2ļøā£ Sideways (ā 30 %) ⢠Trigger: global stagnation; balance between ETF buying and miner sales. ⢠Range: $85ā115 k by the end of 2025. ⢠Sense: the market āparksā BTC; a zone for DCA, but no rally.
Metrics that will show the trend šµļøāāļø ETF flows: > $500 million per week ā bullish momentum; outflow ā risk signal. Hashrate/Difficulty: drop > 10 % per month = miner capitulation. BVOL-Index: > 90 often precedes a reversal. Futures basis (3 months): < 1 % or negative = exhausted market.
How to act cautiously š” ⢠Diversification: even in a bullish scenario, -30 % āalmondsā are possible. ⢠Cash cushion 10ā20 % in stables for quick purchases. ⢠Monitor CPI and FOMC decisions ā macro shapes the trend for several weeks.
Range: $102k ā $106k; support $101k, resistance $106k.
Sentiment: institutional inflow via ETFs continues; the āspikeā to $106k caused liquidations of ā $600 million āļø.
Technical: 50-day SMA ā $101k > 200-day ā $92k ā the āgolden crossā maintains a bullish trend š.
Narratives: Ark Invest and SkyBridge maintain targets of $180ā200k by the end of 2025 š
š Ether (ETH)
Price: ā $2,403 š
Range: support $2,320, resistance $2,580; breakout = path to $2,800.
Fundamentals: expectations for the Pectra upgrade (August) + validators > 1.3 million š ļø.
Sentiment: daily growth of ETH cap 2.5% vs BTC 0.7%; whales partially taking profits š¼.
Technical: consolidation under 100-hour SMA; RSI neutral ā waiting for a catalyst.
š Conclusion
BTC holds $100k, trend is mid-term bullish; ETH consolidates ahead of āPectraā, ETH/BTC pair is growing, hinting at alt-rotation. Volatility is high ā strict risk management is essential ā ļø.
SUI | INJ | RUNE | SOL | WIF ā what drives the market š
Top 5 Events (48 hours):
1ļøā£ SUI ā $3.86: TVL jump + zkLogin release in mobile-SDK. 2ļøā£ INJ ā $12.14 (+4.6%): L3 Cascade for RWAs tokenization. 3ļøā£ RUNE ā $1.86 (+10.4%): Streaming Swaps v2 speeds up exchanges, cuts fees. 4ļøā£ SOL ā $162: Firedancer testnet (Ć10 TPS) heats up demand. 5ļøā£ WIF ā $3.38: futures listing Ć50 pumps the meme-token.
š Macro: Altcoin Season Index = 24 ā no mass āalt-season,ā growing selectively.
š Next, we monitor:
⢠Volumes SUI/USDT, INJ/USDT ā +30% to weekly average = new liquidity. ⢠TVL Sui ā $1 billion = second wind. ⢠Calendar: 21.05 Devnet Firedancer | 23.05 burn of 5 million INJ | 30.05 AMA THORChain Ć Binance Research.
š¼ Conclusion: SUI, INJ, RUNE ā strong fundamentals + Binance support. SOL ecosystem and $WIF attract speculative capital, volatility is high. Keep risks under control, enter thoughtfully.