💰 Bitcoin (BTC) BTC broke $106,000 📈 Daily growth — +3.2%. Total market capitalization: $3.35 trillion. Demand is rising due to expectations of soft Fed policy and ETF inflows. 📉
⚙️ Ethereum (ETH) ETH increased by +7.7%, trading at $2,570. Positivity is driven by activity in DeFi and ETF expectations. 🧠
📈 Altcoins AAVE, PEPE, TON, ARB are rising. AAVE leads amid an increase in TVL. 🌐
🐋 Whales in the Market Large transactions are being recorded: ETH at $35 million, total volume — $2 billion. This may involve OTC deals or rebalancing. 🐳
🌍 Ripple Ripple launches transfers in the UAE — a step towards integrating XRP into traditional finance. ⚖️
🛡️ Regulation The US court confirmed that crypto should be regulated but not banned. This increases institutional trust. 📚
⚠️ Forecast from Willy Woo BTC cannot rise forever. Possible overheating phases, especially with high futures premiums. 🔍
📌 Conclusion The market is active but volatile. Keep a cool head, monitor macro data, and make strategic decisions. 🚀
2️⃣ Sideways (≈ 30 %) • Trigger: global stagnation; balance between ETF buying and miner sales. • Range: $85–115 k by the end of 2025. • Sense: the market “parks” BTC; a zone for DCA, but no rally.
Metrics that will show the trend 🕵️♂️ ETF flows: > $500 million per week — bullish momentum; outflow — risk signal. Hashrate/Difficulty: drop > 10 % per month = miner capitulation. BVOL-Index: > 90 often precedes a reversal. Futures basis (3 months): < 1 % or negative = exhausted market.
How to act cautiously 💡 • Diversification: even in a bullish scenario, -30 % “almonds” are possible. • Cash cushion 10–20 % in stables for quick purchases. • Monitor CPI and FOMC decisions — macro shapes the trend for several weeks.
Range: $102k – $106k; support $101k, resistance $106k.
Sentiment: institutional inflow via ETFs continues; the ‘spike’ to $106k caused liquidations of ≈ $600 million ⚖️.
Technical: 50-day SMA ≈ $101k > 200-day ≈ $92k — the ‘golden cross’ maintains a bullish trend 🐂.
Narratives: Ark Invest and SkyBridge maintain targets of $180–200k by the end of 2025 🏁
🌐 Ether (ETH)
Price: ≈ $2,403 📊
Range: support $2,320, resistance $2,580; breakout = path to $2,800.
Fundamentals: expectations for the Pectra upgrade (August) + validators > 1.3 million 🛠️.
Sentiment: daily growth of ETH cap 2.5% vs BTC 0.7%; whales partially taking profits 💼.
Technical: consolidation under 100-hour SMA; RSI neutral — waiting for a catalyst.
📝 Conclusion
BTC holds $100k, trend is mid-term bullish; ETH consolidates ahead of ‘Pectra’, ETH/BTC pair is growing, hinting at alt-rotation. Volatility is high — strict risk management is essential ⚠️.
SUI | INJ | RUNE | SOL | WIF — what drives the market 📈
Top 5 Events (48 hours):
1️⃣ SUI → $3.86: TVL jump + zkLogin release in mobile-SDK. 2️⃣ INJ → $12.14 (+4.6%): L3 Cascade for RWAs tokenization. 3️⃣ RUNE → $1.86 (+10.4%): Streaming Swaps v2 speeds up exchanges, cuts fees. 4️⃣ SOL ≈ $162: Firedancer testnet (×10 TPS) heats up demand. 5️⃣ WIF → $3.38: futures listing ×50 pumps the meme-token.
🌐 Macro: Altcoin Season Index = 24 → no mass “alt-season,” growing selectively.
🔍 Next, we monitor:
• Volumes SUI/USDT, INJ/USDT — +30% to weekly average = new liquidity. • TVL Sui → $1 billion = second wind. • Calendar: 21.05 Devnet Firedancer | 23.05 burn of 5 million INJ | 30.05 AMA THORChain × Binance Research.
💼 Conclusion: SUI, INJ, RUNE — strong fundamentals + Binance support. SOL ecosystem and $WIF attract speculative capital, volatility is high. Keep risks under control, enter thoughtfully.