Purrgle

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As of June 18, 2025, Bitcoin is trading at $104,569, reflecting a 2.6% intraday decline. After dipping around $103,300, bulls responded swiftly, regaining control above $105K. Trading volume surged to $1.7 billion, suggesting market participants are actively positioning.

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Key PointsBitcoin is trading around $105,452, down 1.75% in the last 24 hoursDespite the drop, daily volume has increased to $1.7 billion, indicating strong interestTechnical indicators still favor bulls, with most SMAs and EMAs flashing buy signals.Short-term resistance sits at $107,869, with $100K as key psychological support.A break above $110K could reignite momentum toward $150K in the coming years.Halving effects and macroeconomic trends may fuel upside through 2026–2031.
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Technical Overview – 1D Chart

The RSI (14) is at 47.7, signaling a neutral trend with slight bullish bias. All major moving averages, from short-term (SMA 3) to long-term (SMA 200), are indicating a buy, supporting the medium-term upside structure.

Volatility and Short-Term Momentum

On the 4H chart, bears are trying to reclaim momentum near the EMA bands, though the BoP indicator at -0.99 suggests bears are still dominating. The MACD remains below the signal line, hinting at potential short-term consolidation or downside continuation.

Scenario Analysis
Bullish

If BTC breaks and sustains above $107,869, a run to $109,561 and beyond may follow
Bearish:

A drop below $102,703 could lead to a retest of $100,298, increasing pressure

Long-Term Outlook (2025–2026)

The long-term projection for Bitcoin still targets $150,000+, contingent on macro catalysts like ETF adoption, post-halving cycles, and decreasing supply pressure. Institutional inflows remain a key variable. Historically, Bitcoin’s strongest surges occur 12–18 months post-halving — aligning with the 2026–2027 window.

Conclusion

Bitcoin holds a bullish long-term trend despite short-term volatility. While corrections may occur, the structure remains favorable for higher targets. The path to $150K is still intact, especially if macro conditions and investor sentiment align in the coming quarters.

Don't Scared, Don't Fear, Be Brave and Market Would Into You
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#bitcoin #Market_Update #MarketSentimentToday

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Key PointsNo bear market rumors were reported between 6:24 PM (June 17) and 6:24 AM ET (June 18, 2025). Bitcoin dominance stable at 64.01%, with increased volume.Some bearish activity in altcoins, but no signals of market-wide downturn.X and major news platforms confirm no active bear market speculation.
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In the past 12 hours, no major bear market rumors have emerged in the crypto space. While volatility persists, research across news platforms and social media confirms no credible reports or speculation suggesting a broader bear market trend.

Market Snapshot

As of June 18, 2025, at 6:24 AM ET, total crypto market volume hit $137.94 billion, up 13.88% in 24 hours. Bitcoin dominance stood at 64.01%, with DeFi contributing nearly 25% of the volume. Over 95% came from stablecoin trading — a sign of high activity, not a crashing market.

Geopolitical Impact and Price Action

Recent news pointed to short-term price moves influenced by geopolitical headlines, such as the Israel-Iran conflict and former President Trump’s proposed talks with Iran. Cardano ( $ADA ) dipped 5.35% to below $0.620 and Avalanche ( $AVAX ) showed weakness near the $19 range. Despite these individual bearish signals, no analysts or platforms raised concerns about a system-wide bear market.

Adding fuel to the fire, Donald Trump posted the phrase “UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER” in all caps on his social media, sparking speculation that he was pressuring Iran to back down in its conflict with Israel. This sudden escalation has added uncertainty across global markets, and crypto is no exception. While not a confirmed policy move, the post intensified geopolitical risk sentiment, contributing to today’s sharp correction in the crypto market.

Reality Check: Volatility ≠ Bear Market
Some assets are showing weakness, and macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions remain sensitive. But a few red candles or local pullbacks aren’t enough to confirm a bear market. Historically, bear markets involve consistent lower highs and deep retracements across the majority of top assets — not isolated drops in specific coins.

Conclusion
No signs of bear market rumors are present as of now. Volatility remains, but it’s within normal ranges. While it's wise to stay alert and risk-aware, panic isn’t justified. Traders should continue watching key news sources and price structures — and avoid overreacting to short-term dips.

Stay sharp, do not scared!
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#FOMCMeeting #IsraelIranConflict #GENIUSActPass

Michael Saylor just went all in on Bitcoin again and he’s not slowing down. From June 9 through June 15 his company, once known as MicroStrategy, spent about 1.05 billion dollars to add 10 100 more BTC at an average price of 104 080 per coin. That one week haul was their biggest in five weeks and now their total stash sits near 63.4 billion dollars.


What’s interesting is how he paid for it. Instead of tapping common shares and diluting existing stockholders, he raised money through preferred shares for the third week in a row. Preferred shares act a bit like a loan that only converts into stock under specific conditions. This week’s new preferred share class alone brought in almost 980 million dollars and another 78 million came from earlier share sales.
Critics are already lining up. Legendary short seller Jim Chanos calls Saylor more salesman than strategist and suggests buying Bitcoin directly while betting against Saylor’s stock. They warn the premium on the company’s share price over its actual Bitcoin holdings could shrink if Bitcoin wavers.
Still Saylor seems undeterred. Earlier this year he laid out plans to raise up to 84 billion dollars through a mix of debt, common stock and preferred shares over the next few years to keep piling into Bitcoin. To new crypto investors the message is simple. Saylor treats Bitcoin like digital gold and he’s using every tool available to keep stacking coins even when markets get choppy.
Whether you see him as a genius or a gambler his moves are shaping how big institutions view Bitcoin right now. If you believe in Bitcoin’s long term potential his strategy shows why major players keep jumping in. If you’re cautious it highlights the risk of betting so heavily on a single asset. Either way it’s worth watching.

#SaylorBTCPurchase

After stepping away from Binance Square for a few months I’m back to dive into what could drive the next phase of Bitcoin. Right now the world feels like it’s on edge. War is breaking out in the Middle East and civil unrest is brewing in Los Angeles. Commodities are swinging wildly with oil prices surging and gold reclaiming its spot as the go to safe haven. It’s a chaotic moment that some see as a window for crypto to shine but things are rarely that simple.


Rising oil prices hit crypto miners hard. As energy costs go up mining rigs that were once profitable are now barely breaking even. At the same time the rush into gold signals that investors are fleeing from risk turning away from stocks and crypto alike. That wave leaves Bitcoin sitting isolated in the center of the storm. But history offers a different perspective.
Warren Buffett once said:
Buy When There's Blood In The Streets.
And right now there is blood everywhere. Still war has not always meant disaster for markets. When World War I started, the Dow dropped 30 percent but by the end of the war it was up 43 percent averaging 8.7 percent per year. After Pearl Harbor World War II triggered just a 2.9 percent drop and fully recovered in about a month finishing the war up around 50 percent or 7 percent annually. Even during the Vietnam War the Dow gained 43 percent through 1973.
Bitcoin has followed similar patterns. When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022 Bitcoin dropped 10 percent bounced back the next week and later stabilized near $47,000.
How about now?
A few days ago. I ran a Pearson correlation test comparing global M2 money supply with Bitcoin price history. The result showed a strong 0.739 correlation, confirming it was statistically significant. Put simply when central banks print money Bitcoin tends to absorb the extra liquidity.

This is not theory it is already happening. Around the world governments have turned to monetary stimulus to support weak economies and Bitcoin has acted like a sponge soaking up the fresh supply of cash.

Based on this pattern and the broader economic cycle my models point to a bullish trend for Bitcoin extending through September 2025 possibly hitting a new all time high.
Numbers aside market psychology tends to repeat. My cycle clock model points to Bitcoin entering a euphoria phase between September and November 2025. This lines up with past halving cycles increasing liquidity and the usual investor rush that often pushes prices beyond logic.
So is the current crisis a red flag or a green light Most people see it as a signal of more losses to come. But for those who understand how war inflation and monetary policy connect with crypto this could be a smart entry point rather than a fear driven move. In my next piece I will focus on altcoins that are set to benefit as we move toward the peak of this cycle.

- Purrgle

Disclaimer:
This article is for informational and educational purposes only. It is based on independent research and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making any financial decisions. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk, and you could lose all your capital. The author and publisher are not responsible for any financial losses or actions taken based on this content.

Most people trading crypto futures are basically walking donations to the market. They think watching a few YouTube videos will make them profitable, only to get liquidated faster than they can refresh their portfolio. If you don’t want to be part of that crowd, listen up. Here’s how to actually predict crypto price movements like a pro while others keep making dumb mistakes.

1. Price Action is King
Forget the news hype. If you want to predict where the market is headed, price action tells you everything. Learn to read candlestick patterns, support/resistance levels, and trend structures. For example: If a coin like $BTC keeps bouncing off a certain level, it’s not magic, it’s a signal.
Watch for breakouts and fakeouts. If Bitcoin keeps testing resistance at $85K and suddenly breaks through with high volume, it’s a buy signal. If it wicks up and drops back, it’s a trap. Simple.

2. RSI and MACD Are Your Best Friends

Stop gambling and start using actual indicators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) tells you when a coin is overbought or oversold. If RSI is below 30 on $ETH , it means panic sellers are dumping, and you might want to consider buying. Above 70? Get ready for a pullback.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) helps confirm trends. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, momentum is bullish. When it crosses below, it’s time to short or sell.

3. Fibonacci Retracement (Because Math Works)

Ever wonder why crypto prices magically bounce at certain levels? That’s Fibonacci retracement. For example: If $SOL pumps from $100 to $200, look for pullbacks at the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels ($160, $150, and $138). These levels are where big players load up.
(Hint: There’s something called Golden Zone. That's When price retraces to the golden 61.8% level and starts moving up, that’s your best entry point. Ignore this, and you’re just buying tops and selling bottoms like an amateur.)

4. Liquidation Zones (Where the Money Gets Wiped)
Ever wonder why price randomly spikes up or dumps hard? That’s because of liquidation zones. Futures traders put their stop losses too close, and whales love to hunt them. Platforms like Binance provide heatmaps showing these zones. If a bunch of leverage traders placed stops at $82K for $BTC , don’t be shocked when Bitcoin dips exactly to that price before reversing. It’s engineered to take your money.

5. News Is Manipulation, Trade the Reaction. (MOST IMPORTANT)

Smart money buys before the news, dumb money buys after.
If an announcement says “Ethereum ETF Approved” and price is already up 20%, you’re late. The pros bought weeks ago. Instead, watch the market’s reaction. If a bullish event happens but price doesn’t move, that’s a sign the pump already happened, and a dump is coming.
If you still don't understand. Look at Trump’s latest Bitcoin reserve announcement. The headlines made it sounds bullish, but price barely moved before dipping. Why? Because smart money was already positioned. The government didn’t buy new Bitcoin, they just labeled their seized stash as a “reserve.” Meanwhile, retail traders FOMO in at the top, thinking this was the green light for a new bull run. 🤣
Now, imagine the opposite scenario. If Bitcoin had dumped hard on that news but quickly recovered, that would signal strong hands accumulating. Instead, we saw a pump before the news, then a fade after—classic “sell the news” behavior.
Next time, don’t get trapped by headlines. Watch how the market reacts. If it’s already priced in, you're late. If it surprises the market, that’s where the real opportunity is.

Want an easy start? Keep an eye on $BTC , $ETH , and $SOL , They're the strongest players in the game. Now go trade like a pro, or keep making your wallet someone else’s payday.
#USTariffs #EducationalContent #TradersBootCamp