A whale who participated in Ethereum's ICO and holds 76,000 ETH has moved 6,000 ETH for the first time in three years — including the sale of 3,000 ETH.
TRUMP: NO RUSH TO ANNOUNCE TRADE DEAL TRUMP: WILL END UP WITH SUBSTANTIAL NUMBER FOR BASELINE TARIFF TRUMP: WE WILL HAVE A DEAL WITH CHINA TRUMP: WILL MAKE GOOD DEAL WITH CHINA TRUMP: WE'LL HAVE VERY LITTLE PROBLEM MAKING DEAL WITH EUROPE
On the bright side, the number of staking users hasn’t increased significantly, but the total staked amount continues to grow steadily.
DataFi - Onchain Research
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Bullish
$WCT Evaluation
PROS
- The ICO/IEO price was $0.2 in the first round earlier this year (current price is a good entry point). - 30M USDT has been staked by 43k users, with an average of $1.5k per user since December 2024 → if they're staking for airdrops, they're unlikely to withdraw soon, since the airdrops are somewhat proportional to the staking amount. - Market cap is $60M (at $0.3 price). Check why people are staking — if user staking increases by 50%, the price could ~2x (not even factoring in FOMO from news that could trigger that extra 50% growth). If it hits 75% growth, the price could 4x. Note: this assumes an average of ~5k WCT staked per user. - WCT is currently at a good entry price. With hundreds of wallets competing, you'll notice when logging into a dApp that there are often 3 connection options: *Protocol xyz...v.v Ex :gmail *Wallet *WalletConnect - This provides a seamless UX for wallet and dApp connection. - Currently, WTC's revenue doesn't come from retail, but there's no fear of dying out — major wallets are booking priority slots with WTC to increase their own retention, which brings notable value.
CONS
- Why rely on staking users? Because WTC doesn't yet have a clear revenue model. - There are 3 possible models: subscription, fee-based, advertising. - WTC seems to be leaning towards the advertising model. But it's unclear how this value is shared with retail users, or how to make them understand it. - It's vulnerable to future strategic decisions. It’s hard to draw up ambitious plans because this kind of app doesn’t store keys, passwords, or user info — meaning it can’t deeply mine user data. → And if they want to build a full app, it’d be hard to boldly claim they don’t manage keys anymore.
- The ICO/IEO price was $0.2 in the first round earlier this year (current price is a good entry point). - 30M USDT has been staked by 43k users, with an average of $1.5k per user since December 2024 → if they're staking for airdrops, they're unlikely to withdraw soon, since the airdrops are somewhat proportional to the staking amount. - Market cap is $60M (at $0.3 price). Check why people are staking — if user staking increases by 50%, the price could ~2x (not even factoring in FOMO from news that could trigger that extra 50% growth). If it hits 75% growth, the price could 4x. Note: this assumes an average of ~5k WCT staked per user. - WCT is currently at a good entry price. With hundreds of wallets competing, you'll notice when logging into a dApp that there are often 3 connection options: *Protocol xyz...v.v Ex :gmail *Wallet *WalletConnect - This provides a seamless UX for wallet and dApp connection. - Currently, WTC's revenue doesn't come from retail, but there's no fear of dying out — major wallets are booking priority slots with WTC to increase their own retention, which brings notable value.
CONS
- Why rely on staking users? Because WTC doesn't yet have a clear revenue model. - There are 3 possible models: subscription, fee-based, advertising. - WTC seems to be leaning towards the advertising model. But it's unclear how this value is shared with retail users, or how to make them understand it. - It's vulnerable to future strategic decisions. It’s hard to draw up ambitious plans because this kind of app doesn’t store keys, passwords, or user info — meaning it can’t deeply mine user data. → And if they want to build a full app, it’d be hard to boldly claim they don’t manage keys anymore.
Pine Analytics: Jito's Role in #Solana Deep Dive A data-driven breakdown of how Jito Tips are used, who is using them, and why. Key findings include: > Jito now represents 60%+ of priority fee volume > More users are tipping passively via frontends, using small default tips to gain reliability, not edge. > Volatility doesn’t increase the number of tip Events
The State of Crypto Lending > Total size of the crypto lending market as of Q4 2024 including CDP stablecoins is $36.5bn > The combined CeFi loan book size at YE 2024 was $11.2bn, down 68% from 2022 ATH of $34.8bn > DeFi open borrows—$19.1B across 20 lending applications and 12 blockchains as of Q4 2024 > The top 3 CeFi lenders as of Q4 2024 include Tether, Galaxy, and Ledn combining for a loan book size of $9.9 billion at the conclusion of Q4 2024
Celestia Hackathon Winners and Ecosystem Highlights - Recent hackathon showcasing new gaming projects, socialfi and even tapping into new use cases such as a Zkmedia to verify authenticity of content. - Further expansion of the Celestia ecosystem with Initia coming online with an airdrop, expansion to more BTC-based L2s through Citrea, MEV-solutions for Celestia-native apps and much more.
Trump signs resolution to repeal IRS anti-DeFi crypto rule finalized under Biden, which required "custodial brokers" to collect and report user data to the tax agency
CHINA TO INCREASE TARIFFS ON US GOODS TO 125% FROM 84% EFFECTIVE APRIL 12
CHINA: WILL IGNORE US IF IT KEEPS IMPOSING TARIFFS FURTHER (Earlier Trump said "I Can't Imagine Further Increase of Tariffs on China")
*CHINA: IT NO LONGER MAKES ECONOMIC SENSE IF US IMPOSES MORE TARIFFS; IF US INSISTS ON CONTINUING TO SUBSTANTIALLY INFRINGE UPON CHINA'S RIGHTS, INTERESTS, CHINA WILL RESOLUTELY COUNTERATTACK AND FIGHT TO THE END
10y yield hit 4.5%, 30y touched 5% — classic bond dump → yield pump.
Rumor mill said China was rage-selling US bonds over tariffs, but turns out a major Japan bank got forced to nuke a fat bond stack today (also tariff-linked). Reminder: Japan banks are giga bond whales.
US traders stayed up late stress-watching yields, whispering 2008 and covid March 2020 vibes.
Today's move really looks like a local bottom similar as the 2 previous ones, and so far it also did the same thing as on March 10, ie bottom right below the last lows.
I hope I'm not jinxing it but this reinforces my view that there is still a lot of money waiting to be deployed into $BTC and not a lot of forced sellers, which means we don't get the huge liq cascades that are 'obvious and easy bids'.
Instead you get controlled moves down where you just have to think 'yeah this is a good price vs the average of the past month, let's buy'. $BTC
In the midst of market turmoil, being patient remains our most favored strategy, to build confidence on the scenario of negotiation vs escalation, and also to arrive at levels of equity risk premia that are closer to 5%+, consistent with more conservative pricing of US growth.
Indicators show distribution is slowing, and LTH supply is rising after months of decline—suggesting a shift toward holding rather than selling.
The % of LTH supply sent to exchanges saw a brief spike but quickly dropped as BTC traded around $80K. Some LTHs de-risked and took profits at $90K-$93K in early March. However, each distribution wave is becoming smaller in intensity and scale, signaling saturation and a potential completion of sell-offs at current price levels.
Bull markets are shaped by LTH profit-taking, balanced by STH demand. This cycle, LTH profits align with past cycles, but unlike before, they continue to hold a significant BTC supply—indicating that despite periodic distribution, a substantial portion of capital remains locked in. $BTC
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