OlhaGr17

$BTC 1. Legal Precedent
In Connecticut, a 19-year-old resident pleaded guilty to fraud and money laundering of $245 million in cryptocurrency, including over 4,000 BTC — after which the defendant's parents were kidnapped. He is forfeiting nearly $550,000 of confiscated assets.
2. Price Increase and Influencing Factors
Bitcoin has slowly jumped by approximately 1% to ~$106,081, supported by improved risk appetite and stability in the Middle East. Another review noted a rise of ~0.1%, to $104,584, and its connection to the dollar index and U.S. tariff policy.
3. Institutional Strategies
More than 60 non-core public companies (Trump Media & Technology, SoftBank, etc.) have started investing a portion of their reserves in Bitcoin — inspired by MicroStrategy's success.

#USNationalDebt Current Debt Level
• According to USAFacts, as of May 2025, the total national debt is approximately $36.2 trillion, which is equivalent to about $106,000 in debt for every American.
• According to the JEC report dated June 4, 2025, the total debt is $36.21 trillion (of which $28.95 trillion is external debt and $7.26 trillion is intragovernmental credit), with debt growing at an average of $4.27 billion per day.
• If this pace continues, the debt could reach $37 trillion by approximately October 31, 2025.
Threat of Interest Payments
• Interest on the debt amounts to about $1 trillion per year, exceeding military spending.
• In 2025, servicing the debt will cost $776 billion, or ~16% of federal spending.
Crisis Scenarios
• Economists Ray Dalio, Kenneth Rogoff, and Niall Ferguson warn of the risk of an 'economic heart attack' and a crisis in the next 4–5 years if the deficit is not reduced to around 3% of GDP. A particularly alarming signal is the exceedance of debt servicing costs over military expenditures.
• Moody's downgraded the U.S. credit rating in May 2025 to 'Aa1', citing increased debt burden and deficit. Annual interest on the debt now exceeds defense spending.

$BTC Institutional Fund and Regulation:
• Spot-ETFs in the USA continue to strengthen institutional confidence. The emergence of such instruments makes BTC increasingly recognized as a financial asset.
• The US Senate recently approved the GENIUS Act for the regulation of stablecoins, which creates a favorable environment for bitcoin as well.
• As part of US political initiatives, a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" is being formed — President Trump signed an order for the reserve in March 2025 for government BTC.

#SwingTradingStrategy Royal Caribbean (RCL) — an example of flexible trend trading:
SwingTrader took partial profits during the rise and increased the position when the asset showed 'strength'. As a result, the gain was approximately 8% after exiting on signs of a reversal. This highlights the importance of adaptability — even if the asset is already 'overprotected', one can enter again during a correction.
Dutch Bros (BROS) — utilizing a deep pullback:
After a drop of -46%, BROS built a strong base, then, upon recovering above the 50-day moving average and a positive report, entered the trade. They held the position with minimal risk, exited and re-entered on a pullback to the 21-day moving average. This demonstrates the effectiveness of re-entering on a pullback after exiting.

#XSuperApp X is actively transforming into a 'super-app' that includes financial tools — embedded payments, P2P transfers, investments, stock and cryptocurrency trading — all in one interface. China's WeChat is cited as the main example of such a successful approach.
• X Money — a digital wallet in partnership with Visa — is already in beta in the USA, providing instant top-ups and transfers.
• Unclear role of cryptocurrency. Despite clear expectations, CEO Linda Yaccarino did not mention crypto support in official announcements. The current integration is mainly traditional financial assets.
• Regulatory risks. Issues with obtaining licenses in different states, KYC/AML requirements, and EU checks create significant hurdles for launching crypto functions.
• High demand and potential to reach 600+ million users. The combination of social networking with finance is a serious advantage, but success depends on user trust.

$USDC The US Senate on June 17 passed the GENIUS Act — the first federal legislative framework for digital dollars, including USDC, with requirements for monthly reserve disclosures and backing by liquid assets.
• The next step is the consideration of the bill in the House of Representatives (STABLE Act) and final signing by the President.
Stocks and Investor Confidence
• Circle's (CRCL) shares rose an average of 34% after the approval of the GENIUS Act, reaching around $200, which is 540–544% higher than the IPO price of $31.
• Coinbase (COIN) — co-author of USDC — added ~16–17%, trading around $295–297 after news of regulation.
New Use Cases and Integrations
• Coinbase Payments is implementing USDC as a payment method on e-commerce platforms like Shopify — a step towards the mass adoption of digital payments.
• USDC will become a potential collateral in US futures contracts thanks to the collaboration between Coinbase Derivatives and Nodal Clear, with CFTC approval scheduled for 2026.
Technical Innovations
• Circle accelerates USDC issuance on Solana: on June 18, the company added around $250 million USDC into circulation on this blockchain platform.
• The CCTP V2 protocol has been launched — native support for USDC on 21+ blockchains (including Solana, it now also supports pre-mint addresses).

#CryptoStocks Crypto stocks — such as Coinbase, Circle, MicroStrategy, Core Scientific, Riot, Hut 8 — are back in the spotlight.
They are becoming key instruments for traditional investors looking to enter the crypto market without buying tokens.
• Institutional investments are increasing: a rise in the number of funds, IPOs, and the launch of tokenized securities (including through platforms like Coinbase).
• Stablecoins (especially USDC and USDT) already account for 7–8% of the entire crypto market capitalization, and they are supported by major banks, funds, and payment companies.
What to expect next?
1. A breakthrough for Bitcoin above $111–112k could pave the way for new highs.
2. Continued regulation: the SEC is reviewing applications for tokenized stocks and new ETFs.
3. Growth in cryptocurrency company stocks — a new wave of interest from Wall Street is possible.

$USDC Regulatory recognition: The GENIUS Act creates federal standards for reserves and transparency for USDC — a significant step forward for legitimizing stablecoins in the USA.
• Circle's stock market has grown more than 5 times since the IPO on June 5, reflecting investor confidence in the stable token.
• Financial infrastructure: USDC will participate in regulated financial products — from futures to loyalty programs.
• Institutional interest: large corporations and payment systems are increasingly integrating USDC into their ecosystems — this reinforces its role as the 'digital dollar'.

#GENIUSActPass 1. The US Senate passed the GENIUS Act on June 17 with a vote of 68–30, providing a federal framework for regulating stablecoins – crypto tokens pegged to the US dollar.
2. Bipartisan support: 18 Democrats joined the majority of Republicans despite Elizabeth Warren's concerns about potential conflicts of interest related to Trump’s USD1.
3. Key provisions of the new law:
• Stablecoins must be fully backed by reserves (cash or US Treasuries),
• issuers are required to publish monthly reports,
• AML/KYC requirements are introduced and priority payout to holders in case of bankruptcy.
4. What’s next: the document is now headed to the House of Representatives, where a similar STABLE Act is being discussed – further unification is possible.
5. Market impact: auditors expect significant growth – Bitwise CIO forecasts that the market could reach 2.5 trillion $ amid the new regulations, and analysts note the potential for attracting institutional capital.

$BTC Institutional forecasts:

Analysts and funds are actively discussing BTC targets:
• Cathie Wood – up to $1.5 million by 2030 g.  
• Tom Lee – $150,000 by the end of the year, possibly $3 million in the long term.
• Many technical analysis models suggest growth to $137,000–230,000 by the end of 2025 g. What to watch in the coming days:
• U.S. macroeconomics: reports on CPI and expectations for rate cuts may give BTC another upward push.
• Geopolitical situation: escalation in the Middle East may cause short-term downturns.
• Institutional inflows: track fund investments and spot ETF flows – they directly influence dynamics.

#TrumpBTCTreasury SEC approved the registration of the Bitcoin transaction:
• On June 13, 2025, the SEC announced the effectiveness of the Form S-3 registration related to a $2.3 billion transaction for the purchase of Bitcoin.
• The deal closed on May 30 — funds were raised from approximately 50 investors: 56 million shares and 29 million convertible bonds.
What this means for TMTG:
• Bitcoin will be added to the company's balance sheet along with $759 million in cash and equivalents at the end of Q1.
• According to media estimates, this is one of the largest public strategies for building a Bitcoin reserve.
• Investor Don Wilson (DRW Investments) invested about $100 million, becoming one of the key participants in the deal.

$BTC 1. The bullish picture remains — a technical signal has been recorded, a profitable gap, and a constructive background for growth.
2. Key events: Fed's interest rate decisions, cryptocurrency legislation in the USA, and institutional demand.
3. Forecasts expect further growth: potential before the end of the year ranges from up to 200k, and in the long term — up to $1 million.
4. Attention: a brief correction to 100–106k is possible; averaging is recommended with a fundamental backdrop of inflation and interest rates.

#TrumpTariffs Threat of new tariffs:
Trump stated that in the next 1–2 weeks he will send letters to trade partners proposing unilateral tariffs. Their implementation is scheduled before the designated deadline of July 9, after which more stringent duties will be applied. Legal decision on existing tariffs:
The appellate court has suspended the blockage of the broad tariffs introduced by Trump while the appeal is ongoing. The case will be reviewed at a full hearing on July 31.

$BTC Bitcoin remains around ~$108,700, having risen from a level of about $105–$107 thousand after news of negotiations between the US and China, radically improving market sentiment. The technical picture looks bullish:
• A breakout above the resistance level of ~$105,700 confirms the formation of a broad 'descending broadening wedge' on the 4-hour chart, which could signal a new ATH ($111,970 and above).
• An additional breakout above $108,900 could provide an accelerated growth momentum. Inflation and regulatory expectations:
• The Fed's rate cuts and positive macroeconomic dynamics strengthen the capital inflow into BTC; three weak reports on the US economy have heightened expectations for a loosening of monetary policy.

#USChinaTradeTalks Meeting in London: Focus on Rare Earth Elements and Technologies

— Delegations led by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Trade Representative He Lifeng are conducting key negotiations at Lancaster House aimed at easing tensions caused by restrictions on the export of rare earth metals and technology products. China has made concessions — export licenses have been issued.
— As a goodwill gesture, China has issued export licenses for rare earth materials, lifting some of the restrictions imposed in April.

#CryptoCharts101 Indicators that strengthen signals:
• RSI (Relative Strength Index) – overbought/oversold
→ RSI > 70 = possible correction, RSI < 30 = possible bounce
• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
→ Line crossover often signals a trend change
• Volume (volumes)
→ Breakout with volume = reliable. Breakout without volume = false.

#TradingMistakes101 Develop a clear trading plan: entry, exit, risk, and take-profit.
• Use stop-loss and do not hold losses beyond the plan.
• Study fees and expenses in advance.
• Do not succumb to FOMO and hot signals from social media.
• Be sure to take profits, even partially.

$USDC Circle had a successful IPO on the NYSE
• In early June 2025, Circle Internet Group, the issuer of USDC, became the first stablecoin to list on the NYSE, offering 34 million shares at $31 each.
• On the first day of trading, the shares surged by about +168% (closing at ~$83.23) — a powerful start with a market capitalization of approximately $19–22 billion.
• The securities continued to rise the next day, resulting in a total gain of about +247% (up to $100).
Significance: this success serves as a signal of institutional trust in stablecoins and opens doors for widespread adoption in payment infrastructure.

#BigTechStablecoin Meta is preparing to return to the world of stablecoins:

According to the latest data, Meta (Facebook and WhatsApp) is once again exploring the launch of its own stablecoins to support payments on its platforms. Various tokens are being considered — USDC, USDT, and likely its own. This is part of their strategy to bring back cryptocurrency functionality after the Diem project a few years ago.

The US Congress is moving towards regulation — what it means for Big Tech

Recently, a vote took place in the Senate on the "Genius Act" (more than 66–32), which requires strict reserving and disclosure of reserves and establishes a legal framework for the issuance of stablecoins. In particular, the law partially restricts Big Tech's ability to launch their own stablecoins without user consent.

Traditional banks and fintech are entering the arena

Bank of America, Stripe, Revolut, PayPal, Standard Chartered, and others are actively developing or preparing their stablecoins for cross-border payments. Thanks to legislative loosenings, interest and issuance volumes are growing exponentially.
• For example, the market volume of stablecoins has exceeded $200 billion, with Tether ($142 billion) and Circle ($42 billion) holding 90% of the market share.

#CryptoFees101 Ethereum: Gas fees 95% lower after the Dencun upgrade
• On March 13, 2024, the network successfully implemented Dencun, and over the year, the average swap fee fell from ~$86 to $0.39, and for NFTs to $0.65.
• YCharts data shows a decrease in average values: from 72 gwei in 2024 to 2.7 gwei in March 2025.
• As of February 26, 2025: average $0.41, a drop of almost 94% over the year - to four-year lows.
Variable commission spike - example January 2025:
• In the week from January 17 to 24, commissions rose from $1.35 to $3.85 (+185%), which coincided with a surge in volumes on Uniswap (from $2.1 billion to $4.9 billion).
• The trend triggered the migration of traders to L2 and alternative networks (Polygon +30%).
Expenditure and L2 activity:
• Ethereum Layer 1 collected $1.67 billion in fees in DeFi - the absolute leader among blockchains, followed by Base and Arbitrum with <$40 million.
• Despite low fees and record low average costs, activity in the blockchain is slowing down - the 7-day volume on February 18 fell to $3.77 billion.
Tools and tips to reduce costs:
• Effective L2 solutions (Arbitrum, Optimism, Polygon) support 'penny' transactions - it's accessible and cheap for users.
• 'Smart watches and MetaMask API' tip: you can pay for gas with USDC/USDT gas tokens via 'Gas Station', more flexibility