web market 'Silk Road'. Based on a unit price of $94,000, this potential sell-off is close to $6.5 billion. Following this news, Bitcoin's price experienced short-term fluctuations, impacting market sentiment.

Trump to Promote Crypto-Friendly Policies on First Day in Office

Trump has repeatedly expressed support for cryptocurrencies during and after his campaign. He vowed to fire the current SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, who has taken a tough regulatory stance on various crypto companies. Trump also envisions that the U.S. could establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve by pooling funds confiscated from criminal activities. Additionally, he stated that he would never allow the creation of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) and would establish a cryptocurrency advisory committee and a dedicated position for cryptocurrency policy at the White House.

1. Los Angeles wildfires lead to cryptocurrency sell-off
Impact of wildfires: The Los Angeles wildfires caused huge property losses to local residents and also impacted the cryptocurrency market.
Transaction surge: Coinbase data shows that Bitcoin transaction volume, especially large-value transactions, increased significantly after the wildfires in Los Angeles and surrounding areas.
Analysis of the reasons: Local wealthy families and high-net-worth individuals sold off crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum due to the need for post-disaster reconstruction funds, which led to increased selling pressure in the market, price fluctuations, and affected market stability.
2. The U.S. Department of Justice’s sale of Bitcoin caused volatility

Bitcoin Price Trends and Market Reactions
- Bitcoin Price Decline: At the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin failed to maintain its upward trend, rapidly falling after reaching a high of $100,000, with a nearly 10% drop within two days, indicating significant short-term volatility in the Bitcoin market, with market sentiment shifting quickly from bullish to cautious.
- Altcoin and US Stock Market Correlation: The decline in Bitcoin triggered a chain reaction in the altcoin and US stock markets. The altcoin sector fell by 10%, with mainstream altcoins like ETH and SOL experiencing significant price declines. Meanwhile, the stock prices of leading mining companies in the US stock market also dropped by 5%-8%, indicating a certain correlation between the cryptocurrency market and traditional financial markets, with Bitcoin's performance having a substantial impact on overall market sentiment and investment atmosphere.

Bitcoin price drop on January 8 and bearish engulfing candlestick pattern
A bearish engulfing candlestick pattern is generally considered a strong bearish signal that appears after an uptrend, indicating that the market may be about to reverse downward. Bitcoin experienced its second-largest intraday drop in nearly 19 weeks on January 8, forming a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern, suggesting strong bearish forces in the market, which could continue to put downward pressure on Bitcoin's price in the short term.
Stablecoin supply and market liquidity
Stablecoin supply enters a 'price discovery' phase, meaning there is more liquidity available in the crypto ecosystem, with potentially more funds flowing in over the next few months. Market analyst Jamie Coutts also believes more liquidity will flow in, potentially leading to a rise in BTC price six months from now. This somewhat supports Bitcoin's price, but due to improved U.S. economic data causing weakness in stock and cryptocurrency markets, Bitcoin's price still saw a significant drop. Therefore, the impact of increased liquidity on Bitcoin's price may take some time to manifest.

In the current Bitcoin market, yesterday followed a rebound shorting strategy. Yanmei's actual operation took place in the range of 97200 - 95000, successfully capturing a profit of 2200 points, highlighting the substantial returns brought by precise strategies.
From a technical indicator perspective, on the four-hour chart, the MACD bearish energy bar is shrinking, while the KDJ indicator has formed a golden cross upwards, indicating that the short-term trend has begun a rebound. However, when switching to the daily level, the situation is different. The bears are beginning to gain momentum, and the KDJ has formed a death cross downwards, clearly showing that the bearish trend has not ended. The overall market is still under the control of bears, with only a certain rebound demand emerging in the short term. Based on the above analysis, the intraday trading strategy should focus on shorting during rebounds as the main strategy.